₦airaland Forum

MARKET IS VOLATILE THESE DAYS
But the market is one way, SEMICONDUCTORS, DATA CENTRES/POWER, ENERGY , then to a lesser extent METALS.

But for zhe past 2 days, the Bitcoin stocks are coming up strong, so another "Suegbe Play loading again". So, if you are trading US stocks and you have no Bitcoin stock in your portfolio or plan to buy some, you are not fit for the market. So, for medium term play. BITCOIN STOCKS are shouting " BUY, BUY, BUY

Wishing everyone the best

**NIGERIA STOCK REPORT 5 MAY 2026 CORE REPORT**
**Market Outlook**
ALL Share index to close between between +0.33% and +0.48%

LIKELY MARKET DIRECTION ASI:
Bullish bias short-term with oil support and earnings. Catalysts: Corporate results, oil prices. Risks: FX volatility, global geopolitics. Selective longs preferred.

EARNINGS PROVIDING SOME RELIEF FROM THE CRAZY WAR
Somehow the market have tried to stay afloat despite the unwillingness of IRAN to be reasonable in the 'conditions" for peace!!!

Okay, it is Hajj time. I think US may have the upper hand if they want to play the type of game IRAN is playing!!! Reason for this is that if Us bomb IRAN, I will not be too surprised if IRAN will not bomb the Saudi Pilgrimage grounds!!!

So let is see if the haji season will go without one of the warring parties capitalising on this!!!

I regret not following the fundamentals when this forum stated. It is a big pain for me seeing PLTR tht was $18 now > $150, the likes of AEHR was $12 now $70. Now. i stock more to fundamentals and seldom touch "Biotech" stocks again. Where are our "Biotech Guys", did the "failed the trading market approval rating", wish them zhe best, hope they get some money to fund their accounts and come back to this forum!!!

This report is updated as of May 4, 2026, 04:02:00
**Iran-US Peace Deal Status**
Iran submitted a 14-point peace proposal on May 1 via mediators in Pakistan.
Key Iranian demands include lifting the naval blockade on the Strait of Hormuz, ending hostilities in Lebanon, and withdrawing US forces from the region.
President Trump stated the proposal was "not acceptable" and that the US could restart strikes if a satisfactory deal is not reached.
Market Impact: Currently Brent crude is trading above $105 per barrel due to these tensions.

TARGET TECHNICAL MARKET COMMENT FOR 4 MAY 2026 !!

**All Share Index is expected to close between +1.40% and +1.80 % on Monday 4 May 2026. **

LIKELY MARKET DIRECTION FOR MONDAY: 
Expected opening direction is HIGHER, based on momentum from the April 30 close. Intraday bias is BULLISH with selective consolidation likely in banking names that have not yet recovered from the 27 April profit-taking event.

I am amazed how using modelling has improved our win rate. We look to tommorrow's market with some degree of optimism.

On oil price, the Chiefs have spoken, oil likely to stabilise around $80 to $90 on IRAN/US peace deal (if IRAN will ever soft pedal on Nuclear issue/tolling the strait of Hormuz, for any peace deal to end the HORMUZ matter). So for Nigeria stock market/economy (it is now left for the Government to make use good use of the oil windfall or continue to waste it while borrowing more money all around), the stock market will definitely perform.

IS TODAY MAY 1ST AN HOLIDAY IN THE US MARKET?

WHAT WILL THE MARKET DO TODAY
We are in a good time for the market, the index continues to beat our forecasts. Today probability of many stocks going on full bid is high with many mid and big caps joining the full bid list.

tempest12:
Which broker app is the best for foreign stocks and getting quick withdrawals in local accounts in Nigeria after selling.... Too much bad reviews concerning withdrawals in our local apps trading foreign stocks

Okay.
You can look for another platform and inform us about your experience thereafter.

Can you post a link of some of the bad reviews!!! Also for the reviews, you should look at the dates. I know that there was a time that someone from Nigeria complain about withdrawal, that was before Vest started using Fluterwave for transfers. For now withdraws are very smooth.

Nevertheless please post the link of the bad review at least we can look at them. Thanks

TARGET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: WHAT WILL THE ALLSHARE DO TODAY!!!
Yesterday the index trashed our forecast by a wide margin which has never happened.

The market is always right, so our forecast messed up. Our forecast is still not bad since the basis is still information from the market itself. We will continue to see how to match the market performance without a qude margin while still being on the conservative side (we will avoid giving false hope).

We have added update of gains for the week. For example looking at, Monday to Tuesday makes information, PRESCO is currently lading the gainera for the on goun week with 16.61%.

