BREAKING: Foreign firm hired by the Atiku Campaign Organization headed by Bukola Saraki predicts loss for Atiku
“The results of the poll are, to put it bluntly, very negative for us”

Read total report here...�

https:///5dTSVwcEjc https:///tL503zG6p7

Ok

Eeya

Fake News,

Mr Bollard writes in fluent Naija English ba?

I still maintain, what exactly is gingering this Cameroonian thief?

Is it his inherited online pigs with more than 50 usernames?

This thief should start asking for refund from from his media pigs b4 the election for poor job because his defeat is as sure as the setting of the sun on Saturday.

Pigs can visit any nearest atm with this.

three:
Fake News

E pain am

Expect more fabricated lies and propaganda from the stables of zombies and their sponsors.


As elections draws near...


Apc is a terrorist party... They eat Falsehood

No wonder the spoke person for Atiku campaign organization says the numbers do not add up. That they must campaign again. No wonder pdp is campaigning so vigorously

Clerverly:


E pain am

I would have loved to say this desperation is beneath you guys....

But truth is it isn't

You are what you are

Clerverly:
BREAKING: Foreign firm hired by the Atiku Campaign Organization headed by Bukola Saraki predicts loss for Atiku
“The results of the poll are, to put it bluntly, very negative for us”

Read total report here...�

https:///5dTSVwcEjc https:///tL503zG6p7

Post coming from a Top Rank Zombie.....
Fake News.....!!
#Trash

Clerverly:


E pain am

Stop peddling lies my Muslim friend

Allah forbids such...

ZombiePUNISHER:
Expect more fabricated lies and propaganda from the stables of zombies and their sponsors.


As elections draws near...


Apc is a terrorist party... They eat Falsehood

Has the firm denied it? Continue crying....even the Atiku you are slaving for, knows he would lose on Saturday.

[s][/s]

ZombiePUNISHER:
Expect more fabricated lies and propaganda from the stables of zombies and their sponsors.


As elections draws near...


Apc is a terrorist party... They eat Falsehood

[s][/s]






Mttscheewww!!!

ZombiePUNISHER:
Expect more fabricated lies and propaganda from the stables of zombies and their sponsors.


As elections draws near...


Apc is a terrorist party... They eat Falsehood

It's not everything that is fabrication.

The letter was dated, 5th Feb.

How are we sure that Atiku and his team haven't taken the necessary steps to make up for that loophole?


Saturday is only a few days away......wait for the result.

But as for me, I am already #atikulated.

Fake news concocted by APC dullllards

Make una continue una poll....

Oyibo man don collect money finish begin console people with ''We''and ''Our''...


Una kpele oo

Haaa atiku paid money to go and predict is failure
Sad.saturday abeg come sharp sharp.i no turnout would be poor compare to 2015. And that is why buhari would win.most atiku supporters are not passionate enough to go through brick wall for him
I describe both Set of supporters as passion vs passive.

oteneaaron:
The letter was dated, 5th Feb.

How are we sure that Atiku and his team haven't taken the necessary steps to make up for that loophole?


Saturday is only a few days away......wait for the result.

But as for me, I am already #atikulated.

Very sensible comment but to label it a Fake, is being naive and ignorant.

Tor! PDP una don hear?
Their next strategies is to be peddling falsehood and propaganda which is what they have heavily induced since 5th of February

And so. . . . ?
The second coming of JISOS nko?
We still dey wait o.
Ask JUDAS and JISOS ke!

Predictions dey plenty for “end-time” abi?

Wetin we want awon SOWORE to do?


The fun is in the contest.
WIN, LOSE OR DRAW. . . . We go DEY ATIKULATE APC Obi!!!!

ANY break from LIFELESSNESS AND ILLITERACY!!!!

abbaapple:
[/s][s]
Mttscheewww!!!

Gandollar is a thief

Tinubu is a slave trader and puppet master

Buhari is a failure

Oshiomole is a rogue

Hell rufai is a terrorist

Lai Muhammad is a lying machine

Fashola is a Fool

Sanwo olu is a puppet

Amaechi is corrupt

APc is a terrorist den

so Mr Ballard writes like a Nigerian secondary student ...due to overconfidence indeed

Very watery fake news.

LOL this is laughable, but its expected. Clear signs of a dying horse.. I know the MODs on here are mostly APC supporters hence my ban for 1 week.. But the forcast has not changed within that time.. For your eyes only a win is sure and it will shock yall.. It will obviously be a thight race as it was in 2015 but PDP will win.. Sadly it difficult for most of the APC zombies to understand that nigerian political space has grown immensely since GEJ's actions in 2015 nobody is swayed by propaganda.. Lets tolerate ourselves as nigerians and the futer will be bright

three:
Fake News,

Mr Bollard writes in fluent Naija English ba?

I thought I'm the only one who studied the writeup. Bmc can never fail in incompencues like their master

.

This shows the level pettiness has driven some people to.
A letter from a consultant firm to his client in matters as this is not written in this manner. It will be a detailed report with facts and figures spanning into several pages.
Let those behind this nonsense know that the first rule of forgery is to make it appear so real that it becomes difficult to refute or rejected.


