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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (8426) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 7:39pm On Nov 08, 2024
MD leading the line grin
Sunrisepebble:
A lot of directors dealings on Aradel released on NGX. What is cooking
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 7:47pm On Nov 08, 2024
There’s a palm oil company on NASD, Okitipupa which has moved from #9 to #20 over the last few weeks. 12k hectares. 9 months revenue of #2.2bn. One to look into

DYOR
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 7:52pm On Nov 08, 2024
Perhaps the SPDC deal is likely to be approved soon and they’re trading on that information.

This was in Bloomberg last week: https://abokifx.com/news/nigeria-sees-objections-to-shell-oil-asset-sale-resolved-soon-bloomberg?type=market


KarlTom:
MD leading the line grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Audacius: 8:02pm On Nov 08, 2024
Agbalowomeri:
I don't do so too but it is the fact.
The kind of stocks that you buy will definitely give you sleepless nights grin
This is a compliment to the great Loco!!! grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 8:21pm On Nov 08, 2024
Me4bas:
Someone in a group I belonged actually received dividend from Dangsugar today. He also asked if anyone received as well. That's why I'm asking too.
grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by sterlingD(m): 8:54pm On Nov 08, 2024
Sunrisepebble:
A lot of directors dealings on Aradel released on NGX. What is cooking
I noticed this trend happening with UCAP too for more than two weeks
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Omooloriredade: 12:14am On Nov 09, 2024
Sunrisepebble:
Perhaps the SPDC deal is likely to be approved soon and they’re trading on that information.

This was in Bloomberg last week: https://abokifx.com/news/nigeria-sees-objections-to-shell-oil-asset-sale-resolved-soon-bloomberg?type=market
Highly unlikely directors and their families would trade this kind of insider information. It's one of the market infractions that's clearly black and white. Insider's have a blackout period where trade is restricted. If approval was imminent AND KNOWN TO INSIDERS, I doubt directors and their families will be trading the stock. *Please take note of the bolded.

My theory is that Aradel was oversold based on fear that a major holder was going to flood the market. However, ACA only sold over two days according to the link you posted. Over those two days, a total of 43m shares (including ACA's) exchanged hands. 4m exchanged hands the third day possibly marking the end of their sale. The sell down to N360 was just retailers selling out of fear which explains the characteristic relatively low volumes accompaning those susbequent trading days (some as low as 400k units). Retailers could also have been crystallizing their paper profits carried over from NASD.

From day 1, I doubted the possibility of a major holder flooding the markets with 700m shares. It's just unheard of as far as I'm concerned. Usually, such high volume trade is carried out via crossed deals between a major seller and a willing buyer.

Management simply took advantage of the FUD to increase their holdings and possibly encouraged their families and associates to not let the opportunity slip by. Trading pattern in subsequent weeks will confirm if management and their associates made the right call or not.

Disclaimer - Personal opinion only. I could be wrong.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 4:15am On Nov 09, 2024
Very Logical Analysis (LA)... 👍🏾

Omooloriredade:
Highly unlikely directors and their families would trade this kind of insider information. It's one of the market infractions that's clearly black and white. Insider's have a blackout period where trade is restricted. If approval was imminent AND KNOWN TO INSIDERS, I doubt directors and their families will be trading the stock. *Please take note of the bolded.

My theory is that Aradel was oversold based on fear that a major holder was going to flood the market. However, ACA only sold over two days according to the link you posted. Over those two days, a total of 43m shares (including ACA's) exchanged hands. 4m exchanged hands the third day possibly marking the end of their sale. The sell down to N360 was just retailers selling out of fear which explains the characteristic relatively low volumes accompaning those susbequent trading days (some as low as 400k units). Retailers could also have been crystallizing their paper profits carried over from NASD.

From day 1, I doubted the possibility of a major holder flooding the markets with 700m shares. It's just unheard of as far as I'm concerned. Usually, such high volume trade is carried out via crossed deals between a major seller and a willing buyer.

