₦airaland Forum

MrJanuzaj:
You are dreaming. Atiku will lose heavily in Bauchi , bornu, Yobe and Gombe. He will lose Adamawa 60/40 and win Taraba 55/45. He will lose Nassarawa, Kwara, Niger and Kogi too in the northcentral. Lose all the states in the SW and Edo, Lose very heavily in Northwest. So tell me how Atiku will win?

You will learn new political realities next year!

buhariguy:
buhari will win Adamawa, borno,bauchi,gombe and yobe,
Only taraba will be 50-50.

February 16th is Not far!

Aaronzy:
I laugh in Ekwere language.. If Igbos with their large population are considered as 5%, then these ones will probably be 0.2%

You will continue to dismiss the momentum until #PresidentAtiku is sworn in!

Only a Frog in water on a burner will be singing as the temperature rises!!

Cajal:
..rather Nigerians giving atikulooters nightmares
How was it!... Did you enjoy kwara, bauchi and katsna loss
More is loading

Enjoy your Victories congratulations. I Know you Are Impressionable not Critical!

ORIENTATION101:
bla bla bla .the most easiest election to rig in nigeria is presidency. All the states that produces inflated figures in presidential election dont replicate same figures during gubernatorial election because it is tougher to rig than presidential elections.
Apc has the biggest voting populations regions in nigeria under their control.
North west region. 18m
South west region. 14m
North east region. - 9m


Pdp has south south. 11m
South east. 8m

North central apc and pdp has almost same number of states.

How atiku want to rigged buhari out is a pipe dream

2019 elections will be won and lost by the people not rigging!
It gladdens the heart to. Know you are banking only on rigging to. Win cos buhari Is A monumental Failure!

dalongjnr:
hehehe..... you made me laughing. which northeast? Bauchi,borno,yobe and gombe are pmb. Taraba and adamawa will be shared accordingly. take that to the bank,deposit and check in February, 2019

We are both free to air our perceptions and projections. February 16th will reveal the truth.

ORIENTATION101:
yen yen yen .pdp will rule federal republic of social media since that is the only place they win elections

No problem February 16th ain't Far.

FOLYKAZE:
I won't join your state of nuisancy. Campaign should be issue based. If you have contrary view, present it and let us debate

You Presented Nothing! When you present issues you will be engaged else you will be dismissed!

Cajal:
Atikuliars and atikuloosers and Atikulooters will be heavily defeated in the northeast

Atiku giving you Nightmares!

ORIENTATION101:
re you athieftkulators not tired and ashamed of mass failures in predicitions.from kogi ,edo,anambra,ondo,ekiti,osun, kaduna,plateau , bauchi ,kastina kwara pdp lost woefully yet you still belive atiku with no grassroot support will win imaginary election in 2019. you pdp forcasters re shameless. you have never won a major election since 2015 apart from social media elections.

Lack of critical thought is obvious With buharideens!

SamuelAnyawu:
Oga he is right in a way... Atiku needs to increase his campaign here in the Northeast...

In Borno State there is no PDP here. That is why someone like Ndume is not bothered campaigning in his Borno South Zone.

PMB will win Borno and Yobe but lose North east as a region. Just as Atiku will lose NW.

famology:
You remember what I told you before the by-election on Saturday? Hahahaha..........

Congratz! You are certainly an impressionable person.

You will still remember next year Abi?

midolian:
Jonathan campaigned and rigged 2015 Election with all he had but ended up losing.

But the average Nigerian is cursed with forgetfulness...and this is what the evil umbrella party tries to take advantage of all of the time.

There is no crime alleged against Buhari's Government that the PDP Government didn't commit double..


Ne×t Le√el

This Is exactly how To Market A poor product aka buhari!

FOLYKAZE:
The Buhari campaign organisation in the run up to 2015 general election made three blue print on which they were going to work on. The three promises are centred on Security, Economy and Corruption.

Now, let us access these three campaign blueprints and see if they are fulfilled.

1. Security: Before 2015 election run up, we saw that Boko Haram attack was at it peak. The mind of the people across Nigeria, esp in the northern part was filled with terror. Hardly can a day pass without news about bomb attack. This was happening simultaneously in Abuja, Adamawa, Borno and virtually all states in Northern Nigeria. Police headquarter, UN office, Thisday, Nyanya motor park, Military barracks, schools, churches, mosques and so many villages were bombed with over 25,000 life lost. Boko Haram had taken and collect tax from a territory of the size of Belgium in their fold.

