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Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts - Investment (11078) - Nairaland

Nairaland Forum › Nairaland General › Investment › Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts (17181953 Views)

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Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 12:11pm On Oct 07
ghm:
Why are you so fixated on dividends?

First HoldCo is up approximately 185% year-to-date as of early August 2026 . The stock has nearly tripled this year alone.

You can simply sell a few units (any % you want) and use the cash to meet your needs. That's the point of holding liquid stocks—you don't have to wait for a dividend to access value.
What about if he bought at a high price e.g. N150 or N160?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by vibesdot001(m): 12:11pm On Oct 07
Share reconstruction is a way of stealing shareholders shares and money at the same time. If this was on NYSE, this will be the best time to short the stock.

ayobama1:
In my few years on the ngx, I could not remember even a single shares reconstruction that accrued value to shareholders.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by presiade(m): 12:14pm On Oct 07
I know. I only asked the probing question to make you think about your post. The assumption should be that they’d maintain the payout ratio they’ve been maintaining prior the reconstruction. Your initial post that I quoted would be interpreted like the bank now has to pay 10x dividend with unchanged OS, whereas they now have 10x less shares to pay out the same amount to.
mikeapollo:
Theoretically, you are correct.
EPS is very important, but the Dividend paid (eventually out of the EPS) and received by investors would have bigger impact on the price, because they will be comparing it amongst other bank stocks.

Some companies report high EPS, but the dividend paid may be very low, which affects the price.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by presiade(m): 12:15pm On Oct 07
Well, that’s a different thing entirely. My question came from a different perspective.
ayobama1:
In my few years on the ngx, I could not remember even a single shares reconstruction that accrued value to shareholders.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 12:24pm On Oct 07
presiade:
I know. I only asked the probing question to make you think about your post. The assumption should be that they’d maintain the payout ratio they’ve been maintaining prior the reconstruction. Your initial post that I quoted would be interpreted like the bank now has to pay 10x dividend with unchanged OS, whereas they now have 10x less shares to pay out the same amount to.
This has been considered (see my earlier post)

Sterling Bank highest dividend in the last 10 years (without reconstruction) is N0.18k (for FY2024, paid in 2026).
Multiplied by 10 gives N1.80 (or N2). Let's even assume it will be N3
Compare that to the dividends of other banks selling for N70-N77
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ghm: 12:25pm On Oct 07
mikeapollo:
What about if he bought at a high price e.g. N150 or N160?
Fair point. If you bought at the peak, selling now may lock in a loss or a smaller gain—that changes the calculation.

But here's the thing: if you're holding a stock that's up 185% YTD and you need cash, the question isn't "did I buy at the top?" It's "what is my entry price and what is my current return?"

If you're still in profit, selling a few units to meet your needs is rational. If you're at a loss, then the dividend question becomes more relevant—but you should also ask whether the stock still deserves your capital at all.

And let's be clear: dividends are not sacrosanct these days. First HoldCo itself only issued its first positive ordinary dividend in three years after completing a capital raise in Q4 2025 . Even blue-chip names like GTCO cut their interim dividend to N1 per share this year . Dividend policies change with capital requirements and earnings. Don't hold a stock only for a dividend that may or may not come.

The dividend obsession only makes sense if you're holding for income. If you're holding for capital appreciation and you need cash, selling is always an option—regardless of where you bought.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by lawani(m): 12:25pm On Oct 07
vibesdot001:
Share reconstruction is a way of stealing shareholders shares and money at the same time. If this was on NYSE, this will be the best time to short the stock.
If the asset base has grown considerably and the EPS is high then a share reconstruction would be appropriate instead of one share on the NGX being sold at 100k
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ghm: 12:25pm On Oct 07
naturalflow:
do you know if I bought at the 185th percentage gain?selling will then not make sense.
Fair point. If you bought at the peak, selling now may lock in a loss or a smaller gain—that changes the calculation.

But here's the thing: if you're holding a stock that's up 185% YTD and you need cash, the question isn't "did I buy at the top?" It's "what is my entry price and what is my current return?"

If you're still in profit, selling a few units to meet your needs is rational. If you're at a loss, then the dividend question becomes more relevant—but you should also ask whether the stock still deserves your capital at all.

And let's be clear: dividends are not sacrosanct these days. First HoldCo itself only issued its first positive ordinary dividend in three years after completing a capital raise in Q4 2025 . Even blue-chip names like GTCO cut their interim dividend to N1 per share this year . Dividend policies change with capital requirements and earnings. Don't hold a stock only for a dividend that may or may not come.

The dividend obsession only makes sense if you're holding for income. If you're holding for capital appreciation and you need cash, selling is always an option—regardless of where you bought.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by presiade(m): 12:31pm On Oct 07
Okay.

No be say I have STERLING shares. Make dem no pay well, the market will do justice to the share price post-reconstruction. LoL
mikeapollo:
This has been considered (see my earlier post)

Sterling Bank highest dividend in the last 10 years (without reconstruction) is N0.18k (for FY2024, paid in 2026).
Multiplied by 10 gives N1.80 (or N2). Let's even assume it will be N3
Compare that to the dividends of other banks selling for N70-N77
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ayobama1: 12:35pm On Oct 07
mikeapollo:
Yeah,
The one I know that seems good is the share buy-back by Stanbic IBTC.
Buyback is not the same as reconstruction
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by faoogoke(m): 12:36pm On Oct 07
It means we can wait for it at N7 in not too distant future? grin

presiade:
Okay.