Management simply took advantage of the FUD to increase their holdings and possibly encouraged their families and associates to not let the opportunity slip by. Trading pattern in subsequent weeks will confirm if management and their associates made the right call or not.

Disclaimer - Personal opinion only. I could be wrong.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 5:44am On Nov 09, 2024
Ades1:
grin This reminds me of when I told Pa Emma then that any company that does not pay a minimum 6% dividend this year is gone, he said most companies will not pay that 6%. I said if they don't, they'll get sold!

Boy! I am happy I stood my ground, the main companies that did not meet this small test were Sugar, Sterling, Maybaker, Lasaco and MTN, they all got sold. It's all numbers, no emotion.
6% dividend is small na, at least 30% of earnings should be paid as dividends
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 5:47am On Nov 09, 2024
Sunrisepebble:
There’s a palm oil company on NASD, Okitipupa which has moved from #9 to #20 over the last few weeks. 12k hectares. 9 months revenue of #2.2bn. One to look into

DYOR
What is the outstanding shares used to be on NGX and on the same league with Okomu and Presco. Ondo and Ekiti states used to be major shareholders, these politicians should sell and let business people and PE firms come on board then I will buy there shares
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 6:50am On Nov 09, 2024
497,712,690 according to NASD.

Im still doing my research, and I will do so this weekend but on face value this seems like a better bargain buy than Ellah which is not producing anything. They even pay Dividend

emmanuelewumi:
What is the outstanding shares used to be on NGX and on the same league with Okomu and Presco. Ondo and Ekiti states used to be major shareholders, these politicians should sell and let business people and PE firms come on board then I will buy there shares
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 7:50am On Nov 09, 2024
Omooloriredade:
Highly unlikely directors and their families would trade this kind of insider information. It's one of the market infractions that's clearly black and white. Insider's have a blackout period where trade is restricted. If approval was imminent AND KNOWN TO INSIDERS, I doubt directors and their families will be trading the stock. *Please take note of the bolded.

My theory is that Aradel was oversold based on fear that a major holder was going to flood the market. However, ACA only sold over two days according to the link you posted. Over those two days, a total of 43m shares (including ACA's) exchanged hands. 4m exchanged hands the third day possibly marking the end of their sale. The sell down to N360 was just retailers selling out of fear which explains the characteristic relatively low volumes accompaning those susbequent trading days (some as low as 400k units). Retailers could also have been crystallizing their paper profits carried over from NASD.

From day 1, I doubted the possibility of a major holder flooding the markets with 700m shares. It's just unheard of as far as I'm concerned. Usually, such high volume trade is carried out via crossed deals between a major seller and a willing buyer.

Management simply took advantage of the FUD to increase their holdings and possibly encouraged their families and associates to not let the opportunity slip by. Trading pattern in subsequent weeks will confirm if management and their associates made the right call or not.

Disclaimer - Personal opinion only. I could be wrong.
Baba it's a pull back. The sellers will be back
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 8:04am On Nov 09, 2024
Any Insurance analyst here please. I’ve heard there’s going to be a recapitalization in the sector, potential mergers and acquisitions. How does that affect the stocks in that sector
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ololufemi: 8:05am On Nov 09, 2024
Sunrisepebble:
497,712,690 according to NASD.

Im still doing my research, and I will do so this weekend but on face value this seems like a better bargain buy than Ellah which is not producing anything. They even pay Dividend
When I wanted to buy some on the NASD, I learnt that they have some insider squabbling going on there between the politicians and investors.

Anyway, I still went ahead to buy the shares sha under the view that no matter how bad it is, the same set of clueless politicians will not outlast the investors in any publicly listed business venture. 🙄
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Pennystockwarri(m): 8:37am On Nov 09, 2024
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 8:43am On Nov 09, 2024
I saw this article:
https://nairametrics.com/2024/04/22/okitipupa-oil-palm-plcs-rights-issue-shrouded-in-deception-and-legal-controversy/

Sunrisepebble:
497,712,690 according to NASD.

Im still doing my research, and I will do so this weekend but on face value this seems like a better bargain buy than Ellah which is not producing anything. They even pay Dividend
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 8:45am On Nov 09, 2024
Yeah.

