The analysis below is a detailed presentation on how the elections might look like come February 25, 2023.

This analysis is Objective and shows no fear or favour to any of the candidates. It's just pure Analysis.

The analysis is divided into 3 parts or sections,
MINOR, MAJOR & MAJOR-GENERAL.
The reason so is to ensure all areas are covered within and across Nigeria.
MINOR
OBI
Lagos - 7,075,192 - 40%
Kano - 5,927,565 - 20%
Kaduna - 4,345,469 - 20%
Rivers -3,532,990 - 70%
Katsina - 3,519,260 - 20%
and Oyo - 3,275,045 - 40%
35% of 27.7 = 9.7m

TINUBU
Lagos - 7,075,192 - 50%
Kano - 5,927,565 - 40%
Kaduna - 4,345,469 - 40%
Rivers -3,532,990 - 10%
Katsina - 3,519,260 - 40%
and Oyo - 3,275,045 - 50%
37% of 27.7 = 10.3m - WINNER

ATIKU
Lagos - 7,075,192 - 10%
Kano - 5,927,565 - 30%
Kaduna - 4,345,469 - 30%
Rivers -3,532,990 - 20%
Katsina - 3,519,260 - 30%
and Oyo - 3,275,045 - 10%
22% of 27.7 = 6.1m

MAJOR
NORTH WEST(22million)
Tinubu- 40% - 9m
Atiku - 30% - 7m
Obi - 20% - 4m
Kwankwanso - 10% - 2m

NORTH EAST(12 million)
Tinubu- 30% - 4m
Atiku - 40% - 5m
Obi - 20% - 2m
Kwankwanso - 10% - 1m

NORTH CENTRAL(15 million)
Tinubu- 33% - 5m
Atiku - 33% - 5m
Obi - 33% - 5m
Kwankwanso - 1

SOUTH WEST(18 million)
Tinubu- 50% - 9m
Atiku - 10% - 2m
Obi - 40% - 7m

SOUTH EAST(11 million)
Atiku - 10% - 1m
Obi - 80% - 9m
Tinubu - 10% - 1m

SOUTH SOUTH(14 million)
Atiku - 20% - 3m
Obi - 70% - 10m
Tinubu - 10% - 1m

Average Total% (NE+NW+NC+SE+SS+SW)÷6. No of voters are added only.
Tinubu - 29% - 29m
Atiku - 24% - 23m
Obi - 44% - 37m - WINNER

MAJOR-GENERAL
The SOUTH (SW, SE & SS) (43million)
OBI - (40+50+50) ÷ 3 = 47% - 20m
TINUBU - (50+25+25) ÷ 3 = 33% - 14m
ATIKU - (10+25+25) ÷ 3 = 20% - 9m

The NORTH (NW, NE & NC) (49million)
OBI - (20+20+33) ÷ 3 = 24% - 12m
TINUBU - (40+30+33) ÷ 3 = 34% - 17m
ATIKU - (30+40+33) ÷ 3 = 34% - 17m
KWANKWANSO-10+10+1=7%-3m

Average Total% (South + North)÷2. No of voters are being added only.
OBI - 36% - 32m - WINNER
TINUBU - 34% - 31m
ATIKU - 27% - 26m

FINAL OVERALL PROJECTIONS. (MINOR + MAJOR + MAJOR-GENERAL) ÷ 3
For both % & no of voters

Tinubu - 33% - 23.4m
Obi - 38% - 26.2m - OVERALL WINNER
Atiku - 24% - 18.4m

Takeaways from the analysis;
1. Tinubu needs to work on getting more votes from the SS & SE.
2. Atiku needs to work on the entire south. The zoning is not a favouring him at all.
3. Obi needs to work the Core north, and some parts in the NC.
4. Nigerians must collect their PVCS'
5. Nigerians must all come out to vote.
6. The 2023 elections might be different from every other elections.
7. This 2023 elections reminds us of 1979 & 1983. Will history repeat itself?. I leave that for you to answer .

Seun
Nlfpmod
Mynd44

Not too bad projection.

FlordFlorez:
Not too bad projection.

Yea.
It was very very objective.
Tinubu is the only candidate that needs to do alot of work right now.
Whatever vote Tinubu gets in the SE & SS. Obi will cancel it with the Votes he gets from the southwest.

