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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (10397) - Nairaland

Nairaland ForumNairaland GeneralInvestmentNigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts (16111774 Views)

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Raider76: 1:30pm On Apr 25
Looking at what happened to STANBIC it is very possible you could get UBA at 44.

Sunrisepebble:
I’m hoping to catch it between 40-44 if it gets there
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Payunsin: 1:31pm On Apr 25
I picked my Access at 21 naira because I like good comparies going through challenges that I believe will overcome.
Thank God I no get UBA, pls dump well, well for me to mop at a bargain 😆
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:32pm On Apr 25
If so there is a high likelihood of reversal for UBA’s insider related impairment provisions in coming quarters or years. Not like those other impairments that never reverse.
robobo:
What the CBN is trying to achieve with the 100% provision for insider related credit (whether performing or not)is to force bank directors with interest in other businesses not to borrow from the bank they own/ are directors in. This will ensure that those other businesses they own does not enjoy interest rate subsidy from their directors bank and also ensure they dont tie down the bank they own with bad credit. In short it will force those other businesses to compete for funding with thier competitors at a fair rate
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 1:34pm On Apr 25
KarlTom:
I'm in front of the queue.

I'll be back though but I'm definitely selling on Monday...
Una don really vex finish grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 1:35pm On Apr 25
BabsO2:
If so there is a high likelihood of reversal for UBA’s insider related impairment provisions in coming quarters or years. Not like those other impairments that never reverse.
Exceptional items are back grin grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:39pm On Apr 25
You’re a momentum investor
Sunrisepebble:
I will add small speculation to mine
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 1:43pm On Apr 25
I sell when I think they have peaked but I don’t buy because they’re rising
BabsO2:
You’re a momentum investor
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by debeey87(m): 1:45pm On Apr 25
Going forward, the CBN needs to put a cap on how much these guys can get from the bank even if they have the highest shareholdings. The CBN shouldn't allow them to borrow from the bank in perpetuity because they have the largest shareholding or are a director and end up writing it off using profit from the business in the guise of bad debts etc.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 1:46pm On Apr 25
Haba
debeey87:
Going forward, the CBN needs to put a cap on how much these guys can get from the bank even if they have the highest shareholdings. The CBN shouldn't allow them to borrow from the bank in perpetuity because they have the largest shareholding or are a director and end up writing it off using profit from the business in the guise of bad debts etc.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 1:48pm On Apr 25
grin
Raider76:
Looking at what happened to STANBIC it is very possible you could get UBA at 44.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 1:51pm On Apr 25
UBA still grew TOTAL customer deposits by 10.4% which is just about the same rate Zenith grew customer deposits. UBA total customer deposits is double that of GTB.

If you look purely at only day to day customers UBA even grew deposits better than Zenith.

These are vote of confidence signs by customers to UBA’s banking services.

nosa2:
Its just a poorly run bank/business
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 1:58pm On Apr 25
Na Tony handwork na all the companies him get is using UBA shu grin
BabsO2:
UBA still grew TOTAL customer deposits by 10.4% which is just about the same rate Zenith grew customer deposits. UBA total customer deposits is double that of GTB.

If you look purely at only day to day customers UBA even grew deposits better than Zenith.

These are vote of confidence signs by customers to UBA’s banking services.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 2:00pm On Apr 25
Okay momentum seller. Value buyer.
Sunrisepebble:
I sell when I think they have peaked but I don’t buy because they’re rising
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by nosa2(m): 2:01pm On Apr 25
megawealth01:
Na Tony handwork na all the companies him get is using UBA shu grin
Angle!!!!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 2:04pm On Apr 25
Synergy grin
megawealth01:
Na Tony handwork na all the companies him get is using UBA shu grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 2:05pm On Apr 25
grin
Zagee:
It could also be dumping, because this chart I'm seeing here.

Whatever way it might go, just ensure your average is good. Access(long play)
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 2:07pm On Apr 25
UBA is a hold for me. I like their Q1 deployment of cash.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 2:39pm On Apr 25
UBA and a host of others stocks have been included in my political calculations...
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by debeey87(m): 2:42pm On Apr 25
That's if the board chooses to pursue the loans taken by insiders. Not sure the CBN requires the banks to pursue these loans after provisions have been made for them.
BabsO2:
If so there is a high likelihood of reversal for UBA’s insider related impairment provisions in coming quarters or years. Not like those other impairments that never reverse.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by debeey87(m): 2:54pm On Apr 25
If the bank makes all the money there is and insiders continues to borrow like we have seen in some of these banks, of what use is it? In a way, I like the approach Otedola took with FBN although one is yet to see whether he will also toe the path of the people before him in the bank in borrowing seeing he's now the largest individual shareholder.

