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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (10396) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 8:15am On Apr 25
What the CBN is trying to achieve with the 100% provision for insider related credit (whether performing or not)is to force bank directors with interest in other businesses not to borrow from the bank they own/ are directors in. This will ensure that those other businesses they own does not enjoy interest rate subsidy from their directors bank and also ensure they dont tie down the bank they own with bad credit. In short it will force those other businesses to compete for funding with thier competitors at a fair rate
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by emmanuelewumi(m): 8:26am On Apr 25
What type of investor are you?


I am a combination of the following

1. Value investor
2. Dividend investor
3. Growth Investor
4. Quality investor

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by naturalflow: 8:26am On Apr 25
This is exactly how banks fail.you wake up in the money water don carry your money.As at q3,no sign of all these gbege,only that toe don japa to seplat.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by stcool(m): 8:33am On Apr 25
You keep draining the bank... taking loans to finance other business at the expense of shareholders funds. Make it make sense.

NGX has only 3 bank...GTbank, Zenith & others!!! 👂🏾

Monday I will exit Access and settle for Zenith & GTbank going forward.



stcool:
Nobody should tell anyone otherwise here....UBA result is a mess for a bank that just raised money last year via rights issue.

Q1 is even a write off....₦801B revenue but only ₦147B profit.

Since TOE has done his own....on Monday the market will reward him.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by jonnysessy(m): 8:52am On Apr 25
By Monday good companies will be rewarded by investors, while bad companies will be punished by investors. It is as simple as that. This will be my first time in NGX hearing that a company paid interim dividend and would not pay final dividend. Or is the final dividend still coming ? UBA just disappointed itself and not me. We move
UBA had rode on the back of GTCO and Zenith to get to this present state. This is called bandwagon effect of companies in the same sector. It is well.

Lesson learnt : Always be wary of results that are delayed, whether by CBN or the company itself. If a company result is fantastic they will rush to publish the result, but if a result is bad they will find a way to delay it under any guise.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 9:03am On Apr 25
grin
jonnysessy:
By Monday good companies will be rewarded by investors, while bad companies will be punished by investors. It is as simple as that. This will be my first time in NGX hearing that a company paid interim dividend and would not pay final dividend. Or is the final dividend still coming ? UBA just disappointed itself and not me. We move
UBA had rode on the back of GTCO and Zenith to get to this present state. This is called bandwagon effect of companies in the same sector. It is well.

Lesson learnt : Always be wary of results that are delayed, whether by CBN or the company itself. If a company result is fantastic they will rush to publish the result, but if a result is bad they will find a way to delay it under any guise.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by stcool(m): 9:05am On Apr 25
It's not by hopping up and down a private jet and entering the back of a Mercedes Maybach for meetings...

GTbank and Zenith that paid N12.76 & N 10 dividends don't have 2 heads. As an investor on the NGX shine your eyes 👀 with zero emotional attachment.

Baba don port to Oil and Gas ....it has all his attention for now.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 9:06am On Apr 25
SEPLAT money long gaan grin
stcool:
It's not by hopping up and down a private jet and entering the back of a Mercedes Maybach for meetings...

GTbank and Zenith that paid N12.76 & N 10 dividends don't have 2 heads. As an investor on the NGX shine your eyes 👀 with zero emotional attachment.

Baba don port to Oil and Gas ....it has all his attention for now.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 9:32am On Apr 25
I will add small speculation to mine
emmanuelewumi:
What type of investor are you?


I am a combination of the following

1. Value investor
2. Dividend investor
3. Growth Investor
4. Quality investor
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by essentialone(m): 9:34am On Apr 25
*CBN’s new “Guide to Charges” – May 1, 2026 – This is actually huge for regular Nigerians.*

CBN is scrapping off a bunch of annoying bank fees. If banks comply, this changes daily banking for millions.

*5 services that become free from May 1, 2026*

*1. Account reactivation & closure*
Old Situation: Banks charged ₦1,000 - ₦5,000 to wake dormant accounts or close them
New Rule May 1, 2026: Free. No more “reopening fee” trap

*2. Monthly account statements*
Old Situation: Some banks charged ₦20-₦50 per e-statement, ₦100+ for paper
New Rule May 1, 2026: Free for regular e-statements. Special printed ones: max ₦20/page

*3. Small interbank transfers*
Old Situation: ₦10 for ₦1-₦5k, ₦25 for ₦5k-₦50k
New Rule May 1, 2026: ₦0-₦5k = Free. ₦5k-₦50k = capped at ₦10

