nzeobi:
Many call ize iyamu a grass root politician forgetting his performance was because he was in a popular party like pdp and pdp structures worked for him.
Some politicians who eyeing the governorship seat in 4 years will rather allow obaseki complete his four years than vote a new person as witnessed in kogi and anambra.

garfield1:


True.at least we are on the same page.but I think that edo south might not be where the battle is since both candidates will cancel themselves out.I feel the margin of victory in edo north will decide

garfield1:


Let us thank kahal and cable news.this exactly tallies with the predictions I made yesterday.pastor will win with a margin of less than 50_000

lilsaint44:


bet9ja
obaseki 2.00
ize-iyamu 4.00
stake wisely

bet9ja
obaseki 2.00
ize-iyamu 4.00
stake wisely

OasisT:
It will be hard for PDP because most of the bigwigs given supports are not from Edo. The influence of Capt Hosa and POI will weaken the Obaseki endeavors coupled with the fact that he did not do more on infrastructures like the predecessor. Most of the political foot soldiers don't trust him.

Edo Central won't 100% for him but likely 60-40 because of the influence of party structure of APC that didn't go with him in that area.

Edo North won't be 100% for APC but that is where massive make up will happen and Shuaibu will be tamed in Jattu.

The senatorial elections PDP is talking about and last presidential was intentionally allowed to mock Obaseki and draw him to the discussion table in which he turned bad eyes to.

Tomorrow is pregnant and expect more drama before Saturday morning. My prayer is that the best out of the 2 wrongs will win irrespective of their parties

kahal29:


https://www.thecable.ng/analysis-the-battleground-comfort-zones-how-obaseki-ize-iyamu-stand-across-lgas

fergie001:

At the end of the day, those who hijack the collation centre will win.

Edo S....for me is where the fight will be as others will likely cancel out.

DennisEche:

STOP GIVEN THAT AFONJA GOAT ATTENTION, THEY LOVE SLAVERY SO MUCH THAT THEY WANT TO EXTEND IT TO EDO

YOUR LORD MAZI COWNU IS SOMEWHERE FLEXING WITH HIS OLOSHOS. MEANWHILE HAVE YOU PAY YOUR Biafra LAND LEVY?

OasisT:
It will be hard for PDP because most of the bigwigs given supports are not from Edo. The influence of Capt Hosa and POI will weaken the Obaseki endeavors coupled with the fact that he did not do more on infrastructures like the predecessor. Most of the political foot soldiers don't trust him.

Edo Central won't 100% for him but likely 60-40 because of the influence of party structure of APC that didn't go with him in that area.

Edo North won't be 100% for APC but that is where massive make up will happen and Shuaibu will be tamed in Jattu.

The senatorial elections PDP is talking about and last presidential was intentionally allowed to mock Obaseki and draw him to the discussion table in which he turned bad eyes to.

Tomorrow is pregnant and expect more drama before Saturday morning. My prayer is that the best out of the 2 wrongs will win irrespective of their parties

kahal29:


My chairman has made a sure prediction. I set hail oooooo

fergie001:

Well, the PDP isn't fighting to win Edo N.
They know they will lose there, so they are fighting to get a sizeable % there....say 35-40%.

They will massively lose in Central...only grace is that the population isn't great there. Ordinarily, I think their problem is with Oshio and the excitement of likely getting the ticket in 2024.

Edo S....is where the gladiators will reside. This is because of the population, hence, any gap you can open there (no matter how small) is vital.

Ahmed0336:
Who wan read all these epistles

Oracleforce:
I hate this kind of election where we can not determine who will win before the election....

Nah the masses In Edo.State.go suffer this.kind of the election...because there will be all kind of struggle and fighting for territory....on like some state like The southeastern region...northerners and the southwestern election that we can determine the winner from the look of things....

Edo people, pls vote wisely....don't vote because of politicians campaign....this is a political gimmick...

kahal29:


https://www.thecable.ng/analysis-the-battleground-comfort-zones-how-obaseki-ize-iyamu-stand-across-lgas

fergie001:

I didn't predict oooo....a few might change though.

..but many of it is a bit balanced.

That Collation Centre matter na d Koko.

talkingdrivel:
Akoko edo is the biggest local government in edo north.....it's even the biggest in edo state

Emarvel:

Intentionally allowed.... Hehehe
Listen to yourself, do you intentionally decide to loose?
They lost the election, that's all....
As at then, The godfather wannabe was still the national chairman
APC lost this election, when Oshiomole was chased out of office as National chairman

chiol:


This is how elections should be, unlike the selections in Enugu, Ebonyi and Abia states. In those states, once you are selected by the PDP cabals, go and sleep, you have already won. Even if you are a devil and other party candidates are saints, they will still vote for you because of PDP that never did anything for the region.

OasisT:


How come the same APC won the state assembly election?

Be the judge

garfield1:


The bolded is what atiku was thinking of doing in the north but failed because of lack of strategy and resources.if they aim to win,they can get two lgas...

The only time apc lost massively in the central is during the 2015 presidential polls for obvious reasons.apart from that,apc usually gets 40% there.buhari even won igueben LGA where almighty ikimi is from.if a much vaunted buhari can do that,why can't pastor repeat same?

South has the highest population but usually delivers votes like lagos and abuja.edo north most times delivers the decisive votes.

SaintLucia:
Still in Auchi. Shuaibu was disgraced and humiliated yesterday in his ward. He wanted to show his street credibility like Oshiohmole but was disgraced. The people were shouting Philip Ole!!!!!! My own be say no IPOB clown should come online tomorrow and shout rigging. Obagone has no political structure in Edo state, he lost his polling unit, ward and local government to Ize Iyamu, in fact, all his senatorial and House of Reprenstative candidates lost to Ize Iyamu in the last general election. The combinations of Oshobaba and Ize Iyamu will be too strong for Obagone.

ArmedRobber:
The reality of Saturday

PDP and APC re out on Election day to Rig.nigeria election is always for the highest and smartest riggers.

What Apc need is 40% grassroot support in any Election, FG will add the 20% needed to win.

Kogi case is an exception though, cos APC didnt have up to 30% grasssroot support . kogi election was a battle between Pdp ,people vs federal Might, the security agencies were the man of the match for kogi election.

In Edo election APC have up to 45% grassroot support, if you Add federal might might to the equation, it means Ize iyamu is sure of victory.

If you want to beat APC in election, neutralize or reduce their grassroot support first the Federal power might not be enough to balance the equation.that's why it is hard for Federal govt to right south east region and part of south south region because majority dont like Apc

But dont go to sleep because the plan B is always the court process.

The major reason why APC won bayelsa was they had 60 % of the grassroot supports when federal might was added to the Equation it was a landslide victory for APC in a state pdp have been ruling since 1999

ImmaculateJOE:
Wow.. I just got to know that Benin is not even a LGA

Emarvel:

And what influence does captain Hosa have in Benin?

fergie001:

The thing is that both opponents know each other's strengths & weaknesses.

Your 1st paragraph is true..

Your 2nd....the Dynamics of a local election is different from a National election because a lot of other factors come into play.

Oshio's 2nd term I think he won almost all the LGAs, despite been in the opposition at the time.

The biggest problem here is not the PDP. It is the APC v APC situation.

garfield1:


I wanted to say this to fergie.apc has mastered the art and act of winning local or state elections in edo but find it difficult to win nass polls