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Appleyard's Posts

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Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 11:16am On Sep 13
SonOfWords:
Na empty legs that one carry so😭?

Wait, so na actually sandal-wearing men with AKs just overwhelm saudi arabia like this?
While the Houthis surprised me with their sheer speed, I have never doubted the quashokor fighting spirit of the Saudis.

You need to see the footage of them during the first year of the yemen civil war. Na so their soldiers dey run comot from their APCs and tanks come dey run for ground barefooted dey go hide for mountains. They are that useless.

Na only food and fvck dem sabi. Very lazy in everything else.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 10:50am On Sep 13
SonOfWords:
Omoh, e be like Iran arm these houthis wetin no good this time o😯!

The spectacular speed and precision with which these guys have just overwhelmed these saudi-backed forces is alarming.

Wetin dey sup?!
The thing self shock me.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 10:44am On Sep 13
LordAdam16:
still early but it seems the houthis have f999king done it

they've hit the bypass pipeline in saudi arabia

to all the 🤡🤡 thinking there's an alternative to the strait of hormuz
this will be a demonstration that persia runs west asia

-Lord
Did you recall we discussed this possibility a month or so back?


We predicted accurately that the UAE and Saudi will not be allowed by Iran to find an escape route after the chaos they have caused by helping the US to launch hostilities at Iran from their soil. Now, we are witnessing this in real time.

Iran is officially a major power whether we like it or not.


China will be laughing its head off in beinjin. The Pacific chokehold the US planned for it in its diabolic policy of containment has backfired and suddenly become a noose around America's own economic and geopolitical neck.

Beinjin and Moscow are providing the coordinates, Iran and Houthis are doing the cleanups. Axis winning on all fronts. Saudi will regret this for a very long time.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 10:16am On Sep 13
seunny4lif:
Imagine if your military starts collapsing and your only ally is Saudi Arabia.

The areas controlled by Sana'a today on the coast are larger than the combined territories of Bahrain, Qatar, Kuwait, and the UAE.
Omo.

The speed at which the Houthis took the area is mindboggling. They've been planning it for years. The house of Saud could have used their money influence to settle the geopolitical shifts and rifts in the region, but they elated to play the villain and go on the offensive when they're not a good fighting force. Now, they have a much more bigger problem to solve on the eastern front. If they were banking on the turks and Pak to come to their rescue, they've miscalculated badly.

If the Houthis succeed in gaining a vantage physical foothold of the bab-el strait, the possibility they could be tempted to coordinate and repeat a Hormuz style op with Iran becomes more likely than ever, and this could further disrupt the global economy and potentially force other state actors like the Europeans to enter the fray. Then, you have the global/regional war the Zionist Epstein clan has been clamouring for.

Israel remains the big winner in all of this chaos while it's now crystal clear that the trump presidency is dead, with the current diesel and oil prices, it's game over for pedolf. November will start putting nails on the coffin.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 3:50pm On Sep 10
WriteerNg:
⚡Lebanese Army accuses Israel of escalating strikes across Lebanon and says at least 12 people, including women and children, were killed in Kafr Rumman.

The army says it has begun implementing the framework agreement, while Israel has committed roughly 7,700 violations since it was signed.

It says continued Israeli strikes are preventing its full deployment and undermining its credibility inside Lebanon.
What credibility do you have? None.

You're a disgrace in the committee of sovereign nations.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 11:16pm On Sep 09
WriteerNg:
⚡Iran launched a second wave of missile attacks on U.S. Navy ships within three days, but none of the American vessels were hit.

The strikes are raising concern in Washington because Iran appears to be using more advanced missiles capable of targeting moving ships.

U.S. officials are also examining whether China or Russia may be helping Iran locate American warships.
I wanted to say this.... grin

I knew they'd start blaming Russia or China once their ships starts going down the waters.

You go blockade and bomb person for e backyard and you expect nothing to happen to you. Clowns.

You're in for a long surprising ride my yankee fiends. cool
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 11:06pm On Sep 09
WriteerNg:
⚡The IRGC Navy claims it monitored, ambushed, and captured a highly advanced U.S. unmanned underwater vehicle (UUV) in the Strait of Hormuz.

The UUV has been identified as the Dive-LD, an autonomous underwater vehicle (AUV) developed by Anduril. The Dive-LD has a maximum endurance of up to 10 days and is rated to operate at depths of up to 6,000 meters.

