₦airaland Forum

Seyi is running under APM, he has the Taminu Turaki PDP faction working for him in APM, just as Wike's faction are working for Tinubu. Effectively reducing Tinubu’s votes to only Ogun and Ekiti wins. Lagos, Oyo, Ondo and Osun are 25% states in the SW for Tinubu. In the SE and SS, Tinubu will be humiliated.

LegendHero:
Makinde contesting the 2027 presidential election could affect Atiku’s chances in Oyo State more than it affects Tinubu’s.
A lot of people believe Makinde joining the race under APM will mainly reduce Tinubu’s votes in Oyo, but if you look closely at the 2023 presidential election results, the bigger damage may actually be on Atiku’s side.
2023 Oyo Presidential Results:
* Tinubu — 449k votes
* Atiku — 182k votes
* Peter Obi — 99k votes

Despite Tinubu’s dominance, Atiku was still able to secure the required 25% in Oyo. But with Makinde now potentially on the ballot and the PDP structure in Oyo no longer fully aligned with Atiku, a large portion of anti-Tinubu voters could naturally shift toward Makinde instead.

Many of the people who voted against Tinubu in 2023 are 50% likely to vote against him again in 2027, but this time Makinde may become the direct beneficiary of those votes.

Yes, Tinubu may lose some support too, but percentage-wise, the impact on Atiku could be much deeper because Makinde directly cuts into the PDP voting base and opposition structure in the Southwest.

At this point, Atiku will struggle to secure 25% in most Southwest states. Osun, for example, will also vote very differently in 2027 because Adeleke openly support Tinubu.

Strategically, one could argue that the best option for Atiku would have been a Makinde/Atiku alliance or Makinde deputizing him. That combination could have opened more doors in the Southwest and strengthened PDP’s chances of reaching the constitutional spread requirement.

As it stands now, even Sowore may defeat Tinubu.

sweetkevisco:
Which party is seyi running on
Seyi won't be on the ballot

He has since joined APM, don't forget Wike group expelled him. He did not bother but Nicodemusly registered with APM without noise. See how Tinubu's pkan to be Nigerian Paul Biya died a natural death?

seunmsg:
Fubara should get the ticket while the Wike group should get the Assembly seats and the Ministerial position of the state. That way, no group is left out. The two groups will also have no choice than to work for the party.

Dreamer, be sharing positions in Rivers, whoch Rivers State, do you mean in SW abi na the one in SS?

APC has no place in Delta, even Okowa will be defeated by NDC candidate.

With Makinde seeking to run under PDP-APM platform, Atiku may not get a viable running mate for 2027.
It is on record that Atiku usually like to run with a sitting governor, who would most likely bankroll the elections.
With Makinde out of the market, there are no governors in the South available for
Atiku. The only option for Atiku now is Amaechi or perhaps Ihedioha. Those two would be easily swallowed by Peter Obi's influence in SE and SS.

Hence, I am predicting a two horse race between Peter Obi and Tinubu.
The result will be overwhelmingly in favour of Peter Obi.

OP tell us another lie, this one no sell. The North rejected Tinubu and his bags of rice. Aboki go chop him money, clean mouth.

If Tinubu get 10% in Akwa-Ibom, he should be jubulating. 2027 will be a rig and roast election, especially in the South South. The people are getting ready.
I was in Delta state recently, from Warri to Asaba, Tinubu and APC are looked upon as Leprosy.

Jilo83:
2.5m is too much for state assembly form.
It shouldn't be up too 500k

We need campaign money, logistics, pay polling agents and man all polling booths in Nigeria. The money is not to buy votes, but logistics.

duro4chang:
Effort in futility. He will just waste his ill gotten wealth.

Plus reduce Tinubu's SW votes to 1.5 millions, thereby nullifying Wike's vote riggingin Rivers. Makinde should just galvanice APC, PDP, ADC Accord, etc and presenta SINGLE
FRONT in 2027.

#LagosMustbeFREE
Say no to APC oppression

Governor Fubara, wake up and fight. Work with NDC and get a placeholder in NDC. You can also be a political godfather.
Use Rivers money to install a governor who will look after your supporters. Do not be docile like Ambode, who has since been forgotten and pushed i to the dustbim of political history.

