Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century - Foreign Affairs (16) - Nairaland
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| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by RodgersAkpafu: 8:16pm On Nov 20, 2024 |
Gerrard59:So you agree that Tech transfer is a normal level and not a biggie That's good I wonder what our Africans who went to study in the 70s and 80s go there to do Them no follow "tiff" the tech as their mates were "tiffing"? I think we in Africa have that predominant culture of being laid back and just enjoying life, and not being inquisitive If we can change that we will do well |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by IbeOkehie: 11:26pm On Nov 20, 2024 |
I get it now.... ![]() Nigeria was a prosperous and developed country until Donald Trump called the country a shithole. Now that is hegemony at work. ![]() Chai, hopefully he will use nicer names in this term. Then watch for the economic booooooom!!! Una no go kill person for this Nairaland. Good Luck to Nigeria!!!
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| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by RodgersAkpafu: 11:28pm On Nov 20, 2024 |
Botragelad:Nigeria being a major power in 2050 is a long shot Not impossible But its a long shot. I agree with you though The USA somehow will remain dominant this century. They have the dynamism and audacity to do so But like u said, within the framework of having to deal with other regional powers |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by RodgersAkpafu: 12:25am On Nov 21, 2024 |
hodari:"degenerate, bankrupt west" This is so funny to read lmaoooo |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by IbeOkehie: 12:37am On Nov 21, 2024 |
Botragelad:If ever the USA loses the top spot as the world hegemon, the new power will certainly NOT be China. For well known reasons. Good Luck to Nigeria. |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by RodgersAkpafu: 12:39am On Nov 21, 2024 |
pansophist:"The thing with you western defenders" That line suggests that MAYBE you are as biased as the person you quoted You are leaning more anti west And the guy is leaning pro west Just saying I believe that objectively the Chinese do not have the capability or grit to fill America's shoes. The first part of being a global power is to be able to sell your culture globally, and your culture being appealing... I have said this multiple times Based on this alone, China is ALREADY handicapped. The Chinese Culture is unsellable, regardless of what some of you here think The Chinese have sunk billions of USD into that project, but the result has been failure The USA somehow , maybe using Hollywood or whatever have been able to sell their culture as the appealing one globally, and the world is hooked to it Look at what is going on even in Gulf countries Jlo was in Riyadh recently and it was a spectacle lol. Chinese cultural exchange na zero, and thats handicap one of many handicaps facing the Chinese Building up to the above, America has a multi decade strategy of poaching global talent across the world to the USA to further their interests. From the days of Operation Paperclip, that has been their style and they will continue to do it decades to come No empire develops to that height totally endogenously. Look back to any empire from the time of Egypt.... Until the Chinese find a way to Starr poaching global talent, their name na sorry Heck, China is even losing talent because contrary to what some of u may want to believe, many of the Chinese who left China to study ARE NOT GOING BACK TO CHINA I work with them, so I know the general sentiment. Freedom is a snare the west is using to draw them in and hook them, and freedom is alluring. That's why to a degree, western govts, esp Europe is trying to rein in the extreme right wing, because of they go full ballistic, the skilled workers will go and that will be undesirable. Who cares about democracy? This is a very interesting point and funny thing to say, don't even know how I'll respond to it lol |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by RodgersAkpafu: 12:50am On Nov 21, 2024 |
seguno2:one truth is that the US and the West propped China as a way to keep inflation rates low in their regions The rise of China as a trading partner and factory to the west coincided with the sharp and sustained decline in the inflationary pressures ib the west for 30 straight years. Western powers are very calculating, and will not "go down" without a fight, to the point of even "scattering everywhere China however played smart, learnt the ropes and rose from the factory designation the west stamped on its head. These policy makers know what they are doing. |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by RodgersAkpafu: 12:54am On Nov 21, 2024 |
TheAlphaHunter:The macroeconomy is actually struggling, that's true, but China has created a buffer that it can still use to achieve its aims, despite the ailing economy back home Britain and America does same as well |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by RodgersAkpafu: 12:57am On Nov 21, 2024 |
pansophist:now I can adjudge for sure that maybe you are not being objective The Chinese economy right now is in the worst shape it has been in 20 years Doesn't mean its not still a force, but right now the economy is ailing... Source: My Chinese colleagues |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by RodgersAkpafu: 1:40am On Nov 21, 2024 |
