₦airaland Forum

awesomeJ:
You can argue all you want.

I said it was no longer going to do above #5, you were expecting #1000, now it's on offer at #3.80, you're explaining.

megawealth01:
Just imagine and many were chasing 😂

awesomeJ:
What??
Weren't you expressing regret for not buying just a couple days back

unite4real:
what i am trying to explain is simple.

if you have say 1 million units of Dangote Refinery and you find it on full bid, will you release 100k units? doing so and finding the stock doing multiple full bids going forward makes the 100k unit earlier released looks like a loss

yMcy56:
Na human beings be that 😁

JAPAUL that may likely close on full bid self
Some of the volume buyers are not even on queue...

mikeapollo:
And who would subscribe at that time? Most investors would wait until after the acquisition before the buy their shares

Mpeace:
I do not try to impress anyone, I am not a Japaul advocate neither do I have any share in the stock. I have never made any price prediction on Japaul either. I just pointed my observation, the stock opened on full bid and fell due to news of zichi suspension coupled with the SEC warning and Ellah's issues with fund raising. It didn't fall due to Ur prediction. The day you mentioned 80million units sold, the stock still went on full bid the next day. No one here can predict the market accurately at all times. It's only human to admit when you miss a prediction. Stocks don't move in straight lines. It could still go beyond the N5 you mentioned, reason some person's here have been buying the day's low. We are here to make money not to appear correct

chimex38:
Despite the offer failure, Mr. Chuka still sounded more confident that they will close the APRN deal.
It looks like they will.
It's their lifeline for a quicker rebound.

yMcy56:
Na human beings be that 😁

JAPAUL that may likely close on full bid self
Some of the volume buyers are not even on queue...

Over 320M units in transaction volume as at now...

chimex38:
Well, like I said, the offer failed, yet he was still bullish.
He even gave a timeline.

Let's see how smart or non-smart when we reach the timeline.

yMcy56:
This is ELLAHLAKES as at now...
The offers has even reduced....

With the bashing here, one would have thought the offers would be more than 200m.....but the offers on ground is 26Mas can be seen in the screenshot......
*It was around 30 in the morning, reduced to 26 as at now
* Over 9M units in transactions so far

OBAGADAFFI:
Very small farm with fewer than 500 employees.

awesomeJ:
Unless some entit(ies) come to its rescue, the fear will marinate with time, and the offer size will grow similar to how volume of displaced fluid increases as sinking worsens.

awesomeJ:
I don't see the essence of your epistle, I said I no longer saw the stock going above #5, do you really need advanced degrees in mathematics to see that that's what's exactly playing out now?

even if it went of full bid for 10 more years after my statement? how hard is it for you to reaalize that my statement would still be valid as long as it didn't go above #5

I don't understand how you read posts.

yMcy56:
This is ELLAHLAKES as at now...
The offers has even reduced....

With the bashing here, one would have thought the offers would be more than 200m.....but the offers on ground is 26Mas can be seen in the screenshot......
*It was around 30 in the morning, reduced to 26 as at now
* Over 9M units in transactions so far

Stockpromoter:
What Is Distribution?
Distribution is the phase where smart money (institutions/whales) quietly sell their shares to the public after a long rally.
Price often stays flat or slightly bullish
News is still positive
Retail traders are buying aggressively
Big players are exiting without crashing price immediately
Think of it as:
“Selling slowly so the market doesn’t notice.”
Why Most People Don’t Notice Distribution
Because distribution is designed to look bullish.
“Full bid” continues
Social media hype increases
Late buyers feel confident
Indicators still look okay
But inside the market, something else is happening.
How Distribution Works (Step by Step)
1️⃣ Long Rally Comes First
Distribution never starts from nowhere.
Stock has moved from ₦1 → ₦4 → ₦6
Everyone now believes “₦10 is coming”
Early buyers are in huge profit
📌 No rally = no distribution

Next accumulation is coming below 3.50

Whales accumulated Japaulgold @ N2+ in hundreds of million

Learn to follow whales in a stock like Japaulgold

chimex38:
Well, like I said, the offer failed, yet he was still bullish.
He even gave a timeline.

Let's see how smart or non-smart when we reach the timeline.

Mpeace:
Ok. You are right!

Stockpromoter:
⚠️ Quick Caution on Japaul Gold
Japaul has had a short sharp rally. Now price is slowing while volume remains high — that’s often how distribution starts.
Whales sell into strength while retail chases higher prices.
If distribution completes, price could revisit ₦3.20–₦3.50 before the next real move.
Be cautious:
Don’t chase highs
Watch volume on red days
Trade with structure, not hype
Learn to swim with the whales — not against them.

Itzlinda:
Once confidence is lost, it will be difficult to get it bullish again unless there is more positive catalyst

NSEstudent:
Na today I dey see this Morgan Capital market lagging

NSEstudent:
Na today I dey see this Morgan Capital market lagging

handsomebolanle:
They will release more offers. It’s batch by batch. That’s the technique

HesInMe:
I like your faith, but I prefer the numbers:

Even if they scaled down their ambitions and bought only the ARPN oil palm plantation, they'll need N155bn. They currently have about N2bn cash (less cash burn from operations) and N30bn assets.

How do you imagine they'll raise N150bn in 5 weeks?


There is nothing concrete in the company when it moved from N3 to about N17
It is all about paparazzi.
They can still find another way to redirect the price to wherever they want when they are ready.