ola_pluto: You must think people in South west are drunken fishermen.

Beaf: I'll keep it simple and sweet.

2014
Aregbesola loses his bid for a second term to the PDP due to his gross underperformance. This leads to a domino effect in which Tinubu's defacto number two engaes in a furious legal battle, while the many opponents and enemies he has garnered with his quixotisms and megalomania sieze the opportunity to unleash volleys of poisoned arrows.
The fallout from that lose could prove epic.

2015
Creaking at the seams from the loss of Osun, ACN loses its regional potency and its alliance plans with CPC fray and unravel.
The emotional chasms caused by the choosing of candidates in Ogun and Oyo take as much a toll as the non-performance of their governors (airconditioned footbridges and all). It is well known that the PDP only lost both these states due to internal warfare; even with several PDP men squaring it out using proxy political platforms, the results were still menacingly close. Think what the new found unity of the SW PDP would acheive.
Summary - Ogun and Oyo fall to the PDP with Ekiti not far behind.

Final result:
Osun - PDP
Oyo - PDP
Ogun - PDP
Ekiti - PDP?

There is one proviso in all these permutations. If Edo state falls to the PDP, then give up, 2015 will see ACN go the way of AD.

Beaf: I wonder why some cannot simply engage their brains.
All hail NURTW!

Guy's, the matter is simple. I've made my permutations intelligently, try to emulate me instead of coming across like people who would proudly fight in public when faced with matters of a cerebral nature.
Thank you.

sheyguy: Beaf, why not APGA or Labour in the SW come 2015? I wonder what makes you think a Misfiring PDP will impress the people from behind the scene in 2015. Except the PDP you re talking of is not the same People's Democratic Party we all know already. If anything, the people of states like Delta are eagerly waiting for the likes of Ogboru to mount the seat of power in anticipation of better governance . . .

ekt_bear: Ekiti is not likely to go pdp, unless the current governor does terribly

bayooooooo:

The chance of PDP ruling any state in South West again is zero. Pure and simple.

Beaf:

Guy, this is merely a statement of faith.
Facts on the ground have both Oyo and Ogun as very firmy PDP territory which they only lost due to infighting; then there is the pathetic governance of Aregbesola that has the people longing for Oyinlola and all but guarantees the return of Osun too to PDP.

bayooooooo:

Where are the facts? Is the fighting over now? Crises are normal in any political setting but the ability to manage such crises does not exist within SW PDP. Contrary to PDP propaganda, Aregbesola is not performing badly in Osun state. If Oyinlola was that popular, why did he fail to win senatorial election even within his small senatorial district?

ola_pluto: You must think people in South west are drunken fishermen.

Beaf:

So far, he has been quite dull and underwhelming.

bayooooooo:

Where are the facts? Is the fighting over now? Crises are normal in any political setting but the ability to manage such crises does not exist within SW PDP. Contrary to PDP propaganda, Aregbesola is not performing badly in Osun state. If Oyinlola was that popular, why did he fail to win senatorial election even within his small senatorial district?

ola_pluto: You must think people in South west are drunken fishermen.