JoeNL22:

Yea.
It was very very objective.
Tinubu is the only candidate that needs to do alot of work right now.
Whatever vote Tinubu gets in the SE & SS. Obi will cancel it with the Votes he gets from the southwest.

If obi will get 20% in kaduna,how will he get 20% in katsina? This is madness.he cannot get more than 50% in ss.obi cannot get more than 25% outside lagos.tinubu is working very hard in se/ss thats why anap,nextier and Bantu said he will defeat atiku there.whatever obi will get in se/ss will be destroyed up north

Though this is your opinion but how do you think Obi would get 20% in Katsina, Kano and Kaduna it's as if you are not in the same Nigeria as us. Imagine you saying Peter Obi would win Kwankwanso on the NW and NE.

I just hope you don't delete your account after Feb 25.

senatordave1:


If obi will get 20% in kaduna,how will he get 20% in katsina? This is madness.he cannot get more than 50% in ss.obi cannot get more than 25% outside lagos.tinubu is working very hard in se/ss thats why anap,nextier and Bantu said he will defeat atiku there.whatever obi will get in se/ss will be destroyed up north

Obi is more popular in the north than what the media portrays to us. Bro, obi will get more than 70% in the SS. SE & SS Moves together. Therefore if Obi can get 80% from the SE, definitely he can get more from the SS. Bantu predicted obi will win Lagos therefore your 25% is a fallacy. At least obi will get 40%. You should understand one thing. In the SW, the elections is between Obi and Tinubu. In the SE & SS, its between Obi and Atiku. I can guarantee you Obi will over do well in the SW. Atiku will have more votes than Tinubu in SE & SS. The core north can't destroy Obi's vote because of Atiku. Atiku will win the NE & Tinubu will win the Northwest. Therefore one zone won't be enough to counter obi's vote in the SS & SE. Mind you!, whatever combined votes Tinubu gets in the SE & SS. Obi will destroy it with Just SW Votes. Obi can get 40% from the Sw. But Tinubu can't get 40% from the SE & SS. The core north & sw can't win the elections for you alone. You need a national spread. And from the look of things. Tinubu doesn't have a national spread. He needs to work seriously if he wants to win this elections

3ple9iner:
Though this is your opinion but how do you think Obi would get 20% in Katsina, Kano and Kaduna it's as if you are not in the same Nigeria as us. Imagine you saying Peter Obi would win Kwankwanso on the NW and NE.

I just hope you don't delete your account after Feb 25.

Yes, Obi will have more votes than Kwankwanso in Kano.
Obi will have more overall votes from the Nw than Kwankwanso.
The zoning system is favouring Obi, the whole Nigeria knows it's time for the south. Hence the reason why Obi has more national appeal than anybody in the elections. Even Tinubu & kwankwanso knows obi has more national appeal than any of them. The worst thing you can ever do right now is underestimate obi.

By God's grace...this projection will come to pass as many of us are tired of the pattern in which the country is taking...


You school abroad and bring your degree to Nigeria, the government will honour it and gives you a job....

But you have your degree in Nigeria and takes it abroad, the government over there will not regard it and won't even offer you a reasonable job untill you have a certain certification inline with your professional request....

We need a working system and working government and we have chosen Obi to be the rightful person to make this changes....

Not Tinubu nor Atiku.... They're old and can't walk/work or deliver...

JASONjnr:
By God's grace...this projection will come to pass as many of us are tired of the pattern in which the country is taking...


You school abroad and bring your degree to Nigeria, the government will honour it and gives you a job....

But you have your degree in Nigeria and takes it abroad, the government over there will not regard it and won't even offer you a reasonable job untill you have a certain certification inline with your professional request....

We need a working system and working government and we have chosen Obi to be the rightful person to make this changes....

Not Tinubu nor Atiku.... They're old and can't walk/work or deliver...

Do you have your PVC?

JoeNL22:
Do you have your PVC?

Is this even a question?

JASONjnr:


Is this even a question?

Good.
So make sure you come out to vote your candidate come feb 25, 2023.

