Welcome, Guest: Register On Nairaland / LOGIN! / Trending / Recent / New
Stats: 3,156,688 members, 7,831,129 topics. Date: Friday, 17 May 2024 at 02:09 PM

Bayoola's Posts

Nairaland Forum / Bayoola's Profile / Bayoola's Posts

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (of 6 pages)

Romance / Re: Guys can you deal with this kind of girl? ...should I Continue With her? by bayoola(m): 9:33am On Nov 30, 2021
Look for a way to get money from her with different stories anytime you observe she’s boxed up. Do yourself the honor of saving such funds for her. Buy her things from that same money when she’s in need.

1 Like

Politics / Re: Osinbajo: FG To Create 21million Jobs, Lift 35 Million Out Of Poverty By 2025 by bayoola(m): 9:14pm On Oct 25, 2021
E wa! Shey Awon people yi dey wine us ni!! Ewo ni werey gan?
Politics / Re: Experts Criticize FG Over ₦568.5 Billion Vote To Repair Loss-Making PH Refinery by bayoola(m): 5:49am On Mar 18, 2021
Please what is the cost of setting up a new refinery There is nothing Nigeria about this Nigeria anymore.

1 Like

Crime / Re: #EndSARS: 17 Police Stations Burnt In Lagos – Police Spokesperson by bayoola(m): 3:06pm On Oct 23, 2020
Olosan Police Station is intact please. Let’s stop peddling fake news...
Politics / Re: Obaseki: Oshiomhole Kneels Down To Beg Benin Council Of Chiefs by bayoola(m): 7:19pm On Jul 27, 2020
This thing called politics....
Family / Re: Married But I'm Not Connected With My Husband, Hence I'm Depressed by bayoola(m): 6:59am On Feb 23, 2020
Girlwhocares:


I have opened up to two counsellors to seek for their professional therapy but they ended up been biased and sentimental,hence their involvement was fruitless.

However,there's no harm in trying another therapist who will more professional in his/her dealings.

Thank you so much for the suggestions and i will surely look into it.

How can two therapist end up been biased on this issue? This shows your mind is made up but note today's date, you are responsible for your action and you will be rewarded.
Celebrities / Re: Davido Denies Taking Sophia Momodu On Vacation To Ghana by bayoola(m): 7:17pm On Jan 02, 2020
If he had discussed this with chioma before embarking on the journey There will be no need for davido’s post... Trying to come out clean after kasala burst.
Celebrities / Re: Banky W's Look On Set Of 'Sugar Rush' (Photos) by bayoola(m): 9:11pm On Oct 25, 2019
Kinni Gbogbo eleyi??

2 Likes 1 Share

Sports / Re: Madagascar Vs Nigeria: AFCON 2019 (2 - 0) Full Time by bayoola(m): 8:41pm On Jun 30, 2019
One of our problem in this country is we always want to be on top even when we have not done so wonderfully well in our preparattions. You win some and you lose some. The most important thing is we have qualified for the next round. Let’s apprecaite these guys, they have done well but not to our expectation. We can only offer our words of encouragement and allow them focus on the next game. Nigerians!!!

4 Likes

Foreign Affairs / Re: Ukraine Election: Comedian Zelensky 'wins Presidency By Landslide' by bayoola(m): 8:07pm On Apr 21, 2019
Please inform Alibaba, Baskethmouth, ugodye, Gordons, AY, e.t.c ko le work. This is Nigeria!!!
Religion / Re: The Holy Stairs Jesus Climbed Before Crucifixion Unveiled After 300 Years (Pics) by bayoola(m): 8:46am On Apr 14, 2019
observing....
Politics / Re: We’ll Challenge Almost All Governorship Poll Results At Tribunal –PDP by bayoola(m): 8:08am On Mar 16, 2019
Including that won by the pdp. Pdp just have a way of enriching lawyers the more...

1 Like

Celebrities / Re: Ayo Adesanya Covers Face Of BOM Magazine by bayoola(m): 8:54pm On Dec 01, 2018
boomssey:
as in

Abi... Imagine the comment from him... That's absurd.
Celebrities / Re: Ayo Adesanya Covers Face Of BOM Magazine by bayoola(m): 8:43pm On Dec 01, 2018
SIMPLYkush:
she is disgusting, I wonder why she is not yet arrested for being so ugly

But which kind people full this nairaland lately? Who's your father

34 Likes

Politics / Re: Atiku: I Will NOT Take Six Months Before Naming My Cabinet, If Elected by bayoola(m): 9:12pm On Oct 12, 2018
You all need to chill. Pls, try and visit topics on past election that got buhari elected. It's same music you all singing for Atiku right now. When are we going to start doing things right in this country. I still don't know what drives us in choosing the right leader in this country... Still trying to figure it out. Be it Atiku, buhari and the likes...
Jobs/Vacancies / Re: UBA 1st Level Interview For Jan 2013 by bayoola(m): 9:00pm On Jun 20, 2018
Walahi...

walearoy:


Bro

Still here?

