garfield1:


True but Feb is far away and those issues might be settled before then

You are right tho. A lot can happen between now and Feb.

garfield1:


No.they love him.I am familiar with anambra.atiku won se partly because of obi.in 2003,obj was a ruthless incumbent who rigged mindlessly

May we never experience OBJ type of democracy again.

garfield1:


True.apc is getting stronger and stronger in ss/se,pdp winning margins will get lower ESp with labour in play. Atiku is not guaranteed bloc votes in any state except Delta and it may not happen.he might lose gombe and bauchi to tinubu

I am not sure of his fortunes Gombe and Bauchi but he is not getting any block votes in the south. Thanks to his shortsightedness against Wike and for bringing Obi into national limelight in 2019.

As for Bornu and Yobe in Northeast, Tinubu will best him there.

Mynd44:

The PDP's internal politics will bite them in the back in Rivers. Sadly

Gbam

Mynd44:
you wonder why everyone ignored the person.

I also skipped him.

garfield1:


Why are you worried? It is good for tinubu.because of okowa,delta will deliver bloc votes for atiku but it will be difficult.obi and tinubu might get 25%...with wike sidelined no bloc votes is coming from rivers.pdp will win bayelsa narrowly.

Delta cannot deliver block votes for PDP.
1. APC currently control 2 or their 3 Senatorial Districts.

2. Okowa is fighting Ibori his godfather who still have many footsoldiers spread across the state.

3. Okowa gubernatorial candidate in delta is currently having problems.

Okowa is currently battling too many issues than to concentrate on one. APC and PDP will share the votes. Atiku committed a political suicide for picking okowa instead of Wike.

donphilopus:


Bro, there's no way Atiku is winning Edo State. No one wants to hear the name here. Unless he's banking on Edo Central, the north and south won't vote him. Tinubu would win in the north, while Obi should win three LGA's in the south. The remaining four should be battle ground. APC should slightly win Edo State while Obi comes second. I won't be surprised if Obi wins here though (due to the high number of newly registered voters) but the margin won't be that high.

Hmmm... I think this is more balanced about Edo.

garfield1:


No,obi will win but apc will follow.obi will win all the 5 dot states

You are giving Obi too much relevance. Remember the ikemba himself lost in the east. Their love for PDP is second to none. APC shouldn't overlook that region thinking Obi will eat the votes there.

Mynd44:

Edo: yes, I think APC wil do well but I doubt they can win. Losing with 7,000 is also a loss as we are not talking percentage of winning here

I am worried about the SE/SS, there has been a constant reduction in voter resistration to voters number in this zones and it affected Atiku in 2019, it will bite him harder in 2023.
Rivers and Delta used to be the big suppliers but now their nunbers are just bleh

Rivers and delta will punish Atiku in 2023. Though he might still win there but the numbers won't be encouraging.

garfield1:


Because edo was in the west and with Edo affinity with Yoruba,tinubu might win.dont forget buhari lost there with 7000 votes.but obi supporters are fighting hard... As it stands,atiku won't have more than 500k in rivers just like in 2023...

PDP won't do well in rivers. But they will win slightly. That is all APC wants. Divide PDP votes in their strongholds.

You know that was why Tinubu picked shettima right? To cut Atiku down in his own region.

Mynd44:

Kwankwaso is a politician I have always felt an emotion for. It is Pity.

I doubt he wants to work for anyone cos I see him as his own man but he is not enough on his own to do more. I feel he has reached his pinnacle and can't go beyond his present level.

But I also think he is too stubborn to agree and support anybody but himself. He will rather lose than support anyone.

He already made a video praising Tinubu. Man needs bargaining. Na shakarau I pity pass. He went under kwankwaso who have other plans for himself and his future.

BigSarah:


My point is NNPP is fighting for other things aside Kwankwaso presidential ambition.

So thinking he'll run with apc, is expecting apc to make 1 Naira one dollar

Okay. But you and I know that kwakanso is currently the leader of the party. They go where he wants.

Mynd44:

Please stay on issues please. Avoid comments that can lead to or be seen as attacks.

Play nice

Alright my Ekiti brother.

seunmsg:


I will give Edo and FCT to Peter Obi and give Kano, Zamfara and Jigawa to Tinubu.