Below are extract from our report for the Top Gainers for this week running:
Top 10 Weekly gainers as at EOD_Date
TICKER WK%
PRESCO 16.16
WEMABANK 12.00
ABBEYBDS 11.11

WHAT WILL THE MARKET DO TODAY.TARGET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS COMMENTS
UBA spoilt the mood of the market. Today we still expect the Allshare index to be bearish.

If ACCESS mess up on dividend decision like UBA, it will be a case of adding insult to injury. We may see further drop in the market temporarily!!!

Medium term, we are in a bullish market.

**US STOCK PRE MARKET UPDATE 27 APRIL 2026**

We expect a slightly bullish/ranging market today. It seems whatever can happen to oil on Hormuz Blockade has already happened, so market seems not to worry so much about it as a factor. The news tat will move market will be the opening of the strait

IHelp:
As at today, I think Vest is the best option for foreign stocks for someone living in Nigeria.

Okay.
You can look for another platform and inform us about your experience thereafter.

Can you post a link of some of the bad reviews!!! Also for the reviews, you should look at the dates. I know that there was a time that someone from Nigeria complain about withdrawal, that was before Vest started using Fluterwave for transfers. For now withdraws are very smooth.

Nevertheless please post the link of the bad review at least we can look at them. Thanks

WHAT WILL MARKET DO TODAY. TARGET TECHNICAL MARKET COMMENTS!!!

As of 18:11:58 PM on April 25, 2026, the planned Islamabad meeting between the U.S. and Iran has been cancelled.
Status of the Islamabad Meeting
Trip Cancellation: U.S. President Donald Trump officially cancelled the planned trip of envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff to Islamabad on Saturday evening.
Iranian Departure: Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi departed Pakistan on Saturday afternoon. He left after holding high-level meetings with Pakistani officials but ruling out direct talks with the U.S. delegation.
U.S. Stance: Trump stated that the U.S. has "all the cards" and told his people there was no point in making an "18-hour flight to sit around talking about nothing".
Al Jazeera

As of 18:11:58 PM on April 25, 2026, the planned Islamabad meeting between the U.S. and Iran has been cancelled.
Status of the Islamabad Meeting
Trip Cancellation: U.S. President Donald Trump officially cancelled the planned trip of envoys Jared Kushner and Steve Witkoff to Islamabad on Saturday evening.
Iranian Departure: Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi departed Pakistan on Saturday afternoon. He left after holding high-level meetings with Pakistani officials but ruling out direct talks with the U.S. delegation.
U.S. Stance: Trump stated that the U.S. has "all the cards" and told his people there was no point in making an "18-hour flight to sit around talking about nothing".
Al Jazeera

tempest12:
Which broker app is the best for foreign stocks and getting quick withdrawals in local accounts in Nigeria after selling.... Too much bad reviews concerning withdrawals in our local apps trading foreign stocks

The best APP for US stocks is. Vest Investments.
What I like about the APP is that it is so reliable that if I need to get my withdrawal within 3 days without fail, I will go for Vest. Withdrawing from Vest is faster than even withdrawing from your Naira platform in your account with United Capital, by the time you send your withdraw instructions to them, and you get a mail like "we have received your request, you will get our response in 24 hours", Vest has started processing your withdraw and on the 3rd day you get your alet without fail. Vest Investments is **super efficient as a trading platform.**

WHICH SECTOR IS GOOD FOR THE MEDIUM TIME FRAME

WHAT WILL THE MARKT DO TODAY.

WHAT IS OUR EXPECTATIONS FIR THE MARKET TODAY!!!

**NIGERIA STOCK REPORT 22 APRIL 2026 EXTRACT ** TARGET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
Yesterday the market lost some momentum. Equally our focus stocks did not behave according to expectation.

Today we believe Whatever negative news led to the low monentum (change of Financial Minister?). The effect should be over today.

**Market Outlook**
ALL Share index to close between between +0.07% and +0.12%.

LIKELY MARKET DIRECTION: SIDEWAYS TO BULLISH BIAS
1. MARKET RECAP & ANALYSIS (EOD Date: 21 April 2026 vs. Prior Trading Day). The NGX is expected to consolidate between 215,000 and 219,500 on the All-Share Index over the next one to two weeks, with selective upside in industrial, consumer goods, and growth stocks providing the primary opportunities

WHAT WILL THE MARKET DO TODAY!!!
We are in a cyclical bull market, pullbacks are buy candidates.

