₦airaland Forum

[size=20pt]This thread topic is MISLEADING.[/size]

Why do people enjoy rumour peddling??

They said their services continue and they keep offering free delivery, low prices, etc.

Gosh people and rumours!!!

See real message attached!

It will perhaps help you understand the spirit and principle of the rule first.

WHY HAVE THE 25% PROVISION?
In a country as diverse as Nigeria, this policy was put in place to ensure that any leader that is elected enjoys the mandate and support of a large part of Nigeria.

Basically, it is insufficient to have a large number of votes from one part of the country. For example, even if I won 100 million votes from Kano state alone, I would still need to demonstrate that I have support from the rest of Nigeria in addition to the large votes I got from Kano.

I would need to get at least 25% of the vote in 2/3rd of the states in Nigeria.

Nigeria has 36 states today, so I would have to get 25% of the votes in 24 states.

NOTE that I don't need to win the 24 states. I just need to get 25%.

So, to recap, to win the presidency in Nigeria, I need

1. A simple majority of the vote which I could get from a small section of the country (or even one state)

ALSO

2. Demonstrate I have support in a large part of the country by showing that at least 25% of voters in at least each of 24 states supports my candidacy.

It will perhaps help you understand the spirit and principle of the rule first.

WHY HAVE THE 25% PROVISION?
In a country as diverse as Nigeria, this policy was put in place to ensure that any leader that is elected enjoys the mandate and support of a large part of Nigeria.

Basically, it is insufficient to have a large number of votes from one part of the country. For example, even if I won 100 million votes from Kano state alone, I would still need to demonstrate that I have support from the rest of Nigeria in addition to the large votes I got from Kano.

I would need to get at least 25% of the vote in 2/3rd of the states in Nigeria.

Nigeria has 36 states today, so I would have to get 25% of the votes in 24 states.

NOTE that I don't need to win the 24 states. I just need to get 25%.

So, to recap, to win the presidency in Nigeria, I need

1. A simple majority of the vote which I could get from a small section of the country (or even one state)

ALSO

2. Demonstrate I have support in a large part of the country by showing that at least 25% of voters in at least each of 24 states supports my candidacy.

.

DONMAYOR19:
na now apc eye go clear.

I always say I have no horse in this race but you have to carefully reason and analyse dispassionately to progress in life.

If you actually look at the link, you will see that numbers are provided on a state by state basis. You also have to carefully analyse the states where results are released for both candidates and this can give you a lot of information.

I am sad to tell you but[b] [size=14pt]the numbers simply don't look good for Jonathan[/size][/b]. It would take a miracle for him to win.

It seems like Buhari will win a solid majority + get more than 25% in 2/3 of states.

His 2/3 of states are

Adamawa (may not win, but will get 25%)
Bauchi (win and get 25%)
Borno (win and get 25%)
Edo (may not win, but will get 25%. Presently at 30%)
Ekiti (may not win, but will get 25%. Presently at 40%)
FCT (win and get 25%)
Gombe (win and get 25%)
Jigawa (win and get 25%)
Kaduna (win and get 25%)
Kano (win and get 25%)
Katsina (win and get 25%)
Kebbi (win and get 25%)
Kogi (win and get 25%) BY THE WAY, WHEN RESULTS FOR THIS STATE STARTED COMING OUT, I KNEW JONATHAN WAS IN TROUBLE. ITS A KEY BATTLEGROUND STATE
Kwara (win and get 25%)
Lagos (win and get 25%)
Nassarawa (win and get 25%)
Niger (win and get 25%)
Ogun (win and get 25%)
Ondo (win and get 25%)
Osun (win and get 25%)
Oyo (win and get 25%)
Plateau (lose but get 25%)
Sokoto (win and get 25%)
Taraba (lose but get 25%)
Yobe (win and get 25%)
Zamfara (win and get 25%)


The total of these states where he will get 25% is 26. Buhari needs 25% in 24 States. He has met that condition.

I have assumed GMB does not get up to 25% in ANYWHERE in the SE or SS.

I have also not included Rivers which seems to have an election headed towards invalidation.

Dear Nairalanders,

Have spent 24 hours looking for a good source and the one below is credible. Have verified some of the numbers and they are legit.

http://pollwatchnigeria.org/election_results_2015.html

Only shows APC and PDP though and Presidency (GMB vs GEJ) but very useful nonetheless

Happy elections results day to all Nigerians.



The results at for 301 local governments at 9:10am are below.

President Goodluck Jonathan paid a secret visit to former Vice President Abubakar Atiku on Friday night to hold a meeting that lasted till the early hours of Saturday.

Sources at the Presidency told SaharaReporters that Mr. Jonathan went to Mr. Atiku’s home with the aim of persuading the former VP to lead a so called interim government of national unity that the president has been covertly attempting to sell to numerous political figures in recent weeks. One source said Mr. Jonathan and some hawkish members of his inner circle, including Petroleum Minister Diezani Alison-Madueke, First Lady Patience Jonathan, Governors Olusegun Mimiko and Ayo Fayose of Ondo and Ekiti respectively, as well as senior presidential aide Doyin Okupe, have decided that handing over power to Muhammadu Buhari “is out of the question.”

Several electoral monitoring groups are projecting that Mr. Buhari, a retired army general and the presidential candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC), is the odds-on favorite to win the March 28 presidential election.

When SaharaReporters reached Mr. Atiku, he expressed surprise that we knew about his meeting with President Jonathan. He asserted that the idea of his heading an interim government did not come up during the long discussion with the president.

Mr. Atiku said he had retired to bed when he was woken up and told that President Jonathan had come to see him, adding that the president was already waiting in his living room.

