Penguin2:


See, I agree with you when you are right. But you don’t expect me to agree with when you say things that facts on ground point to the contrary.

You can’t be telling me what will happen in Ebonyi or Enugu and you expect me to agree with you when I have facts that point to the contrary.

Meanwhile, I’m still waiting to see what will happen in Bayelsa.

Bayelsa is a straight fight between LP and PDP!
APC will be lucky to see 5%
Some money grabbers with HON titles are deceiving apc supporters!

garfield1:


Originally,I thought obi cannot win Enugu and abia but when I saw how popular he was,I changed my stance.when I saw most people in rivers and edo going with obi,I conceded it with him.I have conceded benue to obi even when my fellow apc people have refused to.I have conceded plateau.from what I am seeing in delta,I may just concede it.but there is no overwhelming activity in crs,bayelsa or aks for lp.I can't concede those states...
Even in se,atiku and tinubu have pulled more crowd.I am not saying they will win but they will get good percentages afterall igbos betrayed obi in 2019 under a solid pdp plus the love of money is very strong

Igbos did not betray Obi in 2019, southeast governors cut a deal with Buhari and wrote results for APC using Incident Form that was still permissible by law then. But that would no longer be possible with the new Electoral Law.

Meanwhile, I will still tell you that Obi will win AKS, CRS and Bayelsa. Maybe not by wild margin but he’d win those states.

bentenny:

Bayelsa is a straight fight between LP and PDP!
APC will be lucky to see 5%
Some money grabbers with HON titles are deceiving apc supporters!

Lol! Garfield1, somebody has a different perspective from yours.

garfield1:


If sagbama could not vote Lyon,na obi them go vote.purge yourself from hatred Igbo man pretending to be ijaw

For the fact that you assumed i am from igbo shows your thinking!
You are erroneously comparing guber with presidential and that's laughable!
I will tell you once again that bayelsa is a straight fight between LP and PDP!
Stop allowing money grabbers to deceive you.....if you or others have given them money for mobilization or vote buying better go and collect it back ohh
The anthem in SS and SE is to chop apc money and vote wisely!
A word is enough for the wise!

Penguin2:


Igbos did not betray Obi in 2019, southeast governors cut a deal with Buhari and wrote results for APC using Incident Form that was still permissible by law then. But that would no longer be possible with the new Electoral Law.

Meanwhile, I will still tell you that Obi will win AKS, CRS and Bayelsa. Maybe not by wild margin but he’d win those states.

I can concede that he will win narrowly. I still plead with you to forget about that bvas.you have seen the drama in osun.politicians dont need to write results but now they will rig according to what bvas records.people in several remote areas are usually intimidated to vote a particular party(delta 2019) and unfortunately police dont carry guns to polling units.

garfield1:


I can concede that he will win narrowly. I still plead with you to forget about that bvas.you have seen the drama in osun.politicians dont need to write results but now they will rig according to what bvas records.people in several remote areas are usually intimidated to vote a particular party(delta 2019) and unfortunately police dont carry guns to polling units.

You make me laugh

Penguin2:


Lol! Garfield1, somebody has a different perspective from yours.

One of the few persons in bayelsa I've seen supporting obi.open a thread about and edo and rivers and see the diff.interestingly,he attested to the strength of pdp and how bayelsans love party

Penguin2:


You make me laugh

Gradually,you will see how weak obi is in ss.you have seen aks.very soon,you will see crs,bayelsa etc

Penguin2:


Lol! Garfield1, somebody has a different perspective from yours.

Don't mind Garfield...They will just stay somewhere and receive fake info from some potbelly 50 year old with the title honorable that will tell them that apc is 'on ground' using the last guber election not knowing its a ploy to collect plenty bullion van money from oga balablu!
Thats how Umahi deceived Tinubu that he will give apc 25%
Ebonyi pipu said hold my beer
In this election most electorates will vote based on what they have seen and not based on party structure or the direction of the governor!

bentenny:

Don't mind Garfield...They will just stay somewhere and receive fake info from some potbelly 50 year old with the title honorable that will tell them that apc is 'on ground' using the last guber election not knowing its a ploy to collect plenty bullion van money from oga balablu!
Thats how Umahi deceived Tinubu that he will give apc 25%
Ebonyi pipu said hold my beer
In this election most electorates will vote based on what they have seen and not based on party structure or the direction of the governor!

