Describes APC as a fragile anti-Jonathan setup


BROOKINGS, the world’s most influential think-tank based in the United States, have projected President Goodluck Jonathan’s victory over the opposition candidate, General Muhammadu Buhari, in the February presidential election, which it suggests would be keenly contested.

The analysis, context and rationale of the think-tank’s projections were contained in the Brookings publication entitled: Foresight Africa – Top Priorities for the continent (January 2015).

“Though the election is expected to be very competitive, the odds still favour President Jonathan.”

According to Brookings, the All Progressives Congress (APC) is a fragile anti-Jonathan establishment with a sole purpose to return power to the north.

“The party is, however, a fragile one that seems united only in its quest to wrest the presidency from Jonathan or to have power “returned” to the north.”

“The APC gets much of its strength from tapping into anti-Jonathan sentiments in the Muslim north and grievances among the Yoruba who feel that the Jonathan administration has ignored them in key political appointments.”

The report also indicated that “the APC’s strategy is hinged on a combination of popular votes from the North-West, North-East and “the battleground South-West” but also hinted at the possibility of Bola Ahmed Tinubu not delivering the region contrary to speculations.

“What remains to be seen, however, is whether Bola Tinubu, a former governor of Lagos State who played a pivotal role in the formation of the APC and is considered to be the party’s strongest mobiliser in the South-West, will be very enthusiastic in delivering the battleground South-West to the APC during the elections.”

“Tinubu indicated his interest in being the party’s vice presidential candidate but being a Muslim like Buhari, the party’s strategists felt that a Muslim-Muslim ticket might offend Christians and cement the PDP’s labelling of the APC as an Islamic party.”

[/size]On President Jonathan’s performance: “despite Boko Haram, the country is thriving: The economy continues to grow and with the re-basing of its GDP, became the largest economy in Africa and the 26th largest in the world. Jonathan’s supporters also point to his success in containing the Ebola virus, which earned him commendations from countries and institutions around the world.”

The Brookings report also identified factors such as incumbency and numerical control of states where PDP has 21 states and APC only 14 as giving PDP an edge.

“The greatest strength of the ruling PDP is its “power of incumbency,” and all the institutional support that goes with it. Not only does it have federal resources to use as patronage, it also controls key institutions.”

The report advised that all efforts should be deployed to ensure a free, fair and transparent elections and to avoid a meltdown as post-election violence seems very likely.

“Post-election violence is therefore likely in the north if the APC loses while renewed militancy in the restive Niger Delta is likely if Jonathan does,” the report noted.

http://www.tribune.com.ng/news/news-headlines/item/27083-apc-is-a-fragile-anti-jonathan-setup-brookings

By the special grace of God

Gej wil retain that seat til 2019 before a northerner from middle belt wil take over

MODIFIED
Thank God i'm FTC shows that GEJ wil come first come febuary

Niwdog:
By the special grace of God

Gej wil retain that seat til 2019 before a northerner from middle belt wil take over

Amen

The oracle has spoken.

The last paragraph looks scary though.

“Post-election violence is therefore likely in the north if the APC loses while renewed militancy in the restive Niger Delta is likely if Jonathan does,” the report noted."

You are a liar

SAI GEJ ! SAI GEJ !! SAI GEJ!!!

SAI SAI SAIII GGEJ-2019

Every body is just deceiving gej if election isn't rigged gej himself knws isn't going to win.

Rubbishesesesesesesesese

its difficult to belive but GEJ will retain the postion.

We all know this fact. That's why we called him before the international community to sign a "peace accord" so when he finally lose, the monkeys he nurture in the west and his baboon in the north we all escape from untimely death. Evident that Bookohari hope will be dashed again leaving him weep like a bush baby this time. Election is not won on social media. A serial loser destined for humiliation for the many death of innocent Nigerians cant smell that seat. Those youth corpers blood will sink him to his catacomb

b1327:
Every body is just deceiving gej if election isn't rigged gej himself knws isn't going to win.