Its modular design allows it to carry different sensors and payloads for missions including intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance (ISR), mine warfare, seafloor mapping, seabed operations, and precision payload placement. It has more than 1 m³ of payload capacity and can be launched from a pier or various vessels.
Another free gift that would be perfectly reengineered and put to more effective use by Iran, and at a cheaper rate compared to the ripoff price the US government paid for it.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 11:01pm On Sep 09
LordAdam16:
the houthis have cut off the taiz-mokha road
thus establishing operational encirclement of taiz

i wonder how they'll play this
taiz is a city of a million people

-Lord
The tactics hear is cause disarray by putting the population under intense pressure and confusion to force the Saudis to divert from other fronts.

The Houthis have the missiles and drones to enforce such maximum pressure. One thing that will count for them is that, while the saudis have better aerial and ground armaments, they are no natural fighters, unlike the Houthis.

You need to see Saudi forces running away barefooted abandoning their tanks and AMCs like bunch of scared women during the thick of the Yemen's civil war years back. Those guys are just rich, fat for nothing money wasters.

If the Houthis or Iran have as much as half of the wealth the saudis has, Israel for no dey cough for where dem day.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 10:38pm On Sep 09
WriteerNg:
⚡Yemen's Houthi Military Spokesperson: Group will announce broad military operation deep into Saudi territory.
Now, this is what we call a real I-don't-take-any-nonsense state. The beating when Saudi go collect for their hand go be like oppression.

Axis eyes don red like blood.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 10:34pm On Sep 09
WriteerNg:
⚡Iran's Security Council Secretary Rezaei:

In recent days,Washington has received a clear warning from Iran’s new missiles.

Economic warfare will be met by a maritime exclusion zone across the Persian Gulf to the blockade perimeter.

The operational posture toward U.S. warships and bases has been fundamentally recalibrated.
Time to send some of those US sitting ducks to the bottom of the ocean.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 2:56pm On Sep 07
sainttwist1:
Is Iran still winning or 🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣🤣 huh


But the big question is....why is Iran not attacking Israel?
Why is Israel not attacking Iran alongside the US? Isn't that strange?
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 11:29pm On Sep 05
SonOfWords:
Are you guys sure this nigga doesn't do crack?

There's been no shooting for days, yet Iran is baptizing Jordan as we speak😭?
Haven't you heard of alternate reality,neither? That's where pedolf resides.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 7:10pm On Sep 04
LordAdam16:
no honor among thieves

bessent, the us treasury secretary, sold us holdings of euros to buy the japanese yen

and the eurotards are pissed off
because he didn't even have the decency to give them a heads-up

-Lord
A criminal do not give a heads-up.

And what is good for Africa is good for the eurotards. They've been pillaging Africa for over a century.

Pedolf and his economy team's lunacy must continue. The prediction by the Simpsons that he ended up ruining the US economy is now looking more realistic than ever.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 3:26pm On Sep 02
LordAdam16:
the 🤡🤡 are jittery

iran launched a cyberattack against one of the desalination plants in the dot on a map
today, some osint channels are reporting the genocidal ghouls have reflexively shut down four of their five major desalination plants
unclear how many for precaution or due to an attack

the us largest naval base is also being put on a heightened alert

they should calm down
na meeting axis dey hold
match never start
the fireworks in ukraine is a trial run

-Lord
Axis may just decide to go bunkers onnthe offensive.

The fire trail across Ukraine shows that Putin has finally decided to punch with both hands.

We will see what comes off the meeting.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 12:09am On Aug 31
olutund:
there was an attempted coup in Niger yesterday....


I read the coup erforts were coordinated from Nigeria and Benin Republic.

algeria also sent 3 Su-30s and a refueling tanker after the fact...

would these lead to some kinetic action soon?


LordAdam, appleyard, writer,
abeg una fit shed small light on this our matter,
make i understand the future of our sahel....
If you ask me, I would say that, an escalation of conflict in the Sahel remains a possibility, especially if Nigeria's President Bola Tinubu secures a second term in office.

Tinubu is a CIA asset and together with France, they got dirt on him as such he can only do their biddings.

A reelection would solidify Nigeria’s current pro-Western, anti-coup foreign policy, which directly clashes with the military juntas ruling Niger, Mali, and Burkina Faso.

Tinubu’s administration has consistently leaned toward using economic and political pressure through ECOWAS to counter regional military regimes. If he remains in power, Niger and its allies in the AES will likely feel increasingly surrounded and squeezed.