Check the signature, that's a copy-paste work

Atiku Abubakar wins a fair contest
Business Day (Nigeria)13 Feb 2019OPEYEMI AGBAJE opeyemiagbaje@rtcadvisory.com

There are large incumbency advantages in Nigeria’s politics stemming from control of the electoral agency (inspite of it been nominally designed to be an “Independent” National Electoral Commission INEC), police, armed forces, Department of State Security (DSS) and NNPC! More than any of its predecessors, the Buhari Presidency (or more accurately the unelected clique led by Mamman Daura which has seized control of it!) has shown a willingness to pervert the institutions of state, including or especially security services to maintain an otherwise tenuous hold on power. In spite of these incumbency advantages, which are supplemented by the propensity of our elite to support (Any Government in Power) “AGIP”, our analysis suggests it is virtually impossible for incumbent President Muhammadu Buhari of the APC to win a free and fair elections against his main opponent, Alhaji Abubakar Atiku of the PDP!

Our analytical model starts from the numbers of registered voters provided by INEC-13,366,070; 11,289,293; and 20,158,100 from the North-central, North-east and North-west regions respectively and 10,057,130; 12,841,279; and 16,292,212 from the South-east, South-south and South-west respec- tively. In the absence of data on numbers of collected Permanent Voter Cards (PVCS) from INEC, we proceed to make projections for voter turnout in each of the regions ranging from 60% in the South-east; 55% in the North-east; 50% in both the North-west and SouthSouth; and 35% in the North-central and South-west. These projections reflect historical trends and produce a national voter turnout of 46.6% which compares favourably with 2015 in which INEC recorded a voter turnout of 43.65%. These projections of voter turn-out also take into account our estimates and analysis of potential PVC collection, voter enthusiasm, voter roll inflation and socio-political conditions in each of the regions.

We then estimate voting trends across the country based on a multiplicity of local, regional and national factors including party popularity, candidate popularity, ethnic/regional/religious affiliation, voter sentiments and behaviour, political trends, campaigns and campaign feedbacks and our analysis. Based on these factors, we make very conservative assumptions about the performance of the two dominant candidates, marginal third-party candidates and undecided voters. In our model, the undecided portion has shrunk dramatically over the last 60 days from as high as 15% of the electorate to about 2.5% of voters. Third-party candidates perform poorly in the framework, scoring not more than 1% of overall national ballots cast, confirming that this 2019 election is a straight Buhari (APC) versus Atiku (PDP) affair. Votes for third-party candidates are negligible and they fare best in the South-east and South-west with 1.5% and 2.5% of votes cast.

We project Atiku Abubakar to win in the North Central by 51% of votes cast to Buhari’s 47%. Buhari has lost the MiddleBelt of Nigeria, who have been the victims of the horrendous murders and pillage attributed to herdsmen. Buhari’s performance in the region should infact be weaker than we projected but for lower turnout by traumatised residents and pro-buhari votes in some of the nonChristian parts of the North-central. Overall Atiku scores 2,385,844 votes in the North-central to Buhari’s 2,198,719. In the North-east, we award victory to Buhari by a margin of 52% to Atiku’s 46% translating into 3,228,738 votes for Buhari to Atiku’s 2,856,191 votes. We expect Buhari to win in Borno and Yobe, while Atiku is strong in Adamawa, Taraba and Gombe.

We also award the North-west to Buhari even though we expect Atiku to also perform strongly in that region. Indeed recent campaigns especially in Kano (which were conducted after we completed our analysis suggests we may have underrated Atiku’s strength in the region and the impact of the Kwankansiya-atiku affiliation. We project Buhari winning 55% of the votes (5,543,478) to Atiku’s 44% (4,434,782). Even though the total number of votes in the South-east and South-south are lower relative to other regions and particularly the North-west and North-east, they will be significant in this election because one candidate, Atiku Abubakar will have an overwhelming proportion of those votes. In the South-east we expect Atiku to get 83% of votes cast, and 80% in the South-south to Buhari’s 15% and 17.5% respectively. In terms of numbers these amount to over 10 million votes to Atiku in the two regions compared with just over 2 million votes for Buhari. The net differential from those two regions is large enough to offset Buhari’s modest advantage from the North-west and North-east in which votes are essentially shared.

In the South-west, the percentage of undecided voters is the highest in the country, with 10% of South-west voters still undecided (as at January 31st 2019) with the region also giving the highest votes (2.5%) to third-party candidates such as Fela Durotoye, Kingsley Muoghalu and Omoyele Sowore. We project Buhari to win with the South-west with 47.5% (2,708,580) of the votes, but Atiku recording a strong 40% (2,280,910) of votes cast. It also seems the momentum is in favour of Atiku and he may secure a greater proportion of undecided voters.

Overall our analyses suggest victory for Atiku Abubakar of the PDP by 56.5% of the votes to Buhari’s 40.2% representing a healthy victory for the opposition candidate. Our analysis is based on the assumption that the election, though not perfect, will be reasonably free and fair, and will reflect the will of the voters in each of the Nigeria’s regions. Our analyses will, of course, be irrelevant in the context of a blatantly rigged process!

*This article is based on research and analyses conducted by Opeyemi Agbaje and Kehinde Ayanbadejo both of RTC Advisory Services Ltd based in Lagos, Nigeria.

Overall our analyses suggest victory for Atiku Abubakar of the PDP by 56.5% of the votes to Buhari’s 40.2% representing a healthy victory for the opposition candidate

I already know Atiku will not win. I notice that buhari's supporters are not making so much noise because of the propaganda pushed out there by pdp. A lot of them are low key so that it doesn't look like they are offending anyone. They may even speak against buhari in the presence of people but are still willing to vote him because of trust

ZombiePUNISHER:
Expect more fabricated lies and propaganda from the stables of zombies and their sponsors.


As elections draws near...


Apc is a terrorist party... They eat Falsehood

that's exactly wat u lads r up to lately, fake everything. Yet accusing d opponent of faking all, get sense.