₦airaland Forum

leparj:
Thank you Loco.

I wish you and all here the best too.

My personal decision shouldnt vex u.
I sense a subtle anger in yr response.

A good soup doesn't need much marketing.

Smart decisive investment decisions based on numbers and strong fundermentals and devoid of emotions and other primitive sentiments is all I wish everyone here.

Do have a happy fruitful 2025 ahead.

Among all the stocks I pointed in this 2024,it's only Japaul that doesn't have good fundamental and I have withdrew because of the announcement they made some weeks ago.

Prestige
Mansard
Chams
Which one has no fundamental or number?

I made money in Johnholt,Golden guinea,Tantalizer but I never pointed them here because they don't have good numbers or fundamental.

You can call me a MH but I can't lured you into any stock to be trapped or loose.Take note of this man.

About N13 billion worth of Aradel shares traded today, Aradel should be the most liquid stock on NGX

mikeapollo:
Thanks for the updates.
I have a feeling 2025 will be great for all the oil companies (Aradel, Seplat, Oando) as FGN will need them to produce more for higher revenue, plus the share redistribution from Oando shareholders'.

Wish everyone a happy and blessed 2025

I think TOTAL ENERGIES is positioned to outperform them

Agbalowomeri:
This one wey we see 9free for year end. I hope you did not sloter our bull

Not even Tolotolo oohhh.
Dangote Sugar and NASCON no allow me breathe well this December. I pray they both cooperate next year so that I fit slaughter the bull by Easter.
I greet you and all the big big Ogas coordinating things here. Compliments of the season.

Worst Bank Of The Year 2024 Goes To
🤔🤦🤷

This gamble is not for the faint of heart o. This "technology" company makes half its revenues from card production, and boasts a gross margin of 20-25% of sales. (For comparison, MTN, the telecom company, has ~80%; Presco, the agro company, enjoys ~70% GM.) Even the other major lines of business -- biometrics and "other" -- have similarly poor margins. When you start with such slim margins at the top line, you need lightening to strike twice, or a really disruptive new business line, to make a difference to the business operations.

Or shockingly low valuation to make a difference in the stock price (I did not check). So buyer really beware.

Locotrader:
I want you to know I have a 100% portfolio of one stock and that is CHAMS.

Chams has 4 active subsidiaries.
Chams Access
Chams switch
Chams mobile
Card centre Nig.

The current MD of Chams Group has repositioned the subsidiaries for good revenues.The Q3 result attested to these improvements.There is no doubt on Q4 2024.We will soon see a superb Q4 result. I am also projecting a #15+ at the end of 2025 because of the improvements I am seeing so far.More investments are coming to Chams in 2025 then the top and bottom lines will improved from quarter to quarter in 2025 and beyond.We May even see a profit after Tax of #3B at 2025 financial year end

unite4real:
I think TOTAL ENERGIES is positioned to outperform them

The upstream business of Total Energies I'd not listed on NGX. The TotalEnergies listed on NGX is the downstream and retail business

Streetinvestor2:
TA guys.Did chart capture what is happening in Sanu insurance. At what price did the accumulation happen. Make una post the chart so we can all see the volume at this steady gain.

Kind of... On 25-10-2024, it flagged on my screener. It first showed symptoms in the filter: a jump in volume with minimal price change. This stock, which typically traded at less than 2 million daily on average—and sometimes under 200k—suddenly did over 6 million naira that day, without much price movement. It was still trading below 2 naira.

I’m not claiming I see everything—most stocks don’t behave this way. In fact, many don’t. Also, sometimes the signal indicates a sell, as sellers might have better information.

Let me share my current list of volume anomalies. The screener uses a moving 10-day window of data. Check some of the older dates—some stocks have already gained in value since they were first spotted, and some showed the anomaly more than once. Look at today’s new arrivals and let’s see what happens with them.

One more thing: this is just a preliminary observation and requires further analysis before investing your hard-earned money. For example, even though I noticed SUNU Assurances, I didn’t bother analyzing it, so I didn’t bet on it.

KarlTom:
@Loco

The way this CHAMS dey do you so...
Please your health is paramount o.

Wish Loco will learn to have a little patience...
Check Living Trust that he talked about sometime ago...the way he is talking about Chams now!

emmanuelewumi:
About N13 billion worth of Aradel shares traded today, Aradel should be the most liquid stock on NGX

The billions club by date, totalenergies still show face. The banks own na normal normal.

HesInMe:
This gamble is not for the faint of heart o. This "technology" company makes half its revenues from card production, and boasts a gross margin of 20-25% of sales. (For comparison, MTN, the telecom company, has ~80%; Presco, the agro company, enjoys ~70% GM.) Even the other major lines of business -- biometrics and "other" -- have similarly poor margins. When you start with such slim margins at the top line, you need lightening to strike twice, or a really disruptive new business line, to make a difference to the business operations.

Or shockingly low valuation to make a difference in the stock price (I did not check). So buyer really beware.

It will be better if you tell us the year you are referring at about chams.

Chams as at 2024,the Access subsidiary contributed 54% of the groups income while the card centre contributed the least 11.5%

What of now the card centre is expected to contribute more than chams Access?