GTB and StanbicIBTC continues to deliver value to shareholders YoY. My BEP is 6 and I had high hopes for the dividend, that pained me more
BabsO2:
UBA is a hold for me. I like their Q1 deployment of cash.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Itzlinda(f): 2:55pm On Apr 25
BabsO2:
UBA still grew TOTAL customer deposits by 10.4% which is just about the same rate Zenith grew customer deposits. UBA total customer deposits is double that of GTB.

If you look purely at only day to day customers UBA even grew deposits better than Zenith.

These are vote of confidence signs by customers to UBA’s banking services.
Exactly why I feel there's foul play in their result.

UBA have more customer appeal (both high income and middle class) than zenith bank.

People trust uba more than zenith bank here in the north.

There's no reason why they should not be making more money than zenith bank.

I suspect foul play by their *perspire to aspire*chairman
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Mankind2024: 2:56pm On Apr 25
It is a fundamental principle of financial integrity that one must not mischaracterize a transaction to suit a specific narrative—or, as the proverb suggests, "give a dog a bad name just to hang it."
​Regarding the acquisition of the 20.07% stake in Seplat Energy by Heirs Energies, there is no documented evidence or regulatory filing to support the claim that the transaction was financed using UBA Plc funds. Such a move would be contrary to the strict corporate governance and "Related Party Transaction" frameworks that govern Tier-1 financial institutions.
​The acquisition was anchored by major multilateral financial institutions, specifically:
​Afreximbank (African Export-Import Bank): Provided the primary credit facilities and long-term financing necessary for Heirs Energies to expand its portfolio.
​Africa Finance Corporation (AFC): Acted as a key institutional partner, providing the structured capital required for large-scale energy equity acquisitions.

https://businessday.ng/energy/article/heirs-energies-acquires-20-stake-in-seplat-energy-in-500-million-deal/





ogawisdom:
Tony invested your dividend in seplat, make una calm down. I sold off all my UBA and GT bank shares around October last year and put everything in Zenith at average cost of 64 , today that decision is legendary as Zenith has proved its worth. Zenith is my only banking stock. I am not even happy it's flying too fast as I am hoping to buy more sub 100 in May, June or July.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:07pm On Apr 25
Itzlinda:
Exactly why I feel there's foul play in their result.

UBA have more customer appeal (both high income and middle class) than zenith bank.

People trust uba more than zenith bank here in the north.

There's no reason why they should not be making more money than zenith bank.

I suspect foul play by their *perspire to aspire*chairman
I suspect he’s also not happy with shareholders as he was left to shoulder a huge chunk of the rights.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 3:11pm On Apr 25
Likely from foreign subsidiaries/conglomerates.

I haven't checked Q1'26 though...

BabsO2:
UBA still grew TOTAL customer deposits by 10.4% which is just about the same rate Zenith grew customer deposits. UBA total customer deposits is double that of GTB.

If you look purely at only day to day customers UBA even grew deposits better than Zenith.

These are vote of confidence signs by customers to UBA’s banking services.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 3:14pm On Apr 25
Mankind2024:
It is a fundamental principle of financial integrity that one must not mischaracterize a transaction to suit a specific narrative—or, as the proverb suggests, "give a dog a bad name just to hang it."
​Regarding the acquisition of the 20.07% stake in Seplat Energy by Heirs Energies, there is no documented evidence or regulatory filing to support the claim that the transaction was financed using UBA Plc funds. Such a move would be contrary to the strict corporate governance and "Related Party Transaction" frameworks that govern Tier-1 financial institutions.
​The acquisition was anchored by major multilateral financial institutions, specifically:
​Afreximbank (African Export-Import Bank): Provided the primary credit facilities and long-term financing necessary for Heirs Energies to expand its portfolio.
​Africa Finance Corporation (AFC): Acted as a key institutional partner, providing the structured capital required for large-scale energy equity acquisitions.

