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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (8686) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 10:05pm On Jan 14, 2025
He was the one selling. Before the listing on NGX, he was in the top 3 shareholders. What he sold was peanuts compared to his total shareholding
emmanuelewumi:
Please confirm, someone said it was bought by Mr Fola Adeola.

That is a plus for Aradel
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:10pm On Jan 14, 2025
Apologies. Yes Mr Fola Adeola

It was a sale not an acquisition...
emmanuelewumi:
Please confirm, someone said it was bought by Mr Fola Adeola.

That is a plus for Aradel
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 10:13pm On Jan 14, 2025
emmanuelewumi:
It appears the corporate bond was oversubscribed
What is the implication of this?

Will they absorb it 100% and hence pay off for the entire acquisition?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:13pm On Jan 14, 2025
Oh...

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 10:16pm On Jan 14, 2025
unite4real:
What is the implication of this
Vote of confidence by institutional investors
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by essentialone1: 10:18pm On Jan 14, 2025
Toluway:
If it crosses 17.25 comfortably
Fidson has for long been stuck at a Resistance level. If it breaks through, then it may rally to around N24 or N25
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by bastardson: 10:21pm On Jan 14, 2025
Locotrader:
As it stands now,talking about chams will make me to loose my respect as certain elements here hijacked this chams especially now the seller is rubbishing the stock price anyhow.

What I know is I have bought value and ICT ,breweries and pharmaceutical sectors remain grossly undervalued.Insurance and banks have done 50-80% of what they have for the market but ICT ,brew, pharmaceutical has not done 10%.Just watch those sectors and make your money any time from now in 2025.

I will never say any word here again until results begins to come in and until chams Q4 2024 result surfaces.

Currentprice only appear once in a while to highlight on his pointed stocks.Even though his stocks takes time to mature.There are many stocks to make money before his stocks gets ripe for rally.

Loco stock is a N15 naira stock in 2025.You can criticize but you can't deny my value.

Don't worry about me because I am going on guest mode for now.I am very much okay.

I hand over to my critics.Take control.
Naaaah I like u though. Everything I am buying right now is long term.

I don’t even need immediate gains.

I believe u die. I budgeted 5m when I became active here in August last year. 500k units of CHAMS, 1M unit of Ellah Lakes. I have Afolabi of ARADEL, thinking of switching my stake in Access to International Breweries.

Learn NB can do 100% but IB can do 300%
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Meerahbel: 10:28pm On Jan 14, 2025
shocked
emmanuelewumi:
N800 for Presco

N80 for Nahco
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 10:42pm On Jan 14, 2025
bastardson:
Naaaah I like u though. Everything I am buying right now is long term.

I don’t even need immediate gains.

I believe u die. I budgeted 5m when I became active here in August last year. 500k units of CHAMS, 1M unit of Ellah Lakes. I have Afolabi of ARADEL, thinking of switching my stake in Access to International Breweries.

Learn NB can do 100% but IB can do 300%
IB with 168B units of outstanding shares is scary. How will traders allow it hit this ur target of 300% will be a Harvard case study.

The size of the OS is just too much
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ceelog(m): 11:07pm On Jan 14, 2025
Toluway:
Sunu rose and rose and rose since last year till January. It continued rising as if it would rise for ever, making over 200% and entered deep into over-bought region.
And you're now saying you don't know why it started falling?
With your little explanation, my guess might be right.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by currentprice: 11:12pm On Jan 14, 2025
Have not read from oga Agba for like two weeks now huh

hope all is well
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SpaceX:
Mode

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 1:54am On Jan 15, 2025
SpaceX:
Official update

I just received a call from one of the top executives broad of directors on nairaland to take up the job of a super senior moderator of this particular community.

It is my pleasure to humbly accept the responsible towards the future and I promise to sanitize and fulfill the purpose of this trend. I humbly request full cooperation of the whole community as a family to make the Job easy and understandable for everyone.

Over the past few weeks, I have noticed some unusual activities being carry out by few individuals which have beig very uncomfortable to most members around hence why I was brought in to sanitize and cleanse this once prosperous trend.

