jaxxy:


The North can’t vote for tinubu, those few ones jumping up and down are only deceiving him.

but can't your own tribe too be serious for once?? Politics is all about trying your luck and chance. E no sure for anyone. But wna people nor dey even try do thier own thing, na to destroy, manipulate and hate wna sabi

Moferere:
Everybody is organising themselves now, telling people why they must vote for their candidate.

Meanwhile, our brothers from South East are still observing sit at home, thinking that power will be given to them on a platter of gold

NOOOO

They are still busy discussing Tinubu. Orji Uzor is discussing Tinubu likewise Oby Ezekwesili, Kingsley Moghalu and the whole Ohanaeze. It’s going to be a walk over for Tinubu. They will cry blood

Why Bola Tinubu lost the 2023 presidential election

JANUARY 17, 2022

In his article, “Osinbajo’s Road to Abuja: The Untold Story,” Olawale Olaleye told how Osinbajo ‘defeated’ Bola Tinubu to become Muhammadu Buhari’s vice-presidential candidate.

According to the story, early in 2015, as soon as Buhari became the presidential candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Bola Tinubu set up a committee to come up with a way to justify to the nation his inevitable choice as Buhari’s running mate. That was because the Buhari-Tinubu ticket would have imposed Muslim-Muslim candidates on Nigeria. One of the committee members was Yemi Osinbajo, the current Vice President of Nigeria. As the story went, Osinbajo expressed to the committee members that it would be difficult for him to go back to his constituency and explain the potential Muslim-Muslim ticket. Osinbajo’s discontent got to Bola Tinubu, and he held it as a grudge against his former Attorney-General when he was the governor of Lagos State.

While this was going on, Muhammadu Buhari’s committee set up to shortlist his possible Vice Presidential candidates arrived at three names. One of the names was Yemi Osinbajo. When Buhari took the three names to Bola Tinubu to give him the honor of picking one in recognition of his contribution to Buhari’s campaign, Tinubu flared up when he did not see his name on the list. In the intriguing negotiations and permutations that followed, despite Bola Tinubu’s initial rejection, Osinbajo ended up as the Vice Presidential candidate of Buhari instead of Tinubu.

That was how Tinubu lost out in his quest to be Buhari’s running mate in 2015. Of course, if Bola Tinubu had been Vice President for the last six years, a different conversation would be going on in Nigeria today.

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Now, here is how Tinubu will lose out in his quest to become the President of Nigeria in 2023.

Undoubtedly, amongst those who have declared their interest in running for president in the 2023 election, Bola Tinubu is the most formidable. It was not a secret that he had nursed the ambition of being president since he left the governorship of Lagos State in 2007. He has invested a lot of political capital in building a humongous political structure across Nigeria. As the political season opens up, he hopes to deploy all his resources to attain his ultimate political goal.

The troubles with Bola Tinubu’s candidacy are enormous. Some are within his control, while others are not. No candidate for the presidency of Nigeria has ever come into the campaign with much political baggage as Tinubu, not even Muhammadu Buhari.

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We can find in three folds everything wrong with Muhammadu Buhari in Bola Tinubu. In 2015, there was the myth that Buhari’s abbreviated performance in 1984 as the military Head of State was what Nigeria needed. We cannot say the same about Tinubu. Nobody can say that Tinubu’s abysmal performance as governor in Lagos State from 1999 – 2007 displayed any spark of brilliance that can make a dent in Nigeria’s precarious situation today. In 2015, some thought Buhari was disciplined. In 2022, everyone knows that Tinubu is not disciplined. In 2015, some saw Buhari as incorruptible. In 2022, everyone knows Tinubu as the epitome of bullion-van-level corruption in Nigeria. In 2015, some looked at Buhari as healthy and agile. In 2022, everyone knows Tinubu is ill and sluggish. In 2015, some perceived Buhari as someone that commanded respect within military circles. In 2022, everyone knows that the only military wings that respect Tinubu are the touts, alayes and the area boys.

Unlike Buhari, who had several opportunities to try, Tinubu has just one chance – 2023. It is a do-or-die situation for him. He has no second chance. If he doesn’t win, he goes home without fulfilling his dream. That puts tremendous pressure on the man.

So, we expect a vigorous campaign from Bola Tinubu. And as the first week of his one-shot campaign shows, it won’t be an easy ride for the self-described “kingmaker” who wants to be a king.