Sports / Re: Argentina Vs Iceland: World Cup 2018 (1 - 1) - Full Time by bayoola(m): 4:05pm On Jun 16, 2018
ROTFL...dem send u. Their own better.
Greizman:
E no go better for Argentina and Iceland.. Especially Argentina
They just cut my ticket that has been winning since Tuesday.
Argentina will not pass the group stage in Jesus name. Amen
Useless messi
Family / Re: I Need Help For My 4-Year-Old Son by bayoola(m): 6:31am On Apr 14, 2018
Oga, Moderate beating go comot this act from him body with time. By the time you beat Pakurumo comot for him body, him go Jo Dada....
Travel / Re: USA Visit Visa Part 3 by bayoola(m): 4:41pm On Mar 14, 2018
seyewest:

Try the European countries or Dubai it's almost same amount you will spend to visit Tanzania

The handle differs bayoola and bayoolala. #copythat
Travel / Re: USA Visit Visa Part 3 by bayoola(m): 3:22pm On Mar 14, 2018
LadyGuinivere:
@bayoola
Sorry for all
However you were denied for ties as they said.
All the factors you mentioned do not contribute to ties.
Tanzania does not count as well

I don't get??
Sports / Re: Kanu Nwankwo & His Wife, Amara At The Opening Of Owerri Basketball Center by bayoola(m): 9:28pm On Aug 04, 2017
Nathan2016:


Oga go to YouTube....you will learn any skill you want to there

No wonder you dey support Jay Jay... grin. I can understand.
Sports / Re: Kanu Nwankwo & His Wife, Amara At The Opening Of Owerri Basketball Center by bayoola(m): 9:05pm On Aug 04, 2017
Nathan2016:


I no get work but am making not less than $2500 on fiverr.per month... . So i no get work.. My work is on netm. I can do this with you all year long..

Keep it up then, Mr Fiverr. Abeg, teach me how to fish na.
Sports / Re: Kanu Nwankwo & His Wife, Amara At The Opening Of Owerri Basketball Center by bayoola(m): 8:48pm On Aug 04, 2017
Nathan2016:


I asked you first... Nnamdi kanu arch enemy?

You no get work
Sports / Re: Kanu Nwankwo & His Wife, Amara At The Opening Of Owerri Basketball Center by bayoola(m): 8:31pm On Aug 03, 2017
Y
Nathan2016:



And what have you done for Nigeria? Abi yoi no b human being??...

And what have you done... Nnamdi Kanu Brother?
Sports / Re: Kanu Nwankwo & His Wife, Amara At The Opening Of Owerri Basketball Center by bayoola(m): 8:17pm On Aug 02, 2017
But, what is Jay Jay Okocha known for? What has he really done for Nigerians in general. undecided

1 Like

Celebrities / Re: Why Olamide Might Remain A Local Artiste For Long !! by bayoola(m): 6:13pm On Jun 23, 2016
Op and others bad mouthing Olamide style and hardwork.Please, what are you known for in your locality? At least he has done something which Nigerians appreciate him for.
Travel / Re: Illegal Immigrant: My Near Death And Terrible Experience In Malaysia by bayoola(m): 11:24pm On Jun 20, 2015
31004 views and many more to come... THIS IS SUPER STORY...

1 Like

Travel / Re: Illegal Immigrant: My Near Death And Terrible Experience In Malaysia by bayoola(m): 7:52pm On Jun 20, 2015
Oya Now.... next chapter plzzzzzzzz....
Investment / Re: Explanation To The Dwindling Oil Price & Naira Devaluation In Nigeria. by bayoola(m): 1:46pm On Dec 06, 2014
Official rate is =N=168...
Investment / Explanation To The Dwindling Oil Price & Naira Devaluation In Nigeria. by bayoola(m): 2:41pm On Dec 05, 2014
Explanation to Oil Price Fall, Naira Devaluation & Everything Else

So I logged onto Nigerian Twitter yesterday afternoon and found people abusing economists and financial analysts for speaking in jargons about the CBN’s actions. So for those who’re still confused about what’s going on with Nigeria’s economy and are trying to understand the implications, here’s a simplified version. No bricklayers were insulted in the writing of this post…at least, not explicitly.

So How Did This All Start?

First thing first, oil price fell. Why? Everyone’s increased their production of oil and no one plans on cutting back. In the US, shale oil’s getting cheaper, so there’s more oil out there…and we all know what happens when you have a lot more of a product — price falls. When price falls, consumers are happy and producers are unhappy. Consequently, nations that are consumers of oil have a lovely time, and oil producer countries …a not so lovely time.

