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Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones - Investment (7) - Nairaland

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Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by copiescopy(m): 2:45am On Dec 17, 2016
They are done with Nigeria . next move for MMM is Ghana or Togo.
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by RealityShot: 2:48am On Dec 17, 2016
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Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by Wizdude(m): 3:24am On Dec 17, 2016
If you knew all these, why didn't you write about it before the freezing News, Ehn? It clearly shows you know nothing about the mmm shit. You're here to just pull traffic...tchew
I'm not an mmm person but you guys are not doing yourselves good by creating all these useless threads.

4 Likes

Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by 3rdlegxxx(m): 3:32am On Dec 17, 2016
Interesting how so man man happy their friends and family are sad. Nigerians a weird bunch

1 Like

Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by Nairasolutions: 3:33am On Dec 17, 2016
Instead of waiting for mmm ,why not join us in ultimate cycler and start earning 50k-100k weekly...contact 08167566759 for registration... Guaranteed extra income stream... Ultimate cycler is back and fully upgraded with several features and benefits..
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by onatisi(m): 3:41am On Dec 17, 2016
3rdlegxxx:
Interesting how so man man happy their friends and family are sad. Nigerians a weird bunch
mmm will bounce back
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by muyiwaojo1(m): 4:53am On Dec 17, 2016
This is the truth

2 Likes

Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by itsmaleekbaby(m): 5:33am On Dec 17, 2016
MoyoGENERAL:


You got this wrong, it should be the other way round!

The guy na OLODO... saying rubbish. dont know why some even cry more the bereaved

1 Like

Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by back2sender: 5:43am On Dec 17, 2016
MisterGrace:
Stop creating more tension. You are not helping matters.
MMM IS DEAD AND BURIED.
WE WARN UNA BUT GREED NO LET YOU PEOPLE SEE ROAD.
MMM IS DEAD AND BURIED
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by Drlaw(m): 6:14am On Dec 17, 2016
Wizdude:
If you knew all these, why didn't you write about it before the freezing News, Ehn? It clearly shows you know nothing about the mmm shit. You're here to just pull traffic...tchew
I'm not an mmm person but you guys are not doing yourselves good by creating all these useless threads.

Don't crucify that dude if you ain't mmm subscriber don't take side against what he feels or write weather his pulling traffic or not so many people had been informed before now I could remember I was using Wealth solution as an example , but for people like you that so myopic this is how they react to my advice then. I beg if awufu don't tire some of ur people pocket and u don dey pre tend for here I beg pack well...no use panadol for another people headache let him write what he feels like.stop subrogating.

1 Like

Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by alezzy13: 6:27am On Dec 17, 2016
Again I ask, if the energy, passion and such unrelenting zeal used in bringing mmm down and spamming everywhere with essentially useless "analysis" by one jobless mofo was used in tackling the REAL problems facing the country, imagine - just imagine - the profound impact it would have in turning things around.

Corruption, poor governance, useless 'belle-first', violence prone politicians, etc are evidently not the problem.

MMM is.

Soory, but you anti-MMM crew, esp those that keep jumping from thread to thread to rejoice over the alleged crash are some of the most intensely imbecilic, callous, jobless, shortsighted beings every known to mankind.

3 Likes

Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by koolaid87: 7:02am On Dec 17, 2016
MisterGrace:
Stop creating more tension. You are not helping matters.

I think he is...The earlier people accept this, the better...
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by koolaid87: 7:04am On Dec 17, 2016
alezzy13:
Again I ask, if the energy, passion and such unrelenting zeal used in bringing mmm down and spamming everywhere with essentially useless "analysis" by one jobless mofo was used in tackling the REAL problems facing the country, imagine - just imagine - the profound impact it would have in turning things around.

Corruption, poor governance, useless 'belle-first', violence prone politicians, etc are evidently not the problem.

MMM is.

Soory, but you anti-MMM crew, esp those that keep jumping from thread to thread to rejoice over the alleged crash are some of the most intensely imbecilic, callous, jobless, shortsighted beings every known to mankind.


I feel your pain...sorry Bro
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by Okeikpu(m): 7:23am On Dec 17, 2016
MrEverest:
I doubt you really did research on MMM as you said op, your analysis is wrong. I hope you wont eat your words when they come out again in january.
Continue deceiving urself
Gambler grin
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by Superheroman: 7:34am On Dec 17, 2016
They said that MMM don't do business, the financial institutions that do business what impact have they made to the poor masses life. In fact the financial institutions, government are the main ponzi scheme. And they should be lambasted by the media and the gullible government deceived youth. I rest my case
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by seunoni34(m): 7:41am On Dec 17, 2016
MoyoGENERAL:


You got this wrong, it should be the other way round!
he is very ignorant, how can you say when the number of people giving money exceeds the number of people cashing out the scheme will crash? He even said the "planter's" wife? What a shadow analysis. He knows close to nothing about the system.

1 Like

Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by Mtncardseller(m): 7:43am On Dec 17, 2016
Long live MMM

Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by unphilaz(m): 7:59am On Dec 17, 2016
uckennety:
Jobless blogger watch and see
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by mecussey(m): 8:02am On Dec 17, 2016
infohenry:
The problem MMM is facing is due to the outrageous bonus they were giving to the guilders and 10% referral bonus. This system does generate any money, the money only come from participants and somebody is collecting as much 10m without giving anything back, so who pays the money if not those providing help. I doubt MMM will bounce back but if it will come back those bonuses should be cancelled so that what goes out will equal what comes in.

Point...that was just the problem the scheme had and I saw it earlier. Referral bonus was much and was continues. Most pple were not putting anything in the system but were cashing out huge.
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by femummy(f): 8:10am On Dec 17, 2016
infohenry:
The problem MMM is facing is due to the outrageous bonus they were giving to the guilders and 10% referral bonus. This system does generate any money, the money only come from participants and somebody is collecting as much 10m without giving anything back, so who pays the money if not those providing help. I doubt MMM will bounce back but if it will come back those bonuses should be cancelled so that what goes out will equal what comes in.

u ve said it all
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by MrEverest(m): 8:44am On Dec 17, 2016
Okeikpu:
Continue deceiving urself
Gambler grin
So how is it your funeral if I choose to be a gambler Your name already shows how irresponsible you are, kettle calling pot black!
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by Okeikpu(m): 8:50am On Dec 17, 2016
MrEverest:
So how is it your funeral if I choose to be a gambler Your name already shows how irresponsible you are, kettle calling pot black!
what az my name got to do wt you byn a gambler
You need to stop gambling my dear
It won't do any good .
Try n work hard n quit smoking n gambling
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by MrEverest(m): 8:54am On Dec 17, 2016
gemale:

It is always beta 2 assume d worst in such situations. It is beta 4 op & mmm 'haters' lyk me 2 eat our words dan 4 us 2 b ryt. If we r ryt.... Things wld b very terrible. D signs dnt look too good.
Sorry, I can't hold a hand on your point.
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by MrEverest(m): 9:04am On Dec 17, 2016
Okeikpu:
what az my name got to do wt you byn a gambler
You need to stop gambling my dear
It won't do any good .
Try n work hard n quit smoking n gambling
I've never been a gambler. Never been a smoker and I work real hard and smart to make my dough with diversified income and assets to show for my efforts. Yes, your name already shows how irresponsible you are, because no sane gentleman will use such name. Can you translate it to English
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by gemale(m): 10:00am On Dec 17, 2016
MrEverest:
Sorry, I can't hold a hand on your point.
My point is that I hope I'm wrong & mmm comes back in January. If not, things would be hellish. Do you know the number of people that committed suicide in Russia after mmm crashed? But the fact is that come 14th of next month, there would be a mad rush to GH which might not match the numbers available to PH leading to the crash of mmm.
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by MrEverest(m): 10:16am On Dec 17, 2016
gemale:

My point is that I hope I'm wrong & mmm comes back in January. If not, things would be hellish. Do you know the number of people that committed suicide in Russia after mmm crashed? But the fact is that come 14th of next month, there would be a mad rush to GH which might not match the numbers available to PH leading to the crash of mmm.
Yes, there would be a mad rush to GH by january but do you think the admin is stvpid not to have envisaged that? They are going to do either of the following 1. Ask those who wants to GH to PH again before getting their previous money. 2. Allow for GH in phases or instalmentally. This is not rocket science, they could even reduce referal and guilders bonus. Ofcourse it would be catastrophic if mmm does not come back because those that used their gratuities, life savings, loans, project money etc would be devastated but mmm is not crashing, atleast not now!
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by Bobxin: 10:40am On Dec 17, 2016
MisterGrace:
Stop creating more tension. You are not helping matters.


He should have posted this after January 2017
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by Lagban(m): 10:54am On Dec 17, 2016
Attention seeking blogger. U shld av predicted the US ELECTION na. To hell with ur prediction. Mmm will continue to rock. I will quote ur prediction again come January 14.2017.
cramjones:
As always, I would comment on contemporary issues that affect the Nigerian populace. All for love of Nigeria. Even though I believe that Nigeria as it stands is close to a failed state, we can all do more through visionary leadership to emancipate our country from the cesspit that has gutted it. That said, I have followed closely the MMM phenomenon since it came to my attention, and as it is normal of my analytical mind, I have taken time to study the trend, review historical facts, and all other data available to me. After this review I have therefore, come to the following conclusions on the fate of MMM.

1. For those that are hoping MMM would suddenly resurface in January because the Nigerian planter's wife said so in a note, are definitely setting themselves up for depression. Nothing of such would happen. This is the deal, MMM is not an investment it is a gamble. The money is only redistributed therefore the system would crash when two conditions occur - something that has already taken place - and these conditions are as follows:

-When new comers or "help providers" exceeds those who want to receive "help" it sets the stage for a crash

-When those withdrawing exceeds a critical amount needed to keep it rolling regardless of the number of people joining, then the system would crash.

I believe these two conditions have been met. Christmas time is a time no one wants to give money, rather they want to be helped, with the overwhelming withdrawals that far exceeded the "help providers" the system had to be shut down, because money does not grow on trees.

2. If MMM ever have a blinker to open, which I doubt very much in January as stated in their later, there would be a state of panic withdrawals, and there would be sharp decline of the new people that would have otherwise joined. This panic withdrawals, would lead the MMM handlers to shut it down completely and take with them whatever is left of the system.

3. The other reason MMM had to shut down early December is more likely than not to ensure maximum "cash outs" by the handlers. At this time there is an all time high of money in the system because people put in most of what they had to ensure they get good cash for the Christmas, this high would not happen any other time of the year, so this was the best time for the handlers to cash out big, and I believe they already did.

Finally, the MMM phenomenon further shows the failed system of Nigeria. This system only flourishes in this magnitude in failed countries. It thrived in Russia during the collapse of the Soviet Union, failed Zimbabwe, thrived in failed parts of South Africa, like Soweto. People have lost hope in any decent labor or lack of jobs thereof. Other are greedy and sometimes plain dumb.

Good luck to everyone "waiting" in trepidation to get help. I wish you luck.

God Bless the Federal Republic of Nigeria

-CramJones
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by Mrrespect(m): 11:16am On Dec 17, 2016
ovieigho:
Let not decieve ourselves anymore ,the January time won't come.it is all over but watch out for similar scheme in the next ten years and take precaution.

In order news there is still hope for MMM if ultimate cycler can come back to life ! Then MMM can
Join the moving train .....WhatsApp me to register

Confusion
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by vislabraye(m): 11:51am On Dec 17, 2016
cupidFlint:
We were warned to invest with our spare money which I personally did. am not even disturbed. if it comes back on in January, which I doubt it would, then good for us, if it doesn't so be it. The greatest blame should be on the present government cos if our economy had been buoyant these folks wouldn't have come in the first place.
. That's what most mmmers say. It's just plain ridiculous... . So who has spare money to waste. From that statement you can deduce that it's a gamble.
Re: Prediction And Analysis On The Future Of MMM - Cramjones by Ugosample(m): 2:44pm On Dec 17, 2016
Benoxvals:
BETWEEN PONZI SCHEME AND FRACTIONAL RESERVE LENDING POLICY: A CASE FOR MMM AND OTHER MUTUAL AID (PEER-TO-PEER DONATION) SCHEMES.

I would start by saying I am an ardent student in the subject of money and currency (Yes, they aren't the same). From the creeping into America's lexicon of "war is profitable" and the severing of dollar from gold by President Nixon (that set a new standard of fiat currencies for the rest of the world), I read about and crave money devotionally. Since I love the subject of money and currency, I had to do my study into the two subjects above. This became necessary as the words "ponzi scheme" first landed on the Nigerian mainstream terrain, an event that coincided with the arrival of MMM 2011.

We hear a lot of publicity about the danger of MMM, about how it is a "ponzi scheme", they keep saying; and how it is doomed to crash. Funnily, I hear these narratives from people who are hurt first hand by the mere existence of this economic bandage from Russia, and also from people whom this scheme is designed to liberate from and assuage their poor standard of living. So I concluded that the rich and powerful are as rich and powerful because the others are lazy and ignorant. That I'm very sure of.

I digressed.

My simple litmus test to ascertain if any antic against MMM is really a decision based on knowledge and research, or simply a "masses reasoning" that exists for the rich and powerful to exploit: I try to engage people in a debate comparing fractional reserve lending legally practiced by financial institutions and the ponzi scheme of Sergei Mavrodi and other Robin Hoods. 99% of the time, they test very blue: they've never even heard of Fractional Reserve Lending, and they first heard the words "ponzi scheme" from Linda Ikeji Blog or Premium Times.

So what exactly is a ponzi scheme? And does MMM really fit as one? I am asking you!

My attempt: I'll spare you the dictionary definition. You can find that with a quick Google search. An analogy that attempts to describe it (one the authorities and other critics have used to describe MMM), because it is the least "jargonless", is simply ROBBING PETER TO PAY PAUL. But that definition falls flat in the face of mutual consent between Peter and Paul. No one is being robbed. Today Paul takes from the pool Peter also contributed into, tomorrow Peter does. Sounds more like very sophisticated "Osusu". Very sophisticated. Since I'm not an expert, pardon my non comprehensive elaboration. But I think its conciseness fits the context.

So how about Fractional Reserve Lending. It's simply a policy that allows a commercial bank to just keep a fraction of the deposit it claims to hold, and is able to use the other in other ventures that are not fully risk-proof; like give out a loan to individuals or government, invest in capital projects or whatever. In other words, Customer A takes N100k to "Second Bank of Nigeria". He gets some sort of digital receipt in the form of a balance back to his home. The law of Fractional Reserve Lending allows the bank to keep just a percentage of that N100k (usually 10%) and engage the other in trade. So Second Bank of Nigeria can then go ahead to give out N90k as loan to Customer B. So customer A has digital receipts, Customer B has N90k in hand. That is 190k in existence without any interest, without any genius from any banker, without any sweat from any marketer. Just the law.

Let's pull both concepts towards a meeting vanishing point. The concept of Ponzi Schemes and Fractional Reserve Lending allows artificial currency to be created into a system. 30% extra Mavros; N100k final balance in an account. Both of these can be converted to cash. You either GH or you communicate with your bank to pay you.

So, the obvious question arises: how are those extra derivatives we created from the ponzi scheme and fractional reserve lending accommodated? The simple answer is that everyone won't go to the bank the same day. Today it's Peter, tomorrow it's Paul. If Paul and Peter go the same day, MMM or Second Bank of Nigeria crashes. That simple.

So if they are so similar, why is one embraced and the other is considered legally and morally criminal?

Let's go back to the illustration. Customer B deposits his 90k in Second Bank for a while or simply takes it to "Gitib Bank". Gitib Bank replicates the process and are able to keep just N9k and loan out N81k to another customer, C. Already N271k has been generated from just 100k physically circulating. The rest are just numbers in computers. Only one person has N100k, two other people owe the banks N171k. Imagine!

Maybe they all loan at a generous interest rate of 5% pa (which never happens). Do the math on the derivatives these banks can create from mere "keeping" of people's currency. Even without any interest on the ricocheted use of people's deposits, those guys will smile to the bank. Oh! They are already at the bank. My bad.

Secondarily, money supply increases, inflation sets in, the keke guy has to work harder to afford the life he lived earlier with less resources and stress. All while some Agbaje or Adenuga guy smiles at his billions made "legally."

Then came Sergei Mavrodi with his concept of creating this pool of increased currency supply, but designed not to benefit him, but to benefit the masses. Not the big owners. Not the government who feed on taxes and can't do anything to hurt compliers. Then came MMM.

If you didn't know this already and was busy criticising, I hope this will help you understand why the huge PR efforts to discredit MMM and dissuade your involvement in it. And I hope you now know that those guys had what they were fighting for, and you didn't. You were just an egotistic opinionist who didn't even know where the gun barrel was pointing. I hope too you realise how foolish you've been all the while.

In conclusion, MMM is actually your friend that you threw out. The real ponzi scheme is the bank. They won't even give you loan to plant a plot, they don't go any extra length to add value to you. It's all business for them. The government is their accomplice and we all know they are worse. Like Sergei asked, "if you know what is right for people, why is the life so bad in the country?"

If a Senator that does not care about your dilapidated learning infrastructure, where you have to go out from and compete in the same market space with folks from Norway and China, if they don't care about your near zero healthcare, why do you suddenly think that they will care about where your business risks lie? How could you be so foolish? The other day I landed in a chat room with folks that are deeply into cryptocurrency and are in far away Europe, and I began to really feel the impact of NOT having power 20 hours out of 24 in the 33 years I've been alive; of taking GST classes in a hall crammed to varendah, under a lecturer who does not even know me; of having to buy internet bundles at exploitative prices and still having to move from kitchen to varendah in search of signal to connect Google. I felt like an illiterate with no hope.

Yet those guys who are benefiting from this ruin want to advise me how to keep my hard-earned money. I stand with MMM through the trying time. I just PHed 50k. I'll gladly pay that into the system and not expect return if that's the cost of finding its balance again. #IStandWithMavrodi!

THIS GUY WROTE A MAGNIFICENT PIECE AND WAS NEVER ON FP..I still wonder Nairaland is seriously advocating against MMM.


Is the writer seriously comparing MMM with Fractional Reserve Banking

Na wa o.

The only premise that can make MMM comparable with Banking is if there is a Central bank (or body) to regulate their activities.

But there is no regulation, nothing, how is bonus determined? etc etc.

It is a beautiful piece nonetheless.
But MMM and Banking cannot be compared

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