The self-inflicted personal baggage of Tinubu is well known to all. His inability to present a straight biography is one of them. Nothing about him is straightforward – his age, his name, his certificates, his schools (primary, secondary, university), his parents, his source of wealth, the state of his health, his ever-changing ideology, etc. Even his classmates are unknown. At least, Buhari has been taking pictures with his secondary school classmates as proof that he went to secondary school.

Though possession of a crooked biography has never stopped anyone from being the president of Nigeria, the case of Tinubu is so egregious. They are coming at a point when Nigerians are less tolerant of such character flaws. It does not help that more and more Nigerians are beginning to see the correlation between such flaws and the performance of the bearer, as Muhammadu Buhari exemplified. It does not help Tinubu that Nigerians are coming into a new awareness of how personal things affect professional things and how individual faults impact the collective interest of we, the people.

Of course, in Nigeria’s crooked democracy, the people have little say on who will ultimately become their president. The power brokers are the most significant determinants of who will emerge as president.

Here is what is working for Bola Tinubu.

If APC fields Tinubu as its presidential candidate, APC is finished. If APC does not field Tinubu as its presidential candidate, APC is finished. As a result of that reality, APC is trying, but it has not found a way to extricate itself from that quagmire.

In 2015, when Nigeria was still at its innocent stage, Buhari was forced to pick a pastor as his running mate to deflect the perception of him as an Islamist. In almost seven years in office, Buhari’s obscene mismanagement of Nigeria’s diversity raises the stake so high for Bola Tinubu. The heightened ethno-religious tension in Nigeria complicates Tinubu’s life on so many levels.

If Tinubu were to become the presidential candidate of the APC, his first challenge is finding a Vice Presidential candidate that will be satisfactory to Northern leaders. As we have seen in the past, a Northern Christian is not satisfactory to the North as a vice presidential candidate when the presidential candidate is a Southern. It doesn’t matter if the Southern is a Muslim because, in the North, a Southern Muslim is not seen as authentic as a Northern Muslim. The North would rather have a Southern Christian president with a Muslim vice president than a Southern Muslim president with a Northern Christian vice president.

While a Muslim-Muslim ticket could win the presidency in 1993, it was unacceptable in 2015. And that was why Bola Tinubu was not named the Vice President to Buhari then. Buhari’s performance makes it ten times more difficult to sell a Muslim-Muslim ticket to Nigerians in 2023. Of course, Bola Tinubu thinks he can sell it, another indication that he lives in a world of those who have taken mkpurummiri. Tinubu thinks his Southwest base, known to care less about whether their leader is Muslim or Christian, will abide by him. This is so 1993.

But the truth is that the power brokers in the North are not going to take that chance. They instead back another candidate that will not bring about so many complications to their interest. And that is why they are leaving the room for a Northern candidate to be the presidential candidate of the PDP, just in case they need to default to supporting the party in 2023.

Another thing not working for Bola Tinubu is that in northern power circles, nobody trusts him. He is not an Obasanjo. In the past, he had expressed his distaste for one-Nigeria. Coming out of NADECO, he once flirted with the campaign for a radical restructuring of Nigeria in ways the North detests. The bottom line is that Tinubu does not fit into the character that either the North or the South will want for president. No wonder the Southwest-based cultural group, Afenifere quickly disassociated themselves from his campaign for president.

When it is all said and done, history will record that Bola Tinubu used the first part of his life to destroy the last. He was not the first to do so. And he will not be the last. That realization should console him. And irrespective of who becomes the president of Nigeria in 2023, Nigeria would be better off than the country would have been if it were to be Bola Tinubu.

TheCable

Okonkwo teaches Post-Colonial African History at the School of Visual Arts in New York City. He is also the host of Dr. Damages Show. His books include “This American Life Sef”, “Children of a Retired God” among others.

If the north project Bola Tinubu south west in APC over the other two major region who are supposed to be projected for president in the south

The north would have help to divide the north because around 2031 the north east will be struggling with the north west on who produced president.

We have time to now to correct future problem

slawormiir:
Damnnn niggar


My pvc is a vote against Tinubu

My weed brother,stop the hate.. Please analyzed the article..

shigishege:
as if you people vote is count. Your 5% vote doesn't have any effect in Nigeria politics

The disgrace you brought to your family is not enough for you.
You're here exhibiting total ignorance. Oloriburuku.

Ehn...ehn...see as these hypocrites suddenly turned good politician.

So it's now you realised choosing good president is important when you have realised things is coming back to South but in 2015 and 2019 chosen good president was not important baa

All of you are sick.

