Appleyard's Posts
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WriteerNg:😷 cough cough. First, it was two Nordic countries that suddenly reached out to Putin and spent hours on a call Now, another EU country is opening embassy in Pyongyang. What happened to "our values, our democracy" only or nothing? Axis level of attraction and respect is becoming inevitable. ![]() |
SonOfWords:Please, hurry up. |
LordAdam16:Omo. Russia making its top military sats available to the Houthis is big news. Imagine if they start getting anti-ship missiles from Russia too. The red sea will become a kill zone for so many enemies. |
WriterrNg:It was I, and it was exactly what I suspected. |
WriterrNg:LordAdam16, we talk am. Those strikes were too precise for just drones and humint. Axis on steroid. |
LordAdam16:Left for me, I'd take this one with a grain of salt. A single report, even from an outlet people trust, is still just one set of anonymous sources, and the claim is that the help is limited to fighting the PLC inside Yemen, which is a very narrow and convenient detail. It also doesn't say if this is still going on, so we could be looking at something that happened months ago and got leaked now for a reason. Leaks like this are rarely random, and the timing makes me wonder who benefits from putting it out there. The UAE might have wanted to look useful to the Houthis, or someone else might want the UAE to look like it's playing both sides so the Saudis stay suspicious of them. The "enemy of my enemy" angle is neat, but it could also be oversimplification. The UAE might just be hedging, keeping a few channels open so it isn't caught off guard whoever ends up on top at the end of the day. Afterall, a lot is ongoing in the region with alliance formations and deals taking place here and there. And the Houthi official saying the UAE is "neutral" while denying any partnership sounds suspicious, but it could also be exactly what it sounds like, a group that doesn't want to admit it got help, or doesn't want to owe anybody anything. The US supposedly confronting the UAE also deserves some doubt, since we only have the report's word that it happened and we don't know what was actually said. Then there's the Giants Brigades question, which is a good one, but it's a guess about motives, and the UAE could just as easily have lost its grip on those fighters the moment Riyadh started footing the bill. The region is a very messy place in so much that almost any story can be made to fit, so I'd hold off on calling this a clear pattern until more comes out. Nevertheless, for analysis sake, let's assume the report is accurate and the UAE really is helping the Houthis against the PLC. This could trigger some possible outcomes or scenarios. The most likely outcome is a bigger rift with Saudi Arabia. Like you rightly noted, the Saudis just let the Emiratis back into Yemen, so if they find out the help is ongoing, that door probably closes again, and the PLC bloc gets even more fractured. The Giants Brigades might start looking for new patrons, or the Saudis might tighten their grip on them to keep them from drifting. Now let's say the help was a one-time thing, a bargaining chip used to get back into Yemen. Then it's mostly old news, and the UAE keeps quiet, plays nice with Riyadh, and keeps the Houthi channel open just in case. That would fit the "hedging" idea, and nothing much changes on the ground. If the UAE is actually trying to weaken the strongest fighters on every side, the Somaliland angle you mentioned could matter a lot. A messy, exhausted Yemen on the Bab al-Mandeb side makes it easier for them to build influence on the other coast. In that case the Giants Brigades could end up losing ground, and the UAE wouldn't care who wins as long as nobody ends up too strong. The US pressure could go a few ways too. If the UAE backs off, this fades. If it doesn't, Washington might lean on it harder, though with a possible Iran flare-up coming, the US probably doesn't want a fight with a Gulf partner right now. The more likely result is a quiet warning and a lot of finger-pointing behind closed doors. Then there's the Iran piece on the chessboard. If Tehran is brokering a Saudi-Houthi deal while the UAE is also talking to the Houthis, Iran gets more leverage with everyone, and the Mecca pact idea gets harder to sell. But if the war with Iran restarts, all these side deals could collapse fast, and the UAE and Saudis would have to pick a lane quickly. These possible scenarios and outcomes notwithstanding, there's always the chance the story is overblown, and nothing big comes from it other than a lot of noise and more mistrust in the cursed Gulf. |
So Israeli chief of staff, Zamir refused a direct order from nuttyyahoo to attack Iran but refused and leaked the info to Channel 12. The mad man is desperate to stay in power by all means. And now that he appears to be losing the elections, a sector of the corrupt Israeli police are now attempting rigging for him. This man will die if he loses the election. |
WriteerNg:The European clowns that said they will never speak to Russia are now holding joint calls with vlad the geo chess master. When you're big, you're big. |
[quote author=WriteerNg post=141017166] . Which divine assistance? Is this not same netanyahu that openly mocked Jesus Christ and the whole of Christianity when he said Jesus Christ has no advantage over Genghis Khan? I predict: netanyahu will die in the course of this war. |
