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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (10667) - Nairaland

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 3:04pm On Jun 22
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 3:05pm On Jun 22
Then they don't understand cowbois grin
presiade:
Many wey dey follow Ote dey sleep on top bicycle steady.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56:

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 3:29pm On Jun 22
On ARADEL

Significant growth in both revenue and profitability.

Revenue increased to ₦728.5 billion, up about 264% from Q1 2025.

Profit after tax rose to ₦120.3 billion, more than three times last year's figure.
Earnings per share (EPS) increased to ₦15.24, reflecting stronger returns for shareholders.

It maintained a strong cash position, giving it ample liquidity for operations and future investments.

Growth was largely driven by increased oil and gas production and the contribution from its expanded investment in ND Western.

In my own observation although I don't have a single unit of ARADEL, this is an excellent Q1 report. Revenue, profit, and earnings all more than doubled, making it one of the strongest quarterly performances among NGX-listed companies.

For long-term investors, the results reinforce Aradel's position as one of Nigeria's leading and fastest-growing energy companies, although investors should continue monitoring DEBT LEVELS and OIL PRICE trends

© MEGAWEALTH01
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 3:41pm On Jun 22
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Beeron: 3:41pm On Jun 22
missuzoma:
Is Aradel heading up or down? I don't know whether to buy now or wait for a few more days.
The Middle East situation taya person.
You should hold on for now:

Disregard their incoming result.
Disregard the news in the middle East.

The reason you need to hold on longer is simple. At this current level, no Institutional buyer will accumulate Aradel, people that are buying now are retailers that their money don't move the market as much. But once institutional money enter the market, Aradel will move.

The risk for entering now is if retailers eventually gets tired, consolidation will happen and if that happens, Aradel will fall back down to the level Institutional buyers are comfortable to buy.

Even if retailers push up ARADEL from this level and everything goes smooth, it won't be long before it gets to overbought region. And I can promise you, another correction will happen.

So hold on for now.

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Oasisblue: 3:41pm On Jun 22
Fantastic Q1 Report I must say!

megawealth01:
On ARADEL

Significant growth in both revenue and profitability.

Revenue increased to ₦728.5 billion, up about 264% from Q1 2025.

Profit after tax rose to ₦120.3 billion, more than three times last year's figure.
Earnings per share (EPS) increased to ₦15.24, reflecting stronger returns for shareholders.

It maintained a strong cash position, giving it ample liquidity for operations and future investments.

Growth was largely driven by increased oil and gas production and the contribution from its expanded investment in ND Western.

In my own observation although I don't have a single unit of ARADEL, this is an excellent Q1 report. Revenue, profit, and earnings all more than doubled, making it one of the strongest quarterly performances among NGX-listed companies.

For long-term investors, the results reinforce Aradel's position as one of Nigeria's leading and fastest-growing energy companies, although investors should continue monitoring DEBT LEVELS and OIL PRICE trends

© MEGAWEALTH01
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 3:43pm On Jun 22
Sunrisepebble:
Does it ?
Does it not? 😊
ARADEL na 3k+ stock overtime of they should continue to deliver this way....
As usual, na amateur's perspective 😊
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ogawisdom(m): 3:47pm On Jun 22
Aradel just dropped the Bomb grin grin grin

2000 let's go there

The news will hit the market properly tomorrow.

Crazy numbers cool

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Sunrisepebble: 3:47pm On Jun 22
As expected bigger numbers due to consolidation but I don’t think it’s “fantastic”, especially considering the market price. My own two cents sha.
Rufy again shares my sentiment https://x.com/rufyb/status/2069067123024957483?s=46
yMcy56:
Does it not? 😊
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 3:50pm On Jun 22
[quote author=Sunrisepebble post=139798030]As expected bigger numbers due to consolidation but I don’t think it’s “fantastic”, especially considering the market price. My own two cents sha. ]

Ok.
Mr. Market always have a mind of its own.
When analysts digest it finish first.
Remember, those assets will most likely continue to add to bottom line profits...
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by HesInMe: 3:57pm On Jun 22
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 4:00pm On Jun 22
HesInMe:
Isn't this already largely priced in?
ARADEL shouldn't be trading below 2k when this result is factored in.....
My own guguru calculations placed ARADEL's value at 1703 without factoring in the Q1...

Remember, na guguru analysis o.....shortcut calculations 😁

Btw, how has result not yet seen been factored in ? huh
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Valthegreat(m): 4:04pm On Jun 22
megawealth01:
On ARADEL

Significant growth in both revenue and profitability.

Revenue increased to ₦728.5 billion, up about 264% from Q1 2025.

Profit after tax rose to ₦120.3 billion, more than three times last year's figure.
Earnings per share (EPS) increased to ₦15.24, reflecting stronger returns for shareholders.