I can assure all of you that the final bus-stop have arrived and such nonsense will not be tolerated anymore. I understand the importance and dynamics of the place and I shall execute my duties 100 percent with dignity, honesty and wisdom.

In order to fully execute my duties, there shall henceforth be a monthly contribution to my internet connection so I can fully function to high capacity and deliver top-notch services. The monthly contribution has nothing to do with me but rather the beauty and purpose of these clamorous community. There shall be no other phone line except this one which happens to be MTN network (zero-eight-one-zero-six-zero-five-one-six-zero-four).

Please for full transparency airtime can also be sent, data plan/share can be done also, you can also sub on behalf of the phone number or share your data plan with the phone line. I love to be transparent in all my doings.

Welcome to a new beginning and Thanks to nairaland for giving me this wonderful opportunity. I sincerely appreciate.

The future looks bright......
🤣🤣🤣
You'd probably do great as a (stand up) comedian
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet:
zendi:
quote author=Locotrader post=133718403]

As it stands now,talking about chams will make me to loose my respect as certain elements here hijacked this chams especially now the seller is rubbishing the stock price anyhow.

What I know is I have bought value and ICT ,breweries and pharmaceutical sectors remain grossly undervalued.Insurance and banks have done 50-80% of what they have for the market but ICT ,brew, pharmaceutical has not done 10%.Just watch those sectors and make your money any time from now in 2025.

I will never say any word here again until results begins to come in and until chams Q4 2024 result surfaces.

Currentprice only appear once in a while to highlight on his pointed stocks.Even though his stocks takes time to mature.There are many stocks to make money before his stocks gets ripe for rally.

Loco stock is a N15 naira stock in 2025.You can criticize but you can't deny my value.

Don't worry about me because I am going on guest mode for now.I am very much okay.

I hand over to my critics.Take control.


Good decision. I may likely join you. The place is now full of noise. I will only browse through to get necessary value from few oga post.
Haha, this is hilarious.

May even be that two of you going ghost mode will be the cure for the noise. grin
Street urchin aka area boy numero uno, aka e-mma fighter going ghost mode is the best news I've heard today but na fabu (fable)... e no fit happen.. watch him comment in less than 3 days from now grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 2:06am On Jan 15, 2025
HesInMe:
LOL. Remember:

"CHAMS N15 PROJECTION BY LOCO IN 2025

Subsidiaries: 4
Group market cap: 9.8B

The true value of the company will show when you hear a corporate announcement of an institution acquiring a significant stake in any of chams Access,chams switch,chams mobile or card centre at over 20B naira.Wait for the announcement soon.Talk still in progress.

Chams new market cap will be 40 - 65B
New market price will be around 15+

Those who has ear should take note.'
I dey inside boat.. i heeded loco's call and grabbed some chams 1.93 - 1.97. I'm under no pressure at all right now... i dey sidon look
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by HesInMe: 3:23am On Jan 15, 2025
Good luck. When we look back, it'll either be one of the sagest investment bets you've ever made (because expectations are low) or one of the dumbest (expectations are appropriately low).

SonofElElyonRet:
I dey inside boat.. i heeded loco's call and grabbed some chams 1.93 - 1.97. I'm under no pressure at all right now... i dey sidon look
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by awesomeJ(m): 4:18am On Jan 15, 2025
chimex38:
GDP has been rebased again.
I say make I update you.
So you can understand NBS stats better grin grin

https://businessday.ng/big-read/article/explainer-what-gdp-cpi-rebasing-means-for-economy/
😁😁
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by NettyNelly(m): 5:03am On Jan 15, 2025
emmaodet:
Nice breakdown.
Do you have a software for the chart you created?
I did it with Microsoft Excel. Was once a Graphic Designer and a Data Analyst
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by NettyNelly(m): 5:10am On Jan 15, 2025
HesInMe:
See correct biz. Numbers don't lie. Instead people will be trying to "Cham" us into buying 20% gross margin trap. Presco's only problem is valuation. My secret hope is that they will allow us convert their debt into equity at a discount down the line.
Buy High Quality at a Fair Price
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by NettyNelly(m):
Sunrisepebble:
For Presco, they aim to pay for half of the acquisition this year. Will the profits from the Ghana plant start accruing to them or until the transaction is fully completed?
It's a $125M Deal, $65M initial Deposit.

