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What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 - Politics - Nairaland

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Projection For The Election. My Own Take / A Detailed Analytical Projection For The 2023 General Elections. / We’ll Not Interfere In Your Election, Britain Tells Nigeria (2) (3) (4)

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What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Obinoscopy(m): 8:35am On Nov 17, 2022
The presidential election is fast approaching. It's now less than 100 days to the election. There's been lots and lots of permutations on who will win. I'm really interested in nairalanders projections on who will win in the six geopolitical zones, so I decided to create this thread.

I enjoin all nairalanders to post their projections on the percentage of votes each of the three major presidential candidates will garner in the 6 geopolitical zones. You may also post your reasons if you so wish. The nairalander with the closest projections to the actual result after election day will win the naira equivalent of $100.

An illustration is shown below:

North East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 45%
Atiku Abubakar - 35%
Peter Obi - 9%

North West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 25%
Atiku Abubakar - 35%
Peter Obi - 15%

North Central
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 25%
Atiku Abubakar - 25%
Peter Obi - 45%

South East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 5%
Atiku Abubakar - 15%
Peter Obi - 75%

South West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 40%
Atiku Abubakar - 25%
Peter Obi - 30%

South South
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 5%
Atiku Abubakar - 15%
Peter Obi - 75%

You can make your projections from now up until a day before the election. Multiple predictions are not allowed but you can modify your projections up until a day before the election.

The Winner will be announced on this thread.

5 Likes

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Obinoscopy(m): 8:35am On Nov 17, 2022
This space is reserved for the summarized valid projections made by nairalanders.

Buhariguy's Projection:
Tinubu - 40%
Atiku - 30%
Obi - 26%

PlayMaker14's Projection:
Tinubu - 26%
Atiku - 35%
Obi - 39%

Gratiaeo's Projection:
Tinubu - 25%
Atiku - 29%
Obi - 36%

Ttalk's Projection:
Tinubu - 43%
Atiku - 30%
Obi - 17%

NgeneUkwuenu's Projection:
Tinubu - 46%
Atiku - 25%
Obi - 15%

Ruggedniggaone's Projection:
Tinubu - 29%
Atiku - 34%
Obi - 27%

TypicallyBrunt's Projection:
Tinubu - 27%
Atiku - 31%
Obi - 29%

Donsheddy's Projection:
Tinubu - 25%
Atiku - 27%
Obi - 35%

Sammy07's Projection:
Tinubu - 39%
Atiku - 42%
Obi - 16%

ShowYourCertificate's Projection:
Tinubu - 21%
Atiku - 29%
Obi - 37%

WhizdomXX's Projection:
Tinubu - 33%
Atiku - 32%
Obi - 30%

Trollronaldo's Projection:
Tinubu - 26%
Atiku - 28%
Obi - 30%

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Obinoscopy(m): 8:35am On Nov 17, 2022
This space is reserved for the actual winner.


And the winner is Buhariguy! He correctly predicted that Tinubu would win followed by Atiku and then Obi. He was also the closest in the points allocated to the 3 candidates. So the 100 dollars goes to Buhariguy.

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by buhariguy(m): 8:39am On Nov 17, 2022
I will give you state by state result
North west : Apc 45% , pdp 30 % , Lp 10%, NNPP 15%
Kastina
Apc -45%, pdp 30%, Lp 5% NNPP 20%
Kaduna :
Apc 45%, pdp 30%, Lp 15%, NNPP 10%
Kebbi :
Apc 45%, pdp 30%, Lp 3% , NNPP 22%
Jigawa :
Apc 45%, pdp 30%, Lp 3%, NNPP 22%
Sokoto :
Apc 40%, pdp 45% Lp 5%, NNPP 10 %

