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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (8709) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by HesInMe: 6:45am On Jan 24, 2025
I agree. But you're actually making the case for not investing in banks. You and I can go and buy the very same high-interest FGN and corporate bonds the banks are accumulating. Why pay executive salaries and office space for the privilege?

nosa2:
You're right that we are at peak interest rates but guess what? (I suspect) Banks are buying the FGN bonds at record pace. And when rates start to fall these bonds will go up in value and we will potentially have another windfall.

Heads banks win, tails banks win
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 7:12am On Jan 24, 2025
grin
X21:
Driven by intangible assets and receivable growth
Receivable grew by an amount bigger than turnover and is not explained in the notes

Intangible assets will eventually be written off
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ojeysky(m): 8:10am On Jan 24, 2025
Locotrader:
It's obvious.
In 2008,I bought some insurance companies like staco,GNI,Niger etc at #1 plus each and sold after making 100%.In my eyes almost all did 500%.

I am trying to be careful and to resist temptation this time so I can make it at once.something tells me Custodian,Nem and mansard will touch #20 and these kobo stocks will touch #2 or above.

Any insurance stock sold now will be repurchased higher in the coming days.

I never forgiven myself since I sold sunu and Consolidated Hallmark.

These 2 I have now,I will see to the end if there is no global crises or meltdown
And custodian touched 20. You are doing well Chairman.. You've been silent lately though, trust all is well
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 8:16am On Jan 24, 2025
Slowly but surely. That Guinness result has shown me where my focus should be now
megawealth01:
NIGERIA BREWERIES
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Jaakay: 8:23am On Jan 24, 2025
Even with their gagatum loss for the last 3 quarters?
Sunrisepebble:
Slowly but surely. That Guinness result has shown me where my focus should be now
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 8:32am On Jan 24, 2025
Sunrisepebble:
Slowly but surely. That Guinness result has shown me where my focus should be now
Let the wise take action before it becomes rush hour
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by pluto09(m): 8:37am On Jan 24, 2025
HesInMe:
I agree. But you're actually making the case for not investing in banks. You and I can go and buy the very same high-interest FGN and corporate bonds the banks are accumulating. Why pay executive salaries and office space for the privilege?
Looking at the valuation of banks pre and post dilution,the banking sector still represents arguably the cheapest on NSE.
Most of the tier 1 banks presently have a p/e of less than 2 and even with dilution of various degree p/e of some will still not be up to 2.
So, assuming earnings stay constant which is unlikely banking stocks will still be cheap even with dilution.
My own reservation is just that stocks in the sector have historically been known to trade at a low p/e which might impact the rise in their share price. Banks will have to pay more dividends from their bogus earnings for us to see a sustainable rally in that space, my opinion though.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 8:43am On Jan 24, 2025
⁴Nigerian authorities indict Sterling Bank for ‘$28.3m money laundering, fraud’

https://witnessngr.com/nigerian-authorities-indict-sterling-bank-for-28-3m-money-laundering-fraud/
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Ginalex(f): 8:45am On Jan 24, 2025
KarlTom:
Let me drop my 2cents on JAPAUL (for posterity sake) wink

1. Japaul Offshore seems to be the mainstream for now.
2. FY'24 Profit is ₦1.833bn.
3. There's a sustained loss of ₦18.54bn which was overshadowed by the increased share capital AND share premium. Recall that ₦20bn was injected by an investor last year...
4. Lastly, OS is about 14.26bn. EPS is about ₦0:12k

See also Notes 6 to 8

... ✌🏽
Spot on. Any small rally today before people digest this results, na to exit grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 8:56am On Jan 24, 2025
My exposure is not much to them at the moment. I bought the traded rights but I’ll keep buying at good entry. Foreign investors love them for a reason. The revenue continues to be strong. It’s FX issues that are the problem, and naira is stabilizing, and they’ve raised capital to try and address that. Let’s see the next two quarter results
Jaakay:
Even with their gagatum loss for the last 3 quarters?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmaodet: 9:18am On Jan 24, 2025
Sunrisepebble:
N5.42 EPS for a quarter wow. This is on my buy radar at good entry
Yes, it looks good because the major drawdown on their net profit is ''Loss on remeasurement of foreign currency balances including trade and other receivables, trade and other payables and cash and cash equivalents balances'' which cost 89.4b in FY24 with a net loss of 54.8b
Looking at the economy and expecting a stabilized exchange rate, i don't expect them to have such in their finance cost for the time being.
TTM NL = 49b, EPS = -#22.78 but with a strong Q2 eps of #5.42, i expect them to have a FY25 eps of atleast #10 which i EXPECT but not GUARANTEED to increase the price to #100/share around mid this year.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Raider76: 9:22am On Jan 24, 2025
I wish Mcy will throw in her analysis and recommendations before market opens.

