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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (9219) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmaodet: 9:08am On Jul 07, 2025
fashionnisir:
as these commerced , or when is the date it will start, make dem no take person unaware.
Not yet.
In the meantime, based on my valuation, Japaul should rise to #3.20 region after releasing there H1/25 result if my estimated revenue of 5.6b is met and TTM earnings of 1.6b.
They have been doing well in the last 3 Quarters declaring profit, though more needs to be done in there OCF.
But after the 100b dilution, they will need to grow there EPS by 600% to breakeven for investors.
How good and far the management would be able to make good use of the capital is what we will see.
Current market cap = 2.7 x 14.3b shares = #38.6b
Final Market cap = #38.6b/100b shares = #0.39 = 39k
They plan to do shares reconstruction immediately to avoid uproar....so we may see a 3 to 1 construction to bring the price above #1 to #1.2 per share. But that is just share price cosmetic approach. EPS is down by 600%.
As a rule of thumb for me, revenue and earnings growth rate must be higher than dilution rate to give returns to investors.
Revenue has been growing at an average of 200% in the last 3 quarters, so dilution of 100% should have been not more than 30b shares but since it seems they want to expand and it will bring value in the long run, then it should be worth the pain.
How long will they be able to return 600% eps is another thing...1 year or 5 years?
Based on historical returns, Japaul ROIC max has been 8%.
If they are to put the future raised capital of 500b into use...let's say 450b out of it while 50b in cash and equivalent, retain earnings or whatever, that will be 40b profit from invested 450b capital.
Debt to equity is 40% but with the raise capital, it should go down to 10% atleast......So we may be looking at around 30b profit as equity to shareholders.
2024 retention ratio is 65%....So a payout ratio of 35% = 11.5b divided by 100b shares....11.5k per shares dividends based of my rough estimation of Next twelve month after dilution.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmaodet: 9:11am On Jul 07, 2025
SonofElElyonRet:
Human beans like to fear. grin
Sorry I couldn't resist the "temptation"
grin grin grin

My brother, my hand as typing faster than my brain ni
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 9:25am On Jul 07, 2025
emmaodet:
grin grin grin

My brother, my hand as typing faster than my brain ni
grin I can relate
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 9:27am On Jul 07, 2025
emmaodet:
Not yet.
In the meantime, based on my valuation, Japaul should rise to #3.20 region after releasing there H1/25 result if my estimated revenue of 5.6b is met and TTM earnings of 1.6b.
They have been doing well in the last 3 Quarters declaring profit, though more needs to be done in there OCF.
But after the 100b dilution, they will need to grow there EPS by 600% to breakeven for investors.
How good and far the management would be able to make good use of the capital is what we will see.
Current market cap = 2.7 x 14.3b shares = #38.6b
Final Market cap = #38.6b/100b shares = #0.39 = 39k
They plan to do shares reconstruction immediately to avoid uproar....so we may see a 3 to 1 construction to bring the price above #1 to #1.2 per share. But that is just share price cosmetic approach. EPS is down by 600%.
As a rule of thumb for me, revenue and earnings growth rate must be higher than dilution rate to give returns to investors.
Revenue has been growing at an average of 200% in the last 3 quarters, so dilution of 100% should have been not more than 30b shares but since it seems they want to expand and it will bring value in the long run, then it should be worth the pain.
How long will they be able to return 600% eps is another thing...1 year or 5 years?
Based on historical returns, Japaul ROIC max has been 8%.
If they are to put the future raised capital of 500b into use...let's say 450b out of it while 50b in cash and equivalent, retain earnings or whatever, that will be 40b profit from invested 450b capital.
Debt to equity is 40% but with the raise capital, it should go down to 10% atleast......So we may be looking at around 30b profit as equity to shareholders.
2024 retention ratio is 65%....So a payout ratio of 35% = 11.5b divided by 100b shares....11.5k per shares dividends based of my rough estimation of Next twelve month after dilution.
Looks like still a long way to El dorado
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by PinkNature(m): 9:46am On Jul 07, 2025
Good morning to the great men and women here. I’m pinknature by moniker (lol idk why I choose this name the time I created my acct). I’m 24 and a 300l student in the university.

I see that this thread is all about investments, making wealth etc: I haven’t really gone through the thread, but I’m here to learn and hopefully make some smart decisions that is going to payoff with time.

I send my greetings to everyone reading this. 😊
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 9:49am On Jul 07, 2025
PinkNature:
Good morning to the great men and women here. I’m pinknature by moniker (lol idk why I choose this name the time I created my acct). I’m 24 and a 300l student in the university.

I see that this thread is all about investments, making wealth etc: I haven’t really gone through the thread, but I’m here to learn and hopefully make some smart decisions that is going to payoff with time.

I send my greetings to everyone reading this. 😊
You have what most people here wish they had... An early start
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 9:59am On Jul 07, 2025
!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:00am On Jul 07, 2025
Ding!!! cool
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 10:04am On Jul 07, 2025
Happy GREEN WEEK to all my PICKS for 2025
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mpeace(m): 10:05am On Jul 07, 2025
This market sweet sometimes. Cadbury wey we buy 29 is now 53. Wow.
But Cadbury fundamentals so too strong.
Profit taking will soon set in
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GeneralDae: 10:10am On Jul 07, 2025

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Nataba: 10:16am On Jul 07, 2025
Wow!

