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Raf4's Posts

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Foreign AffairsRe: America Attacks Three Nuclear Sites In Iran by Raf4: 2:06pm On Jul 10, 2025
TempleHouse:
You're ignorant of WAR TACTICS !!
IRAN is waiting for the right moment to STRIKE

US/ISRAEL facilities WILL BE obliterated with a single ballistic missiles from the Desert.

Calm down 👇
Still expecting your Iran to strike as promised o.
A country that is celebrating that her 31 missiles and drones, out of over 3000 fired, hit targets in Israel and claiming victory. That means all the military generals/heads of military formations, nuclear scientists, air defense systems, weapons manufacturing complexes and multi-billion dollars nuclear plants lost in Iran combined together, do not amount to a single civilian building in Israel cheesy grin wink
Foreign AffairsRe: America Attacks Three Nuclear Sites In Iran by Raf4: 1:56pm On Jul 10, 2025
mcquin:
Have you asked why people are Islamophobic?

I’d like an unbiased answer considering it’s practice in Nigeria, Iraq and other predominantly Islamic countries.
May be you should let us know why Shiites see and treat you sunnis as 🐖 🐷 and vice versa. We have witnessed this in the northern Nigeria severally.
Foreign AffairsRe: America Attacks Three Nuclear Sites In Iran by Raf4: 1:51pm On Jul 10, 2025
VanuatuWycombe:
But America is sending offensive and defensive war equipments to Israel nah the way iran was sending equipment to Hezbollah and co. How do we reconcile that with the statement you just made?
Start your reconciliation from what Iran is getting from China and Russia first.
Foreign AffairsRe: Iran Lost Over 30 Generals In The 12-day War With Israel.(photo) by Raf4: 1:43pm On Jul 10, 2025
PigTormentor:
Keep fooling yourself. There are about 1 million Christians in Iran. Only 185k Christians exist in Israel.
There are more Muslims in Israel than there are Christians. Go figure. grin grin grin
You're the one fooling yourself here thinking that you can instigate the Christians against the Jews. I only told you that Jews are not attacking any Church/Christians in Israel or anywhere in the world, unlike you muslims that are attacking Churches, Christians, Jews, Hindus, Buddhist and everyone everywhere in the world.
Foreign AffairsRe: The Crumbling Dome: Iran-israel Ceasefire, BRICS, And The End Of Western Illusio by Raf4: 1:32pm On Jul 10, 2025
Difrent:
You have agreed that indeed Iran hit them real bad,that's all that matters now to show the world and even Israeli and American citizens that they live under an illusion
And that they are not as safe as they assumed.

Doesn't matter if Israel adapted to the changing tactics of IRGC, IDF has been demystified.
Big Daddy has to step in if not by now half of Israel will be on fire, so also will be almost all of Iran but the point would have been made that Israel cannot Bully Iran like it bully it's Arab neighbors
Hit them hard with barely 30 structure hit by missiles? Over 1000 missiles + over 2000 drones used by Iran, while only 31 of them could hit targets. IDF on thecother hand hit and destroyed more than 2,000 targets inside Iran, including armouries, missiles & missile launchers, weapons manufacturing complexes, air defense systems, their prized multi-billion dollars nuclear plants etc. You can add several nuclear scientists and almost all the heads of Iranian intelligence and military formations eliminated just within a 12-day war.
Foreign AffairsRe: Iran Made Preparations To Mine Strait Of Hormuz After Israel Strikes, US Sources by Raf4: 1:12pm On Jul 10, 2025
descartes400:
It's definitely not the property of US and its Nato allies. Abi does the strait of hormuz share any geographical location or border with Texas, paris, or berlin?

It's surely situated within the geographical location between Iran and Oman and not between the Imperialistic White House and its Nato allies.

Agreed China and Russia needs the route so does the west! and that's why i said Iran can controls which shipping vessels navigates through. Iran allowing only vessels only associated with China and Russia interest is infact will be a booming business for the 3Brics countries as they can determine the cost of Energy prices in US and Europe. If the US and its goons can use the tool of sanctions, threats of assasinations, wars and bombings that affects the economies of the world, especially those that does not allies with its interest, why can Iran use the tool available to it via the strait of hormuz to fight western hegemony?