*4. Own bank ATM use*
Old Situation: Some banks still charged ₦35 after 3rd withdrawal
New Rule May 1, 2026: Free – withdrawals + balance enquiry + PIN change on your bank’s ATM

*5. Virtual cards + PIN services*
Old Situation: Virtual card issuance ₦200-₦500. PIN reset ₦100
New Rule May 1, 2026: Free. PIN reset/reissue also free

*Why CBN did this*
1. *Transparency* – Stop banks hiding charges in fine print
2. *Reduce costs* – Nigerians spend ₦150bn+ yearly on bank charges. This cuts it
3. *Financial inclusion* – Poor people avoid banks because ₦50 charges kill ₦1,000 savings

*Who wins / who cries*
*Winners:*
1. *You + me* – ₦5k transfer to mama put is now ₦0 instead of ₦10. Adds up to ₦3,650/year if you do daily
2. *POS agents* – ₦0 fee for ₦4,900 transfers means tighter margins for banks, better for agents
3. *Fintechs* – Opay, Palmpay were already doing ₦0 transfers. Banks just leveled up

*Losers:*
1. *Banks* – GTB made ₦41bn from e-banking fees in 2024. This wipes a chunk. Expect them to find new fees
2. *Dormant account “trappers”* – Some banks made billions from accounts people forgot. Now they can’t charge to reactivate

*The catch – what CBN didn’t ban*
1. *SMS alerts* – Still ₦4 per SMS. Turn it off if you use email alerts
2. *Card maintenance* – ₦1,000/year debit card fee still legal
3. *USSD* – ₦6.98 per session still applies
4. *Above ₦50k transfers* – Still ₦25-₦50. CBN only capped small amounts

*What to do before May 1*
1. *Don’t close accounts yet* – Wait till May 1 so it’s free
2. *Reactivate dormant accounts* – That GTB account from NYSC with ₦3k inside? Get it back free
3. *Ditch “other bank ATM” habit* – Use your bank’s ATM. It’s now ₦0 vs ₦35 elsewhere
4. *Start using virtual cards* – For online shopping. Free + safer than debit card

*Reality check:* Banks will comply on paper, then create new charges. Watch for “Account monitoring fee” or “Digital banking levy” by Q3 2026. CBN always plays whack-a-mole.

*Bottom line:* This is the best CBN policy for the masses since BVN. If you send/receive small money daily, you’ll feel it immediately. If you’re Access Bank, you just lost a revenue line while your 2025 AFS is still with CBN. Timing is wild.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 10:08am On Apr 25
Tony invested your dividend in seplat, make una calm down. I sold off all my UBA and GT bank shares around October last year and put everything in Zenith at average cost of 64 , today that decision is legendary as Zenith has proved its worth. Zenith is my only banking stock. I am not even happy it's flying too fast as I am hoping to buy more sub 100 in May, June or July.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 10:22am On Apr 25
Kano State hands branded underwear to women. 😂😂

There’s nothing I have not seen in Naija. Kano State must be very cold, otherwise why would a governor desperately want to be closer to the warmth between the legs of women?

The action itself is not as shocking as the thought process that led to it. Imagine sitting down and wondering what to give to women of your State and then the idea to print your picture on pants and hand over to them hit your mind.

The courage to make this kind of indescribable choice is most worthy to be a PhD study in a psychiatric institution.

AGBA will buy the shares of the COY producing this soon grin

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 10:23am On Apr 25
If zenith retrace sha no run 😂
ogawisdom:
Tony invested your dividend in seplat, make una calm down. I sold off all my UBA and GT bank shares around October last year and put everything in Zenith at average cost of 64 , today that decision is legendary as Zenith has proved its worth. Zenith is my only banking stock. I am not even happy it's flying too fast as I am hoping to buy more sub 100 in May, June or July.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mankind2024: 12:10pm On Apr 25
In Defense of UBA Plc – FY 2025

Business is not always a bed of roses, just as life rarely moves in a straight line. In all sincerity, investors have every reason to feel frustrated and to direct strong criticism at the management of UBA Plc and its Group Chairman, Tony Elumelu. Market reactions to financial results can be emotional, especially when expectations are not met.

However, investors should also remember that stock markets are dynamic. The best-performing asset today can become tomorrow’s laggard—and vice versa. Short-term price movements often reflect sentiment rather than long-term value.

One undeniable fact from the financial statements is that UBA Plc remains profitable. That alone does not solve every concern, but it does indicate that the underlying business continues to generate earnings. For those disappointed by the share price reaction, it may be helpful to think in terms of compounding assets. Businesses that continue to grow earnings—despite volatility—can still create long-term value. In such situations, value is not necessarily destroyed; rather, price fluctuations may occur in the near to mid-term due to market sentiment, portfolio rebalancing, or profit-taking by both individual and institutional investors.