Ginalex:
Spot on. Any small rally today before people digest this results, na to exit grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 9:25am On Jan 24, 2025
nosa2:
There is no way banks will raise more capital and not deploy it. Return on equity just shows the efficiency of the company in milking out profit from the capital they have.

Please don't forget that as rates fall bond prices go up. So bonds being bought today will be more valuable as rates come down in the future
The capital Nigerian banks are raising is primarily intended to meet the CBN's revised minimum capital requirements and serve as a "buffer" to enhance their financial stability. This capital is regulatory in nature, and investing or taking risks with it would defeat its purpose. Unless the banks raise funds in excess of the required amount, this equity will not generate returns—at least not the typical returns expected from investments. Very simple...
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 9:32am On Jan 24, 2025
You are spot on. I ran through the numbers on excel, forecasting around 100-110 again for the stock. Hopefully they pay out a good dividend also

emmaodet:
Yes, it looks good because the major drawdown on their net profit is ''Loss on remeasurement of foreign currency balances including trade and other receivables, trade and other payables and cash and cash equivalents balances'' which cost 89.4b in FY24 with a net loss of 54.8b
Looking at the economy and expecting a stabilized exchange rate, i don't expect them to have such in their finance cost for the time being.
TTM NL = 49b, EPS = -#22.78 but with a strong Q2 eps of #5.42, i expect them to have a FY25 eps of atleast #10 which i EXPECT but not GUARANTEED to increase the price to #100/share around mid this year.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmaodet: 9:34am On Jan 24, 2025
Sunrisepebble:
You are spot on. I ran through the numbers on excel, forecasting around 100-110 again for the stock. Hopefully they pay out a good dividend also
I have added them to my watch list too
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 9:34am On Jan 24, 2025
nosa2:
There is no way banks will raise more capital and not deploy it. Return on equity just shows the efficiency of the company in milking out profit from the capital they have.

Please don't forget that as rates fall bond prices go up. So bonds being bought today will be more valuable as rates come down in the future
Also, remember that the ones they purchased at low rates have lost value—those bought at yields between 8% to 15% or even lower. It’s a continuous game of rebalancing.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by essentialone1: 9:39am On Jan 24, 2025
The Death and Resurrection of STACO Insurance. 8th Wonder of the World.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo:
KarlTom:
This KON-13 Block had Serinus Energy as the preferred bidder for 55% in January 2024.
Today OandO Energy is the designated operator of 45%. The remaining 10% is "still available for award".

What happened between January 2024 and January 2025 huh

Stay tuned... smiley
Could this be the reason or explanation, as contained in the official release?

....''Block KON 13 is strategically located in the prolific Kwanza Onshore Basin which
represents significant exploration potential in both pre-salt and post-salt plays, with
estimated prospective resources of 770 to 1,100 million barrels of oil. The block has two
(2) exploration wells previously drilled to a target depth of 3,000m, with oil and gas
observed across various depths. With a 45% participating interest, OER will lead the
development of the block as operator, alongside Effimax (30%) and Sonangol (15%) as
co-venturers.
''
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 9:42am On Jan 24, 2025
Jaakay:
Even with their gagatum loss for the last 3 quarters?
grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 9:45am On Jan 24, 2025
SonofElElyonRet:
For those looking to US for real estate.. worth considering.
Read to the end.. Hello all. For those of us who are interested in acquiring real estate in USA but do not have the funds, Iyanu is here with a solution! I will give you property options to choose from as well as provide you with funding options for your purchase. Am i nice or whathuh!!!

Options available are already tenanted and dollar income yielding .. 20 units of tenanted and income yielding 3 bedroom townhomes in Valdosta Georgia..
Of particular importance is the fact that the CEO of the company that owns the townhomes is a learned colleague called to the Nigerian bar in 1992. He is also a lawyer in the US where he currently resides. He also has an estate of houses, flats and lands under development in Ajah lagos. A man of integrity. My company is one of their partners in the sale of their properties.
Now the great news! Come 11th January, few days from now, there'll be a webinar where the CEO of the company that owns the townhomes and a US based mortgage provider will be speaking on how Nigerians both in Nigeria and in the US can access funds to purchase homes in the USA, both for investment (rental income) and as personal homes.. You can't afford to miss it !!!
All those interested should send me a message so i can send you the registration link for the webinar. Webinar is absolutely free. No strings attached but i need to introduce you to the developers so they'll know you are from me. Without that they won't pay me my commission if you decide to buy. You don't have to pay me any commission. Owners will pay my fee. Feel free to get in touch by message/mail or Whatsapp or call. My numbers are on the e-flyer attached.
Eti to gbo alo, ye ko gbo abo.. only 6 units now available grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:00am On Jan 24, 2025
Ding!!! cool
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 10:00am On Jan 24, 2025
Raider76:
I wish Mcy will throw in her analysis and recommendations before market opens.
As i logged in, this is what I first saw on the latest page, lol.
JAPAULGOLD declared over +250% profit after tax..
One thing is inevitable, JAPAUL is set for a turn around...
I have my own valuation already, whether market respond immediately to the result or not. 😊
I've said it long before now that anyone considering medium to long term should pick JAPAULGOLD...
It may however surprise us in the short term, who knows.....except Mr. Market.