So? What Does This Have to Do With the Naira?

Before we go on, a little info on currency and exchange markets. It’s important to note that our currency doesn’t exist in a vacuum. Essentially, a unit of our currency is exchanged for a unit of another currency. Hence the term, Foreign Exchange or Forex or FX, for short. When we buy products from outside Nigeria, we have to exchange our Naira for Dollars. Your Naira is useless outside of Nigeria. It’s why you convert your Naira to Dollars before you travel. You want to test it? Travel to Dubai with only Naira.

Back to the question you raised. Nigeria is fortunate(?) to be an oil producing nation…when oil prices are high. Presently, oil prices are not high and that’s bad for us. Nigeria’s economy is dependent on oil revenue: about 75% of Government revenue comes from our crude oil sales. So when oil prices fall, oil revenue falls too, and that’s bad for the economy.

In the currency market, exchange rates are often centered on the health of a country’s economy. When the economy of a country is strong, its currency is also strong in the foreign exchange market. When the economy appears to be weak, its currency loses value in the currency exchange rate. Nigeria’s dependent on oil, so when oil prices are weak, so our currency loses value in the foreign exchange market. This loss of value of Naira is called a ‘depreciation’ in currency value.

Here’s a simple example. If we began with a dollar exchange for a Naira, both are in a sense equal. However, once I have to give out 2 of my Naira for just 1 of your dollar then the value of Naira has fallen. In the past months, the exchange rate was $1 dollar to roughly N150. Thanks to depreciation and eventually devaluation (we’ll get to that later), it’s now $1 to N168.

Alright. I Get the Currency Part, But What Does Our External Reserves Have to Do with our Naira Value?


To explain this, we’ll have to look into what the External Reserves is and why it exists. Think of your External Reserves as a Savings account where you put some portion of your salary every month. That money gets saved for something later: paying your children’s university fees, buying a house, or importantly, in case things get bad in the future (perhaps you lose your job).

Likewise, countries keep these reserves, but mainly to safeguard the value of their domestic currency, boost their credit worthiness, protect against external shocks and provide a cushion for a rainy day when national revenue plummets. When Nigeria earns revenue from oil, it gets paid in dollars, so we simply stash a portion of the money in our reserves.

Moreover, the reserves of oil producing countries like Nigeria tend to benefit economically from higher oil prices. The higher the price of oil, the more money oil producing countries like Nigeria get to earn and save.

So if We Have an External Reserve, Why’re We Worried?

Well, having a bank account doesn’t mean you have money. We have a reserve, but our money no plenty. Nigeria has been dancing shoki with its reserves. When oil price was high, we apparently weren’t saving that much into our reserves. In fact, our reserves have been on a downward trend for years. We’ve been using our External Reserves to keep the value of Naira stable for months. When our currency appears to be falling, we take out some dollars from our external reserves and purchase Naira. Increased demand for Naira leads to increased value of Naira, and that’s how we stabilize our currency.

However, we sacrifice a portion of our External Reserves to pull this off. For instance, “while the central bank stepped in Nov. 7 to send the Naira to its biggest one-day gain in three years, intervening in the market has reduced foreign reserves to a four-month low of $37.8 billion.” In the last few months, even Russia with their large reserves had to devalue their currency by 23%.

So is This why Everyone Was Making Noise About CBN Devaluing the Naira?

Yes. Now there’s only so much spending from the reserves that the CBN can do, especially given that we’ve really sucked at growing our reserves when oil price was in the $100 range. It’s like when your office was paying you N100k, you were clubbing every weekend rather than saving some money. Then the minute your office decided to increase your income tax, that’s when your jobless relative comes to live with you too. So now, your salary is not only less, it’s burning faster cause there’s an extra mouth to feed.

The drop in oil price does not only send our currency downwards, it also makes it difficult for the CBN to defend our currency. It’s a double whammy. Essentially, if the CBN keeps trying to defend the rate at N150, it’ll burn through the reserves pretty fast and then we’ll be screwed. So relaxing this currency threshold to N168 means they can relax a bit. They don’t have to keep using as much of the reserves to prop up the Naira.

Okayyy! I Think I Understand Now, But How Does This Affect Me?

Like many other economic events, devalution creates winners and losers. Let’s start with the losers. If you generate revenue in Naira and incur costs in dollars, this is a bad time for you. Any activity that has you converting Naira for Dollars will hurt you way more than a few months ago.

Let’s have a moment of silence for our Igbo brother who will be ‘importing containers’ this christmas. Life just got harder for them. Given that importers have to pay for their imported goods in dollars…and dollars just got more expensive, the cost of their goods have increased overnight.

