₦airaland Forum

LIKELY MARKET DIRECTION TOMMORROW 6 OCTOBER
General market likely to be in conslidation/slightly bearish, but the sub sectors that have been bullish like the metals, batteries, blockchain/AI may continue.

Going further on Gold/Bitcoin comments, this time around Gold and Bitcoin are moving together. So ig the shutdown continues, expect the 2 to continue moving up. And on the day the shutdown ends, they are likely part ways, with Bitcoin moving up and Gold likely dropping (on the day of the spending approval only).

Wishing everyone the best. It pays to preserve our capital so that we can be in the market for long.

[quote author=Hoaxen post=137017369]
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ujpfBcOz4ak

The Government is not interested in solving this insecurity. Probability they want to use it as a ploy ti continue stealing money in the name of buying military equipments. Fir this Boko Haram issue Chaf came to Nigeria and silenced Boko Haram without sweat:
https://www.nairaland.com/5775328/how-president-idris-deby-turned#88118575

Also what is needed is not buying more tanks and Aircrafts, it is a matter of technology which are becoming cheaper everyday, Israel war with Iraq is an example most Commanders and high ranking Iraq Army were taken out one by one in no time. The Government should contact defence contractors like Palantir/Gorilla Technologies (Egypt even used Gorilla technologies recently and some other Countries, they will give you a sort of CCTV that can capture what is happening in a whole City). No we don't hear about the big Nigerian Fraudsters again due to technologies from Palantir, if you want to know who initiated an attack like the Chibok Girl's case, Palantir can tell you the first person that made the phone call to start the operations, the date, the time and even the current location of that person). So on this Boko Haram, Government is indirectly condoning their operations and the good Citizens of this Country will still continue to wonder why? The Government knows how to tax the people like the developed economies, but provide simple security is a problem.

Using the services of Palantir or Gorilla Technologies definitely will be cheaper than all the lives being wasted. How much did Chad spent to silent Boko Haram when they came to Nigeria, I am sure amount is negligible (a google map like of the area showing where the Boko Haram People are hidden, their movements, where they keep weapons, there may be other military tactics involved but seems not complicated, they did not come with Aircrafts and when they finished, the Chadian Army went with Truck
loads of ammunitions collected from boko haram members and I am sure the Chadian Army suffered minimum casualties). Nigeria Government definitely are giving support to the Boko Haram people indirectly and Boko Haram boys are now becoming like celebrities on social media, very absurd

bjtinz:
Hello everyone, pls I need recommendations on a good responsive stock trading apart from bamboo. With live trading Thanks

Which type of stocks? Nigeria or Global stocks.

For Nigeria sticks better to go with main Stockbrokers: Bamboo/Trove and others are sub-brokers whether for local or Global stocks.

For Nigeria stocks, Morgan Capital is okay. Experience with the platform is 100% positive on my side. Another one I use is United Capital, trading platform is just same as Morgan's and I will say they are good too.

If it is platform for Global stocks, most Nigeria APPs are bearly manageable. But for more info on this check the US stock Market forum: https://www.nairaland.com/5669161/us-stocks-pick-alert/468

MARKET UPDATE 3 OCT 2025
A very volatile day in the market. Some sector related to batteries/lithium/rear earth made some crazy moves (over 20%), you just cannot chase those type of moves.

It seems the Senate want the approval to move zo Monday? Looks quite unusual, problem is Trump wanted a cut in Public Health budget, democrats are saying no!!! Okay, at a point they will agree at something!!!

THE US SENATE BETTER HET THEIR ACTS TOGETHER ANF SIGN TH SPENDING BILL?!!!
Today Trump spoke, I believe for the 1st time on the shutdown. As the parliament returns today, they should do the needful fast so that things can return to normal!!!

Let, us expect a bigger bull today as the bill has over 50% probability of being signed.

Today is another sweet day in the market. Info on what we bought today is for the Caucus only.

I am fearful of the advancing market. Both Parties in the Senate should just sign the bill and let the bulls give the final "wotowoto" to the bears. Zhen we can do some small cashout.

TODAY IS A TEMPTING DAY?
Why did these Democrats Senators not agree with the Republicans and sign this spending bill?

Looking at the market showing bullish trend in face of this lockdown matter is a big problem.

With NVDA and Tesla (I use these as my bell weather stocks, these are stocks that tell you the temperature of the market, they are cold, market is cold, they are 🔥 hot, market is hot.

Okay. We will wait and see what happens after 30 Minutes of market opening. I may do some small reshuffling again depending on the dominant sectors fir today.