https://businessday.ng/energy/article/heirs-energies-acquires-20-stake-in-seplat-energy-in-500-million-deal/
You are right. The acquisition was not financed by UBA but be rest assured UBA would have been part of banks financing working capital (loan / overdraft with a max of yearly tenor). That said, the CBN rule is actually a double edged sword. In that in most frontier/ developing market, banks mogul/ owners are always also players in other sphere of the economy unlike in very developed markets. So there might be a need to find a delicate balance instead of policies that engendered total prohibition
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Dupeodus: 3:17pm On Apr 25
Mankind2024:
It is a fundamental principle of financial integrity that one must not mischaracterize a transaction to suit a specific narrative—or, as the proverb suggests, "give a dog a bad name just to hang it."
​Regarding the acquisition of the 20.07% stake in Seplat Energy by Heirs Energies, there is no documented evidence or regulatory filing to support the claim that the transaction was financed using UBA Plc funds. Such a move would be contrary to the strict corporate governance and "Related Party Transaction" frameworks that govern Tier-1 financial institutions.
​The acquisition was anchored by major multilateral financial institutions, specifically:
​Afreximbank (African Export-Import Bank): Provided the primary credit facilities and long-term financing necessary for Heirs Energies to expand its portfolio.
​Africa Finance Corporation (AFC): Acted as a key institutional partner, providing the structured capital required for large-scale energy equity acquisitions.

https://businessday.ng/energy/article/heirs-energies-acquires-20-stake-in-seplat-energy-in-500-million-deal/
To the extent that there is movement of ₦187billion from the retained earnings account to an asset quality reserve which was the primary reason for the inability to pay dividends, there is certainly insider loan. It may be for other purposes other than the acquisition of SEPLAT.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 3:18pm On Apr 25
BabsO2:
I suspect he’s also not happy with shareholders as he was left to shoulder a huge chunk of the rights.
I doubt this has anything to do with it. I am sure left to Tony he will have paid something no matter how small. The constraints must have been from regulator., coupled with up coming stress testing
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 3:18pm On Apr 25
If we ride with this narrative, who loses at the end of the day? smiley

6.7bn units held
BabsO2:
I suspect he’s also not happy with shareholders as he was left to shoulder a huge chunk of the rights.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:23pm On Apr 25
robobo:
You are right. The acquisition was not financed by UBA but be rest assured UBA would have been part of banks financing working capital (loan / overdraft with a max of yearly tenor). That said, the CBN rule is actually a double edged sword. In that in most frontier/ developing market, banks mogul/ owners are always also players in other sphere of the economy unlike in very developed markets. So there might be a need to find a delicate balance instead of policies that engendered total prohibition
Indeed. It’s a good thing if UBA can loan money to TOE’s connected businesses. Restricting such corporate loans will be wrong. Especially the listed companies. For non listed companies restrictions should be in place. Perhaps the restrictions is related to personal loans and not corporate loans. Will be good to know which one. And provisions for personal loans look one kind as that money can vanish.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by BabsO2(m): 3:24pm On Apr 25
grin
KarlTom:
If we ride with this narrative, who loses at the end of the day? smiley

6.7bn units held
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 3:26pm On Apr 25
robobo:
You are right. The acquisition was not financed by UBA but be rest assured UBA would have been part of banks financing working capital (loan / overdraft with a max of yearly tenor). That said, the CBN rule is actually a double edged sword. In that in most frontier/ developing market, banks mogul/ owners are always also players in other sphere of the economy unlike in very developed markets. So there might be a need to find a delicate balance instead of policies that engendered total prohibition
My take actually is that for such insider loan 50% provision should be ok for loan performing and procured at competitive interest rate (i.e. treated as a stage 2 ifrs) from day 1 of the loan.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by robobo: 3:30pm On Apr 25
BabsO2:
Indeed. It’s a good thing if UBA can loan money to TOE’s connected businesses. Restricting such corporate loans will be wrong. Especially the listed companies. For non listed companies restrictions should be in place. Perhaps the restrictions is related to personal loans and not corporate loans. Will be good to know which one. And provisions for personal loans look one kind as that money can vanish.
Unfortunately Nigerian banks AFS does not show insider loan (i believe FRC should make this mandatory as it is in some other climes) at least stating thier holdings is presently mandatory, this shld also be the same thing for insider related credit.

That said. I dont think the loans are personal. I have a strong beleif they are to his other related companies
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