₦airaland Forum

I know somr will come here to drop the tired clichè that the Nigeria does not start and end in the North but the North is important because the North made Tinubu president. He was defeated across virtually the entire South by Obi and the same will likely be the case in 2027.

ottersberger:
Let me ask, what is your hunch regarding those 5.6 million votes?. How many of those votes do you think are still accessible to Tinubu?.

It goes without saying. When we said Elrufai made Tinubu president, we do not mean that he rigged votes for Tinubu or even delivered his state, far from it (although Tinubu got his second highest margin in the North from Kaduna). We simply mean that he was able to prick the conscience of most Northerners to keep the "amana" (trust) and return the favour as Tinubu had supported Buhari in 2015. A lot of Northerners followed Elrufai's messaging and supported Tinubu despite the body language of the Buhari cabal and most Northern elders who were wary of Tinubu's penchant for state capture and insatiable appetite. With the betrayal and subsequent incarceration of Elrufai, in addition to his blatant tribalism and poor performance, I need not tell you what the current mood in the North is. By this time in 2023, many Northerners were composing songs eulogising Tinubu despite the naira crunch. Tinubu has simply proved the Buhari cabal right and proven himself to be untrustworthy. Trust and the ability to to keep one's word is a huge deal breaker amongst Northerners.

FarahAideed:
As long as Peter Obi is in the race Tinubu will win , it's simple and short ..Peter Obi is Tinubus path to victory

Wrong. Peter Obi needs to run independently for Tinubu to be defeated. With Obi in the race, Tinubu will have a herculean task winning the South, just like in 2023. With Obi as Vice, there would have been voter apathy at best or even some protest votes in favour of Tinubu in the South. The big question is, are the 5.6m Northern votes that made up 65% of Tinubu's entire tally still intact? Your guess is as good as mine.

Seunmama:
I don't know what is wrong with this Atiku. I could remember during 2023 presidential election, he said 'if anyone needs to be President it should be an igbo man, but the same Atiku blocked igbo people from securing PDP presidential ticket.

Thr Southeast and the Northeast where Atiku is from are teo regions that has never produced a president. Atiku requested for the ticket to be zoned specifically to the Southeast if zoning was to be considered but Wike refused via his Samuel-ortom led committee because he had already frustrated strong candidates like Umahi and later Obi out of the party. Despite all these, Wike still wanted to deputise Atiku after Atiku won the ticket. He also pledged during the primaries to support the winner. He only went rogue because Atiku declined to pick him as Vice.

The Obi Akpor Ghengis Khan and his horde of pretenders can now formally defect to APC. They have lost this one.

fergie001:
Uche Agomuo had misapplied and misapprehended the law. That FHC Ibadan judgement has been the Strand INEC has been holding on to recognise the Wike-led faction, now it's GONE.

Wike knows this ab initio. This is why he was using force to prevent the ratification of Jonathan by the authentic Turaki faction.

Cc: Seunmsg, food don done o.

jflower06:
Is Tinubu the Chief Security Officer of Oyo State. Sir, why do we have 3 tiers of government?

Chief Security Officer indeed. Can even a policeman take instructions from a governor? You left a whole Commander-in-Chief of the Armed Forces and are fixated with a CSO who only has Amotekun to command. A C-in-C that suspends CSOs only when his political interests are threatened.

Dshocker:
A place where religion controls the daily activities of most of the people there.

Spoken like someone that has never left his region. Ask your kinfolks, 90% of Corps members that come to serve in the North prefer not to leave after their service year. Even the ones who leave have a better reorientation on how easy-going and pleasant life can be in the North.

Assuming but not conceding, he can still do more by speaking the truth to power under Tinubu.

Counterigbolies:
no need to argue with u lots

Reality will wake u up again in 2027

Reality is already staring you in the face but you can keep burying your head in the sand. As things stand, Tinubu will even struggle in his own Southwestern region. Even the middlebelt is still dicey and all supposed grounds gained may be lost if he goes ahead with a muslim-muslim ticket.

Counterigbolies:
even when buhari and many apc big wigs were against him n he was just an ordinary citizen he won, he will win conveniently now.

These were the obstacle tinubu faced as an ordinary citizen and won
Buhari
Amaechi
Osinbajo
Aregbesola and major party betrayal
Emefiele
Cashless policy
Fuel subsidy
Peter obi n his people who believe it's their turn
Atiku
Social media noisemakers
Hand dey shake leg dey shake.