It is easier said than done

garfield1:


It is easier said than done

Garfield no worry...election nor far again!
We will know who is right!
Once again go collect una money ohh...
SS and SE don ban APC...e worst for edo

bentenny:

Garfield no worry...election nor far again!
We will know who is right!
Once again go collect una money ohh...
SS and SE don ban APC...e worst for edo

Oshiomhole has secured Edo already

BlazinGlory40:


We Dey talk 2023 this one Dey talk 2019. Nawa oh

Go check the thing wey we de talk about before you jump inside conversation wey you no know Wetin we de talk about

Give us the methodology for your polls. Not just print numbers that make no sense.

When I knew they were full of crap was when I saw the poor representation of the bar chart, very laughable.

But Atiku is favourite to win this election, that they got right but not with that margin though.

garfield1:


Oshiomhole has secured Edo already

You are confusing yourself yet again!
In one comment you claim that you have conceded Edo to LP and now you are saying Oshiomole has secured Edo state for who?
Even when he was governor,he was unable to win for APC in the presidential election and now that he isn't even in government, you still think he can secure Edo for tinubu?
Dey play
25 February nor far again!

bentenny:

Don't mind Garfield...They will just stay somewhere and receive fake info from some potbelly 50 year old with the title honorable that will tell them that apc is 'on ground' using the last guber election not knowing its a ploy to collect plenty bullion van money from oga balablu!
Thats how Umahi deceived Tinubu that he will give apc 25%
Ebonyi pipu said hold my beer
In this election most electorates will vote based on what they have seen and not based on party structure or the direction of the governor!

You are right.

That Ebonyi in particular…. I’ve been trying to educate Garfield1 that Umahi will have no influence in where they will vote in the presidential elections but he kept arguing with me. I’m happy Obi’s campaign in the state gave him a tip of the iceberg.

Meanwhile are you from or in Bayelsa?

Penguin2:


You are right.

That Ebonyi in particular…. I’ve been trying to educate Garfield1 that Umahi will have no influence in where they will vote in the presidential elections but he kept arguing with me. I’m happy Obi’s campaign in the state gave him a tip of the iceberg.

Meanwhile are you from or in Bayelsa?

Used to reside there but transferred to another state but I have friends who give updates politically in the state!
If not for the emergence of LP,PDP would have collected bloc votes from bayelsa!

bentenny:

Used to reside there but transferred to another state but I have friends who give updates politically in the state!
If not for the emergence of LP,PDP would have collected bloc votes from bayelsa!

We need eye witness account's

Penguin2:


You are right.

That Ebonyi in particular…. I’ve been trying to educate Garfield1 that Umahi will have no influence in where they will vote in the presidential elections but he kept arguing with me. I’m happy Obi’s campaign in the state gave him a tip of the iceberg.

Meanwhile are you from or in Bayelsa?

Umuahi is working for Obi. His elder brother is a strong financier of LP in Ebonyi

Digitron:


Umuahi is working for Obi. His elder brother is a strong financier of LP in Ebonyi

What will umahi achieve in Lp

garfield1:



My problem with you is that you see how objective I am yet you attack me.akpabio is the most popular politician in aks and with how udom performed averagely and thr person that replaced akpabio performed abysmally,they regret voting him out.akpabio as minister of Nig delta really favoured aks.he is likely going to be the next SP... He singlehandedly filled the stadium for buhari something ayade struggled to do in crs.ask yourself,why did apc get him to defect in 2019? Only oba can match his popularity.Lp cannot win aks,tinubu might beat obi in aks.lp is stronger in crs than aks.

Lp is absolutely nonexistent in bayelsa.those people are strange.they believe in party structure...tinubu might even win bayelsa and maybe crs.

You are applying emotions to your analysis. Akwa Ibom will return Akpabio to the senate but Tinubu will not win Akwa Ibom.

Atiku has a better prospects than Tinubu in south South.

I don't know any state in the south South where Tinubu can get 25% except if Wike is able to perform magic with his 200k SAs

garfield1:


We need eye witness account's

I noticed some of ur previous postulations and discovered some of ur parameters are based on the performance of governor,the history of the last elections and mobilization in some certain LGAs!
However,such postulations will come to nothing in this election...
lol...oga forget bayelsa!

garfield1:


What will umahi achieve in Lp

Umuahi is a fundamentally pro-igbo presidency person.

His ideology is that if the south east cannot have it, let it remain in the north.

So, anything to make Tinubu not win is a plus.

