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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (8292) - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralInvestmentNigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts (15663137 Views)

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo:
Tpharell:
Let’s understand that the Agip acquisition does not bring in additional production figures, as Oando was already there in the asset before the acquisition and taking over the operatorship.

Oando, Agip & NNPCL were in the JV and reported production was for the asset comprising all 3 of them. So Oando taking up Agip’s 20% stake does not add anything to the JV production.

What is happening is that Oando the new operator is making strategic decisions and operational interventions to boost the production
This is not entirely correct.
In a JV arrangement, each partner's ''production'' refers to its share of the total crude oil produced by the JV. Oando and ENI used to have 20% each while NNPC still maintains 60%
Hence, as far as Oando is concerned, the additional 20% acquired via the ENI deal effectively translates to a 100% increase in its ''production'' in the JV.
For example, if Oando was previously entitled to 20,000 barrels from 100,000 barrels, it is now entitled to 40,000 barrels; so its ''production'' now ''increases'' from 20,000 to 40,000 barrels.
In the absence of any other factors to the contrary, this could ordinarily translate into a potential 100% increase in revenue from the JV.
Again, it should be noted that Oando acquired other assets from ENI that were not under the JV arrangement, which could also translate to more revenue or production, in addition to what comes from the 40% in the JV..
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chillykelly86(m): 9:45am On Oct 17, 2024
unite4real:
EPS of N3.55 was annualized and based on 6B units of outstanding shares.

If we factor in the 18B units after the dilution, EPS for 9 months will be 88k and after annualizing this, it will be N1.17

Final dividend should not exceed N1.

Maybe less than 80k.

That is if they extremely generous with the payout ratio

But it's the beginning of big things to happen for UCAP
Don't forget an interim dividend of 90k, I think, has been paid on 6b shares. That's effectively a 30k discount from the diluted EPS based on 18b shares. So, if we're looking at a final EPS of 117k, final dividend cannot be more than 87k, except they want to dip into retained earnings.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 9:49am On Oct 17, 2024
chillykelly86:
You know Access has more gross earnings than Zenith and GTBank, right? All these una analysis just dey make am obvious wetin una dey do.

I think it's just better for me to stay away from responding to these Oando posts.
I did not say Oando is more profitable than Seplat or any company.
Profitability can only be established after considering other factors like costs efficiency, economies of scale, overheads etc.
The share price valuation will also be affected by the earnings and dividends per share etc.
Seplat has about 588million shares and Oando 12billion shares. Hence, Seplat shares can easily command higher value than Oando even if Oando is making much higher revenue, all things being equal.

Do not read extraneous factors into what I typed!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Zagee: 9:50am On Oct 17, 2024
KarlTom:
I do hope he lists it o.
https://punchng.com/how-i-got-permit-for-2bn-nigerias-biggest-power-plant-davidos-father/

TOP 4 Economies in Africa and their effective power generating capacities:

1. South Africa ~40,000 Megawatts
2. Egypt ~ 40,000 Megawatts
3. Algeria ~ 50,000 Megawatts
4. Nigeria ~ 7,000 Megawatts. shocked

PS: installed Generating capacity is upwards of 13,000 Megawatts .

The Power Infrastructure needs to be greatly invested in and existing infrastructure improved on...
The UAE run on 100K MW installed system capacity with 50k operational and idle capacity each(if my memory serves me right)

The infrastructure funds are for capital preservation NIDF and AVAIF.
Transcorp Power and Co are idle wealth. Long term!!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 9:53am On Oct 17, 2024
At 1.2 billion barrels in reserve, even if Oando achieves and maintains 100,000 barrels per day production, it will take roughly 33 years to exhaust it. In my opinion, it is cheap at the current price despite the latest $950 million loan (by the way, the cost of the new acquisition is $783 million; what did Oando do with the remaining $167 million?).

I read the latest publication of "Frankly Speaking" by Dele Sobowale in Vanguard, which claimed that a refinery is a bad investment for Dangote because crude oil is a dying business. That is very wrong. Even if the West manages to reduce dependence on refined fuel, they still need plastics, machine oils, and other byproducts of refineries. I also think that refined petrol and diesel are keeping plastics and other byproducts cheaper; once petrol is of no use, plastic and other products will become more expensive as they will be the main reason for the business.

On a side note, Africa will take much longer to adopt this new technology. I see Mack trucks and cars that are more than 20 years old; in fact, these make up more than 60% of vehicles on the road today. In conclusion, oil and gas refining will still be big business 30 years from now.

grin shocked shocked shocked
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 9:58am On Oct 17, 2024
grin
KarlTom:
OandO

Let's wait for Q3 results.

I believe ALL these figures will be clearly stated... smiley
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by dapix: 10:00am On Oct 17, 2024
Ding grin shocked!!!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 10:00am On Oct 17, 2024
Ding
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Zagee: 10:03am On Oct 17, 2024
ositadima1:
I read the latest publication of "Frankly Speaking" by Dele Sobowale in Vanguard, which claimed that a refinery is a bad investment for Dangote because crude oil is a dying business.
.......

In conclusion, oil and gas refining will still be big business 30 years from now.

grin shocked shocked shocked
Big Market for Africa and the Carribeans.
grin

That dude sounds like a "Western-apologist"
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 10:04am On Oct 17, 2024
BullBearMkt:
INVESTORS ABANDONING OKOMU RED OIL FOR OIL AND GAS STOCKS
Sellers are dumping OKOMU red oil stocks to capitalise on the ongoing rally in oil and gas stocks, thereby creating a potential buying opportunity for OKOMUOIL. The price is now nearing the demand zone, with a subtle support level ₦320 (circa).