Same thing happens to those Behind parents who’ve got their kids in Nigerian schools that only accept their fees in dollars or Nigerians that have children schooling abroad. If you like flying, shopping or doing anything abroad, your cost of doing so has risen. On the contrary, if you earn in dollars and pay in Naira, life is looking pretty good at the moment.

Exporters also benefit. The fall in value of Naira means more exports because our exports have gotten cheaper. But ermm…what exactly are we exporting?

Phew. So It Doesn’t Affect Me Like That

Don’t be so sure. Nigeria’s an import-dependent nation, which means that most of what you purchase is produced abroad. I heard we import our toothpick too. If the prices of imports have risen, trust your Nigerian brothers and sisters to increase their prices too…leading to what’s popularly known as inflation.

I Was Hearing All These Oversabies Saying CRR, MPR. What Does This Mean?


CRR stands for Cash Reserve Ratio. It’s the proportion of what a bank can lend, to what it has in its coffers. So if the bank has N1000 and its ratio is 50%, can only use 50% of that money (N500) for business. Given that awon banks do not mess around with profit making, they will make sure that N500 brings back maximum profit. Banks are like the servant in Jesus’ parable that got 10 talents from his master, not the lazy one that got 1 talent. So to make max profit off the N500, they will raise interest rate if you want to borrow their money.

MPR stands for Monetary Policy Rate. The Central Bank uses the MPR to control base interest rate. The higher the rate, the less money in circulation. How? If interest rate is higher, will you borrow money from the bank knowing that you’ll pay much more later on? Nope. Instead, you’ll take your money from your pocket and give it to the bank, so they’ll make you more money.

Remember that thanks to devaluation, awon boys will be increasing prices left and right. General price increase in a given period leads to inflation. To tackle this, CBN increases CRR and MPR to reduce demand for money. This way, they prevent inflationary rise.

Okayy. I think I Understand That Part, So What’s This Austerity Thing Aunt Ngozi was Talking About?

That one is another long story. So, we’ve all been in situations when we’re broke. Ok, maybe just some of us. We adjust our lifestyle around the middle of the month when our salary hasn’t been paid. You go from eating jollof rice to drinking garri. When friends tell you to come out and party, you form ‘I’m very busy’.

Nigeria’s proposed austerity measures are similar…except on a grander scale. To cushion the effect of the falling crude oil prices, we have to cut back on spending and quite literally tighten our belts. The Government is cutting back on wastage (less government traveling and all that sort). The Government’s also raising taxes on luxury goods such as private jets, yachts and champagne. Somewhere in this luxury tax is the amusing observation that the revenue from taxes on the rich will still go back to the rich.

For the proletariat, the sweet subsidy you enjoy when you fuel your car will also get cut. Prepare to pay more for fuel. This is a good thing. Subsidy has to go anyways.

Wow. That was Long. So, Any Lesson to Learn from All This?

Yes. First lesson: Nigeria is the most reactive and least proactive nation you could’ve been born into. This isn’t the first time oil prices have fallen. Government should’ve gotten used to fluctuating oil price and prepared accordingly. And, since oil is the figurative oil in Nigeria’s economic engine, judicious and prudent management of oil revenue should’ve been practiced. However, we largely mismanaged our wealth during the time of booms and we’re now trying to behave ourselves in the time of slump. Let’s see how that goes.

The second lesson to be learnt is that we should’ve diversified our economic sources of revenue a long time ago to prevent price shock of primary products from affecting us drastically. Also, State Governments should’ve been pressured to increase their internally generated revenue much sooner. We can’t keep reacting to every economic shock that hits us.

Anyways, this is getting too long and no one probably got to the end, so no need for a witty or wise ending. But, if you reached this point, congrats! After spending all that time reading this, make sure you show off your new macroeconomic knowledge to your friends. And please, stop abusing econ-nerds. They have feelings too.

Culled from my Oga's at the top"

3 Likes 2 Shares

Jobs/Vacancies / Re: UBA Aptitude Test: What To Expect? by bayoola(m): 7:46pm On Jan 08, 2014
Juanmartin! I sight you. How go dey go?

(1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (of 6 pages)

(Go Up)

Sections: politics (1) business autos (1) jobs (1) career education (1) romance computers phones travel sports fashion health
religion celebs tv-movies music-radio literature webmasters programming techmarket

Links: (1) (2) (3) (4) (5) (6) (7) (8) (9) (10)

Nairaland - Copyright © 2005 - 2024 Oluwaseun Osewa. All rights reserved. See How To Advertise. 57
Disclaimer: Every Nairaland member is solely responsible for anything that he/she posts or uploads on Nairaland.