It maintained a strong cash position, giving it ample liquidity for operations and future investments.

Growth was largely driven by increased oil and gas production and the contribution from its expanded investment in ND Western.

In my own observation although I don't have a single unit of ARADEL, this is an excellent Q1 report. Revenue, profit, and earnings all more than doubled, making it one of the strongest quarterly performances among NGX-listed companies.

For long-term investors, the results reinforce Aradel's position as one of Nigeria's leading and fastest-growing energy companies, although investors should continue monitoring DEBT LEVELS and OIL PRICE trends

© MEGAWEALTH01
With this result should we expect Wale not to disappoint? grin[color=#990000][/color] grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by faoogoke(m): 4:09pm On Jun 22
My Access Bank as always no disappoint grin grin grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Potvalor: 4:11pm On Jun 22
Why is Aradel accumulating forex translation losses, leading to comprehensive loss and reduced equity? Abi them been obtain dollar-based assets at a higher rate then? Cos IMO, if they maintain this Q1 form for the rest of the year, their 2026 FY dividend is likely not to be attractive (that’s if they pay at all). My own layman's understanding of the result at first glance.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by HesInMe: 4:11pm On Jun 22
Expectations: The market is future-focused, so we expected a big Q1 (acquisition, war-driven oil price jump) and the share price ran up accordingly.

So the correct question is not whether Aradel had a "fantastic" Q1, but whether it had a better Q1 than expected. And what the future now holds from current share price.

yMcy56:
ARADEL shouldn't be trading below 2k when this result is factored in.....
My own guguru calculations placed ARADEL's value at 1703 without factoring in the Q1...

Remember, na guguru analysis o.....shortcut calculations 😁

Btw, how has result not yet seen been factored in ? huh
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 4:15pm On Jun 22
Valthegreat:
With this result should we expect Wale not to disappoint? grin[color=#990000][/color] grin
Na PETERICHY go hunt this question
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 4:20pm On Jun 22
In my observation and primary concern is the issue of higher debt and the resulting finance costs, but the company's strong cash generation and profitability currently appear sufficient to support these obligations.

But like I said earlier Investors should monitor debt levels, cash flow, and production performance in the coming quarters to ensure the strong results remain sustainable.
HesInMe:
Expectations: The market is future-focused, so we expected a big Q1 (acquisition, war-driven oil price jump) and the share price ran up accordingly.

So the correct question is not whether Aradel had a "fantastic" Q1, but whether it had a better Q1 than expected. And what the future now holds from current share price.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 4:21pm On Jun 22
Potvalor:
Why is Aradel accumulating forex translation losses, leading to comprehensive loss and reduced equity? Abi them been obtain dollar-based assets at a higher rate then? Cos IMO, if they maintain this Q1 form for the rest of the year, their 2026 FY dividend is likely not to be attractive (that’s if they pay at all). My own layman's understanding of the result at first glance.
The oil and gas upstream sector is capital intensive, most of which comes from the West.
There is no way the companies could avoid such translation losses in an unstable currency regime. The panacea is to make enough revenue and income to offset these losses
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 4:22pm On Jun 22
HesInMe:
Expectations: The market is future-focused, so we expected a big Q1 (acquisition, war-driven oil price jump) and the share price ran up accordingly.

So the correct question is not whether Aradel had a "fantastic" Q1, but whether it had a better Q1 than expected.
Expectations was on Q4 2025 but didn't materialize.
There was bull that touches many stocks, ARADEL also moved with expectations of something big from the acquisitions......but the profits didn't start coming in in Q4.....

It started getting sell off....but Q1 has now come to establish part of the expectations and to solidify the base.

You mentioned about Oil price, how low do you think it can go to affect the bottom line and profitability when these guys are Upstream players?

As earlier said, let's watch has events unfolds...
If not for the bearish situation of the market, the price ought to rally and balance at circa 2k or above...🥹
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 4:25pm On Jun 22
ARADEL. ±
CONOIL. ±
ETERNA. -9.90%
OandO. ±
SEPLAT. ±
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 4:28pm On Jun 22
Otedola sold his own company, Gerengu to buy shares in Dangote’s Company. Big Money is Not Emotional. Small Money is emotionally connected to everything. Otedola is like the Warren Buffet of Nigeria - there’s no smarter investor in Nigeria than Otedola. Zero attachment to anything. He moves like the wind. He is called ORACLE by those close to him. When I grow up, I want to be like OTE-Dollar.

People are jealous that Dangote granted him $100M private allocation - but they fail to know that Otedola is Dangote’s most loyal mentee. If Dangote tells Otedola to jump, he will jump. Dangote has never also scammed him - a mentor must never scam a mentee. Our generation need to learn from these elders. I’m deeply inspired by the big Moves surrounding this Dangote Refinery IPO.
Truth be told, before the shares makes it to the public, long term friends would have taken important positions. The market will make friends richer.