After denying that he was asked to head an interim government, the former vice president admitted that Mr. Jonathan tried to prevail on him to rejoin the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP). He disclosed that he rejected the invitation outright.

According to Mr. Atiku, the president also discussed the ongoing war against Boko Haram insurgents, asking for support for Nigerian troops fighting in the area. He said they also discussed the possibility of displaced Nigerians returning to the areas that have been recaptured from Boko Haram.

Asked by our reporter whether he thought President Jonathan was interested in allowing elections to hold on March 28, the former vice president hesitated before stating that he would not wish to speculate, but he said the president’s body language did not reveal that he was interested in the polls that are scheduled to hold in two weeks.

The secret meeting between Mr. Jonathan and former VP Atiku has caused unease among some APC stalwarts. A few hours after the meeting, a faction of Mr. Atiku’s original political organization, the Peoples Democratic Movement (PDM), announced their endorsement of President Jonathan.

In his telephone interview with SaharaReporters, Mr. Atiku disclosed that he was opposed to the formation of an interim government. He stated that when former military dictator, Ibrahim Babangida, set up an interim national government in 1993, the dictator offered him a position in the government through the late General Shehu Yar’Adua (ret.). He said he rejected the position, adding that it was eventually given to a Lagos politician Dapo Sarumi.

Asked further about the substance of his conversation with Mr. Jonathan, the former vice president said advised the president to ensure that the elections were free and fair and devoid of the bloodshed that trailed the 2011 general elections.

http://saharareporters.com/2015/03/17/fresh-plot-scuttle-nigerias-elections-jonathan-holds-secret-meeting-former-vp-atiku

Finally, someone had quoted Max Siollun earlier. If you are here ranting and raving, please research Max before continuing.

Here is what had to say about Buhari

=======================================================
FOR BETTER OR WORSE?

Ironically, the same people who prematurely rejoiced at Buhari and Idiagbon’s downfall are the same people who today recall their tenure with nostalgia. If Buhari and Idiagbon had been allowed to stay in office for as long as Babangida did, they would have changed Nigeria forever – for the better. As usual, Nigerians have only themselves to blame for creating the circumstances that led to their downfall.

Journalists who thought that better times lay ahead post-Buhari need only recall the murder of Dele Giwa to see how wrong they were. The prisoners who thought that life would be less harsh under Babangida and Abacha should recall the consistent harassment and death of Gani Fawehinmi and Moshood Abiola respectively. People complained about the draconian Decree 2 of 1984 – the State security (Detention of Persons) Decree which permitted the Federal Military Government to detain any person considered by the Chief of Staff, Supreme Headquarters to be a security threat, for up to three months without charge or trial. Civil liberties organisations fumed and breathed a sigh of relief when Babangida took over, expecting Babangida to repeal Decree 2. Babangida not only retained it, but extended the detention period under Decree 2 to six months and used it to detain those civil liberties and pro-democracy movements that had welcomed his assent to power.

Those that felt that Buhari and Idiagbon were too “harsh” for imprisoning corrupt public officials, executing convicted drug dealers and armed robbers, should ask themselves whether they are proud of the fact that the average European cannot point out Nigeria’s location on a map, does not know its capital city, but “knows” that Nigeria is a country where corrupt people, drug dealers and other criminals come from. Those that criticised the WAI for attempting to militarise civilian society need to ask themselves whether they prefer the undisciplined, corruption infested society that is Nigeria today.

Nigeria missed a golden opportunity to change for the better.

...

Those of us that are old enough to remember know that the story below is absolutely true.

Buhari was the General Officer Commanding 3rd Armoured Division in Jos during the coup. He was not involved in the planning nor the execution of the coup. After it was successful, those that carried it out were searching for a senior officer with the highest level on integrity in the Nigerian Armed Forces and Buhari was unanimously adopted.

The notion that he planned and overthrew Shagari is a lie. I don't necessary support his candidacy (and I don't think Tinubu is worth the soil he stands on) but can't stand this lie that has been repeated again and again.

Another thing to note. Shagari/Ekwueme were good men. But those who surrounded them (ministers and governors) with a few exceptions were rotten to the core. The government collectively had basically overseen deterioration of Nigeria's economy from 1979 to 1983.

At the time Buhari took over, our Debt to GDP ratio had exploded, the economy was in free fall, salaries were not being paid and corruption was taking off. The IMF and World Bank asked Buhari to devalue the Naira. He refused. He also instituted austerity measures which are painful but necessary (like bitter medicine).

I look back now and I am confident that if Buhari had not in turn been toppled by Babangida and Nigeria had just three more years of his administrations leadership, we would not be here today. Those four years would have been damned painful but at the end of it, Nigeria would have been set on a proper course. I believe this strongly.

I feel sorry for Buhari as it seems history is repeating itself. IF he is elected (and its still an IF), he will be facing similar macroeconomic problems as 1983 and will have to be the one to take tough decisions that he is not responsible for. Considering how short term minded populations are (not only Nigeria, but globally) by December 2015, Nigerians will be blaming him for the economy.

Just like they are blaming him now for overthrowing Shagari and causing the economic problems of 1983-onwards.

=======================================================

1984 Coup! Former president Shehu Usman Aliyu Shagari speaks:
.
Buhari did not overthrow my
government, its was when those boys that overthrew our government were looking for someone with integrity, honesty and fairness to be the head of their government that was when Major Gen. Muhammadu Buhari's name came in, it was Gen D.Y Bali that mentioned
his name, and all of them agreed, Gen Tunde Idiagbon was asked to
announce his name when he "Buhari" was not even there, i thought he was in India for a course, Shagari explained that those who overthrew his government were, