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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (10091) - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralInvestmentNigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts (15925734 Views)

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by awesomeJ(m): 8:43am On Feb 16
Agbalowomeri:
Let me give you a scenario

You have 10m in MM which you put there because you didn't see any immediate opportunities in the stock market. Some months down the line you saw something that you suspect could earn you 50% give or take. You took a 5m loan at 26% for 6 months. You became lucky, you got your 50% profit in 3 months. You actually paid back your interest from the profit and pocketed over 2m without disturbing your core capital. Na win win
Put numbers to help us see clearly.

Your gross returns are 2.5m
Finance cost even is 650k,
Your mmf returns are 375k

You end up with 2,225k


If you just save yourself the unnecessary stress.

You keep the full 2500k

And return your capital immediately.

When it's not like it's hard to withdraw or return your capital.

2500k vs 2225k is an 12.4% outperformance.

It's worse if the real cost you borrow at is above 30%.


You people seem to be using old further maths to run these numbers.

It's basically simple, you can't trade a negative spread and expect to make profit.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 8:43am On Feb 16
awesomeJ:
Good morning Agba.

I hope it's not actually your annual interest that you refer to here.

If it's annual, I'm already there 🎉

Cos even with my current portfolio size, my earnings for H1 2026 will be in 9 digits, and H2 will double H1, especially if I keep my Q3 spendings in check.

The growth I seek is for the 8 zeros to be a consistent weekly earnings.

8 zeros will already be quarterly earnings by Q3 or Q4 this year. And it's tax free 🎉


Your own annual, should be 9 or 10 zeros based on your portfolio size.
Na scenario analysis I give you
You na AwesomeBillions
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 8:44am On Feb 16
awesomeJ:
Put numbers to help us see clearly.

Your returns
I don put approximate numbers na. Make my head no hot grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo:
SonofElElyonRet:
No be audio ooo
Awon billion gang grin
You did not get my gist.
I personally believe there may be guys who control billions hereon this platforms; several of them.
But some people do call them ''audio'' grin grin (that is what I'm referring to, on a lighter note)

I know how I started with humble sums and what I have in my portfolio today, so I don't doubt at all if someone says he has billions and billions in his portfolio or even in cash
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by awesomeJ(m): 8:52am On Feb 16
To be clear, I did StanbicIBTC smart loan in 2020.

I used my $3000 and N2million assets to secure a N2m loan at around -5% spread.


But that was cos I was still fearful of the market.

Today, I can't even imagine myself doing any form of fixed income.

Maybe when my portfolio hit N2bn or more sha.

For now, we need to recover lost grounds.

I had no money to trade for 5 years, just skeletal funds, but thank God I built the experience needed, and thank God meaningful funds are coming now.

I need all the acceleration I can get.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by awesomeJ(m): 8:52am On Feb 16
Agbalowomeri:
I don put approximate numbers na. Make my head no hot grin
Sorry my hand hit submit before the post was ready.

It's been edited now.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 8:54am On Feb 16
Definitely not. A fully subscribed RI will raise about ₦221bn.

The debt-to-equity will do more good in that aspect...
Sunrisepebble:
Will the funds from the RI clear the negative equity position ?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by awesomeJ(m): 8:54am On Feb 16
Agbalowomeri:
Na scenario analysis I give you
You na AwesomeBillions
Better. 😁

5 talents returned 5 talents not 0.5 talent.

100% is the standard.

Your billions can only return billions or more, not 8 zeros.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by SonofElElyonRet: 8:57am On Feb 16
mikeapollo:
You did not get my gist.
I personally believe there may be guys who control billions here this platforms; several of them.
But some people do call them ''audio'' grin grin (that is what I'm referring to, on a lighter note)

I know my how I started with humble sums and what I have in my portfolio today, so I don't doubt at all if someone says he has billions and billions in his portfolio or even cash
I understood you perfectly.. mega dey always talk like that sarcastically.. 👍
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 9:08am On Feb 16
Sunrisepebble:
Come and tell us. Not sure what to do next week
You fit dey lucky make another 8 zeros add this week
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 9:13am On Feb 16
awesomeJ:
Put numbers to help us see clearly.

