garfield1:


There are rumours that umahi sponsored odii.anyway,him being from the same zone as umahi has killed his chance plus sen ogba group are not with him..odoh seems to be a threat though he isn't getting suooirt from ishielu and ikwo.
Nkwegu of labour is strong.he gave umahi a strong fight in 2015.obi will win ebonyi but umahi has enough to get 25%

Odii is an Atiku boy and has the support of traditional PDP "big boys" including Sam Egwu and former SFG Ayim Pius Ayim.

Although, I agree that the zoning sentiments are against him, Nwafuru is not popular and he is seen as Umahi third term. The implication is that many people are ready to sacrifice zoning if that it what it takes to stop Umahi.

As for Nkwegu, I can't downplay his political warchest but he is the least of the trio

garfield1:


What is her political value? It is like saying tinubu will win delta via remi.only Aisha buhari get mouth in her state.aks don't really value outsiders.

It remains to be seen....

The fundamental problem with marketing Tinubu outside of the south west is his constant gaffes.

His managers are doing terrible jobs.

Unfortunately for him, social media has also added to his woos

Digitron:


Odii is an Atiku boy and has the support of traditional PDP "big boys" including Sam Egwu and former SFG Ayim Pius Ayim.

Although, I agree that the zoning sentiments are against him, Nwafuru is not popular and he is seen as Umahi third term. The implication is that many people are ready to sacrifice zoning if that it what it takes to stop Umahi.

As for Nkwegu, I can't downplay his political warchest but he is the least of the trio

The izzis across party lines are going with nwifuru.them and ezzas have never produced a gov.ezzas are with odoh.umahi will bring his ohaozara,ogah will bring ikwo so odii will be left with afikpo and his onicha lga...
Anyim and egwu are losing relevance.egwu is about to be swept out of Senate by izzis,anyim is more or less retired.the ogba/ogbee faction is very strong

garfield1:


The izzis across party lines are going with nwifuru.them and ezzas have never produced a gov.ezzas are with odoh.umahi will bring his ohaozara,ogah will bring ikwo so odii will be left with afikpo and his onicha lga...
Anyim and egwu are losing relevance.egwu is about to be swept out of Senate by izzis,anyim is more or less retired.the ogba/ogbee faction is very strong

The concept of one person bringing his whole clan or constituency is gone especially in the south.

People are tilting towards competence and so it is no longer easy for a sitting governor to bring a nobody and expect everyone to support him.

Nwafuru is a mini Tinubu, he has avoided all pubic debates and town halls.

Umahi too has a very so many human right abuse cases tied around him and this has negatively affected his perception in the state.

So, it is not easy for him to false down Nwafuru on Ebonyians

Digitron:


It remains to be seen....

The fundamental problem with marketing Tinubu outside of the south west is his constant gaffes.

His managers are doing terrible jobs.

Unfortunately for him, social media has also added to his woos

People that are ready to vote him have made up their mind.the real battle is in the rural areas where apc has absolute dominance while lp is deceiving itself in urban areas

Digitron:


The concept of one person bringing his whole clan or constituency is gone especially in the south.

People are tilting towards competence and so it is no longer easy for a sitting governor to bring a nobody and expect everyone to support him.

Nwafuru is a mini Tinubu, he has avoided all pubic debates and town halls.

Umahi too has a very so many human right abuse cases tied around him and this has negatively affected his perception in the state.

So, it is not easy for him to false down Nwafuru on Ebonyians

Umahi is a beast,a brutal man who always gets his way.as pdp chair,he suppressed the gov.as a deputy gov,he emerged against elechi candidate.he is the wike of se.again,he has performed very well.going against him is suicidal.the izzis I meet all want to be gov.enough of minority clans ruling while majority watch by

garfield1:


Umahi is a beast,a brutal man who always gets his way.as pdp chair,he suppressed the gov.as a deputy gov,he emerged against elechi candidate.he is the wike of se.again,he has performed very well.going against him is suicidal.the izzis I meet all want to be gov.enough of minority clans ruling while majority watch by

He achieved that because he had the backing of Author Eze, who was his financer.

