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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (10206) - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralInvestmentNigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts (15936836 Views)

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 3:50pm On Mar 04
mikeapollo:
Where was NGX when Ote$ and co were pushing their company shares to high heavens?
Na when poor man pikin begin benefit advice surface grin grin grin
But na poor man pikin go still carry the can las las
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by HesInMe: 4:11pm On Mar 04
Probably paid media -- the sycophancy is so off the charts it's laughable -- but interesting read on Ellah and its next steps:

https://punchng.com/ellah-lakes-public-offer-arpn-deal-and-lessons-learnt/
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Stockpromoter(m): 4:12pm On Mar 04
Updated

Loco Insurance Radar (LIR) – Market Closed Edition
March 4, 2026

NGX Insurance Index: 1,364.84 (+0.33%)

The sector remains inside the 1,350–1,380 accumulation corridor, gradually building pressure.
The 1,400 level remains the key breakout trigger for a broader insurance sector rally.


Insurance Sector Activity
Total Volume: ~217M shares
Total Deals: ~3,400 trades
Total Value: ~₦724M

Sector participation remains healthy with liquidity concentrated in a few recapitalization candidates.

Most Active Stocks (Liquidity Leaders)
• Veritas Kapital — 56.4M shares
• Universal Insurance — 48.3M shares
• Sovereign Trust Insurance — 21.3M shares
• Linkage Assurance — 15.6M shares

These stocks are currently driving sector liquidity.


Top Insurance Gainers

• Consolidated Hallmark Holdings
• LASACO Assurance
• AIICO Insurance


Top Insurance Losers

• SUNU Assurance
• Custodian Investment
• NEM Insurance


Stocks to Watch

Momentum Watch
Veritas Kapital
Universal Insurance
Sovereign Trust Insurance

Accumulation Watch
Royal Exchange
LASACO Assurance
AIICO Insurance
Linkage Assurance
Consolidated Hallmark Holdings

Caution / Possible Pullback
Custodian Investment
SUNU Assurance
Fortis Microfinance Bank


Structure Levels (Loco Framework)

Support: 1,350
Major Support / Bullish Invalidation: 1,300
Resistance: 1,380
Breakout Level: 1,400


Loco’s Tactical Conclusion

The NGX Insurance sector continues quiet accumulation below the 1,400 breakout level. Liquidity remains active in several recapitalization candidates while the index maintains a stable structure within the 1,350–1,380 corridor.

A confirmed breakout above 1,400 could trigger a broad recapitalization rally across insurance stocks.

However, a breakdown below 1,300 would invalidate the current bullish structure.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 4:23pm On Mar 04
We have to move up grin
HesInMe:
Probably paid media -- the sycophancy is so off the charts it's laughable -- but interesting read on Ellah and its next steps:

https://punchng.com/ellah-lakes-public-offer-arpn-deal-and-lessons-learnt/
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 4:25pm On Mar 04
As in eh grin

Wale go soon push his own to paradise...

Mark my words but don't quote me grin
Agbalowomeri:
Na when poor man pikin begin benefit advice surface grin grin grin
But na poor man pikin go still carry the can las las
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 4:27pm On Mar 04
Gratefulme:
Mecure? What's the common sense entry price please?
@Gratefulme

My Common Sense Entry price is usually based on a “reasonable” average P/E multiple of the market.. Put in another way, it’s based on the average expectations of new players into the market. Those wishing to take front row seats before the big moves. How much minimum gain would satisfy them..20%, 25% ?….hence the PE of 4 and 5. However, for stocks that are pricey with high multiples, application of this average will be significantly at variance and heavily skewed against such companies. For Mecure a company having a PE of 46.95, it’s best to use the average of the sector which should run about 33 since they breathe the same oxygen ( Average of PEs of Mecure, M&B, Neimeth, Fidson..)

Based on the above
Mecure FY 2025 EPS = 1.62
Average PE of sector =33 ( Mecure =46.95 though )

Fair/ reasonable discount entry for me or for it to make common sense to me and backed by some mathematics, would be any price below 33 x 1.62 = 53.46

Please the emphasis is on...for me.


The picture will be a lot clearer after Q1 2026 results.


