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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (9774) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 7:14pm On Nov 06, 2025
essentialone:
Best solution is to completely divide Nigeria along Religious lines. One side should be named Islamic Republic of Nigeria, and the other side should be named Biafra (Christian).

Every Nigerian is free to choose which side to belong to with new Passports and Identities issued. No human should have to share same nationality with animals.
Not possible in South West Nigeria
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by essentialone(m): 7:16pm On Nov 06, 2025
emmanuelewumi:
Not possible in South West Nigeria
Life is all about Choice. Is not as if Fulani Muslims even regard Yoruba Muslims as real Muslims. Even Saudis treat both divides of Islam in Nigeria, differently.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 7:17pm On Nov 06, 2025
Dangote Sugar Refinery :
Common Sense Target N71.2 - N89.00
Calculation based on Qtr 3 2025 earnings
OS 12,146,878,241.00
Earnings in Qrt N13.682 bill
EPS Qrt 1.13 from negative 3.32


Calculation:
(1.13+3.32) x4 x4 to range (1.13 +3.32) x4 x5
= 71.2 -89.00 Range

Estimate 6 months.


Current price N55.60
Upside 28%-60% within Range.


Caution: Do your research and due diligence.

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Divineability: 7:40pm On Nov 06, 2025
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Streetinvestor2: 7:46pm On Nov 06, 2025
pluto09:
https://punchng.com/wimbiz-2025-formalise-your-business-to-enjoy-tax-reliefs-oyedele-tells-entrepreneurs/#google_vignette

“If somebody is roasting corn by the roadside, if somebody is a vulcaniser, if somebody is a carpenter — those guys are poor. It doesn’t matter how many customers they have in a day; you shouldn’t leave it to the government or the tax officer to decide whether they need to bring in tax or not.

“So, those guys — we’re planning to give them exemption stickers so they just live their life. That is how direct and practical it is,” he said.
This guy keep talking rubbish like he lives in another planet. The only tax these category of people whr ever paying was daily tickets to touts or local government employees. Will the yeye stickers stop the collection. Do u know the violence and intimidation this people come with when they come to collect the money.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Streetinvestor2: 7:51pm On Nov 06, 2025
Divineability:
Ellah ...... L/K/P offer opens
https://businessday.ng/companies/article/ellah-lakes-receives-sec-approval-for-n235-billion-public-offer/
This scarm alert will learn the hard way..lol
I saw 18 billion new shares lol
They changed thr mill from 3 tonnes to 5 tonnes and now it is 6 tonnes..lol
Like I noticed they manipulated the price to #15 and was doing everything with media to keep it above #14 because the target for the PO was #13
Now cgt has happened to all the manipulation.
You see why I told u guys that guy with C moniker is an insider of kpakus
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 7:56pm On Nov 06, 2025
aj8:
Dangote Sugar Refinery :
Common Sense Target N71.2 - N89.00
Calculation based on Qtr 3 2025 earnings
OS 12,146,878,241.00
Earnings in Qrt N13.682 bill
EPS Qrt 1.13 from negative 3.32


Calculation:
(1.13+3.32) x4 x4 to range (1.13 +3.32) x4 x5
= 71.2 -89.00 Range

Estimate 6 months.


Current price N55.60
Upside 28%-60% within Range.


Caution: Do your research and due diligence.
I still think this your method doesn't work when you try to use number line. It does not apply common sense. I can't fathom how an expected FY EPS of less than N2 would be projected to any price more than N20. That is a PE of 10. At 80 it will be a PE of 40. That cannot make sense to me.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ololufemi: 7:58pm On Nov 06, 2025
chimex38:
CBN taking charge of Fixed income trading from FMDQ.
now both regulator and operator.
Banks major cash cow is under more scrutiny.

Power tussle on who is actually in overall charge. SEC or CBN?

Could this be the cause of the bear?