My dear, it's not by burning megabytes ranting on social media oh. . .
The APC noisemakers are loudest but this game is a lot more than that

Behold our Presidoo

America is a Learner......ur eyes will soon clear....the hat read u have for buhari DAT made u toppled his govt cos he refused to do ur biddings still lingers abi.....I hope Obama has a PVC to vote?...yeye dey smell...d power to decide who wins d forth coming election is hinged on d Nigerian electorate and not some white ass Americans so pls shutbur gut and leave Nigerians to decide biko

WE ALREADY KNOW THAT HE WILL WIN!

How can a semi-illiterate terrorist win in a democratic election?
Buhari is unelectable for life!

GEJ abeg carry go!

Mega crap!

Goddex:


My dear, it's not by burning megabytes ranting on social media oh. . .
The APC noisemakers are loudest but this game is a lot more than that

Behold our Presidoo

hmmm dearie February14 is very close so don't let us argue.

b1327:
hmmm dearie February14 is very close so don't let us argue.

No it's Faibuhari 14, 2015

[size=15pt]Vote GEJ
Vote PDP[/size]

Goddex:


No it's Faibuhari 14, 2015

[size=15pt]Vote GEJ
Vote PDP[/size]

dearie this is not about gej but is about changing d party "pdp" cos we all knw dey both dsame.
So vote for buhari.
Vote change
Cos am sure u don't want 2 stay in 1 spot for ever.

b1327:
dearie this is not about gej but is about changing d party "pdp" cos we all knw dey both dsame.
So vote for buhari.
Vote change
Cos am sure u don't want 2 stay in 1 spot for ever.

No, sweethrt.
Buhari is never that change.
Only a stewpid man changes for something less

Gej will win definitely, cos he is d most credible candidate we have, we re jst waiting to celebrate officially come febuary

We don't want #bloodshedchange
We want continuity
Vote for continuity of d transformation going on

If u dnt ve any reasonable tyn to say dnt quote me
#quotemeanddie

Of course we already know that.

Jennynkk:
GEJ all the way. We do not want illiterates without certificate in the corridors of power.

lols

Its the opinion of one 'Jideofor Adibe', a lecturer at Nasarawa State University and the Brookings Institution confirmed it. How is the opinion/research of Jideofor Adibe that of US government?

http://mobile.twitter.com/beambini/status/557441262828392448?p=v

Goddex:


No, sweethrt.
Buhari is never that change.
Only a stewpid man changes for something less

baby let kick out zoologist and architect(who knw nothing about law) so we can join hands together to vote in a gen and a lawyer(prof"very rare in nig"who knws wat we call law.
Honey we go for somtin higher not lesser.
Vote change

whats this news waiting to get to front page

jjj

WHY JONATHAN CANT WIN IN 2015
1. He has maligned the core north of Hausa and Fulani labelling them as power hungry. I can see 90% of them voting for APC.

2. He and his cronies have castigated all muslims in Nigeria and enveloped them as blood sucking terrorists. Meanwhile roughly half of the country is Muslim. I see 95% of of them voting for APC.

3. He and his followers then decided to become dumbasses of the century by focusing on rotten smear tactics that have reached a new low. I can see more than 99% of reasonable, literate and intelligent people voting for APC.

4. On a whole Jonathan has underperformed and destroyed critical areas of Nigeria in terms of economy, security, infrastructure,etc. I see patriotic and well meaning Nigerians voting 100% for APC.

Now tell me how Jonathan can win the election.

Sai Buhari!!!

Double post.

GEJ TILL 2019!

Who ever wins, what we Nigerians want is for our economy to stabilize and we can be rank among Great Nations like other.

Okay Na Una be the Nigerian Masses.

Brookings think thank my foot.

We talking Change
U talking non sense








Saii Buhari!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Till 2020