I do not own Mecure but would certainly consider buying a few units should the price drop below N53.00 and average down for every further 10% drop below my entry prices and hold for years.

Purely on Common Sense. Not an investment advice. Please do your due diligence backed by research.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 4:29pm On Mar 04
Declare bonus with conditions and see them come out for claims grin
feelamong:
Union Dicon Salt Plc has notified the Nigerian Exchange Limited and the investing public that it has been unable to establish contact with its majority shareholder, Aims Limited, which holds 64 million shares representing 40% of issued equity.

The company is urging the shareholder to immediately reach out through its Lagos office or official communication channels.

Source: NGX
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 4:30pm On Mar 04
And what if it goes below 20 naira?
aj8:
@Gratefulme

My Common Sense Entry price is usually based on a “reasonable” average P/E multiple of the market.. Put in another way, it’s based on the average expectations of new players into the market. Those wishing to take front row seats before the big moves. How much minimum gain would satisfy them..20%, 25% ?….hence the PE of 4 and 5. However, for stocks that are pricey with high multiples, application of this average will be significantly at variance and heavily skewed against such companies. For Mecure a company having a PE of 46.95, it’s best to use the average of the sector which should run about 33 since they breathe the same oxygen ( Average of PEs of Mecure, M&B, Neimeth, Fidson..)

Based on the above
Mecure FY 2025 EPS = 1.62
Average PE of sector =33 ( Mecure =46.95 though )

Fair/ reasonable discount entry for me or for it to make common sense to me and backed by some mathematics, would be any price below 33 x 1.62 = 53.46

Please the emphasis is on...for me.


The picture will be a lot clearer after Q1 2026 results.


I do not own Mecure but would certainly consider buying a few units should the price drop below N53.00 and average down for every further 10% drop below my entry prices and hold for years.

Purely on Common Sense. Not an investment advice. Please do your due diligence backed by research.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 4:32pm On Mar 04
ARADEL. ±
CONOIL. ±
ETERNA. +6.38%
OandO. -0.50%
SEPLAT. ±
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 4:34pm On Mar 04
shocked shocked
ojeysky:
But is it only dangsugar that experienced FX issues Nason did as well so is other. I don't see nascon merging with dangsugar at this current state. Painful I sold nascon to take position in dangsugar. We move!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by alfajohn: 4:41pm On Mar 04
megawealth01:
As in eh grin

Wale go soon push his own to paradise...

Mark my words but don't quote me grin
I sincerely wish he does. I have gambled on OANDO to make me a comfortable wealthy man. Not in a hurry and not under pressure.
My run way is long will review my investment in three years time. With what I have 100 naira gain will result in nine figures increase in value. The gospel truth is buying OANDO is speculative and not based on any solid fundamentals. If you join and put head na you sabi not an investment advice.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 4:45pm On Mar 04
megawealth01:
And what if it goes below 20 naira?
The last paragraph….


Otherwise, Ignore this response if just sarcasm
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Zooposki(f): 4:59pm On Mar 04
Stockpromoter:
Updated

Loco Insurance Radar (LIR) – Market Closed Edition
March 4, 2026

NGX Insurance Index: 1,364.84 (+0.33%)

The sector remains inside the 1,350–1,380 accumulation corridor, gradually building pressure.
The 1,400 level remains the key breakout trigger for a broader insurance sector rally.


Insurance Sector Activity
Total Volume: ~217M shares
Total Deals: ~3,400 trades
Total Value: ~₦724M

Sector participation remains healthy with liquidity concentrated in a few recapitalization candidates.

Most Active Stocks (Liquidity Leaders)
• Veritas Kapital — 56.4M shares
• Universal Insurance — 48.3M shares
• Sovereign Trust Insurance — 21.3M shares
• Linkage Assurance — 15.6M shares

These stocks are currently driving sector liquidity.