Accusations of Nigeria and Benin harboring or backing coup plotters will intensify, so long French intelligence assets are on ground in Nigeria to coordinate things with the Americans. This will drive a deeper wedge between the coastal democracies and the landlocked military regimes. This deep distrust makes a direct military clash or cross-border proxy warfare highly likely, as any internal instability in Niger will automatically be blamed on its southern neighbors.

The recent deployment of fighter jets by Algeria further complicates the situation and adds a dangerous layer of regional military posturing.

Algeria views the Sahel as its immediate backyard and is highly sensitive to any foreign intervention or instability along its borders. By scrambling advanced aircraft immediately after the reported coup attempt, Algiers sent a clear signal that it will not tolerate a chaotic collapse of the current Nigerien state, nor will it allow Western-backed neighbors like Nigeria or Benin to forcefully alter the status quo.

If Tinubu wins reelection and continues a hardline approach against the junta, Niger may rely even more heavily on Algeria and Russian mercenary groups for survival. With both sides heavily armed and deeply paranoid, a small cross-border skirmish, a misunderstood drone strike, or another internal mutiny could easily spiral into a larger, multi-nation kinetic conflict that tears the Sahel apart.

In the end, it is the sahel states that suffers while France and the US sit back and watch on as the chaos unfolds. It has always been their pattern: divide and conquer then plunder the remnant.

Pray that Tinubu should not win the upcoming election.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 7:47pm On Aug 29
WriteerNg:
⚡Russian troops are four kilometers away from the eastern outskirts of Slavyansk.

— Gerasimov
The next territory in line.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 7:32pm On Aug 29
LordAdam16:
the big 3 will meet in bishkek next week during the sco summit

xi, putin, and pezeshkian (i really wish raisi was still president)

-Lord
The IRGC should have investigated the death of Raisi thoroughly. His death paved the way for the emergence of the reformists.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m):
Hamxas:
I wonder how this is going to be possible owing to the fact that both Russian and Iranian businesses are not on the swift banking system.

Sanctioning individual business is what the secretary of finance was blabing about bankrupting a country.
I think the trump administration has the dumbest representation in history
To even think that Ratcliffs flew all the way to Russia just to issue this threat is mindboggling.

The threat is a veiled attempt to deter Russia from assisting Iran militarily. Russia and Chinese say Intel support has been the gamechanger against the US in its war with Iran. So they want Russia to drop its support, which, like you said, is a very dumb move because the US is actually doing the same to Russia with Ukraine.

The sanctions move is overwhelming dumb. To stick, and close any room for maneuver, China must comply, which is never gonna happen. The Chinese has made that clear already, meaning, the sanctions ultimate aim is defeated on arrival.

Then factor in the reality that Iran is a brics member, and the brics financial architecture use alternative crossborder transactions and financial messaging and settlements that are strictly outside the control of western jurisdictions, thus effectively weakening the US dollar and it's ability to enforce sanctions against iran.

So, Iran has a lot of room to maneuver. It can always exert more pressure on the strait or close or completely as part of its reciprocal measure. Trump's 🤡 team are just chasing shadows.

From Operation Epstein Fury to Operation Economic Outcast, the pedolf cabinet is looking more like children who could not cross over an opposite playground then resorted to throwing stones from afar as a way of showing their frustration.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 9:31am On Aug 26
Aqq
WriterrNg:
⚡Russian officials have briefed Iran that the CIA Director Ratcliffe's Moscow visit delivered a message with the US asking Moscow to press Iran into reopening the Strait of Hormuz, warning that Russian entities would otherwise face designations under Operation Economic Outcast.

Russia declined, and told Iran the threatened measures were of limited consequence, according to two senior Iranian sources with knowledge of the briefing.

The message also warned that Russian banks, traders and shipping entities tied to Iranian oil, gold and aviation will be sanctioned under the operation unless Moscow moves to close those channels.
When I said the US had no backup plan regarding the Iranian issue, i know what I'm saying.

How can Iran open a strait they're not in control of?

And you want to bully a Russian state that is now far more resilient and superior to you in geopolitics.

Na to remove clothes come enter street remain for pedolf and his Epstein 🤡 team of bureaucrats.

You started a war with the axis while antagonizing most of your allies at the same time. Yet, you expect everyone and everything to cue behind you like slaves. The stuff they're sniffing in that White House must be of alien grade.

