Hopium:


Lmao. Edo is literally 33% for the three of them.

ebenholer2:
MAY I IMPLORE EVERY YOUTH OUT THERE NOT TO TAKE TO VIOLENCE ESPECIALLY THE LP SUPPORTERS. LET'S ALL ACCEPT THE EVENTUALITY OF THE ELECTION COS NO POLITICIANS WORTH DYING FOR HONESTLY. PLEASE DO NOT SACRIFICE YOUR BLOOD. ACCEPT THE ELECTION OUTCOME IN GOOD FATE PLEASE

senatordave1:


A lot of people across party lines love obi just like in delta

StrongAlphMale:


This is exactly what we've been saying son. This isn't 2015 and the narrative has changed.

The number of voters in 2015 is nothing compared to this year's voters. Bros if only you'll Carry out your own research you will understand what I'm saying. Nobody cares whether a son is running for presidency or not, the thing is Nigerians are tired and wants competency. Even okowa knows he'll lose Delta to LP by next week Saturday. I'm not exaggerating na fact I dey tell you. Just exactly how LP will win Edo with nothing less than 94%. I'm telling you this because I am an Edo niggar

Aiel123:

I'm more surer on Ogun than Crs.
Tinubu can still do a 70% leaving PDP with 25% and NNPP and lp sharing the remaining 5%.

caracas:

You must be in coma to think obi will not win akwaibom…. He will win with at least 90% votes…

caracas:

Are you sure you’re ok or you just been mischievous?
If any other party gets up to 10% in cross river that party tried. Obi will clear cross river state n there’s nothing the governor can do about it.
As for ogun obi might not win but he will get more than 30% of the votes there.

Prostitute:
can we bet? If obi gets 40% you win.

Mynd44:
Every electoral year, SBM does this.

1. Obi isn't winning Kogi, Ondo, Nassarawa, Delta and Taraba. Not getting 25% in Sokoto, Ogun, Kebbi and Kastina and Oyo

Aiel123:

Ok.
If Obi should get 30% in Ogun, how many then will Tinubu get? And Atiku?
I wasn't talking about Cross River.

Mynd44:
Every electoral year, SBM does this.

1. Obi isn't winning Kogi, Ondo, Nassarawa, Delta and Taraba. Not getting 25% in Sokoto, Ogun, Kebbi and Kastina and Oyo

2. Atiku isn't winning Borno, Yobe and Niger. Not getting 25% in Lagos, Ogun, Kogi and Cross River

3. Tinubu isn't winning Kano

But a Tinubu Run-Off with Obi? Stop the count!!!

caracas:

Tinubu will get up to 60% of the votes there
Atiku will struggle to get 10%

Hopium:


It's delusion that makes you think a state that PDP got 95% in 2015, >50% in 2019, and now with their son running as VP will get less than 50%.

Mynd44:
Every electoral year, SBM does this.

1. Obi isn't winning Kogi, Ondo, Nassarawa, Delta and Taraba. Not getting 25% in Sokoto, Ogun, Kebbi and Kastina and Oyo

2. Atiku isn't winning Borno, Yobe and Niger. Not getting 25% in Lagos, Ogun, Kogi and Cross River

3. Tinubu isn't winning Kano

But a Tinubu Run-Off with Obi? Stop the count!!!

Mynd44:
Every electoral year, SBM does this.

1. Obi isn't winning Kogi, Ondo, Nassarawa, Delta and Taraba. Not getting 25% in Sokoto, Ogun, Kebbi and Kastina and Oyo

2. Atiku isn't winning Borno, Yobe and Niger. Not getting 25% in Lagos, Ogun, Kogi and Cross River

3. Tinubu isn't winning Kano

But a Tinubu Run-Off with Obi? Stop the count!!!

Aiel123:

Love doesn't translate to votes... using Akpabio as a case study. Even Dankwambo too.

senatordave1:


There was a gangup against akpabio plus many voters didnt know his party logo...dankwambo winning in gombe north dominated by buharists is a tall order...
The love for obi is looking like 2015... But there are two things I love about this poll.one,62% respondents were Christians and obi is thought to dominate here yet tinubu still won.secondly 11,000 respondents interviewed which is the highest by any poll

globemoney01:

Are you drunk. Atiku will get 25% in all 36 states unless SW votes heavily for Tinubu. Buhari is not on the ballot

Gorgeous4lyf:
The Title is misleading. The content of the report shows that Peter is favorite to win the elections.

ENGINEERG:
If anyone tells you Peter obi can not win again, tell them he is now sure to win 14 states plus FCT from the 36 states. The states are:
Abia
Ebonyi
Enugu
Imo
Anambra
Edo
Rivers
Cross River
Delta
Akwa ibom
Bayelsa
Benue
Plateau
Taraba
Fct.

The core North that obi won't do well, will be majorly divided by 3 candidates( Tinubu, Atiku and kwanswaso) and obi Will get something too.
South West will still be divided too, whereas South east and South south won't be so divided,and obi will get landslide victory there.

so let no person tell you it's not possible again, its so POssible

caracas:

What state are you in sir?

ChristineC:
Atiku will not get 25% in any SE or SS state except Delta.
Atiku will not get 25% in Lagos.

Parrot69:

All those States you said Obi isn't winning maybe be correct, but be rest assured he's getting 25% or above in all those states except for Kastina and Kebbi.
He will win Delta state. Takes this to the bank!

Parrot69:


Yes.
I'm obidient but I know he isn't winning Kogi but be rest assured he's getting 25% on lock down!!

Dapagun:
For the first time since the 1960s, there are 3 competitive political blocs largely along the old regional divides.

Hence the latest survey, which was commissioned by @EiENigeria and conducted by @sbmintelligence, did not provide us with a clear front-runner.

The first 2023 election survey conducted by SBM was published in July 2022 and showed that only 41% of registered voters had collected their Permanent Voters Cards (PVCs). (IMAGE 1)

This assumption of low turnout fed into our December 2022 projections, based on a 7,000-respondent survey. (Image 2)

The assumption of low turnout changed when, in January 2023, our 6,500-respondent survey on PVC collection showed a remarkable increase in PVC collection - 97%.

We believe that the surge in voter awareness done by
@inecnigeria and CSOs like Enough is Enough (EiE), through their #RSVP Campaign, have driven voter interest and bucked the low turnout trend in #Nigeria's elections.

Many respondents were clear about whom they felt would win the presidential contest in their state but were not straightforward about their candidate preferences. Furthermore, many registered voters told us that ethnicity and religion would play an important part in their choice.

This runs contrary to recent commentary, which suggests that #NigeriaDecides2023 will be #Nigeria’s first post-modern election, where substantial issues will determine voter choice.

The respondents also said that they expect vote buying despite recent technological and legislative changes to curb that. While an overwhelming majority of respondents claim that they won’t sell their vote, more than a third have experienced vote buying in the past.

The data suggest that @PeterObi and @Atiku could garner enough votes over a sufficient number of states across four of the country’s six geopolitical zones to meet the constitutional requirement of scoring 25% in at least 24 states. (Image 3 and 4)

https://twitter.com/sbmintelligence/status/1626597562282307594?t=viYDxVXs5qwPWmu2H6DvIA&s=19

senatordave1:


Very possible.tinubu will meet the spread while obi meets the highest votes

globemoney01:

Pdp will get 25% in Lagos and all SS/SE states. Atiku will come first or second in every state. Only person that will do so in this election

Hopium:


Delta: PDP: 55%, LP: 25%, APC: 20%