budaatum:I have to agree with this Though I forsee chaos down the road |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by seguno2: 8:19am On Nov 21, 2024 |
RodgersAkpafu:Please how are THEY stopping us from being similarly calculating, and WHY can’t we also play smart like the Chinese? What do the whites and the Chinese have that is lacking in how God created us equally with other races ![]() |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Gerrard59(m): 9:09am On Nov 21, 2024 |
RodgersAkpafu:Well, when many are being discriminated against simply because they are Chinese and haunted about in their workplaces, they would learn. That said, I have stated here that many Chinese students are looking elsewhere - Korea, Japan, Singapore, Malaysia to study rather than the West. Also, the West has made it clear that they don't want Chinese students, at least in STEM fields which the Chinese prefer. Washington has stated so such that the number of Chinese students in the US has declined to be below that of India. The Dutch have explicitly barred Chinese students from STEM fields, and so have the Swiss. See here: Gerrard59:So I wager that those who aren't interested in returning to China are Ndi lovey-dovey folks just as we've Nigerians who learnt basic biology in secondary schools in Nigeria, but chant woke words that gEnDeR and sEx are different concepts while supporting actual men to be in women's bathrooms. One cannot win always, but if one is to lose, it is better to lose such characters. China would not miss them. BTW, the entire bolded text in the embedded post reveals a lot because India is beginning to experience similar backslashes. Very soon we would be told that India is taking our jobs 🙄 |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by RodgersAkpafu: 9:41am On Nov 21, 2024*. Modified: 10:09am On Nov 21, 2024 |
Gerrard59:True, the UK also has ATAS that restricts who and who studies sensitive courses in the UK. Chinese ppl have been axed on account of this, so unless the UK is sure that u r not a CCP apologist/wanna be, no technical courses for you, and to a degree, I support the move. You cannot be training and giving one up to your competitor, while they are "not playing fair" Look at how the Chinese and indeed most of the far East treat Western multinationals, with the barriers and restrictions (we spoke about this before as well, the way South Korea treated Uber for Kakao in 2012/2013) That was reprehensible, and they have that habit. So why give you free rein here and you don't over there. You think say you wise abi? in one of my posts, I made mention of Western elite especially I'm Europe reining in the racist right wing so as not to set the chain reaction that may force highly skilled people to leave the west The UK is working seriously on this.... They are luring and using every under hand tactic in the book to keep as many as they can here We have spoken about it before The Global talent visa, FHEA and the likes They know what they are doing, centuries of experience in subversion will not go to waste... Dr Wang for example is one of them who I am very sure will not return, and I'll say, contrary to your assumption that they will "soon be harassed and kicked out of the country" ; they are really, at least from my observation, liking it here, for the ones wanting to stay. Freedom is priceless and I have come to appreciate it more after having discussions with them and hearing first hand experience of what it's like living in China. The Chinese Ambassador had to run to the schools. Ye did a tour across the schools to be promoting nationalism bla bla bla and the need to "remember home" (he was at my uni too earlier in the year) The Chinese have smelt rat lol. THE west will not give up without a firece fight It's a fight to finish for all of them The question then becomes where do we fit into this maze as Africans Seems a lot of Africans are really warming up, and having rose tinted glasses view of the Chinese Iol. Even the assumptions you are making about the type of Chinese who don't wanna go back to China is just very funny and laughable It does not help when you are a govt that "disappeared Jack Ma" If it happened to him, it can happen to anyone Let's see what the next couple of decades will present for the world. Looking at it objectively and dispassionately, China will try, but the west will still have the edge, and thats the truth , regardless of how we feel about "hegemony" or "imperialism" Speaking about the India backlash They don't receive as much backlash in the US compared to Canada and UK because unfortunately for the two latter countries, over the last 5 years, they have mass imported the dregs of the Indian society to their countries, so the model Minority myth of the Indians have now be spiked, hence the backlash, Especially in Canada Shytting in public beach, "ghettorising" areas, discrimination (imagine owning a house in Canada and saying put explicitly that you only rent to Indians, who does that ?) cutting corners, and trying to cheat at school (to which unis have been mass failing them, and they have been constituting nuisance on the streets via protests) Such images does not help the reputation of a country. Nigeria mass exported dregs too post End Sars, even more when Tinubu won. so they are doing their own, but not on the level of the Indians. At least fear still dey the Nigerians body because of deportation and all. My point is, when you have segments of your people messing up in an area, the stain goes around to everyone in that ethnic group So assuming the worst of Chinese immigrants who don't wanna go back to China doesn't cut it in my opinion. |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by RodgersAkpafu: 9:42am On Nov 21, 2024 |
