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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (9478) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 3:53pm On Aug 17, 2025
SonofElElyonRet:
With all due respect, you are in no position to speak so emphatically on the matter... Except you can provide some hard evidence to prove it's a fake story. The best you can do is to express doubts as to the veracity
All the billionaires are writing their biography, Dangote will include that encounter in his biography
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 3:54pm On Aug 17, 2025
nosa2:
That's a possibility. It's also very possible we would not touch N19 for another 10 years.
Not likely.. not when they are raising N250b and plan to acquire a "significant agricultural asset". There's bound to be good news at many junctions along the journey
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 3:55pm On Aug 17, 2025
emmanuelewumi:
All the billionaires are writing their biography, Dangote will include that encounter in his biography
Not logically correct that if he doesn't include the story in his biography then it means it is false
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 4:00pm On Aug 17, 2025
SonofElElyonRet:
Not logically correct that if he doesn't include the story in his biography then it means it is false
It must be included jor, an encounter that made him the richest Blackman in the world.

How can he forget that life changing encounter
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by zendi:
nosa2:
The game is the game. And God knows I love this game
Megawealth01= the game is the game.

Nosa2= investing is not a team sport.

KarlTom= every malam to his kettle.

Every person is the CEO of own portfolio.

Zendi= nsempa no go kee pesin.

The shaping of nsempa thought.

grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Tolu2024(m): 4:00pm On Aug 17, 2025
I am investing with cowrywise and they just lunch their stock trading I will love to know more about it and which Nigeria stock is going well want to start with 200k I am not using for now .

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 4:01pm On Aug 17, 2025
grin
zendi:
Megawealth01= the game is the game.

Nosa2= it is not a team sport.

KarlTom= every malam to his own kettle.

Zendi= nsempa no go kee pesin.

The shaping of nsempa thought.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Itzlinda(f): 4:03pm On Aug 17, 2025
Streetinvestor2:
The bag holders have not yet bought. Those insurance stocks will still go above those prices this yr.Some will still touch #5.It is not only kpakus that can manipulate thr price.The burst will come after thr full yr result. The jingles is seriously happening in social media platforms to an extent my wife is now interested and asking what is jijo. She want to invest because someone is promising 500% on his twitter space for insurance stock. Na me no agree yet
The jingles have indeed started in social media.. I see the top happening around December.

I see some Hausa content creators teaching people how to buy stock with 2000 naira
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 4:04pm On Aug 17, 2025
Agbalowomeri:
Have you heard any of those stories from Dangote himself? Nigeria Pentecostal businessesmen and claiming glory 5&6 grin

Same way Christ embassy dey claim Elon Musk as a sponsor of Rhapsody grin grin grin

If you tell a lie 100x, it doesn't become the truth
From the book " The making and makers of Nigeria private capital" written by a Briton named Tom Forrest

As far back as 1935 Dangote's grandfather was the biggest customer of the British Bank of West Africa now known as First Bank. The book also claimed that his father was also the richest trader in West Africa, with outlets in Niger, Mali, Ghana, etc
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 4:05pm On Aug 17, 2025
Itzlinda:
The jingles have indeed started in social media.. I see the top happening around December.

I see some Hausa content creators teaching people how to buy stock with 2000 naira
How sure are you that we are not already at the top? grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m):
nosa2:
That's a possibility. It's also very possible we would not touch N19 for another 10 years.
It took our banks 18 to 19 years to attain the All Time High stock prices they had between 2006 and 2007
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by EDUECO(m): 4:10pm On Aug 17, 2025
emmanuelewumi:
The only one I can remember of are Dunlop and Oando

I am always lucky to bailout before katakata .
burst. I bailed out before Intercontinental bank, Oceanic bank, Wema Bank, Mutual Benefits Assurance, Union Bank, Skye Bank, Afribank had issues. I sold everything.
I drastically reduced my holdings in First Bank before they had issues

I bailed out of Oando at between N20 and N24 about 12 years ago and never looked back.


It is a fact that a business can't go under overnight, it must have been giving the signs about 2 years ago
What were the signs that made you to sell your holdings in these companies?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 4:14pm On Aug 17, 2025
EDUECO:
What were the signs that made you to sell your holdings in these companies?
Dividend cut.

Borrowing to pay dividends. You can know this when the dividend declared is more than the free cash flow.