PDP owns FCT votes.

garfield1:


IMO will go to obi alongside anambra.pdp is divided there so APC might poll more than pdp..kebbi might lean towards tinubu becsusevof the massive apc structure..akwa ibom and taraba will go narrowly to atiku but obi will pursue

Imo is another battle ground. All the 3 parties will share votes there but PDP might win slightly there.

Mynd44:

I think Tinubu will do well in Edo. I don't think he can win Edo (if he does, it will be very tight)

I think Atiku will take Edo. That I am comfortable saying.

Atiku will win Rivers comfortably. Cross River, Atiku will win but narrowly

Tinubu will do well in Edo north. But the Edo as a whole, Atiku will win it slightly. Tinubu, Atiku and Obi will battle it there.

helinues:
Toh

Where is the map for online voters?

They will win Cameroon, Togo, Ghana and Benin Republic for their online Biafla. When they labour in vain, they will go back to "Biafla or death"

PaChukwudi44:

E go shock una.

Shebi Tinubu will win Katsina,Bornu,Niger? Lol I laugh in Swahili.

Peter Obi has the entire SS/SE,Benue, Taraba and plateau under lockdown

For you to say it, Obi will likely lose those places as well. You always have habits of losing.

FuckkME:
u will give Edo to Atiku??


Because u have been blind to what's happening in Edo in the past few weeks bah

Edo north is APC. I don't know for south or central but the truth is that Edo is not so sure for anybody. I might give PDP an edge there tho.

FuckkME:
Lolso now northerners are sophisticated to vote a southern but in 2015, u and ur likes say that no northern will vote a southern??!

Bros, Tinubu can't be on that ticket in 2015. People were asking for power to go north. Tinubu did the best thing.

Mynd44:

I agree but Kano is a toss up.

States like Abia, Edo will be close too because I see Kalu returning to the senate and Tinubu will get votes there because of this.
Oshiomhole too. He will win his seat and give APC some votes.

I feel Enugu will vote PDP depending on how Ugwanyi is feeling.

I totally agree with this submission. But I am suspecting kwankwaso working for Tinubu inorder to bargain for Kano internal politics with APC.

BigSarah:


Yes and one dollar will equal one naira

Tinubu is promising that? Deal with live issues pls not bants.

I am sure your mind skipped a bit when you saw that map. And there are more states for Tinubu to get.

BigSarah:
These map isn't realistic,

What about NNPP,

NNPP will work with APC.

LoneWolf212:
At the end, we pray Nigerians get it right this time around.

We will.

Mynd44:
This is the most realistic.

But I will give Edo and Rivers to Atiku sha

Yeah.

But Edo is not too sure for Atiku z he might still get the majority there sha cos LP might just labour in pains there.

Rivers has always been PDP stronghold. I doubt they will lose it.

Kano, Kaduna, kebbi and Zamfara should normally go to Tinubu as well.

Even ipOBI will disagree. Kano, Kaduna, kebbi and Zamfara belongs to Tinubu.

Live issues not media ranting.

Tinubu 2023

LongBig:
Lol this was early turnout! I watched it live on channelsTV and everywhere was packed!! Stop this your cheap propaganda find something productive do with your life! Ire ooo

He can't @bolded.

It is obvious he is anti APC and nairaland mods are aiding him. Seun, you need to do some cleaning.

SATANICALLY:
A far cry from the projected 500 million attendees...

Anti APC handle. I notice how you are now reporting thousands, hundreds decamped APC to bla bla bla... When will you jump to millions?

Nairaland is turning into a trash can where everyone drops fake news and make front-page.

Typicalguy:


You can never make it in life

You will probably end up like your dad. Old, sick and bitter... You are already bittered and seriously sick like him.

Verysmart101:


God will punish u if he wins.Fool

Very bitter people. Your kind will never rule this country.

That is their way. The Mob way.

God forbid their candidate wins, na ipob DSS go deh enter house shoot whoever criticize their god online. That is when some twitter kids will know buhari is good.

People that could lockdown their states on Monday and behead whoever flaunt their orders can do worst to other tribes if they have the power.

Nigerians, think and don't follow social media vibes to elect your next leader.

Is this how Obi ipob followers intend to win this election?

Well, ain't surprised. That is their way. Mistruth and fake news.

This election is between Tinubu and Atiku. Know this and have peace.