I particularly love the coy names/improvement sighted on the shareholders' structure too...
Moreover, a new Company Auditor is also likely coming in, some internal restructuring ongoing already...
We see how the company fairs in the short to long run.....😊
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by essentialone1: 10:08am On Jan 24, 2025
toyeoye:
Thank you so much for the encouragement and thoughtful suggestion! TikTok is definitely an interesting avenue to explore for broader engagement. I appreciate your support and will consider this idea seriously. Cheers boss! 🙌🏽👏💡
Hope everything is fine?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Health3: 10:09am On Jan 24, 2025
yMcy56:
As i logged in, this is what I first saw on the latest page, lol.
JAPAULGOLD declared over +250% profit after tax..
One thing is inevitable, JAPAUL is set for a turn around...
I have my own valuation already, whether market respond immediately to the result or not. 😊
I've said it long before now that anyone considering medium to long term should pick JAPAULGOLD...
It may however surprise us in the short term, who knows.....except Mr. Market.

I particularly love the coy names/improvement sighted on the shareholders' structure too...
Moreover, a new Company Auditor is also likely coming in, some internal restructuring ongoing already...
We see how the company fairs in the short to long run.....😊
You've said it all. Forget the nay sayers. Market don dey analyse the result as we speak.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56:
KarlTom:
Let me drop my 2cents on JAPAUL (for posterity sake) wink
1. Japaul Offshore seems to be the mainstream for now.
2. FY'24 Profit is ₦1.833bn.
3. There's a sustained loss of ₦18.54bn which was overshadowed by the increased share capital AND share premium. Recall that ₦20bn was injected by an investor last year...
4. Lastly, OS is about 14.26bn. EPS is about ₦0:12k

See also Notes 6 to 8

... ✌🏽
The question is: The so called sustained loss, what brought it about? Was it there in 2023 FYE?

The "sustained loss" to me was a working Capital due to the private placement done in August 2024, that was why it's reflecting in the 2024 FYE.
If you check thru the result, you'll see where this was identified as equity as well.

Anyway, everyone is free to give the result his/her interpretation based on their objectives or mindset, but to Mcy, it was a good result and an improved one for that matter.

The Onshore biz delivered so well this time around too.

**NB: Needs to see where the sustained loss came from**
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by sterlingD(m): 10:27am On Jan 24, 2025
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:32am On Jan 24, 2025
Not sure.

The block has been abandoned for some decades (since the onset of the civil war)...

mikeapollo:
Could this be the reason or explanation, as contained in the official release?

....''Block KON 13 is strategically located in the prolific Kwanza Onshore Basin which
represents significant exploration potential in both pre-salt and post-salt plays, with
estimated prospective resources of 770 to 1,100 million barrels of oil. The block has two
(2) exploration wells previously drilled to a target depth of 3,000m, with oil and gas
observed across various depths. With a 45% participating interest, OER will lead the
development of the block as operator, alongside Effimax (30%) and Sonangol (15%) as
co-venturers.
''
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:44am On Jan 24, 2025
If you check the results, you'll see that the 'sustained loss' was NOT a working capital because it was already captured at 1 January 2024 (so it was not a result of the placement of August 2024. Infact it was ₦19,003,112 in FY '23 and ₦20,372,312 in Q3 '24 reports

Anyway, I agree with the bolded... grin

yMcy56:
The question is: The so called sustained loss, what brought it about? Was it there in 2023 FYE?

The "sustained loss" to me was a working Capital due to the private placement done in August 2024, that was why it's reflecting in the 2024 FYE.
If you check thru the result, you'll see where this was identified as equity as well.

Anyway, everyone is free to give the result his/her interpretation based on their objectives or mindset, but to Mcy, it was a good result and an improved one for that matter.

The Onshore biz delivered so well this time around too.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by toyeoye(m): 11:01am On Jan 24, 2025
essentialone1:
Hope everything is fine?
⏳ I’m aware the website is showing yesterday’s data due to a real-time data glitch with NGX. They’ve assured me they’re on it, and I’ll have the updates live again as soon as possible. Thanks for your patience and understanding! 🙏
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Zegra: 11:06am On Jan 24, 2025
DANGSUGAR
This one just dey dance up and down grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Zegra: 11:09am On Jan 24, 2025
Life is good for folks that bought fidelity public offer at N9.75 per share smiley
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Princkez: 11:11am On Jan 24, 2025
Zegra:
Life is good for folks that bought fidelity public offer at N9.75 per share smiley
I'm telling you....so so surprise
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