adanny01:
In summary;

Edo South
Obaseki 2LGAs
Ize-Iyamu 2LGAs
Too close to call 1LGA
Battleground 1LGA

Lets assume is a split

EDO Central
Obaseki 5LGAs

EDO North
Ize-Iyamu 6LGAs

This means Ize-Iyamu may win with 1 LGA.

Hmmmm

Check well! Edo south has 7 LGs
Obaseki 2LGAs
Ize-Iyamu 3LGAs
Too close to call 1LGA
Battleground 1LGA
Ize-Iyamu may win with 2lgs

People are forgetting that Obaseki has friends in high places in APC ... and Oshiomole has enemies with in the APC Governors forum...

Most core northern APC Governors are supporting Obaseki...

The biggest undoing for APC in Benin is that Oshiomole made a lot of Enemies in APC.

So if it’s federal might, Make Oshiomole forget am.... The election is 50/50 , no federal might advantage for APC in this election

Levels1:


So you will speak for all reasonable Edo people who are 100% ready to send Obasiki out of power and put people's choice. Pls speak for yourself and don't even try speaking for your siblings/households

are you in Edo state currently, I guess no, if not u for know what's up, Edo no be Lagos

fergie001:

Well, on Sunday sha....We celebrate the winner.

First let me say that I want POI to win maybe because I hate ungrateful human beings.

Secondly, why I feel Obaseki might loose is because I doubt the sincerity of most of his supporters. Do they really believe in him or are they supporting him because of what they are presently getting from him. A typical example is Buhari and Atiku supporters in the North. While Buhari supporters are genuine and fanatical about him, Atiku's supporters are just looking for what they will get from him so that makes difference. I feel most of Obaseki supporters were bought over and a such can easily dissapoint at very crucial moments unlike those who are rooting for Ize-Iyamu.

Finally did you notice that all the court cases instituted against Ize-Iyamu candidature were frustrated such that no hearing on the substantive issues were entertained before the election unlike the case of Rivers, Bayelsa & Zamfara where the trial court gave one form of order or rulling before the election? For me this strange and points to something that will become clearer in the coming days.

All these suggestions in an undemocratic Nigeria? You must be joking...

Johnames:
The Edo people have made their choice.... Obaseki is the man, the choice here is very clear, the Edolites have choosed to move forward not backward

I hope you have your pvc and you are a registered voter in Edo State

Wu else came here to see maps & graphs, buh ain't disappointed.

fergie001:

How far nah?
You don colonise Edo nah ...we still dey Bayelsa.

No oh....

Am supporting POI to win because I strongly feel Obaseki is an an ingrate.

How I wish we would be allowed to vote online

kahal29:


First let me say that I want POI to win maybe because I hate ungrateful human beings.

Secondly, why I feel Obaseki might loose is because I doubt the sincerity of most of his supporters. Do they really believe in him or are they supporting him because of what they are presently getting from him. A typical example is Buhari and Atiku supporters in the North. While Buhari supporters are genuine and fanatical about him, Atiku's supporters are just looking for what they will get from him so that makes difference. I feel most of Obaseki supporters were bought over and a such can easily dissapoint at very crucial moments unlike those who are rooting for Ize-Iyamu.

Finally did you notice that all the court cases instituted against Ize-Iyamu candidature were frustrated such that no hearing on the substantive issues were entertained before the election unlike the case of Rivers, Bayelsa & Zamfara where the trial court gave one form of order or rulling before the election? For me this strange and points to something that will become clearer in the coming days.

Buhari scenario doesn't play out here. Asides the Yar'aduas, no Northerner alive can defeat Buhari fair & free.
If you like conduct the election in Ghana.

Oshiomhole was backed by the Igbinedions in 2012, howbeit, you and I know he has never bypassed any opportunity to hit at the latter. Will you call him (un)grateful?

There are no Saints here.

The (in)gratitude has become the nature of our Politics, partly because the "kingmakers" intend to put on the cloak of "kingmakers and Kings".

Till today, none of them have really told us what the MAIN problem is!

For those supporting Obaseki/POI, I cannot say.
Only those on ground in Edo can.

For the Court cases, I don't think it is a factor because every Judge is extremely careful. Even the Certificate cases against Shaibu/Obaseki/Gani have been on hold, but I know they will resume immediately after the elections have been conducted.

