₦airaland Forum

Ades1:
Not requiring monthlies makes a difference. What if you could afford to pay the monthlies from your regular income? How would you approach this?

FYI, the total interest on this loan is ₦500,000 as long as it is paid within 12 months

BabsO2:
You have already done a lot of analysis on OANDO. Well done. Hearing the pros & cons and follow up arguments (discuss & not slurs) enriches our take. Take a break from OANDO and analyze other stocks like DANGOTE SUGAR. NSEMPA will be delighted to see your FA in DS that just fell into negative equity. How will DS come out, what are they doing? e.g. taking ownership of sugarcane farms. Or is it a capital injection that will wipe out current shareholder is the only way out for DS?.

BabsO2:
NAHCO Q3 earnings may be due to summer holidays. There is usually more international travel in that period. So the earnings may not repeat in Q4

BabsO2:
You said top insiders sold (dumped) their shares. Now you are saying they increased their shares by converting loans to shares. Your two statements are conflicting.

Taking pictures of the shareholding at end year 2023 vs 2022
1. The top three shareholders holding 9,100,189,287 (73.21%) maintained their positions. That is not selling or buying more.
2. Shareholders owning between 50,000,001 and 100,000,000 shares increase from from 3 shareholders to 4 shareholders. With average shareholdings in this category reducing from 79.9 million to 73.7 million. But with overalll holdings in this category increasing from 1.93% to 2.38%

There were more reductions of shares at the lower end of shareholding perhaps due to fear. Those that had little had some of their little taken away by those that had more. Nearly a story at the MEGA end where 76 less MEGA shareholders shed some shares to 4 more MEGA shareholders.

Agbalowomeri:
For those of us that like to follow the money, there is a TA indicator pointer even when it is not in the news.
UNUSUAL volume on the monthly! This usually signals the entry of a high net worth individual or an institutional investor.
It is a powerful tool when added to PATIENCE

Let me demonstrate it in OANDO and TRANSCORP (several other examples of parabolic price movements abound) and also use it to postulate on ELLAHLAKES. Are we going to see a parabolic price movement in ELLAHLAKES sometime in 1-2 years?

Disclosures:
1. This is purely an observation and a recommendation for GAMBLERS only of which I am not one

2. I do not own shares in ELLAHLAKES

BabsO2:
NAHCO Q3 earnings may be due to summer holidays. There is usually more international travel in that period. So the earnings may not repeat in Q4

MARKETJJC:
Market always go against your reservations cum judgement, at least this year. You stood for DANGOTE sugar, market went against you and won you ; you stood for ARADEL, market went against you and won you you stood against Oando, market went against you and won you and a whole lot of others. Is it monkey hunting or your magic is losing its efficacy

My chair reconsult your medicine man cuz the potency of your magic is fading with the fading generation

Agbalowomeri:
For those of us that like to follow the money, there is a TA indicator pointer even when it is not in the news.
UNUSUAL volume on the monthly! This usually signals the entry of a high net worth individual or an institutional investor.
It is a powerful tool when added to PATIENCE

Let me demonstrate it in OANDO and TRANSCORP (several other examples of parabolic price movements abound) and also use it to postulate on ELLAHLAKES. Are we going to see a parabolic price movement in ELLAHLAKES sometime in 1-2 years?

Disclosures:
1. This is purely an observation and a recommendation for GAMBLERS only of which I am not one

2. I do not own shares in ELLAHLAKES

emmanuelewumi:
I sell stocks when the financial health start to deteriorate. Reason why I sold all my Oando shares in 2014.I have sold down Dangote Sugar but I still have minimal units left

What I have left is 50,000 units that will be sold next week to buy more of Zenith bank and GTB

megawealth01:
Please do not ask anyone with over 70,000 followers for money. His inbox is full with such requests. I have a lot of followers so imagine the headache.

80% of the thousands of messages in my inbox are financial requests. Only 10% want to do business with me. Another 10% that wants to do business with me, half of them do not want to bring anything to the table. If I grant everyone’s request, I will di£ in 48 hours.

The sad part is that nobody ever inboxes to ask “THE GOODLAND, how are you doing today? How’s your mental health? Are you okay? Have you paid salaries this month? Did you have enough to pay yourself? How are your aged parents in the village?”

Nobody asks those questions.

Before you come on social media to ask Influential people for money, please know that they have read at least 1000 messages like yours in recent times and only one or two may be lucky to get a response from them.

We all have CHALLENGES…

You need money for rent…

I have needs running into millions - hundreds of millions of Naira. Do you still think your problems are more urgent than mine?

Please be kind. Stop this spam begging on social media.