When Buhari came in, he fought the terrorist and turned them to scavengers. We can now sleep with our eye closed. When last did bomb ignited in Abuja or any northern states? Today, the stolen territory has been returned to Nigeria sovereignty. More and more IDPs are returning home safely building their home again. Services can hold in churches and mosques without fear of bomb attack unlike we had before. On this note, we can credit Buhari.

2. Economy: Before the run up to 2015 election, we experienced the worst economic in Nigeria. Running a mono economy system and oil at the highest price ever, we borrowed to run recurrent expenditure. GEJ govt was on borrowing spree to pay salary despite earning the most from oil sales. Our foreign reserve dropped dropped drastically below 60%. The state government was all over unable to pay salary. Backlogs were up to 24 yrs unpaid. Infrastructure was in complete comatose. The economy was running in a fast pace to southward.

When Buhari came in, he managed to pilot the economy away from the crash it headed. With small resources, little sales process because of attack on our oil installations, oil prices going below $30 par barrel, and saboteurs who wouldn't make things work. He managed to pay backlogs, bailed out struggling states twice, increase our foreign reserve, and also pay the enumeration of pensioners who were owed pensions of over 25yrs. We shouldn't forget that there is improvement on our infrastructure, and work is going on to better improve it nationwide. Inflation has been falling over months. With his economy teams, we are out recession and the economy is witnessing more of growth. Another credit to Buhari.

3. Corruption: There is no Nigerian that can deny the fact that the endemic plague that has been corruption. Corruption made the whole system not to function. The public office was the ATM of civil servants. The Politicians too ransacked our treasury and stole funds that could have benefited the massed for themselves. We didn't have good road because the fund assigned for it is in the foreign bank account of a particular politician.

Today, Buahri has put on blockage on the loopholes on our financial system. We now have the government that have the political will to implement BVN. All financial transaction flows can now be monitored and any criminal fund circulation can be identified and quickly penalized. The Government TSN is also a food initiative that have seen all government fund in a single account unlike we had before. Therefore, it is hard for a fund holder to divert public fund. Moreso, we now have, unlike before, public officers are now answering to their crime cases. Two former govs are serving jail terms. Senators now have taste of prison cells and are now scared of been embarrassed for committing crimes.


While 2019 is approaching, we agree that there are still more to be done. We've gone past the all the ill fate of poor security, poor economy and endemic corruption, we are now tolling improved economy, improved security and winning war on corruption.

The NEXT LEVEL is important. We are identifying the setbacks, our successes, itemizing how we can further improve on them. Our reserve growth should be 500%, we actually had over 80% improvement. That is our mission.

The NEXT LEVEL is vital. We have degraded Boko Haram. They operate from foreign countries today but they still attack farmers and fishermen. These guys now steal food from poor people. We have identified our success and our setbacks, we are no determined to crush them completely.

We have identified Herdmen and Secessionist and Militant kidnappers springing up springing up here and there. We have worked hard but more needed to be done.

The NEXT LEVEL is very important as we need to fight corrupt officers more. It was kickbacks in the legislation before a bill can be passed. Today, the senators have devised a means of stealing fund under the disguise of paddling. We need to take the war against corruption to the enemy of the states. We need to improve more on education funding, poverty alleviation create more jobs and health improvement.

This and many more....but never again shall Nigeria climb down to days of PDP. We are all unto the NEXT LEVEL.

Next. Level of Disaster?



Buhari is a calamity foretold and must be Sent Packing next year.

Firefire:
Insha’allah, in Jesus Christ Name. Ameen! Amen!

Ma'asha Allah. Amen.

famology:
Saraki is history in kwara state today.

In your mind!

Firefire:
Anyone who still wish that the criminal called Bukola Saraki continue to rule Kwara is wicked and will never go unpunished.

Anyone whosoever wish Buhari/tinubu continue to rule this nation shall Suffer same Fate!

Lets see who will deliver His state To his party Next year, between vacular Oshiomole and strategic Saraki!

MetaPhysical:
I have gone through Atiku's preamble, his charts, the powerpoints and the policy document. There are couple of points to highlight to demystify all the charade and flood of information.