South west : Apc 60% , pdp 25 %, Lp 15%
Lagos : apc 55%, pdp 15%, Lp 30%
Ogun : apc 55%, pdp 30% others 15%
Oyo : apc 55% pdp 30% Lp 15%
Osun : apc 50% pdp 40% others 10%
Ondo: apc 55% pdp 30% Lp 15%
Ekiti : apc 60% pdp 35% others 5 %
North east : Apc 40%, pdp 45 %, Lp 10 %,
NNPP 5%
Adamawa : apc 35%, pdp 55%, others 10%
Taraba : apc 35 %, pdp 40%, Lp 20%, NNPP 5%,
Bauchi :apc 35%, pdp 40%, Lp 10% , NNPP 15%
Gombe : apc 45% pdp 40%, Lp 5% , NNPP 10%
Borno : apc 60% pdp 30% others 10%
Yobe: apc 55% pdp 30% others 15%
South south : Apc 25%, pdp 30 %, Lp 45 %
South east :Apc 15 %, pdp 25 %, Lp 60%
North central :Apc 40%, pdp 30% , Lp 30%.

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Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by PlayMaker14: 8:41am On Nov 17, 2022
North East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 25%
Atiku Abubakar - 55%
Peter Obi - 15%

North West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 25%
Atiku Abubakar - 45%
Peter Obi - 25%

North Central
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 15%
Atiku Abubakar - 25%
Peter Obi - 50%

South East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 10%
Atiku Abubakar - 25%
Peter Obi - 65%

South West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 55%
Atiku Abubakar - 25%
Peter Obi - 40%

South South
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 15%
Atiku Abubakar - 35%
Peter Obi - 50%


PlayMaker.©

1 Like

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by buhariguy(m): 8:41am On Nov 17, 2022
Obinoscopy:
This space is reserved for the actual winner.
what if hundred thousand people get it right. will you still pay the $100 to everyone

10 Likes

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by gratiaeo(m): 8:44am On Nov 17, 2022
Here is my projection


North East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 25%
Atiku Abubakar - 50%
Peter Obi - 15%
Others- 10%

North West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 25%
Atiku Abubakar - 35%
Peter Obi - 10%
Others- 35%

North Central
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 20%
Atiku Abubakar - 25%
Peter Obi - 45%
Others- 10%

South East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 2%
Atiku Abubakar - 8%
Peter Obi - 90%

South West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 50%
Atiku Abubakar - 20%
Peter Obi - 30%

South south
Bola Ahmed Tinubu -20%
Atiku Abubakar - 30%
Peter obi- 50%

1 Like

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Okoroawusa: 8:49am On Nov 17, 2022
Obinoscopy:
The presidential election is fast approaching. It's now less than 100 days to the election. There's been lots and lots of permutations on who will win. I'm really interested in nairalanders projections on who will win in the six geopolitical zones, so I decided to create this thread.

I enjoin all nairalanders to post their projections on the percentage of votes each of the three major presidential candidates will garner in the 6 geopolitical zones. You may also post your reasons if you so wish. The nairalander with the closest projections to the actual result after election day will win the naira equivalent of $100.

An illustration is shown below:



You can make your projections from now up until a day before the election. You can also modify your projections up until a day before the election.

The Winner will be announced on this thread.
I will add #20,000 to your $100 for the eventual winner.

Let the predictions and projections begin!!!

11 Likes

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Pierced(f): 8:49am On Nov 17, 2022
tongue
Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Sunshine311(f): 8:50am On Nov 17, 2022
They're certain things out of our control.
Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Obinoscopy(m): 8:50am On Nov 17, 2022
buhariguy:
what if hundred thousand people get it right. will you still pay the $100 to everyone
The projections are based on percentage with numbers ranging from 0 to 100%. It will be almost impossible for two people to get exact same score unless they copied from each other. And if they do, the prize will go to whomever posted it first.

3 Likes

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Abfinest007(m): 8:50am On Nov 17, 2022
Not here 4 d money but I want u to know , nothing can't stop obi ,it is signed and sealed

2 Likes 1 Share

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Okoroawusa: 8:53am On Nov 17, 2022
buhariguy:
what if hundred thousand people get it right. will you still pay the $100 to everyone
There must be one that will get the exact percentages correctly. And in the case where there are more than one then the first person to project correctly wins.

