Arsenal have seen four of their five Premier League (PL) matches played feature over 2.5 total goals, although they have been ahead at HT in just one of five PL matches so far. That said, they led at the break in July’s corresponding H2H of 2019/20 (D 1-1), and in turn, the host of the day has kept a first-half clean sheet in six of the last eight PL H2Hs.

Seeing both of their home league wins this campaign produce the decisive goal arrive beyond the hour mark, the hosts are unbeaten in PL action at the Emirates Stadium in 2020 (W9, D2). Of the four wins to produce over 3.5 total goals, three saw at least 80% of the goals (either way) scored in one half.

Given that Leicester have lost to the two lowest-ranked surviving teams of 2019/20 in their most recent brace of PL matches (doing so 1-0 in the second half both times), Brendan Rodgers’ men seek stability. Should they lose again, a drastic loss of composure may be evident, with four of their last five PL away defeats seeing them concede 2+ goals in one half but none in the other.

Additionally, the ‘Foxes’ have conceded first inside the opening 15 minutes in three (W2, L1) of their last four PL games. Nonetheless, Leicester’s previous visit to the Emirates Stadium is one of just four PL matches to see them gain points from a HT deficit since the start of 2019/20 (W2, D2, L7).

Players to watch: Arsenal’s Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang opened the scoring in July’s clash with Leicester. Including his goal in midweek vs Rapid Vienna, both of his last two decisive match winners have come in the 61st-75th minute period of 2-1 victories.
Leicester midfielder James Maddison opened the scoring vs Zorya in midweek. Four of his last five goalscoring PL away games have seen him score inside the 76th-90th minute period.

Hot stat: Three of Arsenal’s last four home league wins have ended 2-1. Going back to Oct 2010, a notable 16.13% (20) of their last 124 PL home wins have produced that scoreline, with 40% (HT: W1, D4, L3) of those 20 seeing them concede first.

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Victory for Arsenal.