JoeNL22:

Obi is more popular in the north than what the media portrays to us. Bro, obi will get more than 70% in the SS. SE & SS Moves together. Therefore if Obi can get 80% from the SE, definitely he can get more from the SS. Bantu predicted obi will win Lagos therefore your 25% is a fallacy. At least obi will get 40%. You should understand one thing. In the SW, the elections is between Obi and Tinubu. In the SE & SS, its between Obi and Atiku. I can guarantee you Obi will over do well in the SW. Atiku will have more votes than Tinubu in SE & SS. The core north can't destroy Obi's vote because of Atiku. Atiku will win the NE & Tinubu will win the Northwest. Therefore one zone won't be enough to counter obi's vote in the SS & SE. Mind you!, whatever combined votes Tinubu gets in the SE & SS. Obi will destroy it with Just SW Votes. Obi can get 40% from the Sw. But Tinubu can't get 40% from the SE & SS. The core north & sw can't win the elections for you alone. You need a national spread. And from the look of things. Tinubu doesn't have a national spread. He needs to work seriously if he wants to win this elections

The ss se moves together only under pdp.obi is not strong in several ss states,no one is campaigning for him except in the urban areas.people in ss are moved by parties and many dislike igbos.
In 2015,labour party was strong in crs and fielded strong candidates but didn't win any seat.they didnt get up to 100k in total.how do you expect obi an outsider to get 70%
In sw,lp used to be strong in ondo but has failed.the local candidates they know in ekiti and osun couldn't get up to 5000.obi will fail outside lagos.Bantu and anap predicted tinubu to beat atiku in se/,ss to leave it at that.both atiku and Tinubu will try seriously to suppress obi votes in se

JoeNL22:

Yes, Obi will have more votes than Kwankwanso in Kano.
Obi will have more overall votes from the Nw than Kwankwanso.
The zoning system is favouring Obi, the whole Nigeria knows it's time for the south. Hence the reason why Obi has more national appeal than anybody in the elections. Even Tinubu & kwankwanso knows obi has more national appeal than any of them. The worst thing you can ever do right now is underestimate obi.

Obi cannot win kwankwaso outside kaduna.the north is divided about zoning bit very few support obi

JoeNL22:
The analysis below is a detailed presentation on how the elections might look like come February 25, 2023.

This analysis is Objective and shows no fear or favour to any of the candidates. It's just pure Analysis.

The analysis is divided into 3 parts or sections,
MINOR, MAJOR & MAJOR-GENERAL.
The reason so is to ensure all areas are covered within and across Nigeria.
MINOR
OBI
Lagos - 7,075,192 - 40%
Kano - 5,927,565 - 20%
Kaduna - 4,345,469 - 20%
Rivers -3,532,990 - 70%
Katsina - 3,519,260 - 20%
and Oyo - 3,275,045 - 40%
35% of 27.7 = 9.7m

TINUBU
Lagos - 7,075,192 - 50%
Kano - 5,927,565 - 40%
Kaduna - 4,345,469 - 40%
Rivers -3,532,990 - 10%
Katsina - 3,519,260 - 40%
and Oyo - 3,275,045 - 50%
37% of 27.7 = 10.3m - WINNER

ATIKU
Lagos - 7,075,192 - 10%
Kano - 5,927,565 - 30%
Kaduna - 4,345,469 - 30%
Rivers -3,532,990 - 20%
Katsina - 3,519,260 - 30%
and Oyo - 3,275,045 - 10%
22% of 27.7 = 6.1m

MAJOR
Northwest(22million)
Tinubu- 40%-9m
Atiku - 30%-7m
Obi - 20%-4m
Kwankwanso - 10%-2m

Northeast(12 million)
Tinubu- 30%-4m
Atiku - 40%-5m
Obi - 20%-2m
Kwankwanso - 10%-1m

North central(15 million)
Tinubu- 33%-5m
Atiku - 33%-5m
Obi - 33%-5m
Kwankwanso - 1

Southwest(18 million)
Tinubu- 50%-9m
Atiku - 10%-2m
Obi - 40%-7m

Southeast(11 million)
Atiku - 10%-1m
Obi - 80%-9m
Tinubu - 10%-1m

SouthSouth(14 million)
Atiku - 20%-3m
Obi - 70%-10m
Tinubu - 10%-1m

Average Total%(NE+NW+NC+SE+SS+SW)÷6. No of voters are added.
Tinubu - 29%-29m
Atiku - 24%-23m
[/b]Obi - 44%-37m - WINNER