40% of the GOPDC Revenue come from Rubber Exports (USD revenue).
The Asset Generated Operating Profit of $12.7M in 2023, $17M projected in 2024.

Even if the Operating profit remains stagnant at $17M (but it will always grow), the Asset will pay off itself in 10-12 years with no additional input from Presco, then they own it forever.

The Asset is being financed by a N150bn bond program with a c.24% coupon, if the Naira weakens, it gets paid off faster.

The deal is likely not a negotiated deal because the Majority Foreign Owners of Presco own the GOPDC Assets, they want to consolidate their ownership, so its almost a steal for Presco.

I may be wrong with my Analysis
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmaodet: 5:29am On Jan 15, 2025
NettyNelly:
I did it with Microsoft Excel. Was once a Graphic Designer and a Data Analyst
Ohhh, I see.
Nice one
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 6:08am On Jan 15, 2025
NettyNelly:
It's a $125M Deal, $65M initial Deposit.

40% of the GOPDC Revenue come from Rubber Exports (USD revenue).
The Asset Generated Operating Profit of $12.7M in 2023, $17M projected in 2024.

Even if the Operating profit remains stagnant at $17M (but earnings will always grow), the Asset will pay off itself in 10-12 years with no additional input from Presco, then they own it forever.

The Asset is being financed by a N150bn bond program with a c.24% coupon, if the Naira weakens, it gets paid off faster.

The deal is likely not a negotiated deal because the Majority Foreign Owners of Presco own the GOPDC Assets, they want to consolidate their ownership, so its almost a steal for Presco.

I may be wrong with my Analysis
This is the forecast for the business in Ghana

GHC1 is equivalent to N104

Revenue GHC 642 million ( N67 billion)
Gross profit GHC 325 million (N33.8 billion)
Operating profit GHC 246 million (N25. 6 billion)

Gross margin of 50.6%
Operating margin of 38%

It will be bought for a total of $125 million or N206 billion.
The purchase price is 8 times of the operating profit

Presco Nigeria
9 month performance 2024
Revenue N128 billion
Gross Profit N92 billion
Operating profit N75 billion

Based on this we can have a full year estimate for 2024

Revenue N128 billion
Gross profit N122 billion
Operating profit N100 billion

Gross margin 76%
Operating margin 62.5%

We can see that Presco is more efficient than the business in Ghana, yet it was valued at 8 times of the operating profit

If we also value Presco at 8 times of its operating profit, we should have a market capitalization of N800 billion or N800 per share

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m):
2025 forecast for the Oil Plantation in Ghana

Revenue GHC 752 million (N78 billion)
Gross profit GHC 377 million (N39 billion)
Operating profit GHC 376 million (N29 billion)


2025 forecast for Presco.
Revenue grew at a compounded annualized growth rate of 52% from 2019 to date, it actually grew by 88% between 2023 and 2024. For the purpose of this forecast I will use 40% revenue growth,.
Gross margin for 2024 was 76% but I will use 70%, Operating margin for 2024 was 62.5% but I will use 55%

Revenue N224 billion
Gross profit N157 billion
Operating profit N123 billion.

Combined 2025 Operating profit of Presco and that of the business in Ghana will be
N123 billion+N 29 billion = N152 billion which is a conservative estimate

Presco currently has a debt of N58 billion the corporate bond will increase it to N158 billion. The total debt will about the same value with the estimated operating profit for 2025

With this there is a very high probability that the corporate bond will be liquidated between 3 and 4 years
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real:
NettyNelly:
It's a $125M Deal, $65M initial Deposit.

.

The Asset is being financed by a N150bn bond program with a c.24% coupon, if the Naira weakens, it gets paid off faster.



I may be wrong with my Analysis
I don't think it gets paid faster if Naira weakens. Rather it's if Naira strengthens as long as the loan secured is to be paid from the Nigerian business to pay for the asset in Ghana.
If Naira weakens, then more of it is needed to exchange for dollars. The reverse is the case
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Youngzedd(m): 7:30am On Jan 15, 2025
unite4real:
I don't think I gets paid faster if Naira weakens. Rather it's if Naira strengthens
Exchange rate.