Top Insurance Gainers

• Consolidated Hallmark Holdings
• LASACO Assurance
• AIICO Insurance


Top Insurance Losers

• SUNU Assurance
• Custodian Investment
• NEM Insurance


Stocks to Watch

Momentum Watch
Veritas Kapital
Universal Insurance
Sovereign Trust Insurance

Accumulation Watch
Royal Exchange
LASACO Assurance
AIICO Insurance
Linkage Assurance
Consolidated Hallmark Holdings

Caution / Possible Pullback
Custodian Investment
SUNU Assurance
Fortis Microfinance Bank


Structure Levels (Loco Framework)

Support: 1,350
Major Support / Bullish Invalidation: 1,300
Resistance: 1,380
Breakout Level: 1,400


Loco’s Tactical Conclusion

The NGX Insurance sector continues quiet accumulation below the 1,400 breakout level. Liquidity remains active in several recapitalization candidates while the index maintains a stable structure within the 1,350–1,380 corridor.

A confirmed breakout above 1,400 could trigger a broad recapitalization rally across insurance stocks.

However, a breakdown below 1,300 would invalidate the current bullish structure.
Assuming I had a million naira, which would you recommend i buy?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 5:05pm On Mar 04
alfajohn:
I sincerely wish he does. I have gambled on OANDO to make me a comfortable wealthy man. Not in a hurry and not under pressure.
My run way is long will review my investment in three years time. With what I have 100 naira gain will result in nine figures increase in value. The gospel truth is buying OANDO is speculative and not based on any solid fundamentals. If you join and put head na you sabi not an investment advice.
These are the big men in Oando, just like @Megawealth01! God help me oo!

With recent developments, Oando is gradually transiting from ''speculative'' to a ''fundamental'' stock, but it is yet to show in the accounts, so not attracting serious interest or attention.
The recent news on OPL245 is case in point.
Imagine when they start producing from Angola too.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by unite4real: 5:08pm On Mar 04
feelamong:
Union Dicon Salt Plc has notified the Nigerian Exchange Limited and the investing public that it has been unable to establish contact with its majority shareholder, Aims Limited, which holds 64 million shares representing 40% of issued equity.

The company is urging the shareholder to immediately reach out through its Lagos office or official communication channels.

Source: NGX
Are these Union Dicon not confused or confusing us?

The total outstanding shares on their most current released report shows it it has over 273 million outstanding shares. On NGX database as of march 3, 2026, it is also over 273 million units of outstanding shares.

How is a company holding 60 Million shares now amount to 40%?
Why are they reporting a different figure on this notice?

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by sterlingD(m): 5:09pm On Mar 04
ojeysky:
But is it only dangsugar that experienced FX issues Nason did as well so is other. I don't see nascon merging with dangsugar at this current state. Painful I sold nascon to take position in dangsugar. We move!
Let me chip in here when you sell a stock especially one which has appreciated handsomely don't sell everything book profit and leave some behind in case you need to reenter so you have a vantage point when you reenter.refer to Aj8 's explanation on booking profit.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Stockpromoter(m): 5:18pm On Mar 04
Loco Insurance Index Checklist for Recapitalization

Date: March 4, 2026
NGX Insurance Index: 1,364.84 (+0.33%)

Loco Recap Bull Checklist

1️⃣ Index Above Major Support (1,300)
Requirement: Index must stay above 1,300 to keep the bullish thesis valid.
Current: 1,364.84
Status: GOOD ✅

2️⃣ Index Inside Pre-Breakout Corridor (1,350–1,380)
Requirement: Sector should trade within this corridor before a breakout attempt.
Current: 1,364.84
Status: GOOD ✅

3️⃣ Sector Volume Participation
Requirement: Strong participation between 150M – 250M shares
Current Volume: ~217M shares
Status: GOOD ✅

4️⃣ Tier-1 Leadership Confirmation
Requirement: At least one Tier-1 insurer leading the sector.
Custodian Investment Plc → ₦70.00 (+6.06%)
Status: GOOD ✅

5️⃣ Sector Breadth
Requirement: More gainers than losers
Gainers → 6
Losers → 4
Status: GOOD ✅

6️⃣ Broad Sector Participation
Requirement: Majority of insurance stocks must trade.
Total Stocks Traded → 19 out of 19
Status: GOOD ✅

7️⃣ Capital Rotation Across Tier-2 Stocks
Requirement: Activity spread across several insurance counters.