Axis don ready for you, no be war you want? E don come, oya fight am. Issuing threats here and there no be am.

World most powerful Nation my foot.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 12:15am On Aug 26
WriterrNg:


No more way for poor NVBs..... all hope is lost for Ob1d10t, Gbadebo19 and the other NVB clowns.

Na Ukraine dem go settle for las las.
That amount is outrageous.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 11:55pm On Aug 25
soqmeov:
BREAKING: 🇺🇸 The U.S. has just 41 days of crude oil inventory left

The lowest level in half a century

@Megatron_ron
grin grin grin
False.

They're in control of the strait.

Pedolf said so, and you must believe it.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 11:36pm On Aug 24
LordAdam16:
behind the bravado is fatal concern particularly among the few semi-normal ghouls in their ranks

you see, they never imagined they'd fight iran alone with the us
they thought iran would be like iraq
where literally everyone aided the war effort
iran, the gulf states, much of nato

they thought they had sufficiently demonized iran that there'll be a repeat
where europe and the gulf will take the baton after they kickstart things
that everyone stood by while they and the us got plastered has shaken them to their core

turkey will be the same
and they have even better relations with regional powers and europe
na for public dem dey buga about cyprus as ally
dem no say all their fellow chihuahuas na minus
and that when they go off against turkey
na only us go lend help, them fit no even fight directly, just pull a ukraine on them
the rest of the region will actively aid turkey as opposed to being neutral
and europe too will remain neutral

so again you have the semi-normal ones wanting to limit this to being a political stunt for the elections
the nutcases do not care
those ones will start a war with china to bring on the apocalypse
and it is now something of a tug of war
between the delulu ghouls and the "we cannot handle another strategic defeat" ghouls




as a side note
the mecca pact caught them off guard
not that they didn't know contacts and negotiations was happening
but because they just figured it will lead to nowhere or be an unserious worthless declaration
things have progressed too seriously and too quickly for their liking

before the pact, you could see the gears turning within the security apparatus and the entire society
that turkey was next on the agenda
not that they'd go to war with turkey next year
but that they'd start setting the groundwork in the us, brussels, and the region to paint turkey as an enemy state like they did to iraq and iran
and over time there will be economic warfare against turkey then military action just as happened with iraq and iran
first economic warfare then kinetic action
the mecca pact has given them pause because it showed that the regional powers will not go along with that script
and then you combine that with europe almost certainly staying neutral
and the project strategically becomes a trap for them

-Lord
Naturally, the mecca pact will expand. It's just a matter of time.

But, picture Syria joining the pact...a serious strategic checkmate on the ghouls southwestern and northeastern flanks by Turkey.

Tehran may just tout the addition of Lebanon as a precondition for it joining the alliance....hez gets the last laugh on the southern fronts.

Netanyahoo and his war criminal teams are in for a very long surprise. The Iran war they foolishly initiated and lost has created a potentially worst scenario for them in the not too distant future.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 10:16pm On Aug 24
WriteerNg:
⚡North Korea has announced plans to sign a defense pact with Iran.

North Korea has stated its intention to sign a defense agreement with Iran. If finalized, this move could lead to a deepening of military cooperation between Pyongyang and Tehran.

This potential agreement is being discussed against the backdrop of ongoing tensions between Iran, the United States, and Israel, and could add a new dimension to security cooperation and military relations between North Korea and Iran.

The finalization of such an agreement could have consequences beyond the bilateral relationship, and could impact the regional security balance, as well as the reaction from Washington and Tel Aviv.
LordAdam16, are you seeing this?

Pyongyang already has a template with the Russian pact, and we know how that has dared well for both sides to the chagrin of their rivals.

With Tehran's proving missile and drone capabilities and Kim's Nuclear know-how, Netanyahoo is in deed being proved right....the middle east will never be the same again.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 9:43pm On Aug 24
LordAdam16:
@appleyard, you called this

it is official
pakistan has sent iran an invitation to join the mecca alliance

-Lord
You and I and other sane minds on this thread knew from day one that the Mecca agreement would be strategically meaningless without Iran in it, and the founding members knows this as well.

Pak was always going to be the one to bring Iran in. I expect Tehran to drag its feet and act indifferent for the time being. But, the message has been passed to those it was intended for.

