₦airaland Forum

Lauryn41:
I’m so pissed that mercy had this conversation with Venita

Once mercy comes out of the house , I pray she cuts off anything that has to do with that bitter vindictive thing

She should also cut angel off as well , another witch in disguise

Nevermind, Angel and Venita are leaving this week.

scondy:
I agree..he had no business telling venita that info...

Exactly .people that will still meet later to table your case and mock you . You cannot come between them .

Chinachriss:
Do you think that Mercy will let it slide of she realizes that Venita put her up.
Mercy is a girls' girl. She has never put Venita up. She hasn't!

Last time it happened was in 2019

Psychedelia:
I've done my permutations (which have been right all season) and I can tell you it's not.
With only 25.83% revealed, it means the other four housemates were left to share 74.17%, but not in equal portions.

My model estimates that Ilebaye scored more than double what the 2nd placed housemate CeeC scored.

Putting Baye at ~ 31% and CeeC at ~ 15%, it leaves a close race between Mercy and Adekunle for 3rd place with Mercy narrowly beating Adekunle by decimals.

Basically, the 'tight race' in this scenario is the tight race for 2nd, 3rd and 4th positions as 1st position is already a lock.

But hey, you don't really have to take my word for it. For all I know, the model may be inaccurate. But I'd be damned if it gets the 1st and 2nd place predictions wrong.

I can tell for a fact that the margin can't be more than 10% ...and thats maximum


Last week when four pple were up...ilebaye's margin was 13% .....she had 39 and venita had 26....

13% margin with 4 people up...so how will she now double the votes of the 2nd person with this strong line up and 7 people up....wher the 5th person had 14% ....

It's not rocket science.

It's simple statistics

Threebear:
I'm just happy the biased updater has lost all her faves. 😁

Goodbye Amauche , you'll not be missed 😁

Na that handle Giel abi na Gel?
😂

tonididdy:
Illebaye and Ade were irrelevant in their season. Absolutely nobody knew them
Talk less a season winner...it's not adding up. Mercy is a case study....why isn't she battling bottom lineup?

Adekunle wasn't irrelevant o...he was a finalist ...finished 4th...

Manfromlasvegas:
Quick maths sure, but it doesn't work like that

Well it's not far fetched especially as Venita was only 12% less than Ilebaye that week.

The game is still very much open.

Originality007:
he don dey feel jealous of Baye, He never expect her to survive the eviction

He must be mad!

Alheeri:
Congrats to ilebaye aka small mouse,👏👏👏👏..we go harder this week...

Yes o!!!

Lauryn41:
I’m so pissed that mercy had this conversation with Venita

Once mercy comes out of the house , I pray she cuts off anything that has to do with that bitter vindictive thing

She should also cut angel off as well , another witch in disguise

Mercy is no better sha

Lauryn41:
I’m so pissed that mercy had this conversation with Venita

Once mercy comes out of the house , I pray she cuts off anything that has to do with that bitter vindictive thing

She should also cut angel off as well , another witch in disguise

Angel is not trustworthy at all!

Manfromlasvegas:
See ehh. You see that bottom four wey biggie no post. I fit bet say biggie dey protect one of ogs. Either na mercy or ceec fall for that no 4 position.

I go come back to this comment in 3 weeks time

God bless you!!
I think it’s Mercy!

finallybusy:
Alex and Neo are gone. I don’t need sources when I have a brain to calculate odds.

Guess who said it since Monday. Whitemoney’s first win was surely a fluke. His fellow SYE compatriots still haven’t given themselves sense. At least Pere and Cross will make it to the final week again.

innocentdude:
Permutations don't work this way, didn't even account for other variables

The variables work both ways too. What if WM had more votes this week than he did last week?

Chinachriss:
Nobody dares to do such. It will ruin the reputation of Deloitte. Even if it leaks, it's just permutations.

How can you now take a permutation as the authentic result Abi authentic has a new definition ni

Chinachriss:
Nevermind, Angel and Venita are leaving this week.

Angel and Soma might leave.

IconicR:
I cannot stan a housemate and allow her/him lose the money

No be by mouth but you full ground remain?

Princessestate they thought we were joking hehehe

Baye fans I like Baye but she will not win

Watch out

Keep you fake likeness to yourself because she’ll win this show!