Edo election is always a near-perfect election, irrespective the threats and so on, I don't think much will change.

I wish them the best of luck.

kahal29:


No oh....

Am supporting POI to win because I strongly feel Obaseki is an an ingrate.

... Unfortunately, you and I are not from Edo nah

Always be grateful to your benefactors. Do you know what it means for smb to absorb all insults and took it upon himself to ensure you became governor. Tell me what kind of disagreement will make you turn your back to him to the extent of planning his removal as national chairman of a major political party.
If he wins, then there is no repercussion for political betrayal.

Eniitan19:
Always be grateful to your benefactors. Do you know what it means for smb to absorb all insults and took it upon himself to ensure you became governor. Tell me what kind of disagreement will make you turn your back to him to the extent of planning his removal as national chairman of a major political party.
If he wins, then there is no repercussion for political betrayal.

Na wa o. How will political loyalty favor the common citizen sir? No doubt , Nigerians will be a slave to their political elites for a very long time

OasisT:


The same way Fayose was tamed. There was a rumour that he was booed yesterday and don't be surprise there is APC mole within the rank of PDP governors given info to Obaseki.

I know but tomorrow will tell

Dartilo:
The most funny thing about naira land is that if care is not taken when you read online analysis from pple not in Edo you tend to believe a totally different ball game...

APC or PDP them are all same people...
My name is Eguavoen Darlington Osayi you can search it on fb,all my life I be been in Benin, I m a graduate of Uniben, My Ward is ikpoba okha Ward 12(My ancestral home),I work in Adesuwa but I stay in Etete(oredo Ward 2 and 3)...all in Benin city where we have about 53% of the voting population.

*Pls don't get bored with the above personal information,but other is a reason for it*

PDP: APC
APC: PDP that my personal believe..

Obaseki go win this election home and away except due to rigging...
The above is the situational report...

But what if iyamu is now declare the winner would you jump up and shout you said it?or u would b disappointed in the electoral process?

Edo pple are not voting APC or PDP but Obaseki...


Pls no insult election na vote no b fight..

Oba GHA to kpere
Ise......

Talk for your local govt

The truth is I have done my analysis of Obaseki supporters, 80% of them are what I will refer to as audio voters, social media voters you know, they are very outspoken on social media and from that 80%, about 40-50% of them are basically in diaspora. They don’t have PVC and they are not in Nigeria, so they are not going to vote, they have all the resources to be making the noise, they have all the time, all the free Wi-Fi, to be making all the noise on social media and you think Edo state is an Eldorado and everybody is one way for Obaseki, no. And then, the remaining 30-40% are also what I call internal diaspora. They are not based in Edo state, they are in Lagos, Portharcourt, Abuja.

oshorstan:
You failed to recognize Hon. Amb. Marcus I. Onobun, Deputy whip & Member of EDHOA representing Esan West constituency 2.

He is a Grassroot Mobiliser , A Good man who has touched lives. He will deliver Esan West for the PDP.

which Marcus are u talking about, if not for oshomhole who would have known that guy. even the last election was it not oshomhole that put him in the house of assembly. what have Marcus done in his home town talkless of the full esan west

If there should be free and fair election at there shouldn't be any panic on who will win.... the fear of rigging and giving us bad leaders is the wisdom of sitting at home and just watch

alen4smith:
Philip is a lightweight politician.

Lol, and you know that from oshogbo?

truentalk:

Check well! Edo south has 7 LGs
Obaseki 2LGAs
Ize-Iyamu 3LGAs
Too close to call 1LGA
Battleground 1LGA
Ize-Iyamu may win with 2lgs

.APC will use their rigging machine to win the election...if Wike the wicked like make he die on top of Edo election ... .he will be disgraced out of the Edo state. ..

Obaseki is a betrayal....he shouldn't be given the second chance. ...

Nobody knows obaseki in 2016...he was helped to become Edo State governor and he jettisoned the man that single-handed brought him out from the crowd and helped him to become somebody.
.he called the man bad names and planned to kill the man...people are bad and are wicked...gods are seriously wise....
He will reap what he has sown...

fergie001:

Exactly, so this scenario is even more strange.
It is Obaseki (not PDP), Oshiomhole (with some renegade APC members) & Ize-Iyamu (who has some PDP following as well).