As for those clowns in the NVB group, they'd keep realizing that when analyzing events in geopolitics, emotions don't count; facts and logic dictate the outcome.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 3:24pm On Aug 24
When we said geopolitics isn't for kids, the disobedience class of nvbs here think we just ignore them for nothing.

You read a political statement from the head of the Iranian Central Bank that they've not gotten a dime from oil revenue this year, and you pounce on those words to conclude that Iran hasn't sold and is not selling a single drop of oil since the war began.

Haven't you heard of strategic deception and deliberate misrepresentation of the facts, kid? It's a common policy enactment tool used by many governments to force home policies that are otherwise unpopular during difficult times.

Policy enactment: by publicly announcing that the central bank has not received any money from oil, the government can achieve it's strategic goal of cutting domestic subsidies without incurring massive public protest, something that would have been impossible during peacetime.

Strategic deception: the statement confirms what we already know about Iran's shadow fleet and clandestine shadow banking system.

Since the U.S. has frozen Iran's central bank foreign reserves, you don't expect money to come in. So, the Iranian military and the IRGC do not route their shadow fleet oil revenues through official, transparent Central Bank channels. Instead, they use a highly sophisticated network of shadow banks, front companies, and regional oligarchs. This money , in most cases, completely bypasses the Central Bank's formal ledgers and accounting logs. So, while the CB chief is technically reporting "zero official revenue," the military elite are operating a completely parallel account/economy.

Independent monitoring firms like Kpler and Vortexa has further confirmed that the Iranian shadow fleet is still moving.

China alone is getting about 530,000 barrels per day; factor in the volume that other Southeast Asian countries are getting from the clandestine fleets, and you would understand why western financial bodies reported that Iran has made $7.5 billion in oil sales this year alone.

That explain how Iran has kept the war going. You can't fight war without money. They pay their troops, they maintain infrastructures, build new ones, produce new armaments and continue to buy the ones they cannot manufacture from China and Russia.

Next time, learn to think outside the box before you jump to illogical conclusion.

Bye.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 5:45pm On Aug 22
It's becoming clear that the trump administration has no backup plan whatsoever on the Iranian issue. The recent flailings, threats, and confused statements is self evidence.

In spite of the claim that they're currently getting oil through the closed strait, oil prices is still spiking. Secretary Bessent, the failed bond trader, asking why is oil prices still rising? just shows how confused the administration is right now.

It's almost comical seeing Bessent asking China to join the recent sanctions on Iran, further demonstrating their lack of options.

Iran only need to maintain momentum and be ready to escalate further. They only need to hold the line and never retreat. The US is reaching its limits as seen by the recent sanctions introduction.

Same crippling sanctions that Obama/Biden introduced and maintained only to sue for peace later because Persia refused to break. It must not break now, and anyone that wants it to compromise its current stance should be treated as a traitor.

One of such person is pez the president.

On Friday, Pez called for Iran to "return to negotiations because Iran is in a position of strength and dignity." Imagine the irony.

In a conflict, should someone that's in a position of strength be the one suing for peace and negotiation? This man and his fellow reformists are traitors.

I'm glad that he is not fully in control over the issue of war and peace; the National Security Council is, which comprises of the presidency and heads of the military, then subject to final approval by Kharmeni. Otherwise, this imbecilic reformist would have sold out Iran.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 4:53pm On Aug 22
Namaster:
MMM Economy on steroids

The PDFile is now THREATENING Bondholders:

"Sell your bonds and collect BOMBS."

grin
The man is a raving lunatic.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 4:13pm On Aug 22
emmaodet:
But i read that diesel and petrol are running dry in tehran filling stations and the cbn says they have not generated any money from oil because no drop of oil is going out.

I believe the blockade is really biting Iran hard.
How long can they endure is what we don't know.
You are right. But the claim that no drop of oil has left Iran since the start of this war is a lie. If that has been the case, the US wouldn't been crying and raving mad over the Iranian control and closure of the strait.

Iran has used a lot of workarounds such as ship-to-ship transfers, rebranding crude, shadow fleets etc, to move oil beyond the reach and notice of US sanctions and blockade. These tactics have helped Iran to rake in a $7.5 billion revenue in a four month stretch this year. And since the blockade started, they have also used the Caspian sea route to move crude oil to asian markets, effectively cutting off the US blockade. However, the Caspian sea route transport capacity is small and cannot replace the strait or Kharg Island.