Majority shareholding tussle...

ololufemi:
When I wanted to buy some on the NASD, I learnt that they have some insider squabbling going on there between the politicians and investors.

Anyway, I still went ahead to buy the shares sha under the view that no matter how bad it is, the same set of clueless politicians will not outlast the investors in any publicly listed business venture. 🙄
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 9:10am On Nov 09, 2024
emmanuelewumi:
6% dividend is small na, at least 30% of earnings should be paid as dividends
I think he meant dividend yield
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 9:15am On Nov 09, 2024
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 9:15am On Nov 09, 2024
KarlTom:
I'm trying to read between the lines...

What if DANGREFINE wants to make JAIZ their main bankers 🤔.
That would mean an International license and SP BOOM!

Let's be on the lookout for a capital raise by JAIZ. I believe DIL will increase their stake significantly...

At the bolded: 7.24% by H1
On the International banking licence, its unlikely at present.
Not when they haven't raised the Capital requirement for their Present National Banking(non-interest)licence category.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 9:18am On Nov 09, 2024
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Raider76: 10:32am On Nov 09, 2024
chimex38:
On the International banking licence, its unlikely at present.
Not when they haven't raised the Capital requirement for their Present National Banking(non-interest)licence category.
Thought there was recently some capital injection from a middle eastern source to meet that capital requirement.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 10:55am On Nov 09, 2024
Raider76:
Thought there was recently some capital injection from a middle eastern source to meet that capital requirement.
Yes. ur correct.
But still yet to meet requirement I suppose.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmaodet: 11:18am On Nov 09, 2024
[quote author=designking post=132786728][/quote]Nice analysis.

Where did you get this write-up bro
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 11:30am On Nov 09, 2024
Sunrisepebble:
There’s a palm oil company on NASD, Okitipupa which has moved from #9 to #20 over the last few weeks. 12k hectares. 9 months revenue of #2.2bn. One to look into

DYOR
Have they sorted out their many troubles yet?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by lionshare: 11:41am On Nov 09, 2024
Please! How else can I reach Morgan Capital? The phone lines aren’t connecting, and they aren’t responding to emails.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Raider76: 12:04pm On Nov 09, 2024
lionshare:
Please! How else can I reach Morgan Capital? The phone lines aren’t connecting, and they aren’t responding to emails.
If it is for withdrawal you can do it on the iTrade.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Youngzedd(m): 12:23pm On Nov 09, 2024
lionshare:
Please! How else can I reach Morgan Capital? The phone lines aren’t connecting, and they aren’t responding to emails.
This is weekend, reach out during weekdays.

They will respond to your email during working hour.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by lionshare: 12:37pm On Nov 09, 2024
Raider76:
If it is for withdrawal you can do it on the iTrade.
thanks! Yes, it was supposed to be concluded on their end yesterday, but it seems someone dropped the ball.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by lionshare: 12:39pm On Nov 09, 2024
Youngzedd:
This is weekend, reach out during weekdays.

They will respond to your email during working hour.
It’s urgent, and the number didn’t connect at all yesterday.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Raider76: 12:48pm On Nov 09, 2024
lionshare:
thanks! Yes, it was supposed to be concluded on their end yesterday, but it seems someone dropped the ball.
But I have used the withdrawal drop down menu several times. I got paid sameday, and didn't have to call anyone. You may be you have issues with your account. Perhaps the T+2
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Omooloriredade: 1:02pm On Nov 09, 2024
Agbalowomeri:
Baba it's a pull back. The sellers will be back
Possibly! Keenly following this one. What is your target SP? N50? *yinmu*

I wish I knew for sure what will happen in the next three weeks before their dividend qualification date.

I like to convert the NGX price to the NASD price, then assess the buying or selling pressure back then to give an indication of what to expect now. N200/N250 was N4000/N5000 on the NASD, was there supply back then?

Anyway, directors jumping in suggests there is value under N400 and could potentially set a floor for the SP. Except ACA decides to go against the norm.
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