Confirm!

Kingpin1000:
We will not vote a man who hates youths.
We will not vote a man who is known as the father of corruption.
We will not vote a selfish man who can sellout his brothers for power of maximum 8 years.
We will not vote a man who brought and packaged this calamity called Buhari.
We are not as daft as his supporters.

Zorn:
allow South East to be please.

Why should dey? Was Tinubu not on his own when he declared and they whole ipob n pdp miscreant of igbo stocks carry am for head. Why will the leave u alone. If una start something, u na go wan tell others what to do? U never see something. Better enjoy it ase dey hot

pquaver:


Why should dey? Was Tinubu not on his own when he declared and they whole ipob n pdp miscreant of igbo stocks carry am for head. Why will the leave u alone. If una start something, u na go wan tell others what to do? U never see something. Better enjoy it ase dey hot

what is the business of ipob with PDP ? Is only south Easterners the only member of PDP ? Do you even think before typing?

Do you know that Tinubu only obey the clarion calls to contest election, win and become President in 2023. so he has a mandate given to him to deliver, mission to accomplish, and if you give him chances, Nigeria as a whole shall witness better development.

The fact is that after 2023 south-western Nigeria shall never remain the same forever- underdevelopment.

our greatness as a Yoruba region start coming 2023.

Zorn:
what is the business of ipob with PDP ? Is only south Easterners the only member of PDP ? Do you even think before typing?

There is a big relationship between ipob and pdp. Half of ipob is filled with pdp urchin who lost election and using ipob as front.. I have helped u think now.. Know this and know peace

P

shigishege:
but can't your own tribe too be serious for once?? Politics is all about trying your luck and chance. E no sure for anyone. But wna people nor dey even try do thier own thing, na to destroy, manipulate and hate wna sabi

Have u not seen south east candidates both in Pdp and Apc declare??

Tinubu and northerners should support the south east candidates not running against them. That’s all.

If a Northern candidates declares in Apc will u Yorubas not pull him down?? That’s what the South east is also doing cos it’s time for the South east not south west again after obasanjo’s 8 years.

Support the east.

tonididdy:
I would rather vote in another Fulani man come 2023 than place a vote for tiniibu.



Ps: I'm not Igbo... In fact God punish NK

As if u will vote any apc candidate, go and vote for ur pdp as usual

Summary

Nigeria is unlikely to recover in the short term. With focused leadership in 2023, full socio-economic recovery may be 8 – 10 years away.
 
Population continues to grow, prosperity falling, gap between the rich and poor widening, and middle class is disappearing.

https://www.nairaland.com/6816916/first-archbishop-msc-anikwenwa-annual

jaxxy:
P

Have u not seen south east candidates both in Pdp and Apc declare??

Tinubu and northerners should support the south east candidates not running against them. That’s all.

If a Northern candidates declares in Apc will u Yorubas not pull him down?? That’s what the South east is also doing cos it’s time for the South east not south west again after obasanjo’s 8 years.

Support the east.

if wna must die make wna die dis presidency is coming back to the west. And again sheybi you people don't want one Nigeria how come your people are now rushing to become the president of the Zoo, no way!! cos no one trust you people!!

shigishege:
if wna must die make wna die dis presidency is coming back to the west. And again sheybi you people don't want one Nigeria how come your people are now rushing to become the president of the Zoo, no way!! cos no one trust you people!!

Igbo people for Apc done suffer. Rochas, ohakim and co see una life?? Only the North and few sensible Yoruba’s with fair conscience can save Igbos from the political the opportunistic west.

Thomist:


The disgrace you brought to your family is not enough for you.
You're here exhibiting total ignorance. Oloriburuku.

you are one of the lost tribes I was telling someone who have actually become a Yoruba man in Lagos and Southwest states. You speak and write yoruba very well. Even you curse in Yoruba language, kudos!!

jaxxy:


Igbo people for Apc done suffer. Rochas, ohakim and co see una life?? Only the North and few sensible Yoruba’s with fair conscience can save Igbos from the political the opportunistic west.

you mean say okoros destinies to become Nigeria president don hang??

shigishege:
you mean say okoros destinies to become Nigeria president don hang??

Unity without equity.

Zorn:
allow South East to be please.

If Igbos can do anything meaningful this time around for the presidency, then i will surely say that Igbos have lost their political relevance in Nigeria especially when it comes to national politics.

Let's just pray for peace and tranquility towards the election because the way am seeing it, the contestants are not smiling