WriteerNg:The floor mopping the Houthis have done to Saudi arabia need to be studied in school. |
WriteerNg:Same regime you could not topple in a combined 52 days of war. After a week, they will start looking for ceasefire. Clowns. Iran must not lose focus. Once round 3 starts, make sure there is no Dimona nuclear plant standing. Then cut all the undersea internet cables and make sure no single government building and military facility in Israel is left standing. Activate hez, the Iraqi resistance, together with the Houthis to go full blown madness on all fronts. Take out all th desalination plants, and like they did to you, target all the civilian infrastructure like their schools, markets, malls, even mortuaries and cementries... Go stark naked on all fronts. Take things further south by placing a bounty on the heads of all the fvcking Israeli top officials: kill one and get a million dollars. None of them will dare live their country after that. Sometimes, it takes extreme madness to cure another madness. |
WriterrNg:Pak and Turkey have realized that, no amount of grandstanding and solidarity show with Riyadh can change the calculus with Tehran having demonstrated it's military might. They also know that any combined confrontation against Iran and the Houthis will only benefit one foe--Israel. Besides, the duo cannot match the logistical support Iran and by extension the Houthis are getting from the axis. They have done their math, and the best way out is to sit down and talk with Iran. Like I have always stated, the Mecca alliance will feel like an empty house without Iran. As for tehran, they should use this opportunity to iron home their stance: Riyadh must stop the US and and it's allies from using its territory to stage attacks against iran. And if you want us in the alliance to guarantee ultimate peace and security among Muslims, then get the yankees to leave your territory. Period. And I want to use this opportunity to reiterate my stance over and over again.... Those of you who think Iran doesn't have ICBMs will be awestruck very soon, when that time comes. Logical plausibility suggest that Iran already have nukes/ICBMs. Time shall tell. |
LordAdam16:E pain dem. ![]() |
WriterrNg:If Iran continues to be reactive, they'd embolden the US and Israel to use tactical nukes on them. They .must start acting preemptively. Strike any perceived buildup and damned the consequences thereafter. You don't have to Announce your plans. Just go and cut those damn undersea cables. Bleed the hell out of the enemy. That is how you serve deterrence. |
WriterrNg:There is a reason it is called Realpolitik--the politics of reality, not emotions . It is a practical approach to politics and diplomacy that focuses on real conditions, power, and national interest instead of ideals, ethics, or emotionally driven reactions.. Trump is just one man whose perceived patriotic, America-first dictum is driven and controlled by the Establishment/Israeli lobby. Putin, on the other hand, is a patriotic nationalist guided by the core national interest of the greater Russia. Both men are doing what they deem is best for their countries, howbeit under different approaches and conflicting strategies. One is a master of geopolitics, the other is purely irrational and emotionally driven. But, there is one thing these two have in common---the business realism. You may hate Putin for many credible reasons, especially for how he chose to prosecute the war in Ukraine, but the man is the type that will never mix politics with the economy. Where there is a point of convergence, a junction of compromise, Putin won't hesitate to make a deal so long it benefits Russia as a whole. I see nothing wrong with this deal from the side of Russia. After all, it won't define the outcome of the midterms and instead of giving trump the so-called cheap political wins many critics have mentioned, it rathers makes it worse for him because the Democrats now have something new they can use to attack Trump and the GOPs. Moreover, this deal is beyond just diesel. There are other concessions not being disclosed yet that altogether favors Russia as well. The reality is that, if France, Belgium, Netherlands and a lot more other EU nations that sanctioned Russia and are actively sponsoring Ukraine against Russia still buying Russian oil produces, what the heck is a diesel deal with trump? Pedolf is cooked already, and no amount of deal will save him from the disaster he has gotten himself into. He dug his political grave the moment he started war with Iran. |
seunny4lif:His fate is sealed the moment Trump struck that Diesel deal with Russia and started talking about his legitimacy. Soon they will take out starlink completely and blind him aerially. The Europeans have seen the handwriting on the wall and are scrambling to shore him up. But without the US, there is very little NATO can do for Ukraine against Russia. |
WriteerNg:You should have known this before you went and stirred the hornets nest. Now, you must fulfill the mission: make the Houthis great again. ![]() |
[quote author=WriteerNg post=140876500] ... Netanyahoo was so right.... The Middle East will never be the same again after these wars. ![]() Enjoy the show. |
WriteerNg:One disobedience clown and another lord of the circus here said that Ukraine is making billions from manufacturing and selling of arms..... ![]() I just dey laugh. ![]() |
LordAdam16:Omo. The flogging no be hear o. So tey Riyadh come dey beg for help of external intervention. Very embarrassing. |