It seems you so much fancies western imperialistic tendencies, No? undecided
I'm not interested in any long talk. If them born Iran well, make them block the strait of Hormuz as they made mouth earlier, if them no go burn.
Foreign AffairsRe: Netanyahu Presents Trump With A 'B-2 Mezuzah' (pics) by Raf4: 10:35am On Jul 10, 2025
Gaabasky:
Quiet unfortunate that human being in some of you has completely lost due to brainwashed religious beliefs and Western media.
Remember Palestinians also deserves to live and Iran didn't attacked Israel first. Majority of Jews n people with intact cerebral grey matter in Israel are condemning what is stimulating your taste buds.
Iran didn't attack Israel first? Which planet have you been all this while?
For decades now, Iran has been shouting and planning to destroy Israel. Iran has been providing ammunition, logistics, training, funding, providing intelligence etc to hamas, hezbollah, houthis etc terrọrists in gaza,Palestine, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Yemen etc for the sole aim of attacking Israel from time. Do you know how much it costs Israel to defend and protect her people and infrastructure from constant attacks from numerous terrọrist groups almost on daily basis? And all these being whole sponsored by Iran.
PetsRe: 5 Parrots Were Separated At A Zoo Because They Kept Swearing At Visitors by Raf4: 5:20pm On Jul 07, 2025
Them don chop winch be that o.

You fit add 35 parrots join to make 40-character parrots 🦜 😄
SportsRe: Brief History Of The Late Legendary Peter Rufai by Raf4: 10:37am On Jul 07, 2025
Peter Rufai
Peter Ru-fire
Dodo Mayana
RIP Legend!
PoliticsRe: 2027: Five Governors Expected To Join ADC by Raf4: 4:23pm On Jul 05, 2025
Akinpresident:
Wike didn't see the coalition coming. And the truth is, he's jittery about it. But as a strong man, he'll take whatever that comes out.

If Tinubu beats this coalition, that'll be the greatest political win ever recorded.

To beat Tinubu means Atiku should forgo his ambition and back that nonsense man Obi as he's the only who has some level of clout.

Let me see how Alex Otti will win.
Did you just say that a sitting minister/governor is jittery of coalition of former office holders and losers of last elections? You're over hyping this ADC beyond reasonable possibility.
PoliticsRe: 2027: Five Governors Expected To Join ADC by Raf4: 4:18pm On Jul 05, 2025
cucumbar:
tackle the facts he presented.

With the few point of his, he just convinced you that you don’t need governors to win elections.
You don't need governors to win elections in Nigeria?? Dey play.
PoliticsRe: 2027: Five Governors Expected To Join ADC by Raf4: 4:10pm On Jul 05, 2025
Association of Defeated Críminals (ADC). Only good for previous elections losers, out of office, out of favour, expired and unelectable politicians.

Bunch of ex this and former that disgruntled politicians.
PoliticsRe: I’ll Do One Term If Given ADC Presidential Ticket – Amaechi by Raf4: 11:20pm On Jul 03, 2025
Atiku is proposing one term,
Peter Obi is promising to do one term
Now, Rotimi Amechi also wants to do one term.

Association of Desperate Crooks (ADC)
SportsRe: Legendary Nigerian Goalkeeper, Peter Rufai Is Dead by Raf4: 11:02pm On Jul 03, 2025
Hmmmmn!
Diogo Jota and his brother,
Now our very own Dodo Mayana - Peter Rufai.
This is so sad.
May their souls rest in peace ✝️
SportsRe: Photos Of Diogo Jota Crash Emerges That Left Bodies Unidentifiable by Raf4: 3:35pm On Jul 03, 2025
So sad. So devastating 😢 😭

May God rest his soul and that of his brother. May the Lord console his wife, children and family and friends left behind.
PoliticsRe: David Mark Leading Us To Aso Rock, Says Coalition by Raf4: 6:30pm On Jul 02, 2025
David Mark that cannot even win any election in Benue state again 😕
Expired milk politicians 😁
PoliticsRe: 2027 Presidency: Peter Obi Submits One-Term Proposal To ADC Coalition by Raf4: 6:15pm On Jul 02, 2025
Desperation at its peak.
Trying to sneak in thru the backdoor.
Foreign AffairsRe: Iran Made Preparations To Mine Strait Of Hormuz After Israel Strikes, US Sources by Raf4: 3:08pm On Jul 02, 2025
FreeStuffsNG:
OPEC members Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates, Kuwait and Iraq export most of their crude via the strait, mainly to Asia. Qatar, among the world's biggest liquefied natural gas exporters, sends almost all of its LNG through the strait.