Your gross returns are 2.5m
Finance cost even is 650k,
Your mmf returns are 375k

You end up with 2,225k


If you just save yourself the unnecessary stress.

You keep the full 2500k

And return your capital immediately.

When it's not like it's hard to withdraw or return your capital.

2500k vs 2225k is an 12.4% outperformance.

It's worse if the real cost you borrow at is above 30%.


You people seem to be using old further maths to run these numbers.

It's basically simple, you can't trade a negative spread and expect to make profit.
You forgot that the loan was for 3 months
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by awesomeJ(m): 9:16am On Feb 16
Agbalowomeri:
You forgot that the loan was for 3 months
I used 6 months.

But the time really just determines how much more you lose.

The fact you lose money isn't dependent on the time.

It's a function of the negative spread between what you're paying as interest and what you're being paid as interest.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 9:19am On Feb 16
No there won't. Dividend can be expressed as a percentage of share price. So 10% dividend will amount to the same 500k.
ojeysky:
but there will be difference in dividends if both companies pay similar amount, RI as well
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 9:21am On Feb 16
grin
Agbalowomeri:
You fit dey lucky make another 8 zeros add this week
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 9:25am On Feb 16
Is this sliced bread? grin
unite4real:
Maybe after the bread makers benefit from the reimbursement then reality will set in. Consumers should feel the effects after one year
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 9:26am On Feb 16
mikeapollo:
I think rhey will also raise capital through long term debt e. g. debentures denominated in foreign currency.
My concern is what happens to the remainder shares for redistribution and how they will redistribute, if at all
What will the qualification date be for the any other redistribution apart from the second one of last year that is still pending credit into CSCS? Further redistribution apart from this two is unlikely. Like I said previously better they sell them as rights to those interested and use it to ease financial stress.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by pluto09(m): 9:29am On Feb 16
Agbalowomeri:
Let me give you a scenario

You have 10m in MM which you put there because you didn't see any immediate opportunities in the stock market. Some months down the line you saw something that you suspect could earn you 50% give or take. You took a 5m loan at 26% for 6 months. You became lucky, you got your 50% profit in 3 months. You actually paid back your interest from the profit and pocketed over 2m without disturbing your core capital. Na win win
He would have made more money if he had withdrawn 5m from his MMF and use it to play the market.
The other angle is that the returns on the stock market is not guaranteed and that could as well turn to a loss and that would be a double problem.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GeeKudi: 9:30am On Feb 16
If you fail to pay your tax, the law gives govt the right to take that tax from wherever you are keeping money even from your stockbroker. dey play

mikeapollo:
Will you voluntarily file and pay your CGT to govt at the end of the year?
Nobody will voluntarily file or pay the CGT.
People initially thought it would be deducted at source when you trade on the NGX but since it is now said to be voluntary, nobody would do it except for corporate organizations like institutional investors.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 9:35am On Feb 16
GeeKudi:
If you fail to pay your tax, the law gives govt the right to take that tax from wherever you are keeping money even from your stockbroker. dey play
That would be the end of the NGX! It wont happen.
The same way we had CGT at 10% in the Finance Act 2021 but was never enforced nor implemented. They just raised the rate to 30% but the implementation would be extremely problematic. This is probably why the Implementation Committee set up by the finance minister said they may have to keep the status quo in several aspects of the law.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GeeKudi: 9:45am On Feb 16
The NGX is not ending!!
It is normal to want to resist change. Give it time, I assure you, you will enter the tax office yourself to file your tax. That being said, I believe the current CGT rate is too high and should be reviewed downward.