Inec has excluded pdp from crs north polls

ojikeebere12:
The truth is I have done my analysis of Obaseki supporters, 80% of them are what I will refer to as audio voters, social media voters you know, they are very outspoken on social media and from that 80%, about 40-50% of them are basically in diaspora. They don’t have PVC and they are not in Nigeria, so they are not going to vote, they have all the resources to be making the noise, they have all the time, all the free Wi-Fi, to be making all the noise on social media and you think Edo state is an Eldorado and everybody is one way for Obaseki, no. And then, the remaining 30-40% are also what I call internal diaspora. They are not based in Edo state, they are in Lagos, Portharcourt, Abuja.

But there A mammoth crowd during PDP mega rally.. Probably all the crowds are rented crowds.

garfield1:


Inec has excluded pdp from crs north polls

I saw it oooo....Court Order.

Ayade go faint oooo
He will call Wike immediately ..the decision came from FHC, PH

SaintLucia:
Still in Auchi. Shuaibu was disgraced and humiliated yesterday in his ward. He wanted to show his street credibility like Oshiohmole but was disgraced. The people were shouting Philip Ole!!!!!! My own be say no IPOB clown should come online tomorrow and shout rigging. Obagone has no political structure in Edo state, he lost his polling unit, ward and local government to Ize Iyamu, in fact, all his senatorial and House of Reprenstative candidates lost to Ize Iyamu in the last general election. The combinations of Oshobaba and Ize Iyamu will be too strong for Obagone.

Those of you in Edo north can vote for APC but I want to tell you that Edo south are firmly in support of GO and with Edo central vote too, good bye to Oshiomhole and his cohorts.

OVB123:
Those of you in Edo north can vote for APC but I want to tell you that Edo south are firmly in support of GO and with Edo central vote too, good bye to Oshiomhole and his cohorts.

Still in Auchi. Shuaibu was disgraced and humiliated yesterday in his ward. He wanted to show his street credibility like Oshiohmole but was disgraced. The people were shouting Philip Ole!!!!!! My own be say no IPOB clown should come online tomorrow and shout rigging. Obagone has no political structure in Edo state, he lost his polling unit, ward and local government to Ize Iyamu, in fact, all his senatorial and House of Reprenstative candidates lost to Ize Iyamu in the last general election. The combinations of Oshobaba and Ize Iyamu will be too strong for Obagone.

Johnames:
are you in Edo state currently, I guess no, if not u for know what's up, Edo no be Lagos

Don't mind that guy at all, the 3 metropolitans and cosmopolitans LGA in Edo (Oredo, Ikpoba Okha and Egor) are behind Obaseki, the 2 Ovias likely to be 50/50, although Orhionmwon & Uhunwonde likely to vote APC but no problem because there are d smallest LGA in edo south interms of population. in Edo central, PDP will win because it is there stronghold, Edo north can go d way of APC but at the end Obaseki will win the election.

fergie001:

I saw it oooo....Court Order.

Ayade go faint oooo
He will call Wike immediately ..the decision came from FHC, PH

I don't really understand what happened.is it still the interim order jarigbe Instituted last week or it is a fresh order from yesterday or today?

Oracleforce:



But there A mammoth crowd during PDP mega rally.. Probably all the crowds are rented crowds.

Apc rallies has bigger crowd

OVB123:
Don't mind that guy at all, the 3 metropolitans and cosmopolitans LGA in Edo (Oredo, Ikpoba Okha and Egor) are behind Obaseki, the 2 Ovias likely to be 50/50, although Orhionmwon & Uhunwonde likely to vote APC but no problem because there are d smallest LGA in edo south interms of population. in Edo central, PDP will win because it is there stronghold, Edo north can go d way of APC but at the end Obaseki will win the election.

Based on this analysis,apc will win

garfield1:


Based on this analysis,apc will win

It means that you don't know Edo state very well. pls, let me not waste my time with you.

garfield1:


I don't really understand what happened.is it still the interim order jarigbe Instituted last week or it is a fresh order from yesterday or today?

Still don't know oooo.....

Whatever it is....Ayade will obtain an interim order from CoA but it won't take him far.

Agom's lawyer warned the PDP before the Primaries.

I will call my friend.

A very sound article You have an indept knowledge of the geo political zones and players of Edo state. Kudos.