This is probably the worst and most terrifying reason why President Trump back tracked and announced the cease-fire. I knew something was just not adding up with the sudden announcement after so much bravado by the US and Mr Rubio running to China to beg them to talk to Iran.

This would have dealt a severe blow to the US and Arab allies.

Same Israel the world has been begging for cease-fire in Gaza with Hamas for more than a year and a half is suddenly agreeing to cease-fire with Iran just after 12 days of war cannot be ordinary, it was to prevent Iran from annihilating them patapata
Just ro remind you..........by this time last month. Ayatollah was holding a high level security meeting with all the heads of Iranian military formations/forces, 20 in number. Today, Ayatollah is in the same conference room with the skeletons and and ghost of all the 20 military generals, no single one of them is alive again. Ayatollah to ayatoilet 😒 🙄 😑 🤣 😂
Foreign AffairsRe: Iran Made Preparations To Mine Strait Of Hormuz After Israel Strikes, US Sources by Raf4: 2:55pm On Jul 02, 2025
descartes400:
No! It won't because these three countries share same enemies..and would consider it a necessity on the part of Iran to ensure its existential survival from the threats pose by the US and its nato allies.

Besides if Iran mine the strait of hormuz, it also able to determine safe corridor where its allies ships vessels can navigate through while effectively blocking or attacking those of the enemies.

Just like how the houthies who began attacking shipping vessels affiliated with Israel in the red Sea.
May be you think that strait of Hormuz is a sole private property of Iran.

Russia and China need that route more than the West.
Foreign AffairsRe: Iran Made Preparations To Mine Strait Of Hormuz After Israel Strikes, US Sources by Raf4: 2:51pm On Jul 02, 2025
FreeStuffsNG:
https://www.ynetnews.com/article/by9huhfrlx

Iran Made Preparations To Mine Strait Of Hormuz After Israel Strikes, US Sources
Iran should have gone ahead to blockade the strait of Hormuz then, by now all her naval fleets, seaports, oil & gas fields would have been obliterated.
Foreign AffairsRe: Iran Gave Russia Drones But Gets No S-400s In Return, Ex-mp Says by Raf4: 2:12pm On Jul 01, 2025
musazulyadain:
Check your dictionary is like you don't understand what the word terrorists mean! Your are calling a whole country a terrorist,in that case; what do you calling Nigeria?
A country that is breeding, financing and arming terrørist groups like hamas, hezbollah, houthis etc is a røgue/terrørist country, even more than that.
PoliticsRe: Tinubu Can Now Be Sure Of Loosing Hausa Votes by Raf4: 10:21pm On Jun 30, 2025
Gagare1:
With Kwankwaso moving to APC in a move that signals a Fulani replacement for Shettima, Tinubu can forget about Hausa votes, because we will not vote any Fulani man to power, we are not stupid. Any Nigerian that vote for a Fulani Vice President is voting in favour of soft landing for killers.

I know what I speak of. Tinubu will loose seriously.
What are you saying?
Shettima is Kanuri, while kwankwaso is Hausa.
Foreign AffairsRe: Netenyahu Has Been Humbled. He Is Now Very Quiet And Meek by Raf4: 10:58pm On Jun 29, 2025
HEAVEN4444:
Has anyone heard anything from bibi since after the 12 day beat down ? Baba done humble. All him cho cho cho done stop after his see real doings from Iran. He got dealt with. Now the man is hiding his head in shame. Has anyone seen bibi ? Where is bibi ?
Iran lost all her top military heads, several intelligence agents, nuclear scientists within 12 days of war. To add insult upon injury, several weapon manufacturing complexes and her prized multi-billion dollars nuclear programme
obliterated just likethat. Yet, you people are celebrating shame and disgrace of iran as victory.
Foreign AffairsRe: The Crumbling Dome: Iran-israel Ceasefire, BRICS, And The End Of Western Illusio by Raf4: 10:46pm On Jun 29, 2025
Dogalmighty17:
The truth is that Iran has exposed the vulnerabilities of all Israeli aerial defense systems. Saturation attacks have changed the nature of the game. After using its old missile stocks to deplete the interceptors Israel had, Iran started launching its more modern ICBMs. Israel had no response to that.