mikeapollo:
That would be the end of the NGX! It wont happen.
The same way we had CGT at 10% in the Finance Act 2021 but was never enforced nor implemented. They just raised the rate to 30% but the implementation would be extremely problematic. This is probably why the Implementation Committee set up by the finance minister said they may have to keep the status quo in several aspects of the law.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 9:48am On Feb 16
I don’t really understand the tax laws. If I make 100m in profit (realized) and I take 5m from that amount outside the market. Do I pay tax on the 5m?
mikeapollo:
That would be the end of the NGX! It wont happen.
The same way we had CGT at 10% in the Finance Act 2021 but was never enforced nor implemented. They just raised the rate to 30% but the implementation would be extremely problematic. This is probably why the Implementation Committee set up by the finance minister said they may have to keep the status quo in several aspects of the law.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 9:51am On Feb 16
GeeKudi:
It is normal to want to resist change. Give it time, I assure you, you will enter the tax office yourself to file your tax. That being said, I believe the current CGT rate is too high and should be reviewed downward.
Anything above 10% for stocks is not sensible, considering the risks involved
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 9:52am On Feb 16
Sunrisepebble:
I don’t really understand the tax laws. If I make 100m in profit (realized) and I take 5m from that amount outside the market. Do I pay tax on the 5m?
Ideally yes. 25% of the 5m
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 9:53am On Feb 16
GeeKudi:
The NGX is not ending!!
It is normal to want to resist change. Give it time, I assure you, you will enter the tax office yourself to file your tax. That being said, I believe the current CGT rate is too high and should be reviewed downward.
So when I sell my stocks and keep my money cash inside my room(assuming), they will come and collect the tax from my room?
Or when I convert to foreign currency and wire it to my foreign domiciliary or fixed deposits accounts in Europe, US or Ghana or S/Africa?
You think the proceeds would be sitting idle in my local accounts till end of the year?

When I say the ''end'' of NGX, I mean it would lead to exodus of investors and the index would crash!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by awesomeJ(m): 9:55am On Feb 16
Agbalowomeri:
Ideally yes. 25% of the 5m
Still complex, cos
1. Part of that N5m you withdraw may be your principal
2. If you return the N5m months later, it's deemed reinvestment, so you become exempt.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by awesomeJ(m): 9:56am On Feb 16
mikeapollo:
So when I sell my stocks and keep my money cash inside my room(assuming), they will come and collect the tax from my room?
Or when I convert to foreign currency and wire it to my foreign domiciliary or fixed deposits accounts in Europe, US or Ghana or S/Africa?
You think the proceeds would be sitting idle in my local accounts till end of the year?

When I say the ''end'' of NGX, I mean it would lead to exodus of investors and the index would crash!
The market isn't crashing.

You will just no longer be a participant.

I doubt the market will miss you.

Except of course you control up to 5%.


I look forward to days I will control 5%.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GeeKudi: 9:57am On Feb 16
Yes, you will. I think 25% but you don't pay tax on re-invested gain within the same financial year.

Sunrisepebble:
I don’t really understand the tax laws. If I make 100m in profit (realized) and I take 5m from that amount outside the market. Do I pay tax on the 5m?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GeeKudi: 9:58am On Feb 16
Yes. Make it 10% but be very aggressive with the implementation.

Agbalowomeri:
Anything above 10% for stocks is not sensible, considering the risks involved
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by awesomeJ(m): 9:59am On Feb 16
GeeKudi:
Yes. Make it 10% but be very aggressive with the implementation.
Make it any % but keep the reinvestment clause 😁😁😁
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 10:00am On Feb 16
Ding!!! cool
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by GeeKudi: 10:01am On Feb 16
Dey play. Ask the people in Lagos how they enter banks themselves to pay tax, even penalty for traffic offence sent by sms to their phones without anyone chasing them. If govt is serious with implementation, you've got no escape route.

mikeapollo:
So when I sell my stocks and keep my money cash inside my room(assuming), they will come and collect the tax from my room?
Or when I convert to foreign currency and wire it to my foreign domiciliary or fixed deposits accounts in Europe, US or Ghana or S/Africa?
You think the proceeds would be sitting idle in my local accounts till end of the year?

When I say the ''end'' of NGX, I mean it would lead to exodus of investors and the index would crash!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by 1kinggy(m): 10:02am On Feb 16
crownprince2017:
To the people advocating for MTN, do you use MTN data at all, if you do, you should know that it takes just efficient competitor with wide coverage and affordability to wipe the revenue from that aspect a way. MTN is a definition of failure when it comes to data business, very very bad value for money.

I don't know the extent of that business to their revenue but in the long run I believed they will loose that battle except something is seriously being done to mitigate that asap.
Until then, early investors will continue to milk it.
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