Nestle dipped hands into reserve in order to pay dividends about 2 years ago.

You also consider the debt. I think total debt should not be more than twice of the EBIT.

Late submission of financial reports to regulatory bodies.

I also try to read and digest the auditor's report.

And many others
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by EDUECO(m): 4:15pm On Aug 17, 2025
Itzlinda:
The jingles have indeed started in social media.. I see the top happening around December.

I see some Hausa content creators teaching people how to buy stock with 2000 naira
The new era Ololos are already in the Nigerian bourse! cool
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 4:22pm On Aug 17, 2025
SonofElElyonRet:
Not likely.. not when they are raising N250b and plan to acquire a "significant agricultural asset". There's bound to be good news at many junctions along the journey
Good news @ many junctions till...........? grin
We await this "good news analysis" grin

OandO go be child's play..
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 4:26pm On Aug 17, 2025
emmanuelewumi:
Dividend cut.

Borrowing to pay dividends. You can know this when the dividend declared is more than the free cash flow.

Nestle dipped hands into reserve in order to pay dividends about 2 years ago.

You also consider the debt. I think total debt should not be more than twice of the EBIT.

Late submission of financial reports to regulatory bodies.

I also try to read and digest the auditor's report.

And many others
Insight..Gracias
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 4:42pm On Aug 17, 2025
emmanuelewumi:
Dividend cut.

Borrowing to pay dividends. You can know this when the dividend declared is more than the free cash flow.

Nestle dipped hands into reserve in order to pay dividends about 2 years ago.

You also consider the debt. I think total debt should not be more than twice of the EBIT.

Late submission of financial reports to regulatory bodies.

I also try to read and digest the auditor's report.

And many others
Another thing to consider is the quality of the earnings.

Some profits are not backed by cash.

I expect a free cash flow conversion of at least 70%

That is free cash flow/profit after tax.

Profit should also be from operation. Some businesses that are popular here made profits through the disposal of their assets or tax credits. This is not sustainable

Continuous reduction in ROE and margins are also red flags
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 4:47pm On Aug 17, 2025
emmanuelewumi:
It took our banks took our banks 18 to 19 years to attain the All Time High stock prices they had between 2006 and 2007
Dem never know where Dem dey
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Streetinvestor2: 6:08pm On Aug 17, 2025
emmanuelewumi:
It took our banks took our banks 18 to 19 years to attain the All Time High stock prices they had between 2006 and 2007
Ha my oga.No go cause BP for some people here.
E get why I dey talk like this.The wise ones should have known what to do since I have been shouting results will come out this month. They should know what will happen when results comes out.You don't build something on nothing and expect it to stand. Why did many in that category crash in the past.They say our past experience no longer count for the new generation because they now have TA in the game
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Hamachi(f): 6:11pm On Aug 17, 2025
Phlinx:
not. get letters of administration for the shares. should be normal sailing from there on.
Lol! Have you done it before? The process is overong, I should go and bring all share certificates? What?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Hamachi(f): 6:12pm On Aug 17, 2025
Mpeace:
It is not that difficult. It is just expensive.
Letter of administration will take like 15% of the cost of the shares depending on the state.
Then you identify the particular registrar for each company and make the necessary applications and fees for confirmation of the Letter of admin.
I have the LOA & Estate account already, they are asking for soft copy of where it was published on the newspaper and all share certificates
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 6:17pm On Aug 17, 2025
SonofElElyonRet:
Not likely.. not when they are raising N250b and plan to acquire a "significant agricultural asset". There's bound to be good news at many junctions along the journey
You guys really don't get it Sha. The N250b will be shared amongst more mouths na. So each share will be with a lot less in the short term

Anyway I'm not here to teach or argue. Market will teach everyone
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 6:18pm On Aug 17, 2025
Agbalowomeri:
How sure are you that we are not already at the top? grin
I don't think we are yet at the top for the entire market. I suspect we will witness rotation to unloved stocks
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 6:23pm On Aug 17, 2025
nosa2:
You guys really didn't get it Sha. The N250b will be shared amongst more mouths na. Do each share will be with a lot less.

Anyway I'm not here to teach or argue. Market will teach everyone
Check out the Math. Current equity is less than N25 billion, but want to raise N250 billion.

Probably people who invest in the planned N250 billion public offer, will own 45% of the business.