Author Eze seem to be backing Odii this time around

Digitron:


He achieved that because he had the backing of Author Eze, who was his financer.

Author Eze seem to be backing Odii this time around

Arthur eze that cannot install gov in anambra? Funny.this thing is beyond money,it has to do with intelligence,diplomacy,tact.

HitRun:


Go check the thing wey we de talk about before you jump inside conversation wey you no know Wetin we de talk about

I know what is being discussed and still wondering what 2019 has to do with 2023. Who won the East in 2019?

bentenny:

Used to reside there but transferred to another state but I have friends who give updates politically in the state!
If not for the emergence of LP,PDP would have collected bloc votes from bayelsa!

Thank you.

garfield1:


Not true.my parameters are not based on govs performance.my performance are primarily based on the mood of the voters,structure,resources.whether you like it or not,history is important.even you have a history.saying it doesbt matter is like saying obi will win zamfara

Was history put into consideration when Buhari won in states that were mostly PDP states?
Was history put into consideration when most bayelsans decided to vote a relatively unknown APC in a PDP dominated state?
History is trashed when the party in question is not offering good governance!
APC worst undoing is using history to judge how electorates that have been impoverished by them will vote!
True all states are not the same but whoever believed that APC under buhari would get more than 25% in bayelsa state?
We all know Obi may likely not win in Zamfara state but he will definitely get some 'good' votes required from there!
The election in 2023 will be an eyeopener and a shocker for most political predictors!
E nor far again!

bentenny:

Was history put into consideration when Buhari won in states that were mostly PDP states?
Was history put into consideration when most bayelsans decided to vote a relatively unknown APC in a PDP dominated state?
History is trashed when the party in question is not offering good governance!
APC worst undoing is using history to judge how electorates that have been impoverished by them will vote!
True all states are not the same but whoever believed that APC under buhari would get more than 25% in bayelsa state?
We all know Obi may likely not win in Zamfara state but he will definitely get some 'good' votes required from there!
The election in 2023 will be an eyeopener and a shocker for most political predictors!
E nor far again!

You see,you corroborated me.before Lyon won bayelsa,timipre came close to winning in 2015.from there,apc gradually built itself and buhari got 40%.you can see the history there,apc started making progress gradually.they did not just come out of the blues to capture bayelsa.they causes defections from pdp to apc,weakened pdo.it took years.obi cannot from nowhere win bayelsa.there must be a process.

Finally,obi will get absolutely nothing in zamfara except 400 votes is good for him

07kjb:


You are hallucinating

atiku can't even win bayelsa..pls bayelsa we are obident....pls male atiku go win his state..pls

garfield1:


You see,you corroborated me.before Lyon won bayelsa,timipre came close to winning in 2015.from there,apc gradually built itself and buhari got 40%.you can see the history there,apc started making progress gradually.they did not just come out of the blues to capture bayelsa.they causes defections from pdp to apc,weakened pdo.it took years.obi cannot from nowhere win bayelsa.there must be a process.

Finally,obi will get absolutely nothing in zamfara except 400 votes is good for him

APC did not build on any progress from the 2015 election and Sylva never came close to winning because most of the results were rigged to his favour esp Southern Ijaw!
That's why the riggers foolishly inflated votes in southern ijaw LGA which was above the registered votes in that LGA!
When a rerun was held,he lost scandalously to dickson!

The reason for the near overwhelming victory for APC in the guber election was based on the popularity of David Lyon and the maladministration of Dickson with the fear that he was installing a puppet Diri...It had nothing to do with the popularity of APC and come 25 February,you guys will be lucky to even see 5% and that will be in brass and nembe!

I hope your beer parlour informant is also letting you know that there is still an infighting going on between Sylva and heineken lokpobiri which is threatening to tear up the party as evidence in the court sacking APC Excos in Bayelsa and nullifying their congresses!

As for Obi getting nothing but 400 votes in Zamfara state,i cant help but laugh....You think this election is the previous elections where votes were awarded to parties based on the popularity of the governor or ruling party at the centre?
Its even a good thing you are even allocating 400,the more we get close to the election you will start changing mouth as you always do!

Like i said before,elections no far....Your likes will get the shock of your lives!