seguno2:I have a few ideas |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by LordAdam16: 5:50pm On Nov 22, 2024 |
Gerrard59, what are your thoughts about the US indicting Gautam Adani? Saw the news on Bloomberg yesterday. Read a bit more about it today. It's impossible to shake off the geopolitical chemtrail of this legal action. I knew something was off when Hindenburg went after Adani last year. He recovered somewhat. Helped in no small part by the Gulf monarchy and the Indian establishment circling the wagon. But I guess that pissed off the State Department, so they want to make him radioactive. The gist of the charges is that the Adani Group (they've got dozens of companies under their large umbrella) paid bribes in India. That's standard third-world business dealing. That's a domestic issue. The DOJ roped itself into the matter by saying that Adani offered corporate bonds and financial instruments to US accredited investors. And as anyone knows, companies with any tether to the US cannot dole out bribes anywhere in the world. It is all underhanded. Now get this. During the probe, they got in contact with some Adani honchos. But those honchos attempted to erase evidence. Unfortunately for them, they used Microsoft PowerPoint (possibly the cloud version) and WhatsApp (typical communication tool in Indian and much of the world's business circles) to keep track of their spend. They attempted to delete these details. But since Microsoft and Meta are US companies, the DOJ demanded backups from them. Armed with this evidence, they are smacking "obstruction of justice" charges on four of the Adani honchos. Just imagine that. Every single business dealing conducted over a US tech company's systems can be obtained by the NSA and DOJ. F*ck privacy. Imagine paying the US to spy on you. Theoretically, they can indict any third-world conglomerate that so much as accepted investment (FDI/FPI) from a US source. You may not even be aware. Unless you explicitly screen out US investors via questionnaire and other tools. As is common in industries like betting, crypto... Worse, you cannot avoid US tech. I love the hypocrisy of how we're supposed to be scared of China, when your deleted Slack or WhatsApp conversation has been parsed by NSA bots. Just wild! -Lord |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Gerrard59(m): 1:06pm On Nov 23, 2024 |
LordAdam16 Thank you for explaining it thoroughly and making it easy to understand. Just as with the pager explosion affecting Hamas leaders, I am glad many outside of the West are beginning to see reasons why China has its own Internet. I don't know how well to phrase it, but the West accuses China of things that they (the West) are likely to do. It seems they are afraid that an external force will commit way worse than them. Also, note that this comes at a time when Canada has labelled India as the sponsor behind killings in Canada. China experienced a similar episode with Huawei as its CFO abi COO, the daughter of the founder, got arrested. Unlike China, India has been too in love with the West. I recall those trips by Modi (the friendliest Indian PM with the West) to Australia and the UK hobnobbing with the leaders and elite. However, since India has decided to be neutral with Russia and China, the West has not been happy. Even when the EU goes through the backdoor to buy refined Russian diesel from India. How the West intends to fight Russia, China and now India (Indonesia and Vietnam would be up next in a decade's time) at the same time remains to be seen. But I believe or want to believe that Indian elites' eyes have been open to the relations with the West, "be subservient or we deal with you". If they are smart, they have to begin the process of disentanglement because when it becomes worse, especially as the Indian economy grows (soon to surpass Japan), the moves would affect Indians more than the Chinese in terms of corporate jobs in the West, academia and citizenships. In a way, I think this would benefit our people. I don't see us being a challenger to the West in any way. We are so hooked on anything Western. The last one is so important as there are many Indians with Western passports, which they are gleefully proud to hold just as our people. This reared its head when the US barred American passport holders regardless of nationality or ethnicity from working with Chinese semiconductor companies. This affected ethnic Chinese with US passports. A similar move would significantly affect India more than China. On the other hand, I wonder if the Gulf States will come to India's rescue and how they (Gulf States) would manage relations with the West at the same time. An instance is a senior UAE official assuring the US of not going deep in artificial intelligence development with China and how NVIDIA chips are yet to be delivered to UAE centres for them (the UAE) to work with them simply because the Americans are afraid they will slip into China's hands. In all, day don dey break for everyone. The Chinese would be like "What did we tell you?" or "I told you na". ![]() |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by XshegzzyeeiX(m): 1:17pm On Dec 09, 2024 |