It doesn't matter how good any anti-air system is. Saturation attacks will overwhelm it. Israel realised this later on and that's why they hurriedly accepted the ceasefire trump demanded.
And Israel has not decoded Iran’s strategies? Israel will definitely update and upgrade their air defense ststems/infrastructure.
Upon all the missile saturation from Iran, only about 30 ie 3% managed to hit their targets with current Israelis' air defense systems.
Foreign AffairsRe: The Crumbling Dome: Iran-israel Ceasefire, BRICS, And The End Of Western Illusio by Raf4: 10:09pm On Jun 29, 2025
enemyofprogress:
*The Crumbling Dome: Iran-Israel Ceasefire, BRICS, and the End of Western Illusions*

By Umar Osabo PhD.
umarmosabo@gmail.com

*An Investigative Report*


*Introduction: A Ceasefire on Shaky Grounds*

When Iran and Israel agreed to an abrupt ceasefire last week, global media rushed to frame it as a diplomatic victory for Washington and European allies. But deeper investigation reveals a far more complex and troubling reality — one that not only redefines the security landscape of the Middle East but also signals the unraveling of the world order as we’ve known it since World War II.

Beneath the headlines, this ceasefire is less a testament to successful diplomacy and more a symptom of military vulnerability, shifting global alliances, and the accelerating decline of Western hegemony, US, Europe in particular.

*Who Really Blinked First?*

Public narratives suggest that both Iran and Israel chose diplomacy over further escalation. Yet, leaked diplomatic cables obtained by Der Spiegel and corroborated by Stratfor and the International Crisis Group paint a different picture: it was Israel that first signaled the need for de-escalation after suffering significant military setbacks.

A NATO intelligence assessment, leaked to The Guardian, revealed that Iran’s coordinated missile and drone assault overwhelmed key Israeli air defenses, rendering major airbases temporarily inoperable. For the first time in decades, Israel faced a direct military vulnerability it could neither deny nor swiftly remedy.

*The Myth of Israel’s Impenetrable Air Defense*

For years, Israel’s defense triad — Iron Dome, David’s Sling, and Arrow-3 — was celebrated as the world’s most sophisticated shield against aerial threats. But the June 2025 conflict revealed a shocking truth!

According to Jane’s Defence Weekly and SIPRI, Iran’s use of drone swarms, radar-blinding loitering munitions, and precision-guided ballistic missiles exposed critical flaws. A confidential IDF report, leaked to Haaretz, admitted that interception rates dropped to 62%, far below the publicly claimed 90%.

Iran’s engineers, likely aided by Russian and Chinese cyber-warfare expertise, jammed Israeli radar and overwhelmed its tracking systems. This unprecedented breach debunked decades of faith in Israel’s air defense superiority.

*America’s Dilemma, Europe’s Irrelevance*

Caught between its commitment to Israel and the global economic risks of further escalation, the U.S. found itself cornered. A classified CENTCOM advisory, published in Foreign Policy, recommended urgent de-escalation to prevent a broader conflict that could destabilize global energy markets and accelerate BRICS-led efforts to bypass the dollar.

Meanwhile, Europe, fractured and increasingly powerless, struggled to assert relevance. Germany balked at military involvement, while France initiated backchannel diplomacy with Iran via Oman — a telling sign of Europe’s diminishing alignment with U.S. policy in the region.

*BRICS: The Real Winner Behind the Ceasefire*

Far from the negotiating table, BRICS nations watched — and benefited. A white paper leaked from the BRICS Security Council reveals a coordinated strategy to capitalize on U.S. overextension.

Economically, the BRICS Pay system experienced a surge, bypassing SWIFT and reducing dependence on the dollar.

Militarily, Iran’s success validated asymmetric warfare models now being adopted in BRICS defense cooperation talks.

Geopolitically, energy diplomacy shifted. Saudi Arabia and Iran, now BRICS members, rerouted energy flows eastward, undermining U.S. and EU leverage.

*Will the Ceasefire Hold?*

Inside Israel, hardliners are furious. Leaked Mossad briefings warn that Netanyahu’s fragile coalition could collapse if perceived as weak. The political calculus leans toward breaking the ceasefire should Iran appear to rearm or escalate.

For Iran, the ceasefire serves tactical purposes, not strategic concession. Bolstered by military success and growing BRICS support, Tehran is unlikely to capitulate on key issues like its nuclear program or regional influence.

A CIA risk assessment, leaked to The Washington Post, bluntly states: “U.S. influence over both parties is rapidly eroding due to expanding Russian and Chinese leverage.”

*A Crumbling Western Hegemony*

This conflict exposed an uncomfortable truth: the post-WWII order, underpinned by U.S. military supremacy and economic dominance, is faltering.