LONGEVITY IN THE MARKET DELIVERS BENEFITS
Let us try as much as possible to protect our capital. The longer we are able to stay in the market, the more will understand the nuances if the market.

A good example is this US lockdown matter. Previously it is a highly feared event such that the legislators used to stay very later in the Parliament to sign the bill at most the very last minutes.

But this time around, yesterday's market action is understandable, it coinsided with another important report, but today again the market is looking forward to another postive close? A little wired?

Our plan of action for today remain same "do nothing', yes "we give our portfolio time to breath".

The legislators are not around today, the lockdown bill will not be signed until Friday? And suprisingly, the market doesn't seem to care? Wonders shall never end, this type of bill previously Parliament will even sit on a Sunday to sign it. So, this even has now become a binary event, that the effect cannot be easily predicted . Nevertheless, I will not be a heavy buyer before the legislation is passed. However. I will defend my profits if need be.

Actually yesterday I still did a reschurfling of my Portfolio ( I will not take it as trading, I am building back my dividend machine which useless and half functioning "Chaka Platform tried to destroy".

DESPITE EXPENSE BILL NOT SIGNED MARKT STILL HOLDING
For today, the market rising is a big surprise. Probably the labour report telling us that another sure rate cut is in the pipeline is what is driving the market higher.

Nevertheless, I want to have some cash on hand in case market retrace towards close

TARGET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS MARKET UPDATE FOR 01 OCTOBER 2025- BLACK SWAN DAY?
Initial information is telling the market that the US Senate failed to sign the US spending budget?

Except this matter is resolved fast, market may nose dive and Gold with addition of Bitcoin will rise (but Bitcoin is like a bat, moves with stock most of the time (but in majority of the market player, they assume it is Gold, today is an example of when men will be separated from boys, who are the boys and who are the men).

Let us watchout.vThere is no need for panic, the issue will be resolved.

So today, we are back to window shopping and today, I will stand on my window shopping principle.

MARKET PLAYED OUT AS EXPECTED
There was minimal loss in our portfolio today, setting the stage for the bulls to celebrate "1st October as a mini independent day'.

So in anticipation of the bullish run for tommorrow. I say happy Independence day in advance to "the US stock bulls'.

TARGET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS MARKET UPDATE FOR 30 SEPTEMBER 2025

Market may retrace today, but nothing to fear, tommorrow the bull should be backk.

SOME NIGERIAN ORGANISATIONS ARE RUN BY IDIOTS
For the users of "Chaka" platform it is like 2 months that the platform has not been properly functioning and the owners of the platform fails to tow the line of honour by not saying that they are incapable of running the business.

Imagine the disruption caused to the users of the platform.

On that platform, had my portfolio set up the way I wanted such that I was collecting monthly dividends of approximately NGN30k (quite small, but that provided funds to continue playing the market without any pressure on funds to trade, except when I need to take bigger positions). But since the problem of the platform commenced, my portfolio has to be protected by selling some of the portfolios by moving my money to another platform (as the 1st line of defence). Repeated requests that the platform move my account to another broker has always been rebuffed and even up till today that platform has never returned to normal.

If the platform is run by normal and reasonable human beings, the fact that you wiped off people's trading history (I want to know I much I have lost or gained since I started investing with the platform over 5 years ago), now this is no more possible. Even since the platform partially came on stream, on daily basis the history of gains are losses are not shown.

I call the people idiots because if they have some iota of experience in investing matters thay would have known tat some minute details, like this are essential for the platform users.

To make matters worst, the inexperienced operators do not even know when the platform will start working properly!!!

This is really bad and I woll say a big shame on these set of inexperience operators.

It is a pity that they are giving bad names to Nigeria platforms, because now I will just lump other locally based trading platforms like this together as "mushroom platforms". No wonder someone said he has no respect for all these things call "APPS" these days, as anybody can creat one at very little cost even without any knowledge of how a computer operates.

Tactically I will continue to liquidate my remaining positions on the platform, but this has the risk that one may need to suffer some small losses.

Example see, what chaka platform is displaying, 1st picture and what other platforms as showing price for CVNA (the others are correct), what chaka displayed is totally wrong?

This is a painful matter. But we have to face it and move ahead.

TARGET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS MARKET UPDATE FOR 29 SEPTEMBER 2025
We should see a bullish Market. Among the industries in play os the MARIJUANA sub sector.