BabsO2:
Please next time you sell shares like Dangotesugar after talking well of it please alert people that may have joined based on the good they heard about the company from you. Now many got trapped in DS thinking you are there, not knowing you had exited at good profit point. Sunripebble alerted he took profit in Aradel. Should it happen, please do alert us before taking some profits in Aradel or at least immediately after taking some profit and not months after. So that people can benefit and not assume you that marketed Aradel management is still fully with load of shares in the bus.

emmanuelewumi:
The deteriorating financial health is in the public domain.


Nobody is paid to analyze stock on Nairaland, this is a public space where people share their views and opinions.

We are all expected to carry out our due diligence and not do "follow follow".


OGG has a paid platform for stock picks and analyses, OGG is bound to give sell and buy signals to the subscribers on his platform.


By the way I still have Aradel and hopes to buy more as the price falls

Dave2011:
His point is that you didn't warn the supposedly newbies to stay off Dangsugar immediately you started selling. I see a double-standard here with these your endless posts on Oando.

Just take a break, you are respected here and shouldn't allow to folks to start having doubts on your credibility!

ositadima1:
Very true. I'd also like to add that if Ellahlakes continues its downtrend, it's likely to bounce back around 3. That's where the value is; more people have bought at that level than anywhere else since 2020, with investments totaling over 1.6 billion naira. That's where I would accumulate if I decided to enter, after doing proper due diligence.

emmanuelewumi:
Because they were not repackaging old stories that will attract more people into the stock unlike the other one that is always doing that.


Oandos deteriorated financial health is in the public domain, but they always hyped the stock

emmanuelewumi:
Because they were not repackaging old stories that will attract more people into the stock unlike the other one that is always doing that.

Oandos deteriorated financial health is in the public domain, but they always hyped the stock

Dave2011:
Dangsugar deteriorating health was in public domain, reason you started selling without alerting the newbies who might be trapped as a result of your recommendation.

You have made more than 40 posts on Oando in less than a week, it's becoming stale, irritating and childish if you ask me.

designking:
This is becoming a personal attack against Oando... Hope you don't have a personal grudge against this stock.

Anyway Oando of 3years ago is not same as 2024. Oando currently enjoys a lot of preference and also its recent acquisitions has placed it in a vantage point.

The books might not reflect the progress right now but the future seem very bright for at least till 2031 when its main sponsor (President Tinubu) leaves office.

For now let's enjoy the #1 performing stock on the NGX.

emmanuelewumi:
The call for Dangote Sugar was made at around N20.

I deliberately left 50k units because my average cost price was about N18.

You can always skip the posts, if they are irritating and childish. Especially when you were not mentioned.

If you have observed there are posts on this thread that mention me which which I don't bother to read, acknowledge nor reply.

This will be my last correspondence with you on the subject matter.

Thank you.

Have a great week

emmanuelewumi:
Haba little me, can't face the giant called Oando oooo.

Where will I get the strength for a personal attack

designking:
But you dey shake everywhere... It is you against Oando fans on this thread since the report came out.

Oando FC has the highest and most loyal shareholders on this thread. Oando made me more money than any stock I have ever traded on this thread.

I am hoping Aradel will do wonders hence I am hoping it drops to ₦200/share because I am certain it will do ₦1,000 before the close of Q2 next year.

BabsO2:
ARADEL started trading in 2013 at N350 on NASD. With the x20 share split, that means a share being sold on the NGX right now was bought at a price of N17.5 in 2013.

Current book value per share (BVPS) and EPS of ARADEL based on 2024Q3 are N312 and N25.5 respectively. If it continues at same pace as last 9m, at Full year 2024, EPS should be about N34 while book value may remain flat due to interim dividends pay out or rise further up if further naira devaluation takes place in Q4.

The company is surely minting money for shareholders with the way PAT's and resulting earnings per share has been growing. Perhaps TA may suggest a good entry point for those interested.

emmanuelewumi:
Don't fall in love with a stock jare especially if the stock price does not make sense,the financial health is in shambles or management is not sincere.

BabsO2:
ARADEL started trading in 2013 at N350 on NASD. With the x20 share split, that means a share being sold on the NGX right now was bought at a price of N17.5 in 2013.

Current book value per share (BVPS) and EPS of ARADEL based on 2024Q3 are N312 and N25.5 respectively. If it continues at same pace as last 9m, at Full year 2024, EPS should be about N34 while book value may remain flat due to interim dividends pay out or rise further up if further naira devaluation takes place in Q4.

The company is surely minting money for shareholders with the way PAT's and resulting earnings per share has been growing. Perhaps TA may suggest a good entry point for those interested.

BabsO2:
Should ARADEL get to N320, I may take a sit on the bus. But will it drop as low as N320? That's in the hand of the major seller that might have gotten it at lower prices than the listing price in 2013.

emmanuelewumi:
Haba little me, can't face the giant called Oando oooo.

Where will I get the strength for a personal attack