Oga I am only replying your comment.I am not defending anything.wgen it is time for defence,the latest results will do the work for us.

mikeapollo:
The upstream business of Total Energies I'd not listed on NGX. The TotalEnergies listed on NGX is the downstream and retail business

Really? Is Total downstream different company from the upstream?

KarlTom:
I'm impressed with the improvements in NGX especially the prompt issuance of RI.

Long may this last...

Yes Bros! Buying straight from them seems to be the best!!

HesInMe:
This gamble is not for the faint of heart o. This "technology" company makes half its revenues from card production, and boasts a gross margin of 20-25% of sales. (For comparison, MTN, the telecom company, has ~80%; Presco, the agro company, enjoys ~70% GM.) Even the other major lines of business -- biometrics and "other" -- have similarly poor margins. When you start with such slim margins at the top line, you need lightening to strike twice, or a really disruptive new business line, to make a difference to the business operations.

Or shockingly low valuation to make a difference in the stock price (I did not check). So buyer really beware.

Don't worry yourself he will run out after 10%😂

megawealth01:
Really? Is Total downstream different company from the upstream?

Just like conoil. Them no list the main meat, they only allow us buy into the bone with chinkili meat.
Totalenergies and conoil only listed the fuel stations not the oil wells

megawealth01:
Really? Is Total downstream different company from the upstream?

Oh, u think say if Na Total upstream ee for dey do 600 and sth..
Seplat for no see eeem back.
eee for be km 10,000 for NGx.
Dem for do share split tire and ee go still reach that ₦10,000 price again back-to-back-to -back

emmanuelewumi:
About N13 billion worth of Aradel shares traded today, Aradel should be the most liquid stock on NGX

Some companies market Cap .. Inside life

unite4real:
I think TOTAL ENERGIES is positioned to outperform them

Downstream outperforming 3 upstream?
Interesting...

chimex38:
Downstream outperforming 3 upstream?
Interesting...

I cannot recall mentioning that one downstream will outperform 3 uostreams.

I was talking about share price performance pls

Even if we are to look at their EPS and P/E ratio I think one on one, TOTAL will do better than any of them. I stand to be corrected

Locotrader:
It will be better if you tell us the year you are referring at about chams.

Chams as at 2024,the Access subsidiary contributed 54% of the groups income while the card centre contributed the least 11.5%

What of now the card centre is expected to contribute more than chams Access?

Oga I am only replying your comment.I am not defending anything.wgen it is time for defence,the latest results will do the work for us.

You get plenty time.The guy does not see anything good in many things. He doesn't even see anything good in nse or the economy going forward. So why waste your time.
I have stood my ground on cham since it was less .30kobo. It has very big growth potential. I once said it could be another ucap at a time.Ask that guy which stock he sees something good first.
For Agba na pdp..He is here for his belle alone.

unite4real:
I cannot recall mentioning that one downstream will outperform 3 uostreams.

I was talking about share price performance pls

Even if we are to look at their EPS, I think one on one, TOTAL is doing better than any of them. I stand to be corrected

OK. I understand.
Goes without saying that Total Marketing Ltd has proven to be a force to be reckoned with as well. Not entirely out of place.

Fingers crossed until sunset of 2025. God's willing

megawealth01:
Worst Bank Of The Year 2024 Goes To
🤔🤦🤷

Unity Bank.

ositadima1:
Kind of... On 25-10-2024, it flagged on my screener. It first showed symptoms in the filter: a jump in volume with minimal price change. This stock, which typically traded at less than 2 million daily on average—and sometimes under 200k—suddenly did over 6 million naira that day, without much price movement. It was still trading below 2 naira.

I’m not claiming I see everything—most stocks don’t behave this way. In fact, many don’t. Also, sometimes the signal indicates a sell, as sellers might have better information.

Let me share my current list of volume anomalies. The screener uses a moving 10-day window of data. Check some of the older dates—some stocks have already gained in value since they were first spotted, and some showed the anomaly more than once. Look at today’s new arrivals and let’s see what happens with them.

One more thing: this is just a preliminary observation and requires further analysis before investing your hard-earned money. For example, even though I noticed SUNU Assurances, I didn’t bother analyzing it, so I didn’t bet on it.

This was just confirm that it is MM doing his thing based on the units and amounts involved. If the aim is to push it high so that they will come to the market at high price to raise money. I wonder the mugu they are cooking the meal for in this present nse market.
I called out the chart to see the kind of units and money involved to really see if na manipulation or not.Thr MM are not really smart. Everyday you will not see something reasonable on bid/offer table. At the end of business you go see 10%gain continously.

jonnysessy:
Unity Bank.

How can you be looking for the dead among the living..lol

Please what % deviation above the 10-day volume moving average constitutes an anomaly?

ositadima1:
Kind of... On 25-10-2024, it flagged on my screener. It first showed symptoms in the filter: a jump in volume with minimal price change. This stock, which typically traded at less than 2 million daily on average—and sometimes under 200k—suddenly did over 6 million naira that day, without much price movement. It was still trading below 2 naira.