T[b]ARGET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS MARKET UPDATE FOR 26 SEPTEMBER 2025[/b]
Friday inflation report is important, the good news here is that high inflation is expected, but there is a probability that it may be below the expected level.

So let is hold our peace, but we still need to exercise caution as another inflation related report is due for next week.

TODAY WAS ANOTHER FAIRLY OKAY DAY FIR THE BULLS
Data centre and drones industries did well today.

Some of the stocks delivered instant profits. Although the day started on a scary note.

Wishing all the best

Jeoma2024:
Who uses this section in bamboo

I want to try with 100 dolar which the minimum deposit
Has anyone here tried it

If I am right xou want to put your money in Investment APP run by Bamboo. Ti be frank. I will first advise you to do an online review about the APP. But left to me most ot these FinTechs are too weak, to invest with and go to sleep. If I want to do what you want to do. I will contact reputable fairly capitalised firms like United Capital or ARM they are likely to offer you that return that any mushroom FinTech can offer and with the added benefit of better safety of your funds in the future.

Buying shares on those platforms are different, you are not investing money with them, you are buying shares which will be totally yours lying at an exchange somewhere, so what happens to that FinTech in the future is not your concern. If the FinTech (let us be factual and not deceive ourselves, some of these small online platforms, due to the low volume of business they are currently generating and partly due to the poot depth of experience of the operators cannot last long, except something drastic is introduced into thier current business model, like Chaka has a good opportunity to start something new with Alpaca, but the current Manager are still clueless in bringing that change that may bring back the deserting Customers) goes out of business your shares are intact.

So, if you understand this, you can make your decision. I wish you the best and safety of your money, both now and in the future.

US STOCK MARKET IS SWEET
I am more comfortable here than the Nigeria market.

But as Nigerian, I will still be involved in the Nigeria market, especially the hot sectors at every point in time. For now Insurance sector of the Nigeria market is not bad, jus as the Nigeria banks will continue to loose market to the FinTechs little by little.

Just as point out in our Caucus message this morning, put of the banks that are to report the half year results, FIDELITY should be one of the few that will see some reasonable improvement in performance compared with the previous year.

Wishing everyone the best.

TARGET TECHNICAL ANALYSIS
This is a complimentary copy of our message for Nigeria stocks this morning

MARKET PLAN FOR 18 SEPTEMBER 2025
NIGERIA- FULL REPORT

The market is likely to maintain a bullish bias for the today Thursday, September 18, 2025. This forecast is supported by rebound in trading volume and value, and the bullish positioning of key sectors like Banking and Consumer Goods.

** The market may suprise us either today or any time soon with an unusually bullish day!!!Let us be on the lookout.**.w

Current market breadth favors advancers over decliners, suggesting broadening participation.

The Allshare Index remains resilient year-to-date with around 38% gains, despite some volatility.

Market Recap: Nigerian stock market performance between Tuesday, September 16, and Wednesday, September 17, 2025.
Details. Sep 17. Sep 16 %Chan
All-Share In 142036. 141547 +0.35
Mkt Cap (B) 89865 89556 +0.35
Vol (m) 1005 415 +142.17
Value (B) 25 13 +92.31
Deals. 23281 25386 -8.30
Gainers 26 23. +13.04
Losers 32. 27 +18.52
lYR Gain. 37.60 37.00 +0.60
Mnth Gain. 1.23 0.88 +0.35
Wk Gain. 1.05. 1.03. +0.02


2. Stick Picks
Top Stocks
Xxxxxx
Xxxxxx
Xxxxxx
Xxxxxx

FIDELITYBK 45%

Speculative
Xxxxxx 70%
Xxxxxx 55%
Regency 52%

Full Bid/like gain above 8%
Xxxxxx - 88%
Xxxxxx - 86%
TIP - 80%
Xxxxxx - 75%


3.Technical & Sectoral View
Leading sectors showing strong relative strength and momentum: The Banking sector, driven by recapitalization efforts, is currently the strongest. This is followed by the Consumer Goods sector, which is benefiting from consumer resilience. Key stocks to watch in this sectors include FBN Holdings, UBA, Access Holdings, Nestle Nigeria Plc., and Nigerian Breweries Plc.

Improving sectors moving towards the leading sector: The Industrial Goods sector is showing strong signs of improvement. Increased infrastructure spending and economic activities are providing a boost. Dangote Cement, BUA Cement, and Lafarge Africa are among the key players in this space that are gaining momentum.