I don't think intelligent investors will buy that although we have more of emotional and unintelligent investors in the market

The best bet is for them to have a right offer, but I know that can't work. Because most of the current shareholders are looking for a greater fool. So a right offer can't fly
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 6:25pm On Aug 17, 2025
nosa2:
You guys really don't get it Sha. The N250b will be shared amongst more mouths na. So each share will be with a lot less in the short term

Anyway I'm not here to teach or argue. Market will teach everyone
Well, guess you are the milder version of EDUECO grin
Cinder-Ellah will prove you wrong
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmaodet: 6:26pm On Aug 17, 2025
emmanuelewumi:
Another thing to consider is the quality of the earnings.

Some profits are not backed by cash.

I expect a free cash flow conversion of at least 70%

That is free cash flow/profit after tax.

Profit should also be from operation. Some businesses that are popular here made profits through the disposal of their assets or tax credits. This is not sustainable

Continuous reduction in ROE and margins are also red flags
I agree with you.
The first red flag i notice is continuous reduction in revenue followed by dwindling margins.
Those are No..no for me.
They are early warnings e.g Tripple Gee.
If revenue is dwindling Q on Q and YoY, na to start to dey prepare my kaiya t run.
Another is CCC (cash conversion Cycle) for manufacturing / consumer / production companies.
If your payable days are increasing - struggling to pay suppliers, Inventory conversion ratio increasing - struggling to produce and fill up goods and also struggling to sell, Receivables oustanding increasing - struggling to collect your cash from customers / literarily begging customers to take and sell your goods, it is a big redflag to me.
Inventory increasing faster than revenue and earnings
Receivables increasing faster than revenue and earnings to name a few
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 6:26pm On Aug 17, 2025
chimex38:
Good news @ many junctions till...........? grin
We await this "good news analysis" grin

OandO go be child's play..
Till Ellah begins to make profit and pay dividends. At that stage you'll be chasing the bus at km 100
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by crownprince2017: 6:28pm On Aug 17, 2025
Its so interesting seeing people feeling like the gods of the market.
What will you expect from someone that sold his Ella at 4 just because he believed it will turn back and never return, saying the same thing at 19 even though he regretted for selling at 4.

I wondered how people come here to predict the market they had no control over, I know at 10 you would have told the person that bought at that price the same thing.

A company we are yet to have metrics to value can swing up the way we never imagined if the valuation is more than what the majority are imagining and do the other way round as well when the reality hit the market.

Well, many of you will still eat your words when the price go above 20 like you have done in the past.

Ella is at the point that a news could change everything, people speculating are not stupid.

Every possibility is open here and that is the reality.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 6:29pm On Aug 17, 2025
emmanuelewumi:
It must be included jor, an encounter that made him the richest Blackman in the world.

How can he forget that life changing encounter
I'm just saying his non inclusion of the encounter will not constitute proof that it didn't happen. He has a reason not to include it. He's Muslim. He could face backlash from fellow northern Muslims for "advertising" Christianity
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 6:32pm On Aug 17, 2025
SonofElElyonRet:
Till Ellah begins to make profit and pay dividends. At that stage you'll be chasing the bus at km 100
For that to be justified based on the current 3.6 billion shares of the company.

Ellah must make a revenue of N72 billion and profit after tax of N36 billion at a net profit margin of 50%.

That will give it EPS of N10 and probably pay a dividend of N7 per share


It is very possible, they only need to show workings and evidence
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 6:35pm On Aug 17, 2025
emmanuelewumi:
Check out the Math. Current equity is less than N25 billion, but want to raise N250 billion.

Probably people who invest in the planned N250 billion public offer, will own 45% of the business.

I don't think intelligent investors will buy that although we have more of emotional and unintelligent investors in the market

The best bet is for them to have a right offer, but I know that can't work. Because most of the current shareholders are looking for a greater fool. So a right offer can't fly
grin
Time will tell.. Ellah will be hoooooge... despite the shortcomings of management.. which will be substantially remedied.. as time goes on
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 6:36pm On Aug 17, 2025
emmanuelewumi:
For that to be justified based on the current 3.6 billion shares of the company.

Ellah must make a revenue of N72 billion and profit after tax of N36 billion at a net profit margin of 50%.

That will give it EPS of N10 and probably pay a dividend of N7 per share


It is very possible, they only need to show workings and evidence
Agreed grin
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