Anyone who has attempted real-sector production in challenging operating environments will appreciate how difficult it can be to sustain profitability. As a personal example, I recently explored the feasibility of establishing a 20-ton-per-day cassava processing plant. During the study, the cost of providing reliable 24-hour power for roughly 300 operating days per year effectively erased the projected profit, even under optimistic assumptions. That experience reinforced how operational headwinds—energy costs, infrastructure gaps, financing, and currency risk—can weigh heavily on businesses. Ultimately, I chose to abandon the project and focus instead on equity investing and broader geographic diversification.

Against that backdrop, it is reasonable to expect that UBA, like many companies operating across multiple emerging markets, will face periodic pressure. Yet the institution has demonstrated resilience over time. I believe the bank can strengthen its position and address current concerns through execution and consistent performance. This is not blind optimism, but a view grounded in the long-term nature of banking businesses and compounding earnings.

Short-term investors and speculators often feel the most pain during drawdowns. Long-term investors, on the other hand, may see volatility differently—either as a reason to hold steady or, depending on conviction, as an opportunity to accumulate at lower prices. Personally, I intend to consider adding to my position if valuations become more attractive. Markets can be uncomfortable during declines, but periods of pessimism have historically preceded recoveries for fundamentally sound companies.

When performance improves, sentiment usually follows. Until then, patience, discipline, and a long-term perspective remain essential.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 12:11pm On Apr 25
grin
Mankind2024:
In Defense of UBA Plc – FY 2025

Business is not always a bed of roses, just as life rarely moves in a straight line. In all sincerity, investors have every reason to feel frustrated and to direct strong criticism at the management of UBA Plc and its Group Chairman, Tony Elumelu. Market reactions to financial results can be emotional, especially when expectations are not met.

However, investors should also remember that stock markets are dynamic. The best-performing asset today can become tomorrow’s laggard—and vice versa. Short-term price movements often reflect sentiment rather than long-term value.

One undeniable fact from the financial statements is that UBA Plc remains profitable. That alone does not solve every concern, but it does indicate that the underlying business continues to generate earnings. For those disappointed by the share price reaction, it may be helpful to think in terms of compounding assets. Businesses that continue to grow earnings—despite volatility—can still create long-term value. In such situations, value is not necessarily destroyed; rather, price fluctuations may occur in the near to mid-term due to market sentiment, portfolio rebalancing, or profit-taking by both individual and institutional investors.

Anyone who has attempted real-sector production in challenging operating environments will appreciate how difficult it can be to sustain profitability. As a personal example, I recently explored the feasibility of establishing a 20-ton-per-day cassava processing plant. During the study, the cost of providing reliable 24-hour power for roughly 300 operating days per year effectively erased the projected profit, even under optimistic assumptions. That experience reinforced how operational headwinds—energy costs, infrastructure gaps, financing, and currency risk—can weigh heavily on businesses. Ultimately, I chose to abandon the project and focus instead on equity investing and broader geographic diversification.

Against that backdrop, it is reasonable to expect that UBA, like many companies operating across multiple emerging markets, will face periodic pressure. Yet the institution has demonstrated resilience over time. I believe the bank can strengthen its position and address current concerns through execution and consistent performance. This is not blind optimism, but a view grounded in the long-term nature of banking businesses and compounding earnings.

Short-term investors and speculators often feel the most pain during drawdowns. Long-term investors, on the other hand, may see volatility differently—either as a reason to hold steady or, depending on conviction, as an opportunity to accumulate at lower prices. Personally, I intend to consider adding to my position if valuations become more attractive. Markets can be uncomfortable during declines, but periods of pessimism have historically preceded recoveries for fundamentally sound companies.

When performance improves, sentiment usually follows. Until then, patience, discipline, and a long-term perspective remain essential.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Teenaira: 12:17pm On Apr 25
robobo:
What the CBN is trying to achieve with the 100% provision for insider related credit (whether performing or not)is to force bank directors with interest in other businesses not to borrow from the bank they own/ are directors in. This will ensure that those other businesses they own does not enjoy interest rate subsidy from their directors bank and also ensure they dont tie down the bank they own with bad credit. In short it will force those other businesses to compete for funding with thier competitors at a fair rate
You are very right. Even though truth is bitter. CBN is actually helping the shareholders to ensure the integrity of their investment.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by faoogoke(m): 12:20pm On Apr 25
Tony is waiting to buy from those who decide to dump UBA from monday
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Dupeodus: 12:25pm On Apr 25
robobo:
This is not exactly as u stated it (i.e. overstated profit). The mechanics of calculating impairment under ifrs 9 differs from the CBN prudential guidelines (as well as each countries prudential guideline). The rule per CBN is that if the CBN calculation is higher you transfer from your profit to the reserve but if IFRS is higher you maintain the figure from IFRS meaning you cant take out of the reserve. I suspect the difference will largely be because of the new 100% provision for insider related borrowings.