Weakening sectors retreating from the leading sector: The Insurance sector, which previously showed strong performance, is now losing relative strength and momentum. This is a sign of profit-taking by investors. Stocks in this sector include AIICO Insurance, Cornerstone Insurance, and Regency Alliance Insurance.

Lagging sectors underperforming the market: The Oil and Gas sector remains underperforming due to persistent production challenges and weak global prices. This sector is in a prolonged downturn. Eterna Plc, Seplat Energy, and Oando Plc. are notable stocks in this quadrant.

4. Corporate Actions (last 2 trading days)
Based on recent filings, here is a summary of corporate disclosures:
* MTN NIGERIA COMMUNICATIONS PLC: Notified of a board meeting.
* UAC OF NIGERIA PLC.: Directors are involved in the sale or purchase of company shares.
* Note: The disclosure from UAC of Nigeria Plc. appeared multiple times on September 16, 2025

5. Global & Local Macro Drivers
Economic growth is expected to expand, driven by a vibrant services sector and increased oil production. However, inflation and food insecurity remain persistent challenges.

Globally, there is a push for a trade truce, which could support the global economy, but heightened geopolitical uncertainties and trade policy shifts, such as new US tariffs, pose potential risks.

Geopolitical & Policy Watch
Local policy focus continues to be on consolidating macroeconomic stability and igniting inclusive growth.

The government is urged to improve fiscal discipline and invest in human capital and infrastructure.

Regionally, a Southwest Geopolitical Summit is in the works to address shared challenges of insecurity and economic hardship. Globally, geopolitical tensions and shifting international trade policies are being closely watched, as they could impact investor sentiment.

6. GENERAL NEWS AFFECTING SOME SPECIFIC STOCKS

I. ​ARADEL
​Date of news :​September 17, 2025
​News: ​Aradel renews contract with NLNG for gas supply.
​Effect: ​Contract renewal provides stable, long-term revenue visibility.
​Likely market move: ​Bullish.


Wishing everyone the best.


Disclaimer Notice:
Write-up is for general information/educational purposes only, as it has not been tailored to our individual circumstances. Trading/Investing can be risky. Only risk what you can afford to lose. Please confirm any trade with your own trading system. Some figures may need reconfirmation and can be corrected if necessary. You are responsible for what we buy as an individual.

RATE CUT IS ON
The Premarket is looking good. Let is see how high the market can move today.

Premarket is looking good.

For the Caucus we just need to continue with our current stocks list.

NOT A BAD DAY- 17 SEPT
Market delivered as expected. Rate cut have started. Let us see how far the bulls can go!!!

US STOCK MARKET UPDATE 17 SEPT 2025

Rate cut play still on the table, a pullback for the target stocks around 6.30pm Nigeria time will likely to be a good buy. So for today we are interested in stocks that are falling in prices.

For the early part of the market we will do nothing. Just like big money will not be in the market, we would be relaxing, but we may likely make our move at tge time stated above and fir our target stocks we want them to have fallen in price.

So it you see your portfolio showing red early in the day, do not panic, the real owners of the market are relaxing somewhere, buy will likely start showing up when the market is about to close?

MARKET PLAN FOR 16 SEPTEMBER 2025
NIGERIA- FULL REPORT- EXTRACT

The market bias for Tuesday, September 16, 2025, is likely to be Bullish. Looking at the strong closing performance on Monday

1. Market Recap: For Monday
Details Sep 15 Sep 12 % Chan
All-Share In 141,659 140,546 0.79
Market Ca 89,627 88,922 0.79
Volume(m) 555 435 27.69
Value (B) 24. 16.17 48.98
Deals 31,578 23,729 33.00
Gainers 32 31 3.23
Losers 31 20 55.00
YR Gain 37.34 36.15 3.29

TARGET TECHNICAL MARKET COMMENTS
We are trading a tough market. Sorry for those that are looking for free stick picks all the time. No problem, you will get suggestions once a while.

Our trades are focused on Wednesday and the game play is "rate cut". Today, we added more to our position in open. It is strictly a swing trade and based on our discussion in the Caucus this morning, we know swing trade is basically technical analysis at work, we are not interested in buy and hold.

THE FOREIGN PLATFORMS ARE REALLY CONTENDING FOR THE NIGERIA INVESTORS!!!
Vest Investment has improved any deposit you made hits your account the same day and we are talking making deposit in Naira, just the way we make local payments. This is game changing. Then soon I will report on the withdrawal side too or anyone that withdraws first can tell us whether it is still 3 days or is faster now.