https://nairametrics.com/2025/11/05/cbns-fixed-income-overhaul-sparks-regulatory-tensions-in-financial-market/
If you dig deep, you'll see that technically, some of the banks own the shares of FMDQ which gives them an undue advantage.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mpeace(m): 8:00pm On Nov 06, 2025
Divineability:
Ellah ...... L/K/P offer opens
https://businessday.ng/companies/article/ellah-lakes-receives-sec-approval-for-n235-billion-public-offer/
That should be 18billiin ordinary shares at N13 per share.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Streetinvestor2: 8:01pm On Nov 06, 2025
Agbalowomeri:
I still think this your method doesn't work when you try to use number line. It does not apply common sense. I can't fathom how an expected FY EPS of less than N2 would be projected to any price more than N20. That is a PE of 10. At 80 it will be a PE of 40. That cannot make sense to me.
The eps can not be #2 if u calculate from whr they came from in q1 results based on his style. U didn't put in consideration of the negative part of the eps from q1 to the positive part of q4 as I understand in his common sense calculations.
It is easier when all quanter are positive. Na this part of maths I no dey like those days in sch when u have to move from negative side to positive side..lol
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Streetinvestor2: 8:06pm On Nov 06, 2025
Mpeace:
That should be 18billiin ordinary shares at N13 per share.
Something that will hit below #10 tomorrow..lol.The brokers that he used in manipulating the SP don run em Street lol
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Divineability: 8:14pm On Nov 06, 2025
Wrong timing. CGT, having to compete with other more reliable offers are sure headwinds.
Streetinvestor2:
This scarm alert will learn the hard way..lol
I saw 18 billion new shares lol
They changed thr mill from 3 tonnes to 5 tonnes and now it is 6 tonnes..lol
Like I noticed they manipulated the price to #15 and was doing everything with media to keep it above #14 because the target for the PO was #13
Now cgt has happened to all the manipulation.
You see why I told u guys that guy with C moniker is an insider of kpakus
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 8:24pm On Nov 06, 2025
Agbalowomeri:
I still think this your method doesn't work when you try to use number line. It does not apply common sense. I can't fathom how an expected FY EPS of less than N2 would be projected to any price more than N20. That is a PE of 10. At 80 it will be a PE of 40. That cannot make sense to me.
That’s okay. Let’s wait it out and have this discussion in 6 months granted no unforeseen economic calamity. It’s just the opposite of where you often stand , so I can understand why it’s not aligning with you. It may make a lot more sense if you rather think in percentages. It’s really mathematical and sadly it’s not everyone’s friend. What is the percentage improvement from -3.32 to +1.13? Maybe then if you answer correctly it would start to make sense.
The beauty of this forum is that it allows for polygamy of thoughts.
I appreciate you and even more, your comments.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Streetinvestor2: 8:40pm On Nov 06, 2025
aj8:
That’s okay. Let’s wait it out and have this discussion in 6 months granted no unforeseen economic calamity. It’s just the opposite of where you often stand , so I can understand why it’s not aligning with you. It may make a lot more sense if you rather think in percentages. It’s really mathematical and sadly it’s not everyone’s friend. What is the percentage improvement from -3.32 to +1.13? Maybe then if you answer correctly it would start to make sense.
The beauty of this forum is that it allows for polygamy of thoughts.
I appreciate you and even more, your comments.
To be sincere if not because of the yeye policy. I was sure of #100 in 6 months or worst case after q2 2026 results
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 8:43pm On Nov 06, 2025
Streetinvestor2:
The eps can not be #2 if u calculate from whr they came from in q1 results based on his style. U didn't put in consideration of the negative part of the eps from q1 to the positive part of q4 as I understand in his common sense calculations.
It is easier when all quanter are positive. Na this part of maths I no dey like those days in sch when u have to move from negative side to positive side..lol
Exactly. The opportunity is hidden in the maths. Those who do not understand it help to create the opportunity for those who do by forcing down the price to enable those who understand it , take front row seats. An improvement of 134% from last year’s Qrt 3 is simply massive. The range will be hit if the momentum is sustained. Should be apparent in Q1 of 2026.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Stockhunter: 8:47pm On Nov 06, 2025
When bear come, banks go quick enter especially access with full speed. Then when bull comes their gear go spoil only gear one go de work... 😀 Yawa banks..

pluto09:
Not there yet but it is looking more and more likely .
One major index that has not recovered from the August sell off. Not looking good.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Stockhunter: 8:57pm On Nov 06, 2025
When them no be banks or breweries (NB/IB).

Mpeace:
That should be 18billiin ordinary shares at N13 per share.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by HesInMe: 9:26pm On Nov 06, 2025
So Agro-Allied Resources and Processing Nigeria Limited (ARPN) -- the company Ellah wants to buy -- is going public at a huge premium to its intrinsic value? That public offer prospectus will be fire.

If it'll be clear enough to read, that is.

Divineability:
Ellah ...... L/K/P offer opens
https://businessday.ng/companies/article/ellah-lakes-receives-sec-approval-for-n235-billion-public-offer/
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Olaide1295: 9:31pm On Nov 06, 2025
essentialone:
Life is all about Choice. Is not as if Fulani Muslims even regard Yoruba Muslims as real Muslims. Even Saudis treat both divides of Islam in Nigeria, differently.
Can you stop this nonsense.
Everyone in the SW has Muslims and Christians as members of their family. We do not care what Fulani/Saudi thinks of our brothers.
We celebrate Eid with them and they come to celebrate Christmas with us. Nothing is perfect, but we are bound by our ethos of tolerance, togetherness & human decency.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by essentialone(m): 9:50pm On Nov 06, 2025
Olaide1295:
Can you stop this nonsense.
Everyone in the SW has Muslims and Christians as members of their family. We do not care what Fulani/Saudi thinks of our brothers.
We celebrate Eid with them and they come to celebrate Christmas with us. Nothing is perfect, but we are bound by our ethos of tolerance, togetherness & human decency.
Why do we have more Alcoholics and Drunks among Yoruba Muslims than among Hausa-Fulani Muslims in Nigeria?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Olaide1295: 9:57pm On Nov 06, 2025
essentialone:
Why do we have more Alcoholics and Drunks among Yoruba Muslims than among Hausa-Fulani Muslims in Nigeria?
What's the use of such data, why should anyone be bothered with such useless information? Focus on what we have in common, not differences.
Live and let live. What ppl drink is none of my business so far they do not become a menace to society.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by essentialone(m): 10:01pm On Nov 06, 2025
Olaide1295:
What's the use of such data, why should anyone be bothered with such useless information? Focus on what we have in common, not differences.
Live and let live. What ppl drink is none of my business so far they do not become a menace to society.
grin grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Streetinvestor2: 10:01pm On Nov 06, 2025
HesInMe:
So Agro-Allied Resources and Processing Nigeria Limited (ARPN) -- the company Ellah wants to buy -- is going public at a huge premium to its intrinsic value? That public offer prospectus will be fire.