Volume Leaders:
Veritas Kapital → 56.4M
Universal Insurance → 48.3M
Sovereign Trust → 21.3M
Linkage Assurance → 15.5M
Mutual Benefits → 12.4M

Status: GOOD ✅

Loco Bull Run Scorecard

Index Structure → GOOD ✅
Sector Volume → GOOD ✅
Tier-1 Leadership → GOOD ✅
Sector Breadth → GOOD ✅
Market Participation → GOOD ✅
Capital Rotation → GOOD ✅

Recapitalization Bull Run Status

6 / 6 Conditions = POSITIVE

The insurance sector structure remains bullish and aligned with the recapitalization rally thesis.
The sector is currently in the Preparation Phase.

Final Trigger to Watch

The true recap bull run activates when the NGX Insurance Index breaks and sustains above:

1,400

Once this level breaks with strong volume, the sector could enter the full recap rally phase (March – July window).

Loco’s Tactical Signal

Insurance sector conditions remain constructive for the recapitalization bull run.

The market is building pressure inside the 1,350–1,380 corridor while capital continues to circulate across insurance stocks.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Gratefulme: 5:19pm On Mar 04
aj8:
@Gratefulme

My Common Sense Entry price is usually based on a “reasonable” average P/E multiple of the market.. Put in another way, it’s based on the average expectations of new players into the market. Those wishing to take front row seats before the big moves. How much minimum gain would satisfy them..20%, 25% ?….hence the PE of 4 and 5. However, for stocks that are pricey with high multiples, application of this average will be significantly at variance and heavily skewed against such companies. For Mecure a company having a PE of 46.95, it’s best to use the average of the sector which should run about 33 since they breathe the same oxygen ( Average of PEs of Mecure, M&B, Neimeth, Fidson..)

Based on the above
Mecure FY 2025 EPS = 1.62
Average PE of sector =33 ( Mecure =46.95 though )

Fair/ reasonable discount entry for me or for it to make common sense to me and backed by some mathematics, would be any price below 33 x 1.62 = 53.46

Please the emphasis is on...for me.


The picture will be a lot clearer after Q1 2026 results.


I do not own Mecure but would certainly consider buying a few units should the price drop below N53.00 and average down for every further 10% drop below my entry prices and hold for years.

Purely on Common Sense. Not an investment advice. Please do your due diligence backed by research.
Thank you for this cool
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Stockpromoter(m): 5:30pm On Mar 04
Zooposki:
Assuming I had a million naira, which would you recommend i buy?
Under the Loco Insurance Index framework, the strategy is sector-first, not single-stock prediction.

If I had ₦1,000,000, I wouldn’t concentrate on one insurance stock. I would spread across the sector leaders and active volume stocks, because recapitalization money usually rotates across multiple counters.

A balanced Loco-style allocation could look like this:

• Custodian Investment Plc – sector leadership
• AXA Mansard Insurance Plc – Tier-1 stability
• NEM Insurance Plc – strong balance sheet
• Sovereign Trust Insurance Plc – strong trading momentum
• Veritas Kapital Assurance Plc – high liquidity participation

This way you position across leadership + liquidity + momentum, which is safer than betting on a single name while the insurance recap rally is still building toward the 1,400 index breakout.

OR

From the Loco Insurance Index data, three stocks are quietly showing strong participation ahead of the sector breakout watch.

1️⃣ Veritas Kapital Assurance – about 56.4M volume, the highest in the sector.
This shows strong liquidity and institutional activity.

2️⃣ Universal Insurance – about 48.3M volume, another heavy participation counter where money is rotating.

3️⃣ Sovereign Trust Insurance – about 21.3M volume, showing steady accumulation and momentum.

These three controlled a large share of the sector’s trading activity today, which usually indicates where early positioning is happening before a broader sector move.

However, remember the true sector rally trigger remains when the NGX Insurance Index sustains a breakout above 1,400.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Zooposki(f): 5:37pm On Mar 04
Stockpromoter:
Under the Loco Insurance Index framework, the strategy is sector-first, not single-stock prediction.

If I had ₦1,000,000, I wouldn’t concentrate on one insurance stock. I would spread across the sector leaders and active volume stocks, because recapitalization money usually rotates across multiple counters.