If tinubu can win with all these obstacles even as an ordinary citizen, tell me why he won't win now as an incumbent n all those factors aren't there again

The oppositions aren't even serious now n tinubu is incumbent

Oga, Tinubu lost in the South woefully to Obi. He won only 4 Yoruba states out of 17 Southern states. It was the likes of respected Northern figures like Elrufai who galvanised the Northern votes that made him win. He got over 65% of his votes from the North but proceeded to make his presidency a solely Lagos and Yoruba affair while having Elrufai incarcerated without bail in just over 3 years of his tenure. Where will his votes come from in 2027? It doesn't look like he can now defeat Obi in the South come 2027.

jflower06:
Sir, Fayose is very correct on this. What has GSM been doing with the security votes of Oyo state for the past 7 years? He claimed he had bought surveillance aircraft, where is the aircraft now? Orire LG allocation is close to 500m on monthly basis . Between june 2023 and 2026, the LG had received over 16b ( from google). Can GSM justify that figure with the current situation of that LG?

Did you ask what Kashim Shettima was doing with his own security votes in Borno during Goodluck Jonathan or even what other governors were doing with their votes during Buhari’s tenure? We all know what we are doing but do not exonerate your tribesman when you should be holding him to account. None of us is really truly safe. Tinubu won't fly Abuja to Oyo to intervene, he will rather fly over Oyo from his Lagos hone back to Abuja. That's how he treats his own people. Little wonder he only stopped at the airport in Plateau and couldn't visit the affected community in Yelwata when he went to Benue.

Meanwhile, in Akwa Ibom, the government is sacking aides for daring to speak out against Tinubu. The much touted support for Tinubu in the Southsouth is a mirage. None of the governors will be able to deliver their state to him, even if they manage to win their own re-election.

Cc: Seunmsg

Gotocourt:
Fubara FC vs Wike FC

Ameachi is involved

No wonder Wike now refers to Amaechi as "His Excellency Amaechi, my brother". Lessons!

This is where all the borrowed loans, subsidy savings and taxes are going to.

Just listen to the arrogance and the lack of self awareness. Nigeria has gone back to the very dark days of PDP but even worse.

Breaking News: First Lady Of Nigeria Remi Tinubu distributes Luxury Cars to APC women leaders ahead of Presidents Tinubu’s upcoming Re-election to advance his Renewed Hope Agenda, this is Happening all while Nigerians are Protesting against Kidnapping & Insecurity in the Country pic.twitter.com/AGvFG5tdik

— Gossip Mill Nigeria (@GossipMillNaija) June 3, 2026

IamPatriotic:
Now tell me, would Obi have gotten the ticket in ADC, ahead of Atiku?

If he couldn't, then it simply means Atiku is more popular. That's not the point. The point is, why ask others to "sacrifice" and forfeit their own ambitions when you couldn't do the same and kept saying "I must be on the ballot in 2027?". His loyalists in the NDC are not even asking for too much. Most of them were rigged out but Obi is willing to overlook simply because he has secured a ticket for himself. I have a feeling that Dickson will eventually sell out Obi at the last minute.

DmonSlayer10:
And you quickly rushed to believe that Rev El-Buba made such a comment?

A man with such a examplary Character of the virtues he continually preaches; faithfulness,perseverance,loyalty and an unwavering spirit.

When he comes out tomorrow to debunk such comments,remember to feel a little ashamed oo.

Wake up and smell the coffee. Tinubu has infiltrated into the Christian bloc that was Obi's base in 2023. Due to fear of backlash, some of them are going through corners by pledging support for unviable candidates in public. Just like Babachir Lawal, who is claiming he will support Sowore but is actually a Tinubu mole. It's a strategy to make Obi bleed votes.

Chris2023:
I was there life. Raymond Obue won that election.. the man called Morgan is so fickle … that he wants to twist the whole thing… let him do the needful… unless he wants the wrath of God to visit him…. Chinedu Obue no be small name

Obi only negotiates for himself and no one else. Here he is, asking members to "sacrifice" but he refused to do the same in the ADC for the sake of the country. The hypocrisy!

Peter Obi has appealed for sacrifice from aspirants who were unable to secure tickets in the NDC primaries. He assured them that although they may have lost this time, they will have another opportunity to win in the future.

He said, “Let us not be preoccupied with today. It is… pic.twitter.com/DIMRtVlxuX

— Dejii™ (@_Dejii) June 3, 2026

They were more respected in the ADC and were given so many concessions, but they began to think they were the prize. Obi himself might just get sabotaged by Dickson at the very last minute. It's not a coincidence that previously paranoid government hirelings like Keyamo and even Reno have stopped commenting about Obi. This was not the case when he was in the ADC. It was widely reported that the NDC will be Wike’s special purpose vehicle to field candidates in Rivers if he lost out in PDP and APC insists on Fubara. That was even before the court order that brought the party into existence.