If it'll be clear enough to read, that is.
You they mind scam alert. The so called ARPN does not even have a mill.They plan to install 20 tonnes mill this was the same story in 2019 that is just delivering 5 tonnes Mills which has not been confirmed by thr product on the street. The should make sure they tell thr intended maga the size of cultivated palm and thr growth stage at this time with video evidence. They should say the exact value for the farm and break down how the money they can't raise and how they plan not to utilise it..lol This is because I don't see nigeria investors going to put thr money in voice mail no wonder the didn't consider RI because they don't plan to pick it up and many existing shareholders. Lol
Which shareholder with his right sense would have picked up kpakus RI at #13.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Streetinvestor2: 10:09pm On Nov 06, 2025
Stockhunter:
When them no be banks or breweries (NB/IB).
When I said they should expect new shares to about 25 billion. Madam mcy was not happy with me.This is the company that insider with C moniker told them here will be the next presco. Presco way the OS no pass 1 billion..lol
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 11:14pm On Nov 06, 2025
Agbalowomeri:
Just be ready to withstand another 20% drop
I think I'm with you on this
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SohSoh: 12:00am On Nov 07, 2025
The article :: Aramco's $21bn dividend puts NNPC under spotlight.

Same Business, Vastly Different Results :: This article emphasizes the core argument that a shared or the same business model should yield nearly comparable business success. The article uses Aramco's success to show that NNPC's struggles are not due to the market, but to its own deep-seated operational and administrative inefficiencies.

Ellah Lakes and Presco

I see no reason why Ellah Lakes, should raise the same amount as presco, when they both share the same Business model but results are greatly different.

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Toluway: 1:03am On Nov 07, 2025
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by zendi: 2:45am On Nov 07, 2025
Fred2020:
Is it Donald Trump turning the NSE red, or is something else happening?

Some stocks have very low volume traded.
CGT
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by olaremint(m): 4:54am On Nov 07, 2025
essentialone:
Life is all about Choice. Is not as if Fulani Muslims even regard Yoruba Muslims as real Muslims. Even Saudis treat both divides of Islam in Nigeria, differently.
So u think people in south south are biafrans, or they are ibos. They can never be biafrans and don’t want any association with u.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 5:28am On Nov 07, 2025
Agbalowomeri:
I still think this your method doesn't work when you try to use number line. It does not apply common sense. I can't fathom how an expected FY EPS of less than N2 would be projected to any price more than N20. That is a PE of 10. At 80 it will be a PE of 40. That cannot make sense to me.
I guess this is happening because EPS isn’t well-suited for intrinsic valuations, it requires too many adjustments. I’d rather use FCF as the input.

EPS is prone to manipulation; for instance, it deducts depreciation and amortization, even though those costs were already paid years earlier through CapEx. It doesn’t reflect the actual cash available to shareholders, largely due to the distortions of accrual accounting.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ositadima1(m): 6:27am On Nov 07, 2025
aj8:
That’s okay. Let’s wait it out and have this discussion in 6 months granted no unforeseen economic calamity. It’s just the opposite of where you often stand , so I can understand why it’s not aligning with you. It may make a lot more sense if you rather think in percentages. It’s really mathematical and sadly it’s not everyone’s friend. What is the percentage improvement from -3.32 to +1.13? Maybe then if you answer correctly it would start to make sense.
The beauty of this forum is that it allows for polygamy of thoughts.
I appreciate you and even more, your comments.
They’re not completely out yet. Look at their current nine-month cash flow, it’s negative, meaning they lost money overall, yet they still spent ₦24 billion on capital expenditure. If the remaining three months don’t turn things around, they’ll still end the year with losses. I think the stock will only start to take off when they begin generating real profits and adding value for shareholders.

In Q2, I valued them to move above ₦79 because they had around ₦50 billion in cash flow(all dried up), but I don’t think they’ll reach that level with the current weak results. lipsrsealed
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by pluto09(m): 6:30am On Nov 07, 2025
Agbalowomeri:
I still think this your method doesn't work when you try to use number line. It does not apply common sense. I can't fathom how an expected FY EPS of less than N2 would be projected to any price more than N20. That is a PE of 10. At 80 it will be a PE of 40. That cannot make sense to me.
He is doing a good job though I also have my reservation with the way he uses the number line.
DS should do well next year considering the fact that the price of raw sugar is down in the international market, the support around $15 has just been broken. History has taught us that DS makes a lot of money when price of raw sugar is on a downward spiral.
The only negative I see with the company now is the finance costs,that needs to be brought down ASAP.
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