[quote author=WriteerNg post=140977183]
I'd agree with Hilary on this one. JD Vance is neither here nor there. |
Obedience40:A clown is a clown, even if you put a suit and agbada on him. Isn't it the same Al Jazeera that run the Ghost of Kiev propaganda story back in the early days of the war. Feel free to run along in your make belief world. |
LordAdam16:Well, I understand your point. But, it is also a fact that Russia by these overtures is operating from a position of immense strength and resilience. This is geopolitics where there is always and will always be a point of convergence --give and take. While critics can simply say Russia is obliging pedolf to get quick foreign policy wins before the upcoming midterm elections, the reality is that Washington must go through Moscow to achieve any lasting stability on the world stage. The Russia they once sought to isolate is the Russia they're running to for help today. That is the reality, and by playing along, the Russians are nailing hone that point. I like the way Russia has successfully used its massive energy resources and global influence to ensure that international agreements can only happen on its own terms. For example, the recent diesel deal with the US reinstates Russia's indispensable role in the global energy market while ensuring it continues to receive vital funding needed to run the economy and the war in Ukraine . At the same time, this deal has forced the U.S. to push back against Ukrainian attacks on Russian oil facilities, giving Moscow a clear strategic advantage. These points of convergence emanate from Russia's innate ability to separate emotions from state focused vital interests. Like Putin stated some years back, never mix politics with the economy. This mindset is what the European leadership don't have. So, they were rightly spooked by this recent convergence in so much that they're now considering holding a meeting of their own with Russia. So for me, Trump can get any cheap foreign policy wins via Russia before the midterms, so long it benefits Russia on the other hand. As for Trump exiting the war, the outcome of the midterms and the Israeli elections will determine what happens next. |
LordAdam16:Man. The attacks are too deep and too precise for target correction drones and spies alone. Definitely axis high resolution sats are involved. |
LordAdam16:It's glaring now that lavrov and munir both discussed removing enriched uranium from Iran as part of a US proposed concession from Iran. If that is to happen, Trump would have used it as a victory talking point and upon that premise exit the war prior to November. But the iranians are not having it. |
Lordly13:Lordly,... You should pass as Disney's Lord of pure fantasy and heavily twisted disinformation. You will also do well as a good social media hypeman and promote because, this post makes for good social media consumption. ![]() Unfortunately, the actual geopolitical and economic facts on the ground tell a completely different, much darker story for your lovely Ukraine. Allow me to burst your bubble with the real facts, not the ones you wish to see and digest from Ukrainian propaganda sites. First, the claim that Ukraine is capturing more territory than Russia is mathematically false. Independent war trackers like the Institute for the Study of War (ISW), show that the war has largely devolved into a bloody standstill due to the Russian slow mo grinding method. While Russia's territorial advances are incredibly small this year for reasons that are obvious---gaining roughly 100 net square kilometers—Ukraine is absolutely not capturing vast swaths of land. That is only happening in your head. Ukraine is facing a severe, existential manpower crisis that makes offensive pushes nearly impossible. They are heavily on the defensive, structurally incapable of holding newly seized lands, and their main goal right now is simply survival, not conquest. Secondly, your claim that "Ukraine is a Weapon Powerhouse" today is not only twisted but shows you're deliberately trolling: You completely misunderstood (I suppose) a recent statistic. In September, Ukraine's Ministry of Defense announced that 91% of the newly approved equipment models (mostly small FPV drones and electronic warfare modifications) were domestically produced. This does not mean Ukraine makes 91% of its total heavy weapons. For main battle tanks, fighter jets, air defense missiles, and standard artillery shells, Ukraine is still 100% dependent on Western aid, with zelensky currently on a begging spree, and is far from "making billions selling weapons," On this point, you should be ashamed of yourself. ![]() Ukraine's domestic factories are suffering because the Ukrainian government is broke and cannot afford to buy its own factories' output. They are actively begging foreign allies for funding just to keep their existing domestic assembly lines from sitting idle, plus the fact that Russia keep pounding them on a daily basis. Thirdly, your claim that Russia has turned to purchasing diesel from other nations is a childish hallucination and disinformation flop: and this reveals how recklessly ignorant you are. Ask yourself: if Russia has not and can no longer produce diesel, which diesel then has the US recently contracted to buy from Russia? Which diesel, amongst other oil products, has been going to brazil, Singapore, Turkey, Belgium, Hungry, the Netherlands, France, and even Saudi Arabia? Is it your urine or blood? Get your head off Zelensky a*s. Russia remains one of the largest energy powerhouses on earth. The real story behind the headlines you should be ashamed to admit is that high energy prices forced Donald Trump to sign a surprise executive order waiving sanctions on Russian diesel to bring more of Moscow's fuel into the global market to lower fuel prices. Russia is the one exporting massive quantities of diesel to global markets; they are not buying it from anyone. The real gist is that, Ukraine is not operating from a position of absolute strength or market/frontline dominance. Zeletzu is continuously traveling the globe aggressively requesting long-range missiles, advanced air defense systems, and financial lifelines from Western partners. Na only folks like you believe they have magically become a self-sufficient military superpower that has crippled Russia's entire economy, simply ignoring the hard, tragic realities of the current war of attrition. And stop the misinformation. Thousands of Russian tanks did not litter the way to Kiev. You probably believed the ghost of Kiev story too. I will never wish death and destruction on Ukraine. But, when you chose to be the field in a match between great powers, be ready to suffer the consequences. It is only an idi*t that would expect Russia to negotiate its security away. The Black Sea has been used against it via Ukraine. Now, it has become a core national security interest to make sure such will never happen again in the future, and the only way to guarantee that is bringing the entire Novorossiya home. And it will happen. Russia is master of the geo game. |
WriteerNg:Who is providing the Houthis with satellite data for such precision strikes? |
obedience4:I usually don't involve in dignifying ignorance from your irks with a reply. But, for the sake of strollers by, let me gratify your warp and lobsided purview with a simple eye opener to burst your zombification bubble. Ukraine has a critical manpower shortage and lacks what it takes to muster a major counteroffensive, let alone succeed. The disparity in the asymmetry of force across the entire length of the 1000km Frontline is so glaring that during exchange of dead soldiers, the odds are always against Ukraine at more than 95%. So Operation vivaldi is a simulation that happens only in zelensky's cocaine laden head. Just like the Ghost of Kiev. In reality, Ukraine is shrinking and dying slowly. On paper, minor tactical shifts and village-level counter-pushes happen back and forth, but any narrative suggesting Ukraine is executing grand, sweeping territorial conquests ignores the harsh reality of their severe troop deficit. I hope this clears your eyes. Don't bother replying because I won't even read it. I don't have the time for back and forth display of ignorance. |
Lordly13:I am so glad that these Ukrainian attacks are happening in Russia. This will further necessitate the quest for russia to take the whole of Novorossiya to create the buffer zone they so much need for Moscow and it's adjoining border towns. Putin recently announced that Russia is systematically carving out a non-negotiable 660-kilometer-long security buffer zone inside Ukrainian territory. So, if anyone thinks this war is ending soon, they're making a big mistake. Russia needs zelensky to keep the fight going for the mission to be realized. It is when Kramatorsk and Slavyansk will fall to complete the takeover of the entire dombass region, and Russian forces will start pushing from Belarus that the maths will become clear in the eyes of zelensky. Ukraine will eventually become landlock. |
WriterrNg:The house of saud has bought a market a they cannot trade. Trouble dey sleep, yanga go wake am. Houthis don para. Egypt sending troops is more of an act of solidarity and a pretense that they're paying back for all the massive economic support and investments they got from Saudi arabia. Otherwise, their presence will change nothing on the battlefield --notwithstanding they're one of the largest and strongest military in MENA. Yemen has a very bad memory for them where they intervened and suffered terrible losses in the 1960s. So, I expect their role to be limited to helping the weakling Saudi army to defend against incoming Houthis drones and missile strikes. And that too is limited to how much they're willing to sacrifice and the length they're ready to go. The only certainty in all of these is that, like I said some weeks back, this Houthis escapades and recent successes, especially across the critical Red Sea shipping route vis-a-vis the chaos in the strait of Hormuz, will force some unwilling state actors to get involve for their own economic interests. We are already seeing that with a couple of European states, and now Egypt. In other words, the prospect of a massive regional war that could lead to a broader global confrontation is looking more likely by the day. Fingers crossed. |
[quote author=WriteerNg post=140943216]⚡Italy's Defense Minister Guido Crosetto on Russia: Most of the Russian budget goes toward investments in weapons or the military. They will reach 1.5 million military personnel. So if the war ended tomorrow, what would Putin do with 1.5 million soldiers? He himself would face internal problems if he stopped the war tomorrow morning. And this gives me the impression, since he continues to accelerate, that he would not want to stop in Ukraine. This is Europe's concern, especially the concern of the Eastern European countries closest to Russia. And that is why, as Europe and NATO, we are preparing. at its peak. |