Fight now that you have the power. A governor is POWERFUL and can unmake a an ex-governor and even a president. FIGHT! FIGHT!! FIGHT!!!

PDP will not be fielding any candidates in 2027. They will suffer pre-election defeat. Same fate my befal the ADC.
Know this and have rest of mind.

Ibehchizzy:
That will spell the end of apc If gej picks and eventually becomes the president

The problem is that PDP results will be nullified, that woukd make either Peter Obi or Atiku win or go for run-ooff. With GEJ on the balls, Tinubu is only guaranteed 4 states in the South West and may be Bornu state in the North. Tinubu remains the weakest candidate after SDP's Adebayo and AAC's Sowore.

datola:
Why this pocture of Bill Gates wearing Isreal's flag t shirt

Islamic propaganda, if it was the other way, you will hear "Islamophobia "

TO WHOM IT MAY CONCERN;
This is to inform the general public, NL community, ADC leadership in Lagos, Delta and wirldwide, that I have since resigned my membership of the ADC, and have defected to the NDC. All other information remain unchanged.

I wish to also notify you all that when PO becomes president, I shall be seeking to be appointed as EFCC chairman. My mission is to recover the over $10T stolen from Nigeria.

With such humongous recovery, no Nigerian will ever sleep hungry for 20 yrars. Our hospitals will become first class, our armed forces will be better equipped to fight insurgency, we can provide free and compulsory education, 24 hours electricity

Evelynluv20:
Una won do like 2023 election again? From Top to Bottom?

Op go and print APC poster in Enugu Ukwu, nobody will stop you.

richiejedi:
Everyone is talking about Peter obi and kwankwaso leaving ADC and joining NDC,,has Senator Dickson himself left the PDP for his own party,the NDC.

Yes SIR. Dickson resigned on the floor of the senate.

In my opinion, NDC should conduct direct primaries across the nation. To that effect, the party MUST ensure that ALL polling units are manned in 2027. Not relying on PDP or ADC for results.

numericalguy:
I just dey laugh 🤣
Even 5% pepo sed dey talk

The same 5% that TROUNCED Tinubu in the South abi? Wait until what the North is cooking is done. The CPC block votes from Buhari is now totally split, plus Tinubu's FAILURE effect.

SadiqBabaSani:
Go n sidon, Obi will win but if not Obi, let Tinubu continue

Oga, Tinubu is no longer an option. We will not crown or reward FAILURE with a repeat. Let all three or four, Atiku, Obi, Tinubu and Goodluck go into the race. Tinubu will be 4th, and the rerun would be between the best two.

So NL now uses Facebook post as source. Okay, Tinubu must contest against Peter Obi. We want to see the result of Bourdillon polling booth.

After all the madness, one small captain abi na lieutenant Yerima humbled him.

Celebrityblog:
Nothing interesting about this 2027 Election when Tinubu has INEC, Judiciary, Executive and legislature in his pocket.

Tinubu has only one option, resign to avoid unprecedented defeat. The defeat would be so resounding that even EU and Americans will send experts to research how it came to be. INEC already know the results of 2027, so they wanted to scheme Peter Obi out.

Lere is a child in an old man's body.

What did tge SC decide on Anyanwu's suspension sir? Stop being smart by half truth.

sgd:
Did Obi build men like Tinubu did?

If you mean by corruptly enriching themselves at the state's expense .. NO!

For me, the airport management at MMIA are trying. Except for some corrupt NDLEA, Customs and begi'begi staff, the arrival was cool. After, checking out of the airport, you will see Nigeria, as it is "a failed state" under
Tinubu, no light, bad roads, etc.

Bolt and Uber allow rickety, I mean dirty and sometimes bolekaja vehicles. An eyesore.

At MMA2, things were worse. You cannot order rides here like Bolt and they cannot pick you up in front. They MUST go to the parking lot to pay N3500, so against Uber or Bolt fares, you are forced to pay twice or thrice.