PLAN YOUR TRADES AND TRADE YOUR PLANS
grin grin grin grin grin
We are watching with side eye grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by OakPearl(m): 10:13am On Oct 17, 2024
emmaodet:
Please, which broker did you use to get their shares?
I use Atlass Portfolios and Morgan Capital.
It’s listed on the Equities Board of the NGX so it’s available for all licensed brokers to trade.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 10:35am On Oct 17, 2024
grin
nosa2:
We are watching with side eye grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 10:38am On Oct 17, 2024
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Panadee: 10:46am On Oct 17, 2024
ositadima1:
At 1.2 billion barrels in reserve, even if Oando achieves and maintains 100,000 barrels per day production, it will take roughly 33 years to exhaust it. In my opinion, it is cheap at the current price despite the latest $950 million loan (by the way, the cost of the new acquisition is $783 million; what did Oando do with the remaining $167 million?).

I read the latest publication of "Frankly Speaking" by Dele Sobowale in Vanguard, which claimed that a refinery is a bad investment for Dangote because crude oil is a dying business. That is very wrong. Even if the West manages to reduce dependence on refined fuel, they still need plastics, machine oils, and other byproducts of refineries. I also think that refined petrol and diesel are keeping plastics and other byproducts cheaper; once petrol is of no use, plastic and other products will become more expensive as they will be the main reason for the business.

On a side note, Africa will take much longer to adopt this new technology. I see Mack trucks and cars that are more than 20 years old; in fact, these make up more than 60% of vehicles on the road today. In conclusion, oil and gas refining will still be big business 30 years from now.

grin shocked shocked shocked
Your point is valid. O&G wilI remain big business here especially because of its byproducts.
By the way, I think you meant 'Sobowale on Business', the Monday column. 'Frankly Speaking' appears on Sundays.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by sterlingD(m): 10:54am On Oct 17, 2024
Aradel @ N649.8 huh
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 10:54am On Oct 17, 2024
ZENITH
Struggling but finding it difficult to close gap with GTCO..... smiley

Meanwhile, today 17th is the last qualification date for FIDELITY's interim dividend of 0.85k...
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 11:03am On Oct 17, 2024
Nobody is buying 100k to move the price. Wonder why

sterlingD:
Aradel @ N649.8 huh
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 11:12am On Oct 17, 2024
Abeg no remind me again angry

sterlingD:
Aradel @ N649.8 huh
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Blaqq2: 11:35am On Oct 17, 2024
should i buy NIDF now or wait a little more?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by designking: 11:38am On Oct 17, 2024
sterlingD:
Aradel @ N649.8 huh
It will hit ₦500 by next week.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by lexy2lexy: 11:40am On Oct 17, 2024
Any thoughts on why Zenith is lagging?

yMcy56:
ZENITH
Struggling but finding it difficult to close gap with GTCO..... smiley

Meanwhile, today 17th is the last qualification date for FIDELITY's interim dividend of 0.85k...
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Blaqq2: 11:44am On Oct 17, 2024
so whats the outcome of the UBA meeting?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ProphetUtuocha: 11:48am On Oct 17, 2024
grin grin
ProphetUtuocha:
Soon folks will realize that which they were excited about is not the anointed one even as the real deal stares them in the face.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ProphetUtuocha: 11:49am On Oct 17, 2024
grin grin
designking:
It will hit ₦500 by next week.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 11:54am On Oct 17, 2024
Blaqq2:
should i buy NIDF now or wait a little more?
If you're for long term, you can buy...
You may not see around 110 or below for now....
Qualification is tomorrow or Monday (conflicting dates)
After qualification date, those who need funds usually come to sell in bits, you can be increasing your stakes small small by then.

The day that stock will move is coming too.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 11:56am On Oct 17, 2024
lexy2lexy:
Any thoughts on why Zenith is lagging?
Nothing that I can think of really....
That's just the market for us. smiley
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Blaqq2: 12:01pm On Oct 17, 2024
in for long term and also interested in the dividend

yMcy56:
If you're for long term, you can buy...
You can't see around 110 or below for now....
Qualification is tomorrow or Monday (conflicting dates)
After qualification date, those who need funds usually come to sell in bits, you can be increasing your stakes small small by then.

The day that stock will move is coming too.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 12:10pm On Oct 17, 2024
Blaqq2:
in for long term and also interested in the dividend
Ok.
Try and be carrying out periodic checks of her performance and be following up on news/financial reports regarding it, and in fact, regarding all the stocks you own.

It's not all stocks that should be for trading, especially since you're for long term.
Some good ones are supposed to be kept for long while you keep averaging them down or up as opportunities presents itself (depending on your portfolio size anyway).
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Blaqq2: 12:17pm On Oct 17, 2024
Ok, thanks
yMcy56:
Ok.
Try and be carrying out periodic checks of her performance and be following up on news/financial reports regarding it, and in fact, regarding all the stocks you own.

It's not all stocks that should be for trading, especially since you're for long term.
Some good ones are supposed to be kept for long while you keep averaging them down or up as opportunities presents itself (depending on your portfolio size anyway).
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Blaqq2: 12:20pm On Oct 17, 2024
what site do you use to monitor stocks Live
cant find one i like and capital morgans isnt that impressive
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 12:22pm On Oct 17, 2024
GTCO has more FPI push
lexy2lexy:
Any thoughts on why Zenith is lagging?
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