No be say I have STERLING shares. Make dem no pay well, the market will do justice to the share price post-reconstruction. LoL
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 12:37pm On Oct 07
presiade:
Okay.

No be say I have STERLING shares. Make dem no pay well, the market will do justice to the share price post-reconstruction. LoL
My own target na Access Bank. I want it around N25 or less
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo:
ayobama1:
Buyback is not the same as reconstruction
Yeah, I know. But what is common in this particular instance is that both led to a reduction in the OS of the companies concerned, which should improve the EPS and DPS
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by presiade(m): 12:42pm On Oct 07
I believe you might just get your wish; but for me, I’m only interested in two banks in only about three banks on the NGX. FIRSTHOLDCO don show me shege way back, and I won’t touch it with a long pole. Also, I won’t touch ACCESSCORP for personal reasons.
mikeapollo:
My own target na Access Bank. I want it around N25
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Jaay2: 12:47pm On Oct 07
Omayie:
grin God abeg o.
I don’t want to be a laughing stock
Lmao 🤣 🤣
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Pennystockwarri(m):
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by ayobama1: 2:08pm On Oct 07
mikeapollo:
Yeah, I know. But what is common in this particular instance is that both led to a reduction in the OS of the companies concerned, which should improve the EPS and DPS
This is debatable
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by edwardaigb: 2:57pm On Oct 07
faoogoke:
It means we can wait for it at N7 in not too distant future? grin
Violences is that you shocked shocked shocked shocked shocked
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by megamart247(m):
OANDO is currently selling at 0.13 Rand in South Africa Stock Exchange which is equivalent to #10 naira.

So those buying OANDO above #10 have themselves to blame
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 3:05pm On Oct 07
megamart247:
OANDO is currently selling at 0.13 Rand in South Africa Stock Exchange which is equivalent to #10 naira.

So that buying OANDO above #10 have themselves to blame
grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 3:07pm On Oct 07
ayobama1:
This is debatable
How do you mean? grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 3:10pm On Oct 07
MULTI-TREX
Congrats to MULTI-TREX shareholders....
Eventually, their funds were not flushed down the toilet.....
Resumed trading today after very long years....😳

** Suspension lifted today 7th October, 2026!

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by thebargainhunte: 3:12pm On Oct 07
megamart247:
OANDO is currently selling at 0.13 Rand in South Africa Stock Exchange which is equivalent to #10 naira.

So that buying OANDO above #10 have themselves to blame
The man should just delist his company. He is using every opportunity to punish shareholders. Imagine an upstream company trading below N40 where there is no downstream company trading below N40 on ngx.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Agbalowomeri: 3:22pm On Oct 07
yMcy56:
MULTI-TREX
Congrats to MULTI-TREX shareholders....
Eventually, their funds were not flushed down the toilet.....
Resumed trading today after very long years....😳

** Suspension lifted today 7th October, 2026!
The money don useless already unless multiply by 10
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 3:23pm On Oct 07
thebargainhunte:
The man should just delist his company. He is using every opportunity to punish shareholders. Imagine an upstream company trading below N40 where there is no downstream company trading below N40 on ngx.
It is very painful! Oando has no business selling under N200 if not for Wale.
But sometimes, these things create opportunity. In the past, First Bank was selling for like N4 for about a year or more when GT, ZB etc were at N15-N20. Same for Wema at 0.50k

Wale cannot have his way all the time. He go cast one day and shareholders will have their way.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 3:23pm On Oct 07
ARADEL
Coded accumulations ongoing here.....
Lots of picking @1377 (-10%)....
No official change in price...
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by yMcy56: 3:26pm On Oct 07
Agbalowomeri:
The money don useless already unless multiply by 10
It's a case of at-all at-all ...
I'm sure many holders might have written it off.....or some of them are not even in stock business again...
* Aside brokers that will be moving the price and crossing from one acct to another, quite a lot won't even believe it's existing or can exist again 😊
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by toyeoye(m): 3:30pm On Oct 07
MULTITREX IS BACK — ₦0.36 → ₦0.39 (+8.33%), hitting a new high. Who actually managed to buy it today?

Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by edwardaigb: 3:54pm On Oct 07
Agbalowomeri:
The money don useless already unless multiply by 10
Still better than my experience with Staco insurance.
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by mikeapollo: 3:56pm On Oct 07
edwardaigb:
Still better than my experience with Staco insurance.
Staco na ''kalokalo'' grin
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by thebargainhunte: 3:57pm On Oct 07
mikeapollo:
It is very painful! Oando has no business selling under N200 if not for Wale.
But sometimes, these things create opportunity. In the past, First Bank was selling for like N4 for about a year or more when GT, ZB etc were at N15-N20. Same for Wema at 0.50k

Wale cannot have his way all the time. He go cast one day and shareholders will have their way.
He has no reason keeping the share price that low. The Brent has been trading between 80-100 dollar, yet it doesn't translate to anything good in OANDO. OANDO is more connected to the center than any other company, but they are after their own pocket without considering that the investor that gave out his money also needed good life.No dividend, no price appreciation and you want me to believe it wasn't calculated effort to frustrate the minority shareholders. First bank has never lagged behind when it comes to price appreciation, it has been following UBA and Access back then bumber to bumper. What is stopping OANDO from following ARADEL bumper to bumper?
Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by KarlTom: 4:05pm On Oct 07
ARADEL. ±
CONOIL. ±
ETERNA. ±
OandO. -3.23%
SEPLAT. ±
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