Daar Communication already on full bid!!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mpeace(m): 10:22am On Jul 07, 2025
Mpeace:
This market sweet sometimes. Cadbury wey we buy 29 is now 53. Wow.
But Cadbury fundamentals so too strong.
Profit taking will soon set in
I am still in shock how Cadbury overtook UACN
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by PETERiCHY(m): 10:26am On Jul 07, 2025
Mpeace:
This market sweet sometimes. Cadbury wey we buy 29 is now 53. Wow.
But Cadbury fundamentals so too strong.
Profit taking will soon set in
What of those of us that bought circa #15 last year Well someone predicted it's heading to , #750 meanwhile I will alight at circa #100.

BARGAIN HUNTERS TAKE NOTE!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by olaremint(m): 10:27am On Jul 07, 2025
Stock bubbles is not displaying current price, don’t know if it’s only me
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 10:38am On Jul 07, 2025
PETERiCHY:
What of those of us that bought circa #15 last year Well someone predicted it's heading to , #750 meanwhile I will alight at circa #100.

BARGAIN HUNTERS TAKE NOTE!
Interesting times are here if CADBURY gets to #500
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 10:38am On Jul 07, 2025
grin
Nataba:
Wow!

Daar Communication already on full bid!!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mpeace(m): 10:39am On Jul 07, 2025
PETERiCHY:
What of those of us that bought circa #15 last year Well someone predicted it's heading to , #750 meanwhile I will alight at circa #100.

BARGAIN HUNTERS TAKE NOTE!
N750? Well? Nothing is impossible.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Zegra: 10:39am On Jul 07, 2025
megawealth01:
Interesting times are here if CADBURY gets to #500
Lol
You dey believe Peteru grin grin grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:48am On Jul 07, 2025
grin grin

Zegra:
Lol
You dey believe Peteru grin grin grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by DeRuggedProff: 10:49am On Jul 07, 2025
Blue Economy... grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Itzlinda(f): 10:50am On Jul 07, 2025
PETERiCHY:
What of those of us that bought circa #15 last year Well someone predicted it's heading to , #750 meanwhile I will alight at circa #100.

BARGAIN HUNTERS TAKE NOTE!
What do you think of Bua cement? Abi make alight join Cadbury train
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by stockish(m):
While some SOLOMONS here grin grin grin are tearing their clothes in anger for Ellahlakes, for nothing, Ellah has finished selling for today. grin grin grin

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by leo1234(m): 10:54am On Jul 07, 2025
Itzlinda:
What do you think of Bua cement? Abi make alight join Cadbury train
Better remain where you are.

BUACEMENT is fundamentally strong.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 10:56am On Jul 07, 2025
Mpeace:
N750? Well? Nothing is impossible.
Are you minding Peter?

Anyway, where you see Unilever and Cadbury at above 50, expect PZ to catch up at some point...

In all these movements, it's OANDO I'm eagerly awaiting its own upward movement.....No matter how they try hard to suppress the mvmt...
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 10:58am On Jul 07, 2025
Zegra:
Lol
You dey believe Peteru grin grin grin grin
Who will ever believe that BETAGLASS will hit 300+ from 50?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Harvestock01(m): 11:03am On Jul 07, 2025
yMcy56:
Are you minding Peter?

Anyway, where you see Unilever and Cadbury at above 50, expect PZ to catch up at some point...

In all these movements, it's [/b]OANDO[b] I'm eagerly awaiting its own upward movement.....No matter how they try hard to suppress the mvmt...
Please allow oando remain under the radar
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 11:06am On Jul 07, 2025
DeRuggedProff:
Blue Economy... grin
The sky is blue grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Payunsin: 11:06am On Jul 07, 2025
1 bought 1m units of deapcap 3 week s ago just to play with now on bid at ₦1.30 n my Transcorp which I pumped so much still dey do anyhow. Anyways hmm time to go come.
But to hell with fundermentals sometimes infact I have been making more money from do called unfundermental stocks
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Fundlocator(m): 11:07am On Jul 07, 2025
yMcy56:
Are you minding Peter?

Anyway, where you see Unilever and Cadbury at above 50, expect PZ to catch up at some point...

In all these movements, it's OANDO I'm eagerly awaiting its own upward movement.....No matter how they try hard to suppress the mvmt...
Recently some of us just believe that everything happening to this OANDO is not organic.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Zegra: 11:11am On Jul 07, 2025
megawealth01:
Who will ever believe that BETAGLASS will hit 300+ from 50?
Beta Glass is illiquid so is difficult for people to sell.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mpeace(m): 11:12am On Jul 07, 2025
yMcy56:
Are you minding Peter?

Anyway, where you see Unilever and Cadbury at above 50, expect PZ to catch up at some point...

In all these movements, it's OANDO I'm eagerly awaiting its own upward movement.....No matter how they try hard to suppress the mvmt...
PZ audited 2024 and q1 2025 result will be that decider.
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