MAJOR-GENERAL
The south(SW, SE & SS)(43million)
OBI-(40+50+50)÷3=47%-20m
TINUBU-(50+25+25)÷3=33%-14m
ATIKU-(10+25+25)÷3=20%-9m

The north(NW, NE & NC)(49million)
OBI-(20+20+33)÷2=24%-12m
TINUBU-(40+30+33)÷2=34%-17m
ATIKU-(30+40+33)÷2=34%-17m
KWANKWANSO-10+10+1=7%-3m

Average Total%(South + North)÷2. No of voters are being added.
OBI-36%-32m - WINNER
TINUBU-34%-31m
ATIKU-27%-26m

FINAL OVERALL PROJECTIONS. (MINOR+MAJOR+MAJOR-GENERAL)÷3
For both % & no of voters

Tinubu- 33%-23.4m
Obi-38% - 26.2m - OVERALL WINNER
Atiku-24%-18.4m

Takeaways from the analysis;
1. Tinubu needs to work on getting more votes from the SS & SE.
2. Atiku needs to work on the entire south. The zoning is not a favouring him at all.
3. Obi needs to work the Core north, and some parts in the NC.
4. Nigerians must collect their PVCS'
5. Nigerians must all come out to vote.
6. The 2023 elections might be different from every other elections.
7. This 2023 elections reminds us of 1979 & 1983. Will history repeat itself?. I leave that for you to answer .

Seun
Nlfpmod
Mynd44

Close call but Obi cannot get 20% in any core northern state aside Kaduna.. even with that he is still leading though

All pathways point to Obi victory. Urchins don't see any pathways for Tinubu aside rigging. Thank God for Bvas. All urchins regurgitate is Obi can never be president, a structureless party can't win but they have failed to even show us where the microphone licking crack addict will get votes from.

PO is the next president of Nigeria

This analysis has ignored 1 very vital fact.

Obi must get 25% in at least 24 states to win as required by law. I don't see how that is possible even from your analysis.
Your analysis does not show anything that addresses this. It not just all about number of votes.

JoeNL22:
The analysis below is a detailed presentation on how the elections might look like come February 25, 2023.

This analysis is Objective and shows no fear or favour to any of the candidates. It's just pure Analysis.

The analysis is divided into 3 parts or sections,
MINOR, MAJOR & MAJOR-GENERAL.
The reason so is to ensure all areas are covered within and across Nigeria.
MINOR
OBI
Lagos - 7,075,192 - 40%
Kano - 5,927,565 - 20%
Kaduna - 4,345,469 - 20%
Rivers -3,532,990 - 70%
Katsina - 3,519,260 - 20%
and Oyo - 3,275,045 - 40%
35% of 27.7 = 9.7m

TINUBU
Lagos - 7,075,192 - 50%
Kano - 5,927,565 - 40%
Kaduna - 4,345,469 - 40%
Rivers -3,532,990 - 10%
Katsina - 3,519,260 - 40%
and Oyo - 3,275,045 - 50%
37% of 27.7 = 10.3m - WINNER

ATIKU
Lagos - 7,075,192 - 10%
Kano - 5,927,565 - 30%
Kaduna - 4,345,469 - 30%
Rivers -3,532,990 - 20%
Katsina - 3,519,260 - 30%
and Oyo - 3,275,045 - 10%
22% of 27.7 = 6.1m

MAJOR
Northwest(22million)
Tinubu- 40%-9m
Atiku - 30%-7m
Obi - 20%-4m
Kwankwanso - 10%-2m

Northeast(12 million)
Tinubu- 30%-4m
Atiku - 40%-5m
Obi - 20%-2m
Kwankwanso - 10%-1m

North central(15 million)
Tinubu- 33%-5m
Atiku - 33%-5m
Obi - 33%-5m
Kwankwanso - 1

Southwest(18 million)
Tinubu- 50%-9m
Atiku - 10%-2m
Obi - 40%-7m

Southeast(11 million)
Atiku - 10%-1m
Obi - 80%-9m
Tinubu - 10%-1m

SouthSouth(14 million)
Atiku - 20%-3m
Obi - 70%-10m
Tinubu - 10%-1m

Average Total%(NE+NW+NC+SE+SS+SW)÷6. No of voters are added.
Tinubu - 29%-29m
Atiku - 24%-23m
[/b]Obi - 44%-37m - WINNER