Great thread I must say |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Gerrard59(m): 3:58am On Jan 29, 2025 |
Looking back at this thread and the latest technological advances from China, I am glad my predictions have come to pass. Next up is the EUV machine - as I stated, e go become pure water. Expect to see one at Ladipo when it becomes public. Learn Chinese today. This is the Chinese Century. |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Suicideboy: 4:17am On Jan 29, 2025 |
Gerrard59:
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| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by LordAdam16: 11:44pm On Jan 31, 2025 |
Gerrard59:Heard this mind-blowing stat on Bloomberg and had to share it. 50% of undergraduate research in AI globally originates from China. 38% of AI researchers in the US are of Chinese ethnicity (37% are native Americans many of which are of course Asian). China is competing with itself. Credit to the US, the elite let Trump have the floor to begin rapidly overhauling America's economic ties with the rest of the world, allies inclusive. This is why I caution many. Sure, multipolarism is here to stay. But don't completely write off the Hegemony just yet. The speed and flexibility with which the US reoriented to become economically hawkish is laudable. Trump started the tariff dance. Biden kept it. Trump 2.0 is going for broke. Listen hard enough and you'd notice silence from the powerbase. Jamie Dimon was essentially saying the investor and capitalist class should get over the tariffs. That's a significant development. This is the Chinese Century. But boy am I excited about the competition that'll heat up to 11. I'm also now looking forward to the next crash of the US economy. A new cold war is well underway. Invest. Invest. Invest. US and China are prime destinations. But satellites like Vietnam. Brazil. Thailand. UAE. Israel. Norway. Singapore. will eat good in the coming decades. Just look at what transpired after DeepSeek's mic drop. Big Tech embraced it wholeheartedly. Zuck said on META's earnings call that he'll implement DeepSeek's innovations in the next Llama iteration. Microsoft and Amazon added R1 to their cloud services. The infrastructure buildout in China and US is insane. No one is talking about energy conservation in the US anymore. It's like a switch flipped. This is what the first cold war should have been like. A proper economic fisticuff. This duel will create unfathomable wealth and technological advancement for the species. And I'm here for it. -Lord |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Gerrard59(m): 4:19am On Feb 01, 2025 |
LordAdam16:Thank you Lord. I applaud the Chinese focus on economic development without resorting to tinkering with countries' political structures and cultures. There is a popular meme of Xi which is titled "Do Nothing and Win". That has been the focus of Chinese elites, and I am proud of them. As for Chinese scientists in the US (negligible in other parts of the West), many have been returning and with Trump's new tenure coupled with the hordes of China hawks he has appointed, many more will return. It was during his first tenure that he initiated the China's Act sort where Chinese researchers were scrutinised unjustly which saw many lose funding and a few even died ("committed suicides" we're told). Whether in terms of scientific publications and the people behind them, as you stated, it is China vs China. In manufacturing, no country can defeat China's poweress, no one whatsoever. I just cannot see it. Unlike Japan in its heydays, the Chinese are going everywhere whether in Nigeria, Brazil, Congo, Namibia, Malaysia, Dubai etc. The West has met its match! The Chinese Century, nay Asian Century is here, and unlike Japan, the US destroyed with the Plaza Accord, China isn't signing anything, has no US military base and possesses nuclear weapons. As for investment, Europe is done for. Severe demographic crises, far from emerging Asia, abut to a poorer Africa, a bloated public debt, over-regulation etc. I don't see how they can compete o. Aside from China, the next hubs are Southeast Asia and South Asia. If we and East Africa get our acts together, we follow suit. The aim is to promote economic/scientific development, do nothing else and win. Sincere kudos to the Chinese as a people and their elites. I am proud of them. Long Live the CCP! |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by LordAdam16: 8:23am On Feb 01, 2025 |