The US blockade has nothing to do with fuel shortages in Iran. Iran produces around 130-150 millions of barrels of gasoline and diesel per day from ten refineries or so. However, these has not been able to satisfy domestic demands, which has always been about 4-6 million barrels higher than the capacity generated. As a result, there has always been a rationing system in Iran even before this war started. So, whatsoever fuel shortages they're experiencing now is atypical and not induced by the US blockade.

What is obvious though is this: the US blockade at the farther end of the strait has had some real effect on Iran.

Several terminals on Kharg Island are sitting empty because tankers are too afraid to risk approaching and some insurers won't cover them. So, Iran's crude exports have reduced to a level that is below government oil revenue expectations.

But, there is a catch.

The US blockade is a two-edged sword.

You can't easily blockade one country's shipping through the Strait of Hormuz without rattling everyone else's, since roughly a fifth of the world's oil trade passes through that same chokepoint. That's exactly what has happened.

The US blockade it's working against Iran specifically by limiting the volume it can otherwise have shipped in peace time, but the mechanism, restricting a shared chokepoint, inevitably taxes everyone using those same waters and pushes global prices higher for consumers everywhere.

The Omani side of the strait the US hoped to secure for other ships to go through has not worked they way it intended. Iran keep sinking and targeting those ships whenever it doesn't suit them, and Oman won't cooperate because the prospect of toll collection is too juicy to let go. That's why pedolf is raving mad and threatening the Omani officials. The 🤡 is now learning why analysts has been saying that the strait is Iran's nuclear bomb option.

And it get worse...

Some of those ships that have managed to cross the strait on Iran's permission and at the "perceived" US guidance from the US blockaded side were actually carrying Iranian oil. cool.

In other words, the US through the stealth corridor it thought it created to move about 20-40 ships per day with US ships and airborne guidance has unknowingly been helping Iran to sell some of its oil. cool

Anytime Iran has no ships going through that purported corridor, they strike the ones that were going through, letting the US known "we see everything and has been partakers and guarantors of what you termed a master plan." grin

This is the actual reason Trump is going mad at the moment because, Iran can afford to play this game for a very long time, notwithstanding it affects them as well just as much as it's affecting the enemy and everyone else.

We should give Iran, especially the IRGC it's flowers. They've played this game well. cool
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 12:45pm On Aug 22
WriteerNg:
⚡Geran drones attacked the international road crossing “Tabaki-Mirne” in the Odessa region, on the border with Moldova.

Yesterday, a strike was carried out on the largest border crossing, “Reni”.
Russia has stepped up attacks on critical border areas of Ukraine linking other NATO countries.

There has been repeated hammering of Ukraine's Odessa region and its Danube river ports near the Moldova border, and drones have been spilling over into Moldova and Romania, NATO territory, multiple times in the past few days. The strategy is becoming obvious.


First, Ukraine's Danube ports became critical alternative trade and grain export routes following blockade of the Black Sea ports, so hitting them chokes Ukraine's economy and its lifeline to the world.

Second, and more provocatively, Ukraine's foreign minister himself said it this week, saying Russia is deliberately testing NATO's resolve, sending drones into Romanian and Moldovan airspace to see how the alliance reacts, probing for hesitation or division before any bigger move.

But, I think it's less an accident of stray drones and more a calculated pressure push back and warning from Moscow to those NATO states who were allowing Ukraine to use their airspace to strike Russia with drones. With these ongoing border areas strikes, Russia is signalling it willingness to keep choking Ukraine's economy and hit back at NATO whenever their hands overextended beyond their boundaries. .
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 12:28pm On Aug 22
WriteerNg:
⚡Netanyahu's Office:

Erdogan is an antisemitic dictator who has massacred Kurds, harbors Hamas terrorists, occupies half of Cyprus, and jails record numbers of journalists and politicians who oppose him.

He now seeks to extend his aggression against Israel into Syria. Israel will not tolerate it.

Erdogan’s pathetic attempt to intimidate the leaders and soldiers of Israel, the only true democracy in the Middle East, will go nowhere.
Pot calling kettle black.
Foreign Affairs › Re: Russia-Ukraine War: World News, Weapons & Battlefield Discussions - Live by Appleyard(m): 12:03pm On Aug 22
WriteerNg:


Yes and when actual targets get hit, it'll no longer be news.
Russia is laying the ground for a possible direct shooting match with NATO. The war they've been looking for will come to them on a platter.

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