I think we are in for a good time. Good Customer service, Zero Commission, Ease of deposit in Naira, deposit hitting your account in about 7 hours after you made the deposit and available for trading same day (used to be 3 days about 4 months ago) etc. This is good and I believe other improvements will still come from the platform.

Also there is the advantage of buying fraction of a share. So if I like I can buy only $1 or NGN1,600 shares of TESLA. This is a sweet development.

And I am happy to be trading at a time like this.

Wishing everyone the best.

UPDATE ON CHAKA PLATFORM
Platform issue now about 80% resolved. We should be able to buy, sell, deposit and withdrawal funds.

All the people and institutions involved on whipping the operators to fall on the right track are all appreciated:
- SEC and all connected regulatory agencies
- ALPACA Market - Our reputable main Stockbroker
- Tosin Osibodu (the Man who Managed the Old Chaka Platform for over 5 years without any incident). And who will continue to have your Trust
- Margaret Afolabi Of Chaka (this is person that was put in the fore front and tried to give her best). You are well appreciated
-others I cannot mention their names, plus our back Office No Nonsense Legal Consultant, who guided most of our communications (really if we have followed the No Nonsense Legal Consultant, this issue would have been resolved earlier, but we tried to exercise some constraints on this matter and we really did)
-members of this forum, whom I am sure must have equally played their roll to protect their personal investments and also alert others on what to do. May we not fall into the "hands of Corporate Scammers"

God bless you all

UPDATE ON CHAKA TRADING PLATFORM
The platform seems to be coming up. I was able to put some sales order through.

But I don't think the platform is totally okay.

Or if the Management of the platform is sure they should send us email.

However, there the statement section this shows ledger of your dividends received and how you utilise the money. They were not able to get this right just three days ago. I hope they get it right soon.

Please let us buzz these people, they have to do things right, we are Customers we cannot be bullied (actually social media is a bae, I learnt there is a bully Close to us somewhere!!! but as long as we are Customers the bully cannot bully us).

Going further on the SEC matter, do yo know you can also reported a person who is acting like a Stockbroker and you feel he does not have necessary qualifications to act as one, okay I will not give full disclosure here, but I will just say where you can report this in some instances, also like SEC, so you can report both the organisation and some key individuals in an erring organisation if you doubt their capacity to handle anything connected with your money or investment, all for free, you only need to send the email or in some cases complete an online form.

Let us stay safe.

YOU CAN REPORT ANY PLATFORM FOR TRADING NIGERIA STOCKS THAT IS MESSING UP AS LONG AS YOU HAVE STOCK VALUE UP TO ONE KOBO (NGN0.01,)
For any platform that will not allow you assess to your stock you can report to sect Nigeria, just via email. Google "complain to Securities Exchange Commission Nigeria for the email address".

The principle here is that trading platforms or Stockbroker mist follow some rules specified by SEC, so if they are not following rule, SEC assumption is that the stock buyer's money is at risk, not just for you who as reported, but for the general public at large

If someone has petitioned SEC or EFCC in time CBEX wouldn't have made too many people to poose their money.

Let us take note, your NGN1,000 is not small, we must not allow anybody to do 'gbajue for US". SEC is there for is us an Investor in amy Capital Market Related Product_
. You as an investor is important to SEC and to Nigeria. Government is always looking for Investors, you are an investor if you have bought stock worth one kobo (yes one kobo only) and SEC will give you maximum protection as humanly possible if you act before the big damage is done.

You know in zhe US too. I mean US Citizens living in America. if you can invest $200 (two hundred dollars only), most stock brokers will value your patronage, so don't let anybody commonise you because you have invested a small amount. One kobo is enough for SEC tp close down or blacklist any player in the Nigeria Capital Market.

If people/organisations cannot run a business or platform, they better pack up and let people who are serious about the business remain.

In conclusion, I will say one of the benefits of investing in Nigeria platform is SEC Nigeria effectiveness and the fact that xou can see the physical office of the Stockbroker in case matters starts getting out of hand. So we should continue to monitor the Local APPs some may still be good, but ot they start misbehaving. , run to SEC fast before a big damage happen.

LONGEVITY IS GOOD: MARKET SHOWING SOME CRAZY GAINS FOR SPME QUALITY STOCKS
Attached is tue pre-market, but let us wait till after market open before we take any trade.

Wishing all a happy day.

My next post will tell us that if you have 1 kobo (yes one kobo, not even One Naira in Nigeria Stock, you can report any platform that is indirectly trying to be a bully, is this another "cyber bully" you lock out people from managing their trading positions for over 30 days, shame on you.