Digitron:


You are applying emotions to your analysis. Akwa Ibom will return Akpabio to the senate but Tinubu will not win Akwa Ibom.

Atiku has a better prospects than Tinubu in south South.

I don't know any state in the south South where Tinubu can get 25% except if Wike is able to perform magic with his 200k SAs

That is the point.akpabio being on the ballot attracts votes for tinubu.no one said tinubu will win aks but we are saying he will get over 25% because of akpabio.
According to latest polls,tinubu hss better prospects in se/ss than atiku.tinubu will get 25% in edo,bayelsa,rivers,delta and might win crs

Digitron:


Umuahi is a fundamentally pro-igbo presidency person.

His ideology is that if the south east cannot have it, let it remain in the north.

So, anything to make Tinubu not win is a plus.

True but tinubu losing is not good for nwifuru ...by default,half of those voting umahi will vote tinubu

bentenny:

I noticed some of ur previous postulations and discovered some of ur parameters are based on the performance of governor,the history of the last elections and mobilization in some certain LGAs!
However,such postulations will come to nothing in this election...
lol...oga forget bayelsa!

Not true.my parameters are not based on govs performance.my performance are primarily based on the mood of the voters,structure,resources.whether you like it or not,history is important.even you have a history.saying it doesbt matter is like saying obi will win zamfara

garfield1:


That is the point.akpabio being on the ballot attracts votes for tinubu.no one said tinubu will win aks but we are saying he will get over 25% because of akpabio.
According to latest polls,tinubu hss better prospects in se/ss than atiku.tinubu will get 25% in edo,bayelsa,rivers,delta and might win crs

Was Akpabio not on the ballot in 2019, what was the effect?

Buhari only won in two out of 31 LGA

Mind you, Buhari was a seating president and the election was better two northerners, so people were making rational decision unlike now where there is a emotional blackmail from the south east to the south South to reciprocate their 100% support for Jonathan in 2015 and 2019

garfield1:


True but tinubu losing is not good for nwifuru ...by default,half of those voting umahi will vote tinubu

That's what makes it very interesting. The Labor party guber candidate is not a serious threat to Nwafuru, so he can afford to gamble.

The biggest threat to Nwafuru are Odili of PDP and his former SSG, Prof Odoh who is flying the APGA ticket

Digitron:


Was Akpabio not on the ballot in 2019, what was the effect?

Buhari only won in two out of 31 LGA

Mind you, Buhari was a seating president and the election was better two northerners, so people were making rational decision unlike now where there is a emotional blackmail from the south east to the south South to reciprocate their 100% support for Jonathan in 2015 and 2019

As a sitting president, buhari wasn't given any chance in aks.akpabio singlehandedly gave buhari 30% in aks and sacrificed his ambition.dont forget that in 2015,buhari had 5%.the pdp in akwa ibom was very united.but now,we have Lp which is mainly ex pdp..
A lot of ss people are not emotional.just as they refused to buy into bisfra,they are not buying into obi

Digitron:


That's what makes it very interesting. The Labor party guber candidate is not a serious threat to Nwafuru, so he can afford to gamble.

The biggest threat to Nwafuru are Odili of PDP and his former SSG, Prof Odoh who is flying the APGA ticket

There are rumours that umahi sponsored odii.anyway,him being from the same zone as umahi has killed his chance plus sen ogba group are not with him..odoh seems to be a threat though he isn't getting suooirt from ishielu and ikwo.
Nkwegu of labour is strong.he gave umahi a strong fight in 2015.obi will win ebonyi but umahi has enough to get 25%

garfield1:


As a sitting president, buhari wasn't given any chance in aks.akpabio singlehandedly gave buhari 30% in aks and sacrificed his ambition.dont forget that in 2015,buhari had 5%.the pdp in akwa ibom was very united.but now,we have Lp which is mainly ex pdp..
A lot of ss people are not emotional.just as they refused to buy into bisfra,they are not buying into obi

Well, it is left to be seen whether they will leave their in-law for a southwesterner Lol

There is a planned campaign to be led by Obi's wife along the Aks crs corridor....

Let's watch out

Digitron:


Well, it is left to be seen whether they will leave their in-law for a southwesterner Lol

There is a planned campaign to be led by Obi's wife along the Aks crs corridor....

Let's watch out

What is her political value? It is like saying tinubu will win delta via remi.only Aisha buhari get mouth in her state.aks don't really value outsiders.