Don’t envy the Dangote circle - build your own now. Start making BIG CORPORATE MOVES. Value relationships.

Even on this faceless platform you can meet faced people who would be interested in your well-being, just play SAFE
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by PETERiCHY(m): 4:31pm On Jun 22
PETERiCHY:
SPACEX dropped from circa #200 and touched circa $170

CURRENTLY trading @t circa $180

SWEET SPOT is circa $150

BARGAIN HUNTERS TAKE NOTE!
SPACEX gradually coming HOME to MAMA.

BARGAIN HUNTERS TAKE NOTE!

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by HesInMe: 4:32pm On Jun 22
All fair points. I'm not saying Aradel will crash, but I'm not so sure a strong rally from this point is in the cards. But what do I know? We rely on people like both of you who have a better feel for the market to help us find the way forward.

Personally sha, I got into Aradel at 460ish and sold everything at 1900. We'll see if it was a good call.

yMcy56:
...You mentioned about Oil price, how low do you think it can go to affect the bottom line and profitability when these guys are Upstream players?

As earlier said, let's watch has events unfolds...
If not for the bearish situation of the market, the price ought to rally and balance at circa 2k or above...🥹
megawealth01:
In my observation and primary concern is the issue of higher debt and the resulting finance costs, but the company's strong cash generation and profitability currently appear sufficient to support these obligations.

But like I said earlier Investors should monitor debt levels, cash flow, and production performance in the coming quarters to ensure the strong results remain sustainable.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 4:33pm On Jun 22
Me that I don't have a single UNIT of ARADEL
HesInMe:
All fair points. I'm not saying Aradel will crash, but I'm not so sure a strong rally from this point is in the cards. But what do I know? We rely on people like both of you who have a better feel for the market to help us find the way forward.

Personally sha, I got into Aradel at 460ish and sold everything at 1900. We'll see if it was a good call.
I'm expecting it to fall sef
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Oasisblue: 4:35pm On Jun 22
I expect Q2 result to be even more fantastic because the gulf war crude oil windfall only affected March earnings in Q1, but persist almost throughout Q2. Aradel could be doing better, but I am glad with the Q1 result. These are the numbers I liked most:Operating cash flow: ₦868.3bn. PAT: ₦120.3bn

That is an extraordinary cash conversion quarter. The company generated almost ₦0.9 trillion of operating cash in just three months!

HesInMe:
Isn't this already largely priced in -- especially as oil prices come down?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 4:37pm On Jun 22
Those buying now should be kind of cautious sha
Oasisblue:
I expect Q2 result to be even more fantastic because the gulf war crude oil windfall only affected March earnings in Q1, but persis almost throughout Q2. Aradel could be doing better, but I am glad with the Q1 result. These are the numbers I liked most:Operating cash flow: ₦868.3bn. PAT: ₦120.3bn

That is an extraordinary cash conversion quarter. The company generated almost ₦0.9 trillion of operating cash in just three months!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megawealth01: 4:37pm On Jun 22
As expected nothing strange
PETERiCHY:
SPACEX gradually coming HOME to MAMA.

BARGAIN HUNTERS TAKE NOTE!
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56:
HesInMe:
All fair points. I'm not saying Aradel will crash, but I'm not so sure a strong rally from this point is in the cards. But what do I know? We rely on people like both of you who have a better feel for the market to help us find the way forward.

Personally sha, I got into Aradel at 460ish and sold everything at 1900. We'll see if it was a good call.
Lol at 'rely' ....Which rely? 😁
ARADEL na big men's meat, no be my area....

I blvd with Q2, stability in the market and some bull visitation, ARADEL should cruise above 2k, na GUT Analysis 😊

Let's see how Mr. Market handles it because it has a mind of its own.
We
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Oasisblue: 4:43pm On Jun 22
If oil prices remained elevated during the Iran-related disruptions and production stayed strong, then I would expect a Q2 result showing revenue above ₦700bn again,PAT materially above Q1, and EPS possibly exceeding ₦18–20 for the quarter. If Aradel delivers that, annualized EPS could move toward ₦60–80/share, which would make the current valuation look very attractive, even for new entrants BUT, of course, this Q1 result still does not yet fully demonstrate the earnings power many investors expected from the ND Western acquisition.

yMcy56:
Lol at 'rely' ....Which rely? 😁
ARADEL na big men's meat, no be my area....

I blvd with Q2, stability in the market and some bull visitation, ARADEL should cruise above 2k and move to settle around 2300/2400/2500, na GUT Analysis 😊

Let's see how Mr. Market handles it because it has a mind of its own.
We
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 4:44pm On Jun 22
Na OANDO result I dey expect now....😊
Na that one's price still dey my level..
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