This is what selfishness would cost any. A hard lesson

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tesppidd:
How could what i wrote be interpreted as wanting APC to participate?

How you dey reason your own sef?


My logic is not for the party APC to participate,

but for the Zamfara indigenes who voted for APC to exercise their franchise and participate.

Its still the same thing as voting for unregistered party

Preator:
Hm.
There are two dimensions to this. He doesn't need the 202k votes to win. He just need to get 25% of the votes in 2/3 of the local govts. So we need the local govts votes breakdown to confirm.
Alternatively, if the APC votes are "wasted" and of "no consequence", the total vote cast drops significantly. That will essentially ensure that he meets the required 25% in 2/3 of the LGAs

See the break down.

*IT IS NOT YET UHURU FOR PDP IN ZAMFARA STATE*

IBRAHIM ABDUL, Esq. P.hD. ANALYSED:

ZAMFARA: A NOVEL CONSTITUTIONAL PRECEDENCE
From the Supreme Court judgement today and my analysis of the Zamfara State declared Guber results vis-a-vis the declaration of the Apex Court ''that the runner-up candidate be sworn in if he fulfills the constitutional requirement of getting one quarter of the total votes cast in at least two-third of the local government areas of the state''. The PDP may not benefit from the judgement as being speculated. Here is my analysis.

The PDP did not win any of the 14 Local Government Areas in the last Gubernatorial polls in Zamfara state, APC won all. However, PDP had one-quarter (25%) of the total votes cast in only 6 (Anka, Bukkuyum, Maradum, Buggundu, Kaura Namoda and Maru LGs) while it did not make the 25% requirement in the remaining 8 (Bakura, Gunmi, Zurmi, Birnin Mogaji, Gusau, Shinkafi and Tsafe). Mathematically, two-third of 14 (LGs) is 9. Thus, Zamfara may not have a substantive Governor come May 29, 2019. Even if the Chief Judge assumes the Acting Governor's role, there may still not be any elected members of the House of Assembly to be inaugurated. So the CJ will be a Sole Administrator.

kahal29:
”The apex court ordered that the runner-up candidate be sworn in if he fulfils the constitutional requirement of getting one quarter of the total votes cast in at least two-third of the local government areas of the state.

Here is the analysis:

Total votes cast: 810,782
B
APC: 534,541 votes



PDP: 189,452 votes

So PDP must get 202,696 to clinch the governor seat of Zamfara state.

Let's all Digest this please?

Credit: Omowumi Olalekan

If we are to look at this from another perspective, if it is agreed that the votes Apc got are (wasted and invalid), let's term both to mean invalid which is a more familiar language in the electioneering process.
When it is summed with the former invalid votes in the election, it makes the whole election inconclusive as the total will be more than the margin between PDP and the runner up. Just thinkingfrom another angle.

ihatesycophant:
You're olodo, was it the APC that voted or the people of Zamfara. The votes cast by people of Zamfara for APC cannot be cancelled from the main votes by your analogy, their votes still part of vote cast but does not benefit APC.
Think like someone that passed through school.

Walahi, the comments on this thread shows how the Nigerian educational system has failed.

Those APC votes are votes of Nigerians which is their right. No court can take it from them. Those votes were taken away from APC and placed in an invalid box but they count among the total votes cast. These guys cannot use common sense.

When INEC comes with the official position, they will start shouting INEC is biased. Me i tire for the educated illiterates on Nairaland.

Wasted vote cast is more than valid votes thereby election IS council

Safyqueen:


See the break down.

*IT IS NOT YET UHURU FOR PDP IN ZAMFARA STATE*

IBRAHIM ABDUL, Esq. P.hD. ANALYSED:

ZAMFARA: A NOVEL CONSTITUTIONAL PRECEDENCE
From the Supreme Court judgement today and my analysis of the Zamfara State declared Guber results vis-a-vis the declaration of the Apex Court ''that the runner-up candidate be sworn in if he fulfills the constitutional requirement of getting one quarter of the total votes cast in at least two-third of the local government areas of the state''. The PDP may not benefit from the judgement as being speculated. Here is my analysis.

The PDP did not win any of the 14 Local Government Areas in the last Gubernatorial polls in Zamfara state, APC won all. However, PDP had one-quarter (25%) of the total votes cast in only 6 (Anka, Bukkuyum, Maradum, Buggundu, Kaura Namoda and Maru LGs) while it did not make the 25% requirement in the remaining 8 (Bakura, Gunmi, Zurmi, Birnin Mogaji, Gusau, Shinkafi and Tsafe). Mathematically, two-third of 14 (LGs) is 9. Thus, Zamfara may not have a substantive Governor come May 29, 2019. Even if the Chief Judge assumes the Acting Governor's role, there may still not be any elected members of the House of Assembly to be inaugurated. So the CJ will be a Sole Administrator.

Jankara analysis


Wased votes period

Udantu:


They are as good as never been casted so they are not invalid rather non existent

What happens to the citizens' right to vote?

INEC should not have included APC candidates on the ballot papers in the first place. However, court asked them to and now those citizens that voted APC can still go to court to fight for their right. Their votes can only be void or rejected and must be included in the final votes cast. In this case, there are more voided votes than valid..
Supreme court should have called for new election without APC.

When the president is inaugurated on 29th, he may approach NASS to approve an administrator for Zamfara State. The question is what happens between May 29 and this period if INEC should take a position that is not immediately giving pdp candidate certificate of returned. The CJ of the state may take over.

The courts did not exclude the APC from the ballot. If they did then anyone who went ahead to cast a vote for the APC are on their own and as such, such vote could be illegal, null and void.

But as long as the courts allowed APC to participate in that first ballot be ordering INEC to include their party APC,
No Supreme Court anywhere in the world can disenfranchise those 580,000 Zamfara indigenes who cast their votes for APC.

They must all determine that 3/4 spread.

dizon:
All votes cast for APC automatically become invalid votes so u have to subtract them from the number of valid votes

There's a difference between invalid votes and wasted votes.
The court didn't say invalid votes

The court cannot determine or invalidate the mandate of majority of people in Zamfara.
Since APC has the overwhelming majority votes in the election, if victory is given to PDP, wherein lies the mandate if the people? Why will PDP get the mandate to govern Zamfara?

Safyqueen:


See the break down.

*IT IS NOT YET UHURU FOR PDP IN ZAMFARA STATE*

IBRAHIM ABDUL, Esq. P.hD. ANALYSED:

ZAMFARA: A NOVEL CONSTITUTIONAL PRECEDENCE
From the Supreme Court judgement today and my analysis of the Zamfara State declared Guber results vis-a-vis the declaration of the Apex Court ''that the runner-up candidate be sworn in if he fulfills the constitutional requirement of getting one quarter of the total votes cast in at least two-third of the local government areas of the state''. The PDP may not benefit from the judgement as being speculated. Here is my analysis.

The PDP did not win any of the 14 Local Government Areas in the last Gubernatorial polls in Zamfara state, APC won all. However, PDP had one-quarter (25%) of the total votes cast in only 6 (Anka, Bukkuyum, Maradum, Buggundu, Kaura Namoda and Maru LGs) while it did not make the 25% requirement in the remaining 8 (Bakura, Gunmi, Zurmi, Birnin Mogaji, Gusau, Shinkafi and Tsafe). Mathematically, two-third of 14 (LGs) is 9. Thus, Zamfara may not have a substantive Governor come May 29, 2019. Even if the Chief Judge assumes the Acting Governor's role, there may still not be any elected members of the House of Assembly to be inaugurated. So the CJ will be a Sole Administrator.

All votes allocated to APC is null. Neither valid nor invalid. So, remove APC votes and do the calculation yourself

adanny01:


Children of nowadays

What did the shidren do nah

tesppidd:
The courts did not exclude the APC from the ballot. If they did then anyone who went ahead to cast a vote for the APC are on their own and as such, such vote could be illegal, null and void.

But as long as the courts allowed APC to participate in that first ballot be ordering INEC to include their party APC,
No Supreme Court anywhere in the world can disenfranchise those 580,000 Zamfara indigenes who cast their votes for APC.

They must all determine that 3/4 spread.

Man, APC votes is neither invalid nor valid. It's wasted! As one voting on a paper not issued by INEC.

mushystuff:
The court first declared all votes allotted to the APC as wasted, rubbish and void. So subtract those and come back with the actual, judicially recognised votes and your question again.

Noooooooooo It has to be challenged for court to make a pronouncement with such respect, that arithmetic is ur opinion not d pronouncement of d court.Though am happy with d verdict so far.. let's wait n see further pronouncement from d court wit respect to d plus n minus

Sufisunni:
All votes allocated to APC is null. Neither valid nor invalid. So, remove APC votes and do the calculation yourself

Pdp did not win any local government in Zamfara.
Whether APc's votes are void or not , that does not change the number of voters in Zamfara nor does it change the number of accredited voters

The law say you must have 25% in each LGA. The law didn't say 25% of valid votes.

Is it because of political party that people did not reason deeply again? All this politicians did not care about we citizen.



The true of the matter is that merely looking at it, Zamfara guber election will be inconclusive, they will have rerun without APC name on the ballot paper.

bkool7:


Pdp did not win any local government in Zamfara.
Whether APc's votes are void or not , that does not change the number of voters in Zamfara nor does it change the number of accredited voters

The law say you must have 25% in each LGA. The law didn't say 25% of valid votes.

Maybe you will be able to comprehend it now. PDP didn't win any local government, it means you are still counting APC's wasted votes, which is neither valid nor invalid. Remove APC 580K votes and redo the calculation. APC votes is nonexistent!

Very articulate, I love the reasoning

dizon:
All votes cast for APC automatically become invalid votes so u have to subtract them from the number of valid votes

Zamfara SC judgement

Stop counting APC vote because its null and void. The votes you should be counting now is PDP votes and that of other parties.

Now the question is, did PDP score 25 percent across the 14 LG ?

Me: PDP scored over 70 percent of votes across the 14 LG putting into consideration PDP and other party only now that APC vote is irrelevant.

L. K.Abokede

lx3as:


What happens to the citizens' right to vote?

INEC should not have included APC candidates on the ballot papers in the first place. However, court asked them to and now those citizens that voted APC can still go to court to fight for their right. Their votes can only be void or rejected and must be included in the final votes cast. In this case, there are more voided votes than valid..
Supreme court should have called for new election without APC.

When the president is inaugurated on 29th, he may approach NASS to approve an administrator for Zamfara State. The question is what happens between May 29 and this period if INEC should take a position that is not immediately giving pdp candidate certificate of returned. The CJ of the state may take over.

That's the citizens Own Cup of tea. Pdp will get the certificate of return on Monday. If aggrieved the rest can go to court

kahal29:
”The apex court ordered that the runner-up candidate be sworn in if he fulfils the constitutional requirement of getting one quarter of the total votes cast in at least two-third of the local government areas of the state.

Here is the analysis:

Total votes cast: 810,782

APC: 534,541 votes

PDP: 189,452 votes

So PDP must get 202,696 to clinch the governor seat of Zamfara state.

Let's all Digest this please?

Credit: Omowumi Olalekan

So no govt in Zamfara for the next 4 years? An already lawless state will be made more ungovernable by an ill conceived law.

rafindo:
Does the constitution recognize wasted vote.the supreme is actually compounding a serious debate. Wasted votes automatically disenfranchised the voter who had nothing to do with internal issue of a party. The best the supreme court should have done is other a new election with APC excluded. People votes must count not court vote. Supreme court erred in error.

After Supreme Court, you can take the matter to only God. The court has declared. PDP has taken over.

engineerboat:


What then is the meaning of wasted votes.

Pack well jare.

Wasted vote can be translated as invalid vote.
In calculating the number of vote cast, it's valid vote + invalid vote. There's a portion like that in the INEC's record sheet.
A vote cast cannot be said wasted but invalid.
Using sentiment to bring out valid deduction make some of you look illiterate.

The APC members who dragged APC, Oshiomhole and the criminal APC politicians to court should be applauded, they are welcome to PDP if APC victimizes them.

Bro, INEC did not consider the rejected votes I determining those percentages in the spreadsheet you cited. 3 components where used namely APC, PDP and valid votes. The rejected was not used.

ericsmith:





i thought we will never have to do these again until another 4yrs, obviously the pdp sympathisers yet to learn a thing,
first of all! the court never mention or declare pdp as winner, the judgement only compelled inec to declare 2nd runner up as winner provided the party meet the requisite.
the fact that some vote are rejected or voided does not affect total vote ,check inec spreadsheet of all elections total vote will alway be the sum of valid votes + rejected vote racoon said you are intelligient i laugh ... that's an expensive joke on NL.
inec will judge pdp on basis of total vote, can someone tell me whatelse i don't know

ihatesycophant:

Wasted vote can be translated as invalid vote.
In calculating the number of vote cast, it's valid vote + invalid vote. There's a portion like that in the INEC's record sheet.
A vote cast cannot be said wasted but invalid.
Using sentiment to bring out valid deduction make some of you look illiterate.

Remember this is a PRE-ELECTION MATTER,

Meaning APC are not meant to participate in that election

Supreme Court are very explicit on this, wasted votes (Why didn't they use voided votes)

so as it stand, APC votes will not count

Fezchima:
Bro, INEC did not consider the rejected votes I determining those percentages in the spreadsheet you cited. 3 components where used namely APC, PDP and valid votes. The rejected was not used.

Don't mind him, no wonder he went into hibernation once that his poor logic was thrown into thrash bin

Stakeholders:
Is it because of political party that people did not reason deeply again? All this politicians did not care about we citizen.



The true of the matter is that merely looking at it, Zamfara guber election will be inconclusive, they will have rerun without APC name on the ballot paper.

RE-RUN where and how,

1. How do you determine voters who votes for APC from each polling units,

2. Who will now come out to vote for say he voted for APC

the initial cancelled unit where 17 thousand plus, if that is where re-run will take place, then its just a waste of time conducting such re-run

for those shouting rerun


1. Re-run which polling units,

2. Re-run, how do you determine which Voters votes for APC, PDP and other parties,

3. Re-run where,

or are APC people telling us that the whole election be cancelled,

tell me something

adanny01:


Walahi, the comments on this thread shows how the Nigerian educational system has failed.

Those APC votes are votes of Nigerians which is their right. No court can take it from them. Those votes were taken away from APC and placed in an invalid box but they count among the total votes cast. These guys cannot use common sense.

When INEC comes with the official position, they will start shouting INEC is biased. Me i tire for the educated illiterates on Nairaland.

I tell you my brother. Some of them cannot even think straight again because of political difference. I don't blame them, I blame the type of system we are running. They're even terming votes for APC as wasted and non-existence. Meaning, those citizens of Zamfara state that voted for APC have no right to vote in the first place by their analogy. These people are pathetic and need deliverance.

Safyqueen:


See the break down.

*IT IS NOT YET UHURU FOR PDP IN ZAMFARA STATE*

IBRAHIM ABDUL, Esq. P.hD. ANALYSED:

ZAMFARA: A NOVEL CONSTITUTIONAL PRECEDENCE
From the Supreme Court judgement today and my analysis of the Zamfara State declared Guber results vis-a-vis the declaration of the Apex Court ''that the runner-up candidate be sworn in if he fulfills the constitutional requirement of getting one quarter of the total votes cast in at least two-third of the local government areas of the state''. The PDP may not benefit from the judgement as being speculated. Here is my analysis.

The PDP did not win any of the 14 Local Government Areas in the last Gubernatorial polls in Zamfara state, APC won all. However, PDP had one-quarter (25%) of the total votes cast in only 6 (Anka, Bukkuyum, Maradum, Buggundu, Kaura Namoda and Maru LGs) while it did not make the 25% requirement in the remaining 8 (Bakura, Gunmi, Zurmi, Birnin Mogaji, Gusau, Shinkafi and Tsafe). Mathematically, two-third of 14 (LGs) is 9. Thus, Zamfara may not have a substantive Governor come May 29, 2019. Even if the Chief Judge assumes the Acting Governor's role, there may still not be any elected members of the House of Assembly to be inaugurated. So the CJ will be a Sole Administrator.

mad people in Nigeria...trying to come thru d back door like amaechi wanted using AAC...una go de alright

Udantu:


That's the citizens Own Cup of tea. Pdp will get the certificate of return on Monday. If aggrieved the rest can go to court

Lol.
You are a dreamer,you will be shock by INEC announcement soon.
It's INEC that will determine IF the PDP candidate meets the constitutional requirements.
The answer is NO.