Why must every thing about guys base on tribalism. You people are the problem of this nation.

sapele914:
But Ipobian Zombies turned Oblivious Obidients are comfortable with an Apga Judas/Pdp runaway person that got a waiver from a party he is not a member of?

Confused Hypocrites, all of you will return back to Biafra latest March 1st 2023.

No APC without Buhari and Buhari is a failure, too ashamed to even campaign for his party.

ednut1:
This is a lesson to southerners . Tinubu insulted Buhari by saying he failed three times and wept before he helped bring him in. He lost Buhari’s supporters and base that day.

Buhari I being to everyone and belong to no one was backstabbing right from when he was sworn in.

Same Buhari was telling people in ogun to vote their choice on the campaign trail in 2019.

Ur observations are on point.If Buhari allows free n fair elections,tinubu cant win.Also ,its too late to go against BVAS.As he already approved months ago.Tinubu is receiving himself to tink he can win north.Kwankwaso is not a push over in north,neither is Atiku.

There is something tinubu doesn't get.General election is not primaries where a few selected by governor determines who gets tickets.This is same Nigerians dat hated u during end sars for d killing of Nigerian youths.This same young Nigerians hav diverted their energy for Obi .....nxt month will be a shocker.

everybody is totally wrong with APC

MrEverest:
"Buhari can help Negotiate a deal with 2 groups
1. The G5
2. For Kwankwanso to step down even if it means promising him presidency after Tinubu"

You wrote a succinct article but the above quote from it makes no sense at all.

1. Buhari has no influence over G5 governors, they're Southerners with one from middle belt. They have no obligation to Buhari. Secondly, things have gone beyond the G5 governors in their respective states, they would instantly lose relevance if they go against the general insterest of their people.

2. How can Buhari promise Kwankwaso presidency when he couldn't even install his choice of candidate on his party? Buhari wanted Ahmed Lawan but APC governors outsmarted him. Also 4 to 8 years is too long in politics for any agreement to still hold water. Kwankwaso is no fool and would know that already.

The best option for Kwankwaso is to contest in the election, prove himself as a force in the NW. Even if he comes 2nd, 3rd or 4th, he would have done great then he would have successfully helped in retiring Tinubu and Atiku permanently. By 2027, he would most likely have only Peter Obi to contend with. Sentiments for president to go South won't be against him anymore. Knowing that Nigeria's problems are enormous and Buhari has done severe damage, it would be extremely difficult for Peter Obi to reverse that damage in 4 years. Again Nigerians can be impatient, this could make Peter Obi to lose some of his popularity thus giving him a fighting chance.

A good analysis here.

But forget, if Obi wins this election, he’s doing his second term and no Kwankwaso can stop that.

Except Kwankwaso returns to either the APC or PDP. But if APC and PDP present candidates, with Kwankwaso still in NNPP, then forget it.

Again, because of the sentiment that the south needs to complete its 8 years, most political parties are likely going to present a southern candidate in 2027 if Obi wins this year.

So, there are a lot of intricacies involved. But Kwankwaso’s best bet is to finish the election and prove his mettle which he can use as bargaining chip in the future; say 2031.

SouthSouth1914:
In-depth analysis. Kudos for this piece.

The Vice President would have been a better choice, he is well groomed, marketable, pious and very industrious. He was very efficient in his acting capacity the times Buhari left.

The Tinubu ticket is a failure in all entirety!

True talk.. if only they had allowed an Osibanjo I won't be in PO camp. But right now, since they refused Osibanjo to clinch the ticket then PO is the best candidate from the three main contenders . He is not a saint but he is stronger , frugal and more assertive with his vision when he get into office ..

Very balanced analysis.also factual.

You said it all my dear nothing but truthYou said it all my dear nothing but truth...

Lol nice analysis but You will understand when results start trooping in.

It is hard for Atiku to win the elections. Tinubu carries the day.

Kwakwanso will steal part of Buhari votes and part of Atikus.

Kwakwanso won’t step down. If he does he’s finished politically. Same way Obi won’t try it.

Vote buying will be the order of the day during the elections. There’s a pipeline plan towards vote buying by the APC that’s different from the usuals.

All the parties: APC, Lp, PDP will buy votes depending on their capacity except Kwakwanso’ nnpp. Who knows that he stands no chance but just trying to gain momentum for future endorsement for the presidency.

States governors will want to deliver their states. The odds favor Tinubu more than all the other candidates. SW has always failed to deliver a block votes for candidates that come out from there but this time they will do better.

This is the type of analysis I love to read concise and factual but the dynamics of this election has being change to make believe, propaganda and witch hunting we need issue based campaign not campaign of calumny and slander

Low key bat supporter

Britishpea:
Lol nice analysis but You will understand when results start trooping in.

It is hard for Atiku to win the elections. Tinubu carries the day.

Kwakwanso will steal part of Buhari votes and part of Atikus.

Kwakwanso won’t step down. If he does he’s finished politically. Same way Obi won’t try it.

Vote buying will be the order of the day during the elections. There’s a pipeline plan towards vote buying by the APC that’s different from the usuals.

All the parties: APC, Lp, PDP will buy votes depending on their capacity except Kwakwanso’ nnpp. Who knows that he stands no chance but just trying to gain momentum for future endorsement for the presidency.

States governors will want to deliver their states. The odds favor Tinubu more than all the other candidates. SW has always failed to deliver a block votes for candidates that come out from there but this time they will do better.

BluntTheApostle:



Well put.


I don't need to ask who you support because this is a truthful, unbiased article, unlike some other articles that are very personal, rather than objective.


I also feel that APC will struggle, and I don't suppose that Buhari queuing behind Tinubu will do much.


I am BATified, but a realist.


I fear for APC, although I believe this election is still ours to win.


I have sampled opinions in many Northern quarters, and as things stand, it is between Atiku and Tinubu.


The Southwest has always been very difficult to predict.


South East is regarded as lost.


South South? That is a PDP stronghold.


The Muslim-Muslim ticket was necessary, but a hard sell.


Except something changes soon (I don't know exactly what should change), Atiku might just win this election.

thank you my friend, Tinubu should have allowed his brother osibanjo, but his greed is legendary

MrEverest:
"Buhari can help Negotiate a deal with 2 groups
1. The G5
2. For Kwankwanso to step down even if it means promising him presidency after Tinubu"

You wrote a succinct article but the above quote from it makes no sense at all.

1. Buhari has no influence over G5 governors, they're Southerners with one from middle belt. They have no obligation to Buhari. Secondly, things have gone beyond the G5 governors in their respective states, they would instantly lose relevance if they go against the general insterest of their people.

2. How can Buhari promise Kwankwaso presidency when he couldn't even install his choice of candidate on his party? Buhari wanted Ahmed Lawan but APC governors outsmarted him. Also 4 to 8 years is too long in politics for any agreement to still hold water. Kwankwaso is no fool and would know that already.

The best option for Kwankwaso is to contest in the election, prove himself as a force in the NW. Even if he comes 2nd, 3rd or 4th, he would have done great then he would have successfully helped in retiring Tinubu and Atiku permanently. By 2027, he would most likely have only Peter Obi to contend with. Sentiments for president to go South won't be against him anymore. Knowing that Nigeria's problems are enormous and Buhari has done severe damage, it would be extremely difficult for Peter Obi to reverse that damage in 4 years. Again Nigerians can be impatient, this could make Peter Obi to lose some of his popularity thus giving him a fighting chance.

you are very wicked, your prayers is for Nigeria to continue to suffer, be careful, it may consume you

Sai mun basu wuta.