MAJOR-GENERAL
The south(SW, SE & SS)(43million)
OBI-(40+50+50)÷3=47%-20m
TINUBU-(50+25+25)÷3=33%-14m
ATIKU-(10+25+25)÷3=20%-9m

The north(NW, NE & NC)(49million)
OBI-(20+20+33)÷2=24%-12m
TINUBU-(40+30+33)÷2=34%-17m
ATIKU-(30+40+33)÷2=34%-17m
KWANKWANSO-10+10+1=7%-3m

Average Total%(South + North)÷2. No of voters are being added.
OBI-36%-32m - WINNER
TINUBU-34%-31m
ATIKU-27%-26m

FINAL OVERALL PROJECTIONS. (MINOR+MAJOR+MAJOR-GENERAL)÷3
For both % & no of voters

Tinubu- 33%-23.4m
Obi-38% - 26.2m - OVERALL WINNER
Atiku-24%-18.4m

Takeaways from the analysis;
1. Tinubu needs to work on getting more votes from the SS & SE.
2. Atiku needs to work on the entire south. The zoning is not a favouring him at all.
3. Obi needs to work the Core north, and some parts in the NC.
4. Nigerians must collect their PVCS'
5. Nigerians must all come out to vote.
6. The 2023 elections might be different from every other elections.
7. This 2023 elections reminds us of 1979 & 1983. Will history repeat itself?. I leave that for you to answer .

Seun
Nlfpmod
Mynd44

I stopped from d beginning

So 20% of Kano n 40% are d same?

Tinubu will get 40% in kano, katsina and Kaduna

Kwankwaso and Atiku are jokes to you right!?

Dreaming is allowed

Workch:
Tinubu will get 40% in kano, katsina and Kaduna

Kwankwaso and Atiku are jokes to you right!?

Yes.
Atiku, kwankwanso and Obi will give him a run for his money

BATified2023:
I stopped from d beginning

So 20% of Kano n 40% are d same?

What are you saying?
20% from kano is for Obi, and by extension the NORTHWEST.

Lol....very funny analysis despite all that has been unfolding.

Meagainstthem:
Dreaming is allowed

Can you just reason with your sense for just 1 minute?

BRIMBRAM:
Very funny analysis

How.
So been objective is funny?

JoeNL22:

How.
So been objective is funny?

You are very, very objective.

BRIMBRAM:


You are very, very objective.

What's the meaning of objectivity?

You’re objective and still projecting Peter Obi to get 20% in NW, 40% in SW, 20% in NW and 33% in NC.

No buddy, you’re not objective. You’re just another deluded Peter Obi supporter who is finding it difficult to accept reality.

Peter Obi will not get 5% in NW and NE. He will get less than 20% overall in NC and less than 10% in south west. Any projection outside this is nonsense.

Fibonacci88:
All pathways point to Obi victory. Urchins don't see any pathways for Tinubu aside rigging. Thank God for Bvas. All urchins regurgitate is Obi can never be president, a structureless party can't win but they have failed to even show us where the microphone licking crack addict will get votes from.

How many communities can obi cover in cross river state?

senatordave1:


How many communities can obi cover in cross river state?

Garfield1 you still don't know the reality on ground.

PDP members in Cross River are all standing with Obi.

This is just January, all I need from you guys is to sit and watch what will happen in coming days.

Una no go believe am. Just relax

Any human being that give Obi 40% in Lagos doesn't have brain.

Obi will not win a single LG in Lagos State

Oga, it's not fight. The projection is a guide for every candidate. Just campaign more for your candidate instead of trying to win a point by providing your own biased projection. Just keep campaigning, okay.

senatordave1:


The ss se moves together only under pdp.obi is not strong in several ss states,no one is campaigning for him except in the urban areas.people in ss are moved by parties and many dislike igbos.
In 2015,labour party was strong in crs and fielded strong candidates but didn't win any seat.they didnt get up to 100k in total.how do you expect obi an outsider to get 70%
In sw,lp used to be strong in ondo but has failed.the local candidates they know in ekiti and osun couldn't get up to 5000.obi will fail outside lagos.Bantu and anap predicted tinubu to beat atiku in se/,ss to leave it at that.both atiku and Tinubu will try seriously to suppress obi votes in se