Gerrard59:China is overflowing with talent. Masters graduates are waiting tables or doing delivery runs. It'll take some time but Xi should absolutely double down on boosting domestic consumption. The Chinese population already have trillions stuck in a bank. Now they need to discard old habits. Most had tangential exposure to the times of lack in the 20th century. That'll change. But anyway to fast track it would be awesome for the Chinese economy. I hesitate to write off Europe because of what has transpired in the US. Granted, the US is more nimble than the EU. But just observe the speed at which they did an about face. No more DEI. ESG. Energy conservation. It's like the country just collectively said "we're done with that" and that's it. Europe hasn't had the wherewithal to do that yet, but you can see tiny flames sputtering in the rise of conservative movements in the Old Continent. I feel that if properly motivated, the upper class could just as easily change course. For now, they're been hamstrung by the Americans who prefer docility and the ride a bicycle, eat croissant, and vacation in Greece or Switzerland lifestyle is not exactly the worst way to live. But with Trump flipping the table on relations and their trusted US liberal allies playing along, who knows how long before the European elites go, okay "enough with the WLB BS", we're getting our a$$ kicked by the North Americans and the Asians, it's time to get to work. Europe is still incredibly feudal and classist. I think a sea change can be radically implemented in a jiffy. Now, if a change would lead to a successful upgrade where they're able to compete favorably is an open question. But the Old Continent still retain a few surprises. Yachts and cruise ships are still produced there. German tech is still excellent. Netherlands is still a world beater in agriculture. French luxury is still holding its own. Needless to say, if they stay on their current course, they're doomed. I'm rooting for them to have an altar call. They've been lounging for too long. Trump, Putin and Xi lighting a fire under their a$$ is a long term necessity for the species. It also guarantees that even if Africa doesn't get its sh*t together, our progenies will still have a long laundry list of destinations with healthy talent demand. The Americas, the Gulf, the Old Continent, SE and East Asia. The retards can continue with their mindless graft and Sharia campaign, e no pass for our progenies to continue the IJGB culture. All of this is of course possible because of the foresight and superior execution capability of the CCP. They've earned their stripes and deserve all the accolades they get, no cap! -Lord |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Gerrard59(m): 5:17pm On Feb 01, 2025 |
LordAdam16:I think this ideology stems from the "China needs to consume/buy goods and services", mostly from Western think tanks and so-called experts (most of whom don't speak Chinese in the first place). China consumes goods and services (one of the major buyers of luxury goods and tourists). I don't know about now, but before the sanctions and blockade by the US and its I hesitate to write off Europe because of what has transpired in the US.I wanted to reply to this earlier as I recall an article in the FT where it stated the Germans look forward to resuming gas inflows from Russia. I laughed sotey. Lovey dovey has never worked in any part of the world, especially during trying times. Europe hasn't had the wherewithal to do that yet, but you can see tiny flames sputtering in the rise of conservative movements in the Old Continent.Sorry, but they cannot work or better still out-do hungry and ready Vietnamese or Indians. Besides, where would the young people come from sef? That continent is laggard and almost gone. They still argue arrogantly that they have a higher quality of life even when their Gen-Zs have been left far behind their US counterparts. Who will pay the pensions and man the factories to compete head-on with emerging Asia? Also, as exemplified by China, every other nation outside the West wants to move up the technology ladder, the very thing the West fights China. So, when the likes of India, Vietnam and Malaysia can produce goods Europeans do at cheaper rates, what would they offer to the world aside from luxury goods and open fields in the name of tourism? Europe is still incredibly feudal and classist. I think a sea change can be radically implemented in a jiffy.German tech is morbidly expensive. Even cheaper Japanese tech is out-done across Southeast Asia to the extent the Mitsubishi CEO said "Chinese carmakers are doing too much" in the region. For less than half the price, the agriculture by the Dutch can be done by South Americans. The reason they dragged their feet in signing a trade deal with the major countries in the continent. I see dominance in pharmaceuticals - branded drugs which cure/treat specific diseases. The other aspect of the industry is fully dominated by Indians and the Chinese and this sector constitutes the majority of maladies in most parts of the world. And oh! Luxury and specific machinery goods as done by the Swiss, but if they keep insulting and trying to control a major buyer, expect a decline in sales. It also guarantees that even if Africa doesn't get its sh*t together, our progenies will still have a long laundry list of destinations with healthy talent demand. The Americas, the Gulf, the Old Continent, SE and East Asia. The retards can continue with their mindless graft and Sharia campaign, e no pass for our progenies to continue the IJGB culture.lol Well, as you stated, if the continent does not get its act together, other parts of the world will simply pick the best and brightest of our people. But in a world where there would be more black people, and/or an increase, than other races and in an inter-connected space, I wonder how relations would be. |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by LordAdam16: 6:39pm On Feb 01, 2025 |