I’m not claiming I see everything—most stocks don’t behave this way. In fact, many don’t. Also, sometimes the signal indicates a sell, as sellers might have better information.

Let me share my current list of volume anomalies. The screener uses a moving 10-day window of data. Check some of the older dates—some stocks have already gained in value since they were first spotted, and some showed the anomaly more than once. Look at today’s new arrivals and let’s see what happens with them.

One more thing: this is just a preliminary observation and requires further analysis before investing your hard-earned money. For example, even though I noticed SUNU Assurances, I didn’t bother analyzing it, so I didn’t bet on it.

Locotrader:
It will be better if you tell us the year you are referring at about chams.

Chams as at 2024,the Access subsidiary contributed 54% of the groups income while the card centre contributed the least 11.5%

What of now the card centre is expected to contribute more than chams Access?

Oga I am only replying your comment.I am not defending anything.wgen it is time for defence,the latest results will do the work for us.

Of course. No need to defend anything: to each portfolio its owner's decision. I'm just curious as to what you're seeing to go all in.

See the most recent quarter ended September 2024, with comparison for prior year period. To Cham's credit, they report an unusual amount of product-level information:

https://cdn.prod.website-files.com/66bbce0ff4b07f84b55b8b5d/6760221d03945f74d33457c9_CHAMS%20HOLDCO-%20Q3%202024%20UNAUDITED%20FINANCIALS.pdf

Na wa bros. I post a fact-driven analysis of one company, and you attack me on a personal level?

Good luck with your investment. I'm not God; just a flawed investor like you. I hope it works out for you.

Streetinvestor2:
You get plenty time.The guy does not see anything good in many things. He doesn't even see anything good in nse or the economy going forward. So why waste your time.
I have stood my ground on cham since it was less .30kobo. It has very big growth potential. I once said it could be another ucap at a time.Ask that guy which stock he sees something good first.
For Agba na pdp..He is here for his belle alone.

jonnysessy:
Unity Bank.

Stocks that underperformed can turnaround bountifully.
It happened to Ikeja Hotels, FBN, Wapco, Oando etc
It may soon happen to IB Plc, HoneyWell, Unity Bank etc

Streetinvestor2:
This was just confirm that it is MM doing his thing based on the units and amounts involved. If the aim is to push it high so that they will come to the market at high price to raise money. I wonder the mugu they are cooking the meal for in this present nse market.
I called out the chart to see the kind of units and money involved to really see if na manipulation or not.Thr MM are not really smart. Everyday you will not see something reasonable on bid/offer table. At the end of business you go see 10%gain continously.

Maybe it is, maybe it isn’t market manipulation. All I can see is an increase in volume in cash terms. This stock has been highly illiquid, averaging well below 50 million naira monthly. But, November saw a spike to 143 million naira, and this December, it jumped to 337 million naira.

I don’t fully understand the MM argument for a few reasons. If you’re using 337 million or a fraction of it to pump the price, wouldn’t potential investors conduct some level of due diligence to assess its valuation? How confident can you be that the money spent on pumping will be recovered? Unless the goal is to carry out a rights issue at the prevailing price, it might not end well for the manipulators.

On the other hand, it’s possible that something is brewing in the books—something we haven’t seen yet plus low float.

HesInMe:
Na wa bros. I post a fact-driven analysis of one company, and you attack me on a personal level?

Good luck with your investment. I'm not God; just a flawed investor like you. I hope it works out for you.

I am not attacking u oh.So let have you good stock call based on your findings. I don't remember seeing any yet from your end

ositadima1:
Maybe it is, maybe it isn’t market manipulation. All I can see is an increase in volume in cash terms. This stock has been highly illiquid, averaging well below 50 million naira monthly. But, November saw a spike to 143 million naira, and this December, it jumped to 337 million naira.

I don’t fully understand the MM argument for a few reasons. If you’re using 337 million or a fraction of it to pump the price, wouldn’t potential investors conduct some level of due diligence to assess its valuation? How confident can you be that the money spent on pumping will be recovered? Unless the goal is to carry out a rights issue at the prevailing price, it might not end well for the manipulators.

On the other hand, it’s possible that something is brewing in the books—something we haven’t seen yet plus low float.

why I am fingerings MM is because the insurance guys will be coming to market soon for recapitalisation. And you need to pump your price up so that the dilution will not be like that of IB with 160B Os.If is what to come from thr 2024 performance then no wahala. Then based on what I saw in thr last results. The new SP doesn't add up

Raider76:
Please what % deviation above the 10-day volume moving average constitutes an anomaly?

What I mean by the 10-day moving window is that it tracks all anomalies occurring within the last 10 days, starting from the current day. Each new day drops the earliest day from the list, maintaining a rolling 10-day period.

Regarding the volume anomaly, I analyzed the volumes from the past 252 days (excluding the current day) and calculated the rolling mean and standard deviation. If the current day’s volume exceeds the mean plus 2 standard deviations, I consider it an anomaly (or what stats people call an outlier). Additionally, for it to qualify as an anomaly, the price change must remain within ±2%.