Sanctions fatigue is real. Over 60% of global energy transactions are now conducted outside the dollar system, as confirmed by a joint Chatham House–PetroChina report.

Energy politics have shifted, with BRICS nations tightening intra-bloc energy security at the expense of Western importers.

Deterrence models, once based on superior air power and technological advantage, are now outdated in an era where drone swarms and cyber warfare democratize conflict.


*A World at a Crossroads*

The Iran-Israel ceasefire is not a peace treaty; it’s a pause dictated by mutual exhaustion and shifting power dynamics. The deeper reality is the collapse of old assumptions: that Western-led security, sanctions, and military technology can unilaterally dictate global outcomes.

BRICS is poised to formalize an alternative security framework, potentially challenging NATO’s monopoly on international security guarantees. Meanwhile, U.S. influence is weakening, constrained by internal divisions, military overstretch, and the crumbling power of the dollar.

Unless the West fundamentally recalibrates its global approach — embracing true multipolar cooperation rather than resisting it — the decline of Pax Americana is not just likely; it is inevitable.

*Conclusion: Beyond Missiles — The End of an Era*

This is not merely a Middle East story. It is the unraveling of an entire world order. The ordinary reader must understand: the myths of military invincibility, the power of sanctions, and the dominance of Western diplomacy are rapidly fading.

What comes next is a world increasingly shaped not by who controls the skies, but by who adapts fastest sweet to a reality where power is diffuse, alliances are shifting, and no empire — however mighty — remains unchallenged forever.


Umar Osabo PhD is a political, economy and security analysts with biase in Middle East Politics and Sahel. He can be reached on: umarmosabo@gmail.com


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Mumu talk from an I s lam ic ter rorist. It was Israel that bombed Iran last after a ceasefire was agreed to. On the last day of the 12-day war, Israel still kílled another top military personnel and nuclear scientist in Iran. How come Iran didn't respond to that if you think it was Israel that actually needed the ceasefire most?
Foreign AffairsRe: Iran Warns Of 'real Capabilities' If Trump Doesn't Drop Disrespectful' Tone by Raf4: 9:43pm On Jun 29, 2025
gaskiyamagana:
Fantasy in the worlds of illusion and dellusion. Your face saving from Iran missiles onslaught ceasefire will soon expired and second half of your TOTAL DEFEAT will commence if you continue speaking RECKLESSLY. Kiss the truth or face humiliation.
You're still proud of failed missiles that had less than 3% success rate on a tiny Israel. Over 1000 missiles fired, less than 30 hit targets. While IDF hit thousands of targets in Iran.
Foreign AffairsRe: Iran Warns Of 'real Capabilities' If Trump Doesn't Drop Disrespectful' Tone by Raf4: 9:35pm On Jun 29, 2025
God1000:
Lol, you guys are so funny

America launched a face saving attack on Iran's nuclear facilities just to hoodwink folks like you, nothing much was damage, why do you think they secretly informed Tehran before the operation, that's the reason Iran also informed them before striking their airbase in Qatar

Do you know how much america spent defending Israel from those ballistic missiles? They nearly exhausted all their interceptors, War is expensive to wage far away
Let your Iran start nuclear programme again and Israel will destroy them again and again and you people can do nothing. Go and ask Iraq.
PoliticsRe: 2027: David Mark May Lead Coalition Battle Against Tinubu by Raf4: 9:15pm On Jun 29, 2025
David Mark still dey??
I'm not sure if he can win any election in Benue state presently..........expired politician.
Foreign AffairsRe: Netanyahu, Let My People Go! by Raf4: 2:47pm On Jun 29, 2025
What's this one saying here?.....................litany of gibberish!
Something like "not enough 40 characters junks"
Foreign AffairsRe: Ayatollah Ali Khamenei Missing During Iran Top Military Commanders, Nuclear Scie by Raf4: 9:31pm On Jun 28, 2025
The fear of Mossad is the beginning of...........for Ali.
Less than a month ago, he was in the conference room with his top 10 military personnel discussing the the security situation of the country. Today, ayatollah is in the same conference room surrounded by 10 skeletons and the ghost of the same top military Generals.
PoliticsRe: IPOB Reacts As Kenyan Court Declares Nnamdi Kanu’s Arrest, Extradition Illegal by Raf4: 12:22pm On Jun 28, 2025
Unfortunately, no one knows the whereabout of Jubril Al Sudani who got him arrested/kidnapped. Is Jubril still in Nigeria or has he returned back to Sudan?

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