Gerrard59:A number of economic principles are sacrosanct. Say, citizen A receives $100. Doesn't spend it. Saves it in a piggy bank. Economic activity generated is 0. Citizen B also receives $100. Spends it at Citizen C outlet. Citizen C spends the $100 at Citizen E department store. Citizen E spends the $100 at Citizen F restaurant. One $100 has generated $300 worth of economic activity. That's GDP. Whether it's transportation to the store, paying for data to look up restaurant reviews, payment processor receiving a commission for processing the payment, store suppliers; everyone gets a cut and the economy stays red hot. Lack of spending leads to deflation. Without consumerism, global GDP will be at least 30% smaller. China recognizes this and Xi has been insistent on boosting domestic consumption. China expanded consumer subsidies to include electronics this month. https://www.wsj.com/economy/china-expands-consumer-subsidies-to-electronics-to-spur-spending-5f39ea73 This partly explains the resilience of the US economy. The points you get for traveling when you spend with your card. BNPL. 0% financing. Black Friday and clearance sales/discount. Wives remodeling perfectly okay kitchen/bathroom/bedroom. Adding a patio, ADU, or whatever to your property. And just the share volume of products in the average American home. They create money from thin air then spend it to generate economic activity. China operates a surplus so it can use fractional banking and financial engineering to create more money and spend it to generate more economic activity. Sorry, but they cannot work or better still out-do hungry and ready Vietnamese or Indians. Besides, where would the young people come from sef? That continent is laggard and almost gone. They still argue arrogantly that they have a higher quality of life even when their Gen-Zs have been left far behind their US counterparts. Who will pay the pensions and man the factories to compete head-on with emerging Asia? Also, as exemplified by China, every other nation outside the West wants to move up the technology ladder, the very thing the West fights China. So, when the likes of India, Vietnam and Malaysia can produce goods Europeans do at cheaper rates, what would they offer to the world aside from luxury goods and open fields in the name of tourism?You make excellent points. And I agree with you that if they stay on the current trajectory, they're done for. My reasoning is that the European have not been applying themselves. They're slacking off. But a resting giant is not necessarily impotent. That's why I hesitate to write them off. German tech is morbidly expensive. Even cheaper Japanese tech is out-done across Southeast Asia to the extent the Mitsubishi CEO said "Chinese carmakers are doing too much" in the region. For less than half the price, the agriculture by the Dutch can be done by South Americans. The reason they dragged their feet in signing a trade deal with the major countries in the continent. I see dominance in pharmaceuticals - branded drugs which cure/treat specific diseases. The other aspect of the industry is fully dominated by Indians and the Chinese and this sector constitutes the majority of maladies in most parts of the world. And oh! Luxury and specific machinery goods as done by the Swiss, but if they keep insulting and trying to control a major buyer, expect a decline in sales.We've not really had pure global competition between blocs. The US and Europe have enjoyed a technological lead since the end of WW2. It's been shrinking and we'll find out how Europe holds up versus Asia sans China when they stop coasting. Well, as you stated, if the continent does not get its act together, other parts of the world will simply pick the best and brightest of our people. But in a world where there would be more black people, and/or an increase, than other races and in an inter-connected space, I wonder how relations would be.Relations will ebb and flow. But in a world where the main blocs--Americas, Gulf, Europe, SE/East Asia--are firing on all cylinders; there'll be a talent shortage and we'll fill in as we do in soccer. Is there any soccer league where there are no black players? It's seen as normal. So if there's intense competition between the blocs and Africa is yet to get its sh*t together. Our underclass will be the next Nepalis and Filipinos while our top talent would be the H1-Bs and O-1s of the blocs. It'll be normalized. If inflow is not managed properly, the natives will revolt as is the case in the West currently. But even that will be transient. Ebb and flow. -Lord |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by RodgersAkpafu: 1:15am On Feb 02, 2025 |
@Gerrard59 Underestimate the Europeans at your peril Like LordAdam16 has rightly pointed out, Europe still has it in them to push forward These Asians are newbies and are not there yet All it takes is a spark and wonders will ensue. The intangibles are in their favour, and thats Asia's major handicap Hustle and Grit will only take you so far Intellectual Property, the Right cultural mix and other intangibles are the sweet spots thar Europe/America can still play to keep them ahead Japan was hailed back then as the power that will overtake the west How far today ? China the same How far today ? |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by LordAdam16: 10:02am On Feb 02, 2025 |