1.
It is all a game of elitism. What Atiku has put together should be called his agenda or proposal to make government work, and not a policy to make Nigeria work. Calling this a policy to make Nigeria work is an insult. Atiku will never unilaterally draft the policy that will make Nigeria work, it is impossible for him or anyone to ever do in a government, not even under a military government is it possible for one person to utilize his ideas for the plurality of a society. Atiku has yet to form a cabinet of government, therefore any submissions to make government work is a proposal or agenda of one man....and not a policy for the country; he is not a one-man government!

2.
Atiku released a similar policy document in 2015 and it remained a paperweight on pages of internet, not a single person at the grassroot can make head or tail out of his ramblings in that material. The same fate awaits this version. For example, how do you translate his ideas to the market woman or the trader in a way that they see value in it within the Nigerian context? There is a disconnect! Atiku is spinning theories and abstracts that have never in the history of Nigeria been achieved even with those far more capable and best gifted to make it a reality but yet impaired by the vagaries of bureaucracy and ethno-cultural objectives.

3.
The materials are targeted to the international communities. Atiku is seeking their approvals and backings as a better option to Buhari. It is why its designs, formats, packaging and language is decorated in a way only they can understand ad relate to, but its delivery to the grassroot Nigerian is meaningless, and for all purposes goes above the head of the common man in the local society. Atiku believes this will get him endorsements at World Bank, in US, in Europe, Russia, China and international media will adopt him. World Bank has been involved in our affairs, US has been involved, Europe, and all other developed nations around the world and even their media have all been involved in our national issues and the solutions to our domestic problems still eludes us. It means whatever their endorsements are after this documents get to them will still not produce a different outcome for the Nigerian society. The solution to our problem is not Atiku, in fact if we go by his track records and history in Nigerian government, Atiku is a liability, not an asset.

4.
Atiku needs to speak to the electorate, not foreign governments and media, and share his plans in ways that it can be understood in the market square. This abstract policy document is not for Nigerians.

What is this? Nothing critical nor plausible In your submission rather than youthful exuberance.

Apc minions really have a difficult task of taming the #Atikutsunami. GNWA on Point!

Next bauchi to Adopt Him as North east get atikulated!

Isuata:
The key thing you mentioned that I agree with is "the political class"
That political class was fully behind Buhari against Jonathan...the left behind in PDP at the time were not major power brokers.
The difference now is that, that political class is not fully behind Atiku neither are they fully behind Buhari. The one with the Ace of State is Buhari. The one with the Ace of surprise if he can swing majority of that political class is Atiku.
In the end, Atiku needs to swing the west in order to get lots of votes...the longterm vision of the west might not allow Atiku to be able to sway the west.
Again, you seem not to be in touch with grassroots politics, those issues you mentioned have never galvanised Nigerians to go n vote. The real voting public vote based on personalities, parties, religion, tribal resemblance and money.
Of all these factors, money is where Atiku might try but if the political class behind buhari remain loyal, money become's a shared competency of both.
Again, the political class behind Atiku,how loyal are they going to be in the following weeks?
If what I perceive is correct, then APC wants to give Atiku' generals problems of their own to face so they cannot face the war. Force them to focus on their battles n loose sight of the war. Besides,Oshiomole is a key factor I see also,I saw he's hand in Ekiti. That's a testbed for what will happen in 2019.
But like you say....2019 is going to be Interesting, in the end Nigerians will be the better for it as we edge towards political awareness n new innovative ways to get involved.

The political class is firmly behind Atiku! The Seal of endorsement of the political Class has always been delivered by OBJ,he has delivered It to Atiku.


Those in govt enjoying the largesse will Sink With buhari.

Yes, ethno-religious considerations are Critical determinants of voting pattern especially amongst the conservative north. While Party affiliation and Republican Ideals drive The Votes in the SE/SS. SW is the most Liberal and therefore Most Sensitive to issues and Performance.

Below a ratio analysis of voting per region in 2015:
GMB/apc GEJ/Pdp

NC. 1.41 : 1

NE. 3.58 : 1

NW. 5.31 : 1

SE. 1 : 12.43

SS. 1 : 11.26

SW. 1.34 : 1

It is clear That 2 regions NC and SW are the Swing regions. NC has traditionally been a Pdp safe zone Till 2015. Currently They are Back to pdp's column.