A balanced Loco-style allocation could look like this:

• Custodian Investment Plc – sector leadership
• AXA Mansard Insurance Plc – Tier-1 stability
• NEM Insurance Plc – strong balance sheet
• Sovereign Trust Insurance Plc – strong trading momentum
• Veritas Kapital Assurance Plc – high liquidity participation

This way you position across leadership + liquidity + momentum, which is safer than betting on a single name while the insurance recap rally is still building toward the 1,400 index breakout.

OR

From the Loco Insurance Index data, three stocks are quietly showing strong participation ahead of the sector breakout watch.

1️⃣ Veritas Kapital Assurance – about 56.4M volume, the highest in the sector.
This shows strong liquidity and institutional activity.

2️⃣ Universal Insurance – about 48.3M volume, another heavy participation counter where money is rotating.

3️⃣ Sovereign Trust Insurance – about 21.3M volume, showing steady accumulation and momentum.

These three controlled a large share of the sector’s trading activity today, which usually indicates where early positioning is happening before a broader sector move.

However, remember the true sector rally trigger remains when the NGX Insurance Index sustains a breakout above 1,400.
Thank you. I will be buying the below, 200,000 in each.

. Custodian Investment Plc – sector leadership
• AXA Mansard Insurance Plc – Tier-1 stability
• NEM Insurance Plc – strong balance sheet
• Sovereign Trust Insurance Plc – strong trading momentum
• Veritas Kapital Assurance Plc – high liquidity participation
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Stockhunter: 6:44pm On Mar 04
This our fixation on oando sef... Even with negative returns within the last one year with all the prayer and fasting..

we can still run with other stocks and make some 50% here and there and still come back to meet people who tied funds on oando for years and follow una to still chop am clean mouth when the prospects are better.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by deathwing(m): 6:48pm On Mar 04
The thing really tire me. It’s almost like people are massaging themselves into making it a 10x stock. So much talk
Stockhunter:
This our fixation on oando sef... Even with negative returns within the last one year with all the prayer and fasting..

we can still run with other stocks and make some 50% here and there and still come back to meet people who tied funds on oando for years and follow una to still chop am clean mouth when the prospects are better.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Stockpromoter(m): 6:57pm On Mar 04
The most undervalued sector at Ngx now is the insurance sector

If this 1,400 level breaks with strong volume, the insurance sector could enter a broad rally phase. 📊

Keep eyes on Loco index daily summary and his Recapitalization bull checklist for updated information

Culled for Traders in the house
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 7:02pm On Mar 04
grin
Agbalowomeri:
When last did they generate any revenue? grin The shareholder don give up on the company
grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 7:13pm On Mar 04
Agbalowomeri:
When last did they generate any revenue? grin The shareholder don give up on the company
The shareholder is a company; AIMS LTD
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Krisuba: 7:36pm On Mar 04
[quote author=Zooposki post=138662730]Thank you. I will be buying the below, 200,000 in each.

. Custodian Investment Plc – sector leadership
• AXA Mansard Insurance Plc – Tier-1



What happened to Mr ROYAL?? Have the statistics changed??
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by aj8(m): 7:44pm On Mar 04
Xidget:
@Aj8, Abeg,is there any common sense stocks that is still within buying range
VeritasKap
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 8:04pm On Mar 04
When did Seplat join the Karltom index ?
KarlTom:
ARADEL. ±
CONOIL. ±
ETERNA. +6.38%
OandO. -0.50%
SEPLAT. ±
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by chimex38: 8:16pm On Mar 04
grin
Sunrisepebble:
When did Seplat join the Karltom index ?
grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 8:19pm On Mar 04
😂
Stockhunter:
This our fixation on oando sef... Even with negative returns within the last one year with all the prayer and fasting..

we can still run with other stocks and make some 50% here and there and still come back to meet people who tied funds on oando for years and follow una to still chop am clean mouth when the prospects are better.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by eziokwunwoko(m):
@Aj8 : Please Sir, explain the calculation on VeritasKap
aj8:
VeritasKap
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Pesuzok(m): 9:38pm On Mar 04
Bagwa:
https://nairametrics.com/2026/03/02/opl-245-fg-splits-oil-block-for-eni-shell/

ENI Sold its 100% interest in Nigeria to Oando August 2024
The Eni has opl 245 which is an offshore field under their NAE subsidiary which wasn't sold to Oando. What was sold to Oando was NAOC. Eni still operate NAE in Nigeria
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