Penguin2:
I would have loved for Wike to lose out but the APC primaries remain valid because it was the National body of the party that organized the primary.

But Wike’s lackeys will still lose.

So how comes the APC failed to field candidates in 2 electoral cycles in Rivers? The APC national leadership was unaffected in both instances. Tinubu and Wike connived with Magnus Abe just to checkmate Amaechi. Magnus Abe subsequently got rewarded with juicy positions after Tinubu won. Tinubu was the originator of anti-party in the APC.

Obidients mock Atiku because Okowa left to join the APC but Okowa has never lashed out like this in public against Atiku. Moral lesson: Men are driven by different motives and you cannot force a grown man to continue to pledge loyalty to you. Sometimes, it's not about you, it's about them.

Anytime Festus Keyamo panics, he rushes to dabble into the affairs of other political parties. He did same when Obi joined the coalition.

Seyi Makinde is to Tinubu what Tinubu was to Obasanjo. It's just funny seeing some of Tinubu's lackeys attempting to blackmail Makinde and Aregbesola when Tinubu himself didn't support Obasanjo all through his 8 years tenure. They would have had a case if Tinubu was performing. He isn't.

Someone whose wall of quicksand is crumbling in his own backyard in the SW is banking on an imaginary wall in the North. What did the North gain for making him president when he was resoundingly defeated by Obi in the South? How has he treated the major Northerners that rallied support for him? Where is Elrufai? Where is Ganduje? Where is Kabir Marafa? Where is Kashim Imam? Where is Al-Makura? Where is Danjuma Goje and other Northern senators? Where soon will be Kashim Shettima and even Ribadu?

Coldspice:
Ordinary phone tapping that they arrested Elrufai for, you have been crying.

Let the FG dismantle sponsors of terrorism and you start lamenting that he is targeting Northerners.

Elrufai is being detained by the ICPC. Probing phone tapping is not one of their core mandates. Even before granting that interview, Tinubu made attempts to arrest him at the airport upon his return to Nigeria. Tinubu is simply scared of him and wants to keep him away until after the 2027 elections. When it's time to stifle strong opposition figures or declare a state of emergency in an opposition-governed state, he suddenly remembers he's Commander-in-Chief but when it's time to tackle rising insecurity, he shifts the blame to the governors.

How many times will he continue to fire them? Maybe it's not the employees, maybe it's the employer. No need. Nigerians will fire him come 2027.

"I will put fire in their states". Who made this statement and to whom? Clearly, we all can see the fire or can't we?

alanto:
National distress yes. But why is the FG still giving states governors security votes if they don't control any security apparatus? I mean las las, they'll still call on the president when insecurity arise. So why pay them extra to secure their states if they won't secure their states?

Secure their states with what? Amotekun and dane guns? Or are they allowed to purchase AK47 and arm militias to protect their states? Nothing you lot wouldn't say to exonerate Tinubu but he wasn't that gracious to Goodluck Jonathan during the boko haram and Chibok crisis in Borno. He never blamed Shettima as you lot now try to blame Makinde. Infact, he chose Shettima as VP 8 years later.

seunmsg:
Oya now. When INEC hands over nomination forms to the National Chairman, you can go and collect that of Rivers state and hand them over to Emeka Beke and Amaechi. You can even join them in nominating our own APC candidates for all elective positions in the states and when they are done filing the forms, Amaechi and Emeka can sign as National Chairman and Secretary respectively for them.

"I will put fire in their states" - Who made this statement and to whom? Are those states beginning to see fire or not?

ratcock:
They also stated that following the death of former Senator Ifeanyi Ubah, the presidency explicitly directed the Senate leadership to hand the chairmanship of the lucrative Senate Committee on Petroleum Downstream over to him.

This is the part that worries me most. Has the legislature degenerated to this extent that the executive decides who heads its committee.

This is how Tinubu has managed to buy out virtually everyone in the country. Borrowing and taxing the citizens just to splurge money on politicians to buy their support, silence and patronage. We can't continue like this! Vocal incorruptible Northerners like Elrufai that can speak truth to power have been incarcerated without bail for otherwise bailable offences, thinking he can suppress the North and indeed, the rest of the country. Time is a gentleman.

No matter how Tinubu's minions try to spin it, Makinde falling out with Tinubu is a net negative for Tinubu's campaign. This is considering the fact that Makinde resorted supported Tinubu in 2023. Every potential vote for Makinde is a vote that would have gone to Tinubu. Baba Osoba knows what he's talking about.

I thought Seunmsg and the rest of his lackeys told us Kawu Samaila and Abdulmumuni Jibrin will deliver Kano to Tinubu? Why is Kawu Samaila now claiming they will be unable to campaign due to Tinubu's abysmal performance? Lessons!