The SW remains too close to call. The restructuring debate will be the determinant here.


Now the SE/sS are deeply anti Buhari and still remain so. The NE with 4:1 in. Favour of buhari is now a battleground with Atiku being from the zone. It will be fair to rate it 2.5:2.5

NW with 5:1 too Will come to 4:2.

The ethno-religiious Sensitivity of conservative NE/NW Is now being challenged by Atiku a fellow hausa-fulani/moslem.

This scenario clearly oust buhari.

However, the added weight of newly registered Voters of 14m+ is a clear Warning To buhari/apc to get Set to quit Aso rock.

The surge in voters registration is largely of disenchanted citizens who now believe in the sanctity of the Ballot. If only 50% turnout at the ratio 5:1 to vent their anger,that will blowout buhari from The villa!

Bottomline, buhari is a goner come. 2019. But, his fans will argue like #teamGEJ did in 2015 till it is too Late.

olagbola55:
You are in pain Mr man

Pain from what?

ManirBK:
my brother this your argument does not count in the north east, Atiku can not buy their conscience, they know what it was like in 1999/2007 and 2010/2015 respectively. President Buhari's support in the north east excluding Taraba is much more than his support base in the north west, quote me anywhere, Atiku will be defeated in Adamawa by Buhari.

Stop twisting the facts! Atiku will defeat buhari in the North East. I laff when people overrate buhari's followership in the north.

Roger3D:
Buhari cant be ousted by the 5% votes you have to offer, you're gonna have to do alot better

Your opinion is empty cos your buhari Is Desperate for a share greater than 5%.

97% is no longer feasible anywhere including Daura!

Corrinthians:
Issue based campaign indeed.

PDP go chop their asses this election.

Bring it on!

Lifelesssness can only give chaff! #letGetNigeriaWorkiingAgain

PStacks:
Hahahaha. Lol.

Una never see something ..


person wey never get 1st term don dey plan second term..


Baba Buhari you are too Much.


Atiku kor. Kutiha ni.. mtcheeewww bunch of mofos

Buharideen!

kahal29:
I join you they laugh too. This is another vague campaign promises without any substance.

Imagine...... listing what and what should be done without telling us how it will be done.



As an economist two of those promises caught my attention cause they lacked specifics....

1. “Introduce market friendly fiscal and pricing policies.”

2. “Reduce gradually the rate of unemployment and under-employment to a single digit by 2025.

How does he Intend to achieve or is it another like the one of making one Naira into one Dollar?

As far as I am concerned Atiku has said nothing new.... This is another Bubu Yaya on the way.

You saw a bullet point extract from a 71 page document. But already formed An opinion. Instead of looking forward to Having the soft copy for a comprehensive review.


Chai

Officialpdpnig:
Yes zoning is a PDP thing same way they zoned out the SE on four inauguration that took place in their 16 year rule while at the same time during the same 16 years Buhari had 2 igbos run with him as his VP candidate.

Indeed zoning is a PDP thing

Very lame. In fact too Lame! PDP made minority GEJ president (SS) Yaradua (NW) and OBJ (SW). Next Atiku(NE) follow by SE then my region NC.


Buhari/tinubu the owners of Apc Dont believe in Zoning.


Anyway, zoning is not the issue but a feeling of sense of Belonging and ownership by all. PDP is Our own GOP it is a truly Pan-nigerian party.

When. You BMC folks want to make an electoral case for Buhari, you go 'no one can Defeat bbuhari in The North'. What an Error Of having an arewa president for a diverse nigeria!

apolonius:
So well! Even know their poor asslickers like you!

Whose Ass are You Licking?

SpecialAdviser:
As a student of statiistics, I like to present people with facts and not making unnecessary noise.
Below is the presidential election result in 2105 and the recent bye election showing APC losing.
2019 is around the corner and all I ask is FREE and FAIR election.

You reversed the kwara result of 2015 pdp had 130k as against Apc. 300k+

Jaapu:
You can aswell call someone a goat and give a befitting definition for it.

Moral demands you don't call people names that will offend them.

Stop twisting!
Some down shout take aboki for debasing. But you need only the near Zero hausa lexicon to know it is : friend.