Today we are showing our "stocks of focus for the day". These are stocks that are likely to make it to zhe top gaibers list for today. A lot of inputs goes into identification of tgese stocks. One of the factors is a strong trend.

Wishing all the best.

TARGET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS MARKET COMMENTS
We expect another bullish opening for today.

TARGET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS COMMENTS
This week may produced one of the best weekly gains in recent time

TODAY IS A RISK ON DAY

We look forward to seeing a positive close in the market today.

Best sectors to look for winning stocks: SEMICONDUCTORS DEFENCE COMMUNICATIONS

The penny stocks that are showing heavy gains in premarket may not be good for our portfolio. We should follow leading/improving sector stocks tat are in uptrend.

**TARGET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS COMMENTS**
What will the market likely do today!!!

***IRAN/US PEACE TALKS***

The Iran/US talk produced no result. But full hostilities will not resume till the end of ceasefire period.

Looking at the demnds from both sides, it seems IRAN is asking for some conditions that are outside the control of America: like the Lebanon/Israel issue (the 2 Countries are not in this meeting), America bases in other Countries (the Countries with the bases are to make the decisions themselves)

**UPDATE IRAN/US PEACE TALKS ENDS IN STALEMATE**

As of April 12, 2026, the historic, direct peace talks in Islamabad between the United States and Iran have concluded without reaching an agreement.

Following 21 hours of intensive face-to-face negotiations at the Serena Hotel, the U.S. delegation, led by Vice President JD Vance, is now departing Pakistan.

Key Outcomes and Sticking Points

Failed Deal: Vice President Vance stated that while the U.S. came in good faith, they did not see a "fundamental commitment of will" from Iran regarding nuclear weapon development. He emphasized that the U.S. has delivered its "best and final offer".

Strait of Hormuz: Control and reopening of the waterway remained a primary point of "serious disagreement". Iran's foreign ministry cited U.S. "excessive demands" and insisted on maintaining its military gains in the region.

Trump's Stance: President Donald Trump commented that it makes "no difference" to him if a deal is reached, asserting that "regardless of what happens, we win".

Regional Context: The talks took place during a fragile 14-day ceasefire following a six-week-old war. Despite the negotiations, Israel has maintained its commitment to continue fighting Iranian proxies in Lebanon.

Delegations Involved

United States: Vice President JD Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and advisor Jared Kushner.

Iran: Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi.

Mediator: The talks were brokered and hosted by Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif.

While this round ended without a breakthrough, talks could potentially resume in the future, though "serious disagreements" persist on almost all technical details.

**US 15 POINTS PROPOSAL**

The U.S. 15-point proposal, presented during the high-stakes Islamabad talks, was described as Washington’s "best and final offer" to end the six-week-old war. While the full text was not officially released, reports indicate it was a "maximalist" framework focused on the total dismantlement of Iran's nuclear infrastructure in exchange for economic relief.

Core Provisions of the U.S. 15-Point Plan

The framework included:

Nuclear Dismantlement: Iran would decommission facilities at Natanz, Isfahan, and Fordow.

Zero Enrichment: A permanent ban on domestic uranium enrichment, even for civilian purposes, with all existing stockpiles handed over to the IAEA.

Strait of Hormuz: The immediate reopening of the waterway as a "free maritime zone" under international, rather than Iranian, management.

Missile Limits: Strict restrictions on the range and number of ballistic missiles Iran could possess.

Regional Activity: An end to all funding and arming of proxies, including Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis.

Recognition of Israel: A politically sensitive demand for Iran to acknowledge Israel's right to exist.

Ceasefire Structure: An initial 30-day ceasefire to finalize the broader deal.

The "Carrots" Offered

To incentivize these concessions, the U.S. proposed:

Comprehensive Sanctions Relief: Lifting all primary and secondary sanctions, including the UN "snapback" mechanism.

Civilian Nuclear Support: Assistance with electricity generation at the Bushehr plant to replace the lost domestic enrichment capabilities.

Asset Release: The potential unfreezing of billions in Iranian assets held abroad.

Why the Talks Failed

Vice President JD Vance cited a lack of "fundamental commitment" from Tehran to abandon its nuclear ambitions. Iran countered with its own 10-point plan, insisting on its right to enrich uranium, continued military control over the Strait of Hormuz (with the right to collect transit fees), and the withdrawal of all U.S. forces from the region.

The 21-hour marathon ended with both sides departing Islamabad, leaving the current two-week ceasefire in a highly precarious state.

Would you like to see the specific details of Iran’s 10-point counter-proposal for comparison?