RodgersAkpafu:My point is nuanced. The Asians are not newbies. China gave us gunpowder, paper, and silk. Europe tried for a 1000 years to invent/reverse-engineer/copy silk but couldn't. Does the West enjoy a 1000 year technological advantage on anything? How about 100 years? How about 10? In fact, it was Europe that iterated on gunpowder to improve their lethality through the use of guns and cannons. But when China iterates on Western technology as with DeepSeek or battery tech, they grumble. Essentially, they had paper for snappy dissemination of information and gunpowder to subdue foes. And we know of the Zheng He voyages of the 1400s where Ming China deployed the largest armada of exploration ships both before and for more than 3 centuries after. If China had put their mind to it, they'd have colonized the whole planet and seeded the new world. They had everything they needed to do that. They'd have colonized Europe itself right on their doorstep. And I'm positive that if a time traveler had shown the Emperor a preview of the century of humiliation, he'd have done just that. Asians are not newbies. So I'm not making a prediction of who would come ahead. I'm only saying that after the flexibility exhibited by the Americans in doing an about face, it'll be a mistake to think Europe is not capable of that. All it'll take is a Bilderberg conference and the population would be brought to heel. They'd abandon their cherished WLB and then it'd be on. To iterate, the assumption is that Europe is on a death spiral. I'm only doing a "hold on". Yes they're atrophied and the prognosis is negative, but as we saw with China, this is still a great civilization that's capable of much more when they apply themselves. Europe is essentially a former prized champion who has let himself go. Does not keep fit, abuses alcohol, in a fugue state. Can still be rehabbed and become formidable. And I think they can dust off and pick themselves back up way easier than many think. It's actually a let down for the species that East and West would go through another fierce bloc competition before we get intense collaboration. I want to see the Germans and Chinese collaborate on tech. I want to see the Swiss and Indians collaborate on life sciences. But I guess we're getting a tug of war first. -Lord |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by LordAdam16: 11:37am On Feb 02, 2025 |
On the North American Trade War, the junior partners in the Hegemony do not seem to appreciate the gravity of the impending challenge to Western supremacy. They still think it's the equivalent of switching rooms at a resort. No sir! It's the equivalent of a canceled vacation because of a sudden retrenchment on the heels of a big fight with the wife. Washington gets it, and they have to, they have a bird's eye view of the situation. The tariffs and defense spending target increases are a "get your sh*t together" directive. It's Washington saying, we can't coast anymore. You have to lift your end of the couch. The Global South is a bench-pressing 800 pound gorilla that's set its sight on us and our patently unfair economic order. If we want to remotely compete, we have to roll up our sleeves. But the Canadians and Belgians think the Americans are overreacting. -Lord |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by RodgersAkpafu: 1:48pm On Feb 02, 2025 |
Compared to the West, most of Far Asia are still newbies You may exempt China and maybe Japan, but for the most part, my point is still very much valid The Greeks and Romans laid the groundwork for which modern stuff is built With input from the middle east (via mathematics) I agree with you to a degree, but then, what will happen over the next 50 years is left to be seen African COUNTRIES STILL haven't gotten their priorities right |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by LordAdam16: 6:11pm On Feb 02, 2025 |
RodgersAkpafu:Here's the deal: Blocs generally have anchor powers and satellite states that support the blocs economic engine. If Africa gets its sh*t together, the anchor powers would be Egypt/Morocco, South Africa, Nigeria, Ethiopia/Kenya. Each of whom would be served by satellites like Benin, Namibia, Uganda, Sudan. Same stuff plays out in Asia. Currently, most in the bloc are plugged into the Chinese superchain or supporting the Western-facing juggernauts--Japan and South Korea/plugged directly into the Western economic engine. In Europe, the anchors are Germany, UK, France, Italy/Nethelands/Sweden. The rest of the continent revolve around the anchors. Same in North and Central America where the US is the anchor and the rest of the region are satellites. Your newbies label does not apply. When the blocs duel, it'll be between the anchors. When I talk about Europe getting off its a$$ and competing with Asia, I'm not talking about Slovenia or Malta. So you can't say Asia except China or Japan or India. That's like saying NA except the US or Canada. Who else is there? Almost 80% of Mexico's exports go to the US. In any case, at the end of the century, the largest economies will be China, India, and US. Nothing else is set in stone. Deng tried to Mao-proof the CCP; yet Xi somehow became President-for-life. How would Russia fare after Putin sometime in the next two decades? What happens if India stalls? They seem to be riding a wave and if their tussle with Canada is any indication, the West isn't gung-ho about them and they're more susceptible to Western shenanigans than China. So while multipolarism is here to stay. Each bloc would still have to make its own destiny. This is why I am excited for the future because everyone will have to put in the work. And that'll provide an abundance of opportunities globally. -Lord |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by LordAdam16: 11:59am On Feb 03, 2025 |