Alheeri:
Islanders getting their flowers and hype on different social media...
They say una no dey make noise oooo,talk and do gang ...
Congrats to Islanders...

Until adekunle beats one of Mercy ceec or ilebaye i won't be impressed by islanders

Everyone he beat was expected

IconicR:
Alex you'll do very well

I love how you and Ceec naturally got close without faking it

Love you girl

Yimu
You dey look for alliance!
Lmao!

Mathematicians in house, u guys should use the known to find the unknown to give us the percentage probability.

Am tired of seeing wide margin and low margin that y’all talking about


Biggie has really created more suspense by not showing the top 4

The top contenders, Pere, adekunle ilebaye mercy and ceec, should try and win head of house and black envelope tomorrow

So that people like angel ,Soma and venita,can be up for possible eviction

If soma or venita win head of house or black envelope

That means two out of the top contenders would go home next week Sunday

Altrarecords:
Lmao it's not debatable

Venita is fire and the PRIMARY queen of gbas gbos

Every person in the house that she didn't like/felt like they disrespected her or even spoke behind her back, She has attacked fiercely

Mercy is the only exception where she's chill.. infact it was mercy even raising her voice at the initial clash and venita was still mellow

So Yeah it's venita acting out of character here not mercy.. this is not debatable

Seems you missed the key point in my previous response.
" From your own observation tonight "
" Tonight "
Then I finished off by saying , " your opinion, though "

If it is not debatable, then you wouldn't have bothered with this second response. I'm just saying...

Aight...Ciao.

RosyIsBlessed:
😍😍😍

Weldon to all those voting Baye.

Thank God all those hating and spreading malicious things about her are gone. They can watch her from their houses.

Yes o!!!!
See how God removed that snake away from her!

See jubilation that whitemoney is out !!!

Munzy14:
It can happen anytime, anywhere and anyday na..

When the show started, Mercy really sidelined her...Na because Mercy plan no work..na why things turn around.

She wanted Adekunle to be Pardoned, and Mercy wanted Angel or so...Na there, their issue started.

In the long run, na still power tussle associated with females sha..

Mercy did not sideline her abeg. She's the one that sidelined Mercy the moment she found man.

And no. They decided to go with Doyin that week for the pardon me because Doyin and Mercy were both the last 2 on the HOH game and Doyin went to work to try to convince them to save her because of that. Some people even believed she left the win for Mercy

Chinachriss:
Nevermind, Angel and Venita are leaving this week.

Either of them could win HOH tomorrow though.....

Threebear:
Aunty rest...
It's not wide .
Ilebaye didn't even top .
Adekunle is winning

Hope you're happy?
Oya Waka dey go

Where did you get your info from ?

Show us your map /graph

Imagine the uproar if WhiteMoney said "fear who
believe Yoruba man".

Adekunle just showed us he is probably one of the tribal warlords we have hear on nairaland.

Who knows his moniker.

Debbieeeeeee:
I want her to win, let her use the money to be a babe like the other ladies. Let her too wear van cleef, Cartier bracelets and fendi earrings, buy a nice house and car. We can’t keep round tripping and giving same people who already have.

God bless you my dear!!!
Those OGs wore rags when they were her age but they’re now glowing and wearing designer wears and accessories!
Let Baye win and become an OG too!!!
No be only dem go shine!
Haba!

omotolly22:
The top contenders, Pere, adekunle ilebaye mercy and ceec, should try and win head of house and black envelope tomorrow

So that people like angel ,Soma and venita,can be up for possible eviction

If soma or venita win head of house or black envelope

That means two out of the top contenders would go home next week Sunday

Venita must sha go home next week. Most likely the finale will be top 6 or 7 so the top 4 still have a very good chance even if one of the weaker HMs joins Cross.

Lauryn41:
I’m so pissed that mercy had this conversation with Venita

Once mercy comes out of the house , I pray she cuts off anything that has to do with that bitter vindictive thing

She should also cut angel off as well , another witch in disguise

Mercy has a forgiving heart. I'm sure she has let it go already. See them chatting normally.

Amya:
Mercy did not sideline her abeg. She's the one that sidelined Mercy the moment she found man.

And no. They decided to go with Doyin that week for the pardon me because Doyin and Mercy were both the last 2 on the HOH game and Doyin went to work to try to convince them to save her because of that. Some people even believed she left the win for Mercy

God of Adekunle fought for him through V.