Thanks for the info. I did not know of the difference between ifrs and the CBN impairment standards. The CBN one appears too stiff to me though.

Meanwhile All Nigerian banks (and most international big banks all over the world) adopt the IFRS 9 standard for financial reporting, so their will always be a difference on impairment calculation every year. Thekey is the difference should not be as large as this one from UBA hence my thinking that it is from the new rule of 100% provision for insider related credit which is peculiar to UBA in this instance
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 12:32pm On Apr 25
[quote author=Dupeodus post=139209076][/quote]Yes, the CBN prudential guideline seems to be tougher plus the fact that aside from the guideline, regulators (CBN) can tell banks to make provision for particular loan whether it is performing or not. They do this frequently depending on some other information that might not be available to the banks or related to the particular loan. That is why they are a regulator.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Shalom428: 12:39pm On Apr 25
Money never sits idle. If it leaves UBA next week but stays in the market, it must find a new home. Game theory teaches us: follow the flow, and you’ll find the profits.

Just Follow the Money
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Zagee: 12:47pm On Apr 25
faoogoke:
Tony is waiting to buy from those who decide to dump UBA from monday
After pulling a 100% on USD750m. Smooth operator.

Even 1 naira dey can't squeeze out?😂😂
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by sterlingD(m): 12:53pm On Apr 25
megawealth01:
Kano State hands branded underwear to women. 😂😂

There’s nothing I have not seen in Naija. Kano State must be very cold, otherwise why would a governor desperately want to be closer to the warmth between the legs of women?

The action itself is not as shocking as the thought process that led to it. Imagine sitting down and wondering what to give to women of your State and then the idea to print your picture on pants and hand over to them hit your mind.

The courage to make this kind of indescribable choice is most worthy to be a PhD study in a psychiatric institution.

AGBA will buy the shares of the COY producing this soon grin
Wow wow wow wonderment shall never end
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ppogba: 12:53pm On Apr 25
EDUECO:
Every where gba gbos upon UBA results! grin cheesy

Na Lagos Agberos just full this thread.

All this bank management and CBN done agree to write off some of the profit as non performing loans.This one na coded yahoo! cool EFCC should investigate them! shocked tongue
In other words, the discerning with shares in the big elephant bank should rather shift their hope, attention and gaze elsewhere. The non performing loans in their books is a behemothic Goliath. He that has ears, let him hear.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 1:07pm On Apr 25
Agbalowomeri:
This is not a forbearance issue though. More like credit risk exposure
Its just a poorly run bank/business
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Stockhunter: 1:10pm On Apr 25
You understand the market. For a bank to go full bid for two days na joke? Banks wey shares na water.. i believe they will pay..

megawealth01:
ACCESS will pay dividends

That last minute movement to 36+ wasn't coincidence
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by EDUECO(m): 1:11pm On Apr 25
ppogba:
In other words, the discerning with shares in the big elephant bank should rather shift their hope, attention and gaze elsewhere. The non performing loans in their books is a behemothic Goliath. He that has ears, let him hear.
UBA is in a better position than First Bank.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Zagee: 1:14pm On Apr 25
ppogba:
In other words, the discerning with shares in the big elephant bank should rather shift their hope, attention and gaze elsewhere. The non performing loans in their books is a behemothic Goliath. He that has ears, let him hear.
".....of a Nephelin" (quantifier complete)🤣🤣
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 1:17pm On Apr 25

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Zagee: 1:17pm On Apr 25
megawealth01:
ACCESS will pay dividends

That last minute movement to 36+ wasn't coincidence
It could also be dumping, because this chart I'm seeing here.

Whatever way it might go, just ensure your average is good. Access(long play)
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 1:19pm On Apr 25
I'm in front of the queue.

I'll be back though but I'm definitely selling on Monday...

faoogoke:
Tony is waiting to buy from those who decide to dump UBA from monday
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 1:22pm On Apr 25
I’m hoping to catch it between 40-44 if it gets there
faoogoke:
Tony is waiting to buy from those who decide to dump UBA from monday
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 1:25pm On Apr 25
grin
sterlingD:
Wow wow wow wonderment shall never end
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