Iran’s 10-point counter-proposal

Iran’s 10-point counter-proposal, presented by Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, served as their official framework for the Islamabad talks. While President Trump initially called it a "workable basis," the specific terms were ultimately rejected by the U.S. delegation as a "non-starter".

**The 10 Clauses of Iran's Proposal**

The proposal demanded:

Guaranteed Non-Aggression: A formal, binding commitment from the U.S. and its allies to never attack Iran again.

Permanent End to Hostilities: Moving beyond a temporary ceasefire to a permanent peace agreement.

Hormuz Transit Tolls: Continued Iranian oversight of the Strait of Hormuz, including a proposed $2 million fee per ship, to be split with Oman.

Domestic Uranium Enrichment: International recognition of Iran’s right to enrich uranium for civilian purposes on its own soil.

Lifting of All Sanctions: The immediate removal of all primary U.S. sanctions and secondary sanctions against third parties.

Withdrawal of U.S. Forces: The exit of all U.S. combat forces from military bases and deployment points across the Middle East.

Termination of International Resolutions: The rescinding of all UN Security Council and IAEA resolutions targeting Iran's nuclear program.

War Reparations: Full financial compensation for damages caused during the six-week conflict, often framed as "reconstruction funds" derived from Hormuz transit fees.

Protection of the "Axis of Resistance": An end to all military operations against Iranian-allied groups, specifically demanding a halt to Israeli strikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Binding International Law: Any final agreement must be codified as binding international law through the UN Security Council to prevent future U.S. withdrawal.

**The "Make or Break" Conflict**

The primary reason for the talks' failure was the mismatch between these points and the U.S. 15-point plan. For instance, while Iran demanded the right to enrich uranium, the U.S. insisted on zero enrichment and the total removal of all nuclear material. Additionally, Iran insisted that the Lebanon conflict was included in the truce, a point explicitly denied by the U.S. and Israel.

The current two-week ceasefire is set to expire soon, and with no deal in place, both sides have indicated they are prepared to resume military operations.

***IRAN/US PEACE TALKS***

The Iran/US talk produced no result. But full hostilities will not resume till the end of ceasefire period.

Looking at the demnds from both sides, it seems IRAN is asking for some conditions that are outside the control of America: like the Lebanon/Israel issue (the 2 Countries are not in this meeting), America bases in other Countries (the Countries with the bases are to make the decisions themselves)

**UPDATE IRAN/US PEACE TALKS ENDS IN STALEMATE**

As of April 12, 2026, the historic, direct peace talks in Islamabad between the United States and Iran have concluded without reaching an agreement.

Following 21 hours of intensive face-to-face negotiations at the Serena Hotel, the U.S. delegation, led by Vice President JD Vance, is now departing Pakistan.

Key Outcomes and Sticking Points

Failed Deal: Vice President Vance stated that while the U.S. came in good faith, they did not see a "fundamental commitment of will" from Iran regarding nuclear weapon development. He emphasized that the U.S. has delivered its "best and final offer".

Strait of Hormuz: Control and reopening of the waterway remained a primary point of "serious disagreement". Iran's foreign ministry cited U.S. "excessive demands" and insisted on maintaining its military gains in the region.

Trump's Stance: President Donald Trump commented that it makes "no difference" to him if a deal is reached, asserting that "regardless of what happens, we win".

Regional Context: The talks took place during a fragile 14-day ceasefire following a six-week-old war. Despite the negotiations, Israel has maintained its commitment to continue fighting Iranian proxies in Lebanon.

Delegations Involved

United States: Vice President JD Vance, special envoy Steve Witkoff, and advisor Jared Kushner.

Iran: Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi.

Mediator: The talks were brokered and hosted by Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif.

While this round ended without a breakthrough, talks could potentially resume in the future, though "serious disagreements" persist on almost all technical details.

**US 15 POINTS PROPOSAL**

The U.S. 15-point proposal, presented during the high-stakes Islamabad talks, was described as Washington’s "best and final offer" to end the six-week-old war. While the full text was not officially released, reports indicate it was a "maximalist" framework focused on the total dismantlement of Iran's nuclear infrastructure in exchange for economic relief.

Core Provisions of the U.S. 15-Point Plan

The framework included:

Nuclear Dismantlement: Iran would decommission facilities at Natanz, Isfahan, and Fordow.

Zero Enrichment: A permanent ban on domestic uranium enrichment, even for civilian purposes, with all existing stockpiles handed over to the IAEA.

Strait of Hormuz: The immediate reopening of the waterway as a "free maritime zone" under international, rather than Iranian, management.

Missile Limits: Strict restrictions on the range and number of ballistic missiles Iran could possess.