More naira when they convert USD to NGN
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 7:37am On Jan 15, 2025
HesInMe:
Good luck. When we look back, it'll either be one of the sagest investment bets you've ever made (because expectations are low) or one of the dumbest (expectations are appropriately low).
👍
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by crownprince2017: 8:00am On Jan 15, 2025
At mega, what is your take on Sugar now, I have been waiting for less than 30 since I have some cash but the thing no want gree come down, I believed our strategy look a like, we buy businesses that people are running from with the hope of cashing out big in the long run.

Sup with Bovali, mankind, mcy n agba, it's been long I heard from you guys, I hope all is well..ogg no they even show again. cool

Good morning everyone.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 8:25am On Jan 15, 2025
crownprince2017:
At mega, what is your take on Sugar now, I have been waiting for less than 30 since I have some cash but the thing no want gree come down, I believed our strategy look a like, we buy businesses that people are running from with the hope of cashing out big in the long run.

Sup with Bovali, mankind, mcy n agba, it's been long I heard from you guys, I hope all is well..ogg no they even show again. cool

Good morning everyone.
I will drop an answer because it's you. I no longer talk about my buys or sells here. What I just do is drop picks of stocks I already have for either long term or midterm. I usually don't have stocks for SHORT TERM as I did years back...

So back to your question, I buy Alhaji products every month provided it falls to my entry
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by pluto09(m): 8:30am On Jan 15, 2025
currentprice:
Have not read from oga Agba for like two weeks now huh

hope all is well
Agba might have hit jackpot with his insurance pick. 100% returns already achieved in some stocks in the sector.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 8:31am On Jan 15, 2025
currentprice:
Have not read from oga Agba for like two weeks now huh

hope all is well
Not everyone stands insults you know. I usually ignore because I already built myself for it.

Agba may not be active here but he is active somewhere else where he is highly respected and not unnecessarily insulted
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by crownprince2017: 9:09am On Jan 15, 2025
megawealth01:
I will drop an answer because it's you. I no longer talk about my buys or sells here. What I just do is drop picks of stocks I already have for either long term or midterm. I usually don't have stocks for SHORT TERM as I did years back...

So back to your question, I buy Alhaji products every month provided it falls to my entry
Thanks for your kind response. Please don't let few pour sand inside Garry of many.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by leparj(m): 9:14am On Jan 15, 2025
It appears you don't realize where you are here.
You are in the midst of many shrewd eagle eyed men and women.
Your chances of ever scamming anyone here is almost zero.
You can move on and try your luck in
another forum.


SpaceX:
Official update

I just received a call from one of the top executives broad of directors on nairaland to take up the job of a super senior moderator of this particular community.

It is my pleasure to humbly accept the responsible towards the future and I promise to sanitize and fulfill the purpose of this trend. I humbly request full cooperation of the whole community as a family to make the Job easy and understandable for everyone.

Over the past few weeks, I have noticed some unusual activities being carry out by few individuals which have beig very uncomfortable to most members around hence why I was brought in to sanitize and cleanse this once prosperous trend.

I can assure all of you that the final bus-stop have arrived and such nonsense will not be tolerated anymore. I understand the importance and dynamics of the place and I shall execute my duties 100 percent with dignity, honesty and wisdom.

In order to fully execute my duties, there shall henceforth be a monthly contribution to my internet connection so I can fully function to high capacity and deliver top-notch services. The monthly contribution has nothing to do with me but rather the beauty and purpose of these clamorous community. There shall be no other phone line except this one which happens to be MTN network (zero-eight-one-zero-six-zero-five-one-six-zero-four).

Please for full transparency airtime can also be sent, data plan/share can be done also, you can also sub on behalf of the phone number or share your data plan with the phone line. I love to be transparent in all my doings.

Welcome to a new beginning and Thanks to nairaland for giving me this wonderful opportunity. I sincerely appreciate.

The future looks bright......
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