I am not good at projections and predictions but I am supporting with 20k

7 Likes

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Ttalk: 8:53am On Nov 17, 2022
My projection
SW
Tinubu 70%
Atiku. 15%
Obi. 12%
Others 3%


SS
Tinubu 20%
Atiku. 40%
Obi. 35%
Others 5%

SE
Tinubu 18%
Atiku 32%
Obi. 50%

NC
Tinubu 50%
Atiku. 30%
Obi 15%
Others 5%

NE
Tinubu 30%
Atiku. 50%
Obi. 5%
Kwakwaso 10%
Others 5%

NW
Tinubu 53%
Atiku 25%
Obi. 2%
Kwakwaso 20%

Where I indicate Others mean Kwakwaso will get most of the % allocated to others.

However, my projection will be review based on the alignment and reallignment.

Kwakwaso may likely collapse his with either of APC or PDP while Peter Obi is likely to collapse for PDP.

Regardless the alignment, Tinubu will win the presidential election as he stands the greatest chance of getting 25% in 24states conveniently.

Also, States with the highest registered voters are controlled by APC government with the exception of Rivers Oyo.

Lagos
Kaduna
Katsina
Kano
Borno

Will give APC the boost to cover their loss in SE and SS

Also, Lagos state is likely to give the highest voters turnout unlike the previous elections where there were voters apathy.

Somehow Tinubu will also get the highest votes from the South among the three major contestants

10 Likes 2 Shares

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by LadyExcellency: 8:54am On Nov 17, 2022
Obinoscopy:
This space is reserved for the valid projections made by nairalanders.

Southeast
Obi - 95%

They can't give Jonathan more than Peter Obi
Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by PlayMaker14: 8:56am On Nov 17, 2022
Moderator wey get sense.... Unlike the other biased Tinubu boy.

God bless you Sir.


I have made my projections, let me pray and Mynd my business.
Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Obinoscopy(m): 8:57am On Nov 17, 2022
PlayMaker14:

North East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 25%
Atiku Abubakar - 55%
Peter Obi - 15%

North West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 25%
Atiku Abubakar - 45%
Peter Obi - 25%

North Central
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 15%
Atiku Abubakar - 25%
Peter Obi - 50%

South East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 10%
Atiku Abubakar - 25%
Peter Obi - 65%

South West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 55%
Atiku Abubakar - 25%
Peter Obi - 40%


PlayMaker.
Noted.

Note that you can modify your projections. However you CANNOT modify your projections on or after election day.
Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Ttalk: 8:57am On Nov 17, 2022
Tinubu 1st
Atiku 2nd
Obi. 3rd

11 Likes

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Obinoscopy(m): 8:58am On Nov 17, 2022
gratiaeo:
Here is my projection


North East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 25%
Atiku Abubakar - 50%
Peter Obi - 15%
Others- 10%

North West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 25%
Atiku Abubakar - 35%
Peter Obi - 10%
Others- 35%

North Central
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 20%
Atiku Abubakar - 25%
Peter Obi - 45%
Others- 10%

South East
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 2%
Atiku Abubakar - 8%
Peter Obi - 90%

South West
Bola Ahmed Tinubu - 50%
Atiku Abubakar - 20%
Peter Obi - 30%

South south
Bola Ahmed Tinubu -20%
Atiku Abubakar - 30%
Peter obi- 50%
Noted.

Note that you can still modify your projections. However you CANNOT modify your projections on or after election day.
Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by PlayMaker14: 9:01am On Nov 17, 2022
Obinoscopy:
Noted.

Note that you can modify your projections. However you CANNOT modify your projections on or after election day.
Very considerate....

Thank you so kindly.

1 Like

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by NgeneUkwenu(f): 9:01am On Nov 17, 2022
North Central-
Tinubu- 55%
Atiku- 25%
Peter Obi- 10%
Kwankwaso- 8%
Others - 2%

South West-
Tinubu- 70%
Obi - 15%
Atiku- 10%
Others- 5%

South South
Atiku -37% (Majorly because of Akwaibom Votes)
Tinubu - 35%
Peter Obi - 25%
Others - 3%

South East-
Peter Obi- 58%
Tinubu - 25% ( He will get reasonable votes in Imo, Abia and Ebonyi State)
Atiku - 10% ( Nobody is talking about himp currently in the South East)
Invalid/others- 7%

North East-
Tinubu- 50%
Atiku - 30%
Kwankwaso-15%
Others/Invalid -5%

North West-
Tinubu- 35%
Atiku - 35%
Kwankwaso-25%
Invalid/others votes- 5%

9 Likes 3 Shares

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Obinoscopy(m): 9:02am On Nov 17, 2022
Okoroawusa:

I will add #20,000 to your $100 for the eventual winner.