Regional Activity: An end to all funding and arming of proxies, including Hezbollah, Hamas, and the Houthis.

Recognition of Israel: A politically sensitive demand for Iran to acknowledge Israel's right to exist.

Ceasefire Structure: An initial 30-day ceasefire to finalize the broader deal.

The "Carrots" Offered

To incentivize these concessions, the U.S. proposed:

Comprehensive Sanctions Relief: Lifting all primary and secondary sanctions, including the UN "snapback" mechanism.

Civilian Nuclear Support: Assistance with electricity generation at the Bushehr plant to replace the lost domestic enrichment capabilities.

Asset Release: The potential unfreezing of billions in Iranian assets held abroad.

Why the Talks Failed

Vice President JD Vance cited a lack of "fundamental commitment" from Tehran to abandon its nuclear ambitions. Iran countered with its own 10-point plan, insisting on its right to enrich uranium, continued military control over the Strait of Hormuz (with the right to collect transit fees), and the withdrawal of all U.S. forces from the region.

The 21-hour marathon ended with both sides departing Islamabad, leaving the current two-week ceasefire in a highly precarious state.

Would you like to see the specific details of Iran’s 10-point counter-proposal for comparison?

Iran’s 10-point counter-proposal

Iran’s 10-point counter-proposal, presented by Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf and Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi, served as their official framework for the Islamabad talks. While President Trump initially called it a "workable basis," the specific terms were ultimately rejected by the U.S. delegation as a "non-starter".

**The 10 Clauses of Iran's Proposal**

The proposal demanded:

Guaranteed Non-Aggression: A formal, binding commitment from the U.S. and its allies to never attack Iran again.

Permanent End to Hostilities: Moving beyond a temporary ceasefire to a permanent peace agreement.

Hormuz Transit Tolls: Continued Iranian oversight of the Strait of Hormuz, including a proposed $2 million fee per ship, to be split with Oman.

Domestic Uranium Enrichment: International recognition of Iran’s right to enrich uranium for civilian purposes on its own soil.

Lifting of All Sanctions: The immediate removal of all primary U.S. sanctions and secondary sanctions against third parties.

Withdrawal of U.S. Forces: The exit of all U.S. combat forces from military bases and deployment points across the Middle East.

Termination of International Resolutions: The rescinding of all UN Security Council and IAEA resolutions targeting Iran's nuclear program.

War Reparations: Full financial compensation for damages caused during the six-week conflict, often framed as "reconstruction funds" derived from Hormuz transit fees.

Protection of the "Axis of Resistance": An end to all military operations against Iranian-allied groups, specifically demanding a halt to Israeli strikes on Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Binding International Law: Any final agreement must be codified as binding international law through the UN Security Council to prevent future U.S. withdrawal.

**The "Make or Break" Conflict**

The primary reason for the talks' failure was the mismatch between these points and the U.S. 15-point plan. For instance, while Iran demanded the right to enrich uranium, the U.S. insisted on zero enrichment and the total removal of all nuclear material. Additionally, Iran insisted that the Lebanon conflict was included in the truce, a point explicitly denied by the U.S. and Israel.

The current two-week ceasefire is set to expire soon, and with no deal in place, both sides have indicated they are prepared to resume military operations.

WHAT WILL THE MARKET DO TODAY- TARGET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS COMMENTS!!!

US MARKET STOCKS BETTER TO TRADE THAN COMMODITIES/CRYPTOS
I look at my old cryptos watchlist, I cringe when I observed that a lot of cryptos have disappeared (meaning people have lost their money).

Same also applies to commodities, like in this war time, I am sure no trader can survive if brent moved against you between yesterday and early this morning.

There seems to be some stocks that this war cannot move against at least fir the medium timeframe. Although they equally have factors that can affect them, but now they seems detached from this war Volatility, an example is "TER".

WHAT CAN WE DO ON A DAY LIKE THIS?
We stay on the sidelines!!!

Then we monitor our portfolio ensuring that we are not too overweight to the negative industry.

US MARKET OPENS TODAY, LIKELY TO BE ON THE BULLISH SIDE!
The positive opening may end up with pullback as IRAN seems not to be committed to any peace deal at the moment.

It is looking like IRAN may be the Architect of their own downfall by being too difficult, how many Countries are they going to fight against!!! I am sure it the neighbouring Countries equally start to throw bombs IRAN will not be able to cope with the onslaught!!! We wait and see.

WHEN MARKET OPEN TOMMORROW- THIS IS OUR EXPECTED MARKET DIRECTION.