At the end of January, Secretary of State, Marco Rubio made a noteworthy admission. It flew under the radar for the most part. But it is easily one of the most consequential utterances by a US SecState since the end of the Cold War. Well, and that’s the way the world has always worked. The way the world has always worked is that the Chinese will do what’s in the best interests of China, the Russians will do what’s in the best interest of Russia, the Chileans are going to do what’s in the best interest of Chile, and the United States needs to do what’s in the best interest of the United States. Where our interests align, that’s where you have partnerships and alliances; where our differences are not aligned, that is where the job of diplomacy is to prevent conflict while still furthering our national interests and understanding they’re going to further theirs. And that’s been lost.https://www.state.gov/secretary-marco-rubio-with-megyn-kelly-of-the-megyn-kelly-show/ Pansophist started this thread in Aug 2023. In less than 18 months, it's done. The Americans accept multipolarism as the de facto new world order. Pansophist, you'll need to decide the theme of the thread going forward. The multipolarism vs hegemonism contest is over. The Hegemony tapped out. We're switching to an era of full-spectrum Great Power competition. A radically different proposition. -Lord |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by Gerrard59(m): 2:35pm On Feb 03, 2025 |
RodgersAkpafu:What are these "intangibles"? I would like to know. Hustle and Grit will only take you so farHustle and grit from overfed Europeans against raw grit from Vietnamese and Chinese? lol Already, they have eyeing Russian gas. The same gas they accused Indians of profiting from. Intellectual Property, the Right cultural mix and other intangibles are the sweet spots thar Europe/America can still play to keep them aheadChinese nay Asian students/researchers produce a significant proportion of the IP in the West, the same group they want to expunge from their institutions. Donald Trump started this during his first tenure, the UK followed by the Dutch and then the Swiss. As for the new IP, it is coming from China, and at a cheaper rate which will erode the profit margins of their counterparts in the West. Already, Western battery and EV makers have realised they cannot advance without China's technical know-how. The Economist, a renowned Western mouthpiece, has admitted grudgingly that China is the world's science factory. In solar, lithium battery tech, windmills and almost every tech except aircraft engineering (with Boeing falling like dead birds) and EUV, China dominates. https://www.economist.com/science-and-technology/2024/06/12/china-has-become-a-scientific-superpower The right cultural mix? Honestly, I am lost here. Japan was hailed back then as the power that will overtake the westIt was forced to sign the Plaza Accords, has no nuclear weapons and has American military bases. China is not signing any similar deal, possesses nuclear weapons and has no foreign military base. The same complaint the US is making against China was meted towards the Japanese. Also, as I have stated, the Chinese unlike the Japanese have spread out to far-flung places like Peru, Ghana, Serbia, Indonesia etc. I even read a new lithium battery/EV-related factory has been opened in Morocco owned jointly by a Chinese firm and a Moroccan entity. In Nigeria, the Chinese co-own a port and have interests in Namibia. They have DRC on lock, ditto Guinea Bissau. In Tanzania, they have signed a deal to build a railway connecting minerals to the nearest port. Mind you. this rail line was first constructed during the '70s when the same West mocked the development. Then in 2022/23, a US-supported deal managed by Emiratis and Indians got involved in Lorbito. I bet the Chinese will complete theirs before that one which transverses through Angola. And oh, in Zimbabwe, the Chinese run a lithium processing facility. China the sameWorld's biggest trading partner that exported almost a trillion dollars worth of goods last year. World's biggest manufacturing nation. Everyone's biggest trading partner without bombs thrown at them or told to do eligibility. |
| Re: Multipolarism Versus Hegemonism - The Great Power Shift Of The 21st Century by RodgersAkpafu: 2:39pm On Feb 03, 2025 |
@Gerrard59 You are still looking at these Asians with starry eyes lol Probably star struck too Okay oh, I don hear you If I feel some bust of energy, I may just reply to your posts one by one like I normally do. I'll however say this again... Under estimate the Europeans at your peril They are still ahead, and have what it takes to remain ahead At least for the next century |
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