Let the predictions and projections begin!!!
Wow, awesome. Thanks!

Guys, the stakes are getting higher, make your objective projections and get a chance to win $100 + N20,000. Let's see how accurate you are politically.

1 Like

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by ganisucks(f): 9:07am On Nov 17, 2022
Making permutations and projections without actual data or information is just voodoo in voodoo out.
Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by tysontim(m): 9:15am On Nov 17, 2022
Hmmm
Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by greatiyk4u(m): 9:17am On Nov 17, 2022
Let me book space ,then go back and permutate
Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Ttalk: 9:31am On Nov 17, 2022
Region

Tinubu 3 regions NW, SW, NC
Atiku. 2 regions NE, SS
Obi. 1 SE

8 Likes

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Ruggedniggaone: 9:37am On Nov 17, 2022
North West
Atiku 40%
Kwankwazo 25%
Tinubu 25%
Obi and others 10%
North East
Atiku 45%
Tinubu 35%
Kwankwazo 15%
Obi and others 5%
South West
Atiku 30%
Tinubu 50%
Obi 15%
Others 5%
South south
Atiku 30%
Tinubu 10%
Obi 55%
Kwankwazo and others 5%
South East
Atiku 25%
Obi 65%
Tinubu 5%
Kwankwazo and others 5%
North Central
Atiku 30%
Tinubu 30%
Obi 30%
Kwankwazo and others 10%
Atiku is the winner

1 Like

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by DearDealz: 9:43am On Nov 17, 2022
OK
Let me start my calculation
Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by jamace(m): 9:43am On Nov 17, 2022
Winner of 2023 presidential election: PETER OBI cool cool cool

2 Likes

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by MissLeslie(m): 9:50am On Nov 17, 2022
Tinubu is the Next president of Nigeria come may 2023, I want all the bastard on NL to know this and rest, he will win 3 to 4 region, or 3win and 1 2nd, wining south west, North central and north west because of Buhari influence in the north west, then 2nd in north east.... Obi will do well only in south east and second in the south south, forget about Emperor Wike effect in the south south Atiku will still win here. Apart from Benue Obi can only come second in Taraba where there is Christian domain. North central has 6 state Tinubu winning 3, Atiku winning 2 then Obi winning 1, the most populous region is North west and Obi name is not on the 3 horse here, Tinubu Atiku and Kwakwaso will slog it out here, northeast this is Atiku strong hold but shetima in Bornu, Buni in Yobe and inuwa in Gombe, Tinubu stand a chance of second, Atiku will claim Bauchi, Adamawa and probably Gombe and Taraba vote will be split into 3, Atiku Obi and Tinubu, so in all Presidency is returning to the south.

5 Likes 1 Share

Re: What's Your Election Result Projection For 2023 by Ttalk: 10:29am On Nov 17, 2022
MissLeslie:
Tinubu is the Next president of Nigeria come may 2023, I want all the bastard on NL to know this and rest, he will win 3 to 4 region, or 3win and 1 2nd, wining south west, North central and north west because of Buhari influence in the north west, then 2nd in north east.... Obi will do well only in south east and second in the south south, forget about Emperor Wike effect in the south south Atiku will still win here. Apart from Benue Obi can only come second in Taraba where there is Christian domain. North central has 6 state Tinubu winning 3, Atiku winning 2 then Obi winning 1, the most populous region is North west and Obi name is not on the 3 horse here, Tinubu Atiku and Kwakwaso will slog it out here, northeast this is Atiku strong hold but shetima in Bornu, Buni in Yobe and inuwa in Gombe, Tinubu stand a chance of second, Atiku will claim Bauchi, Adamawa and probably Gombe and Taraba vote will be split into 3, Atiku Obi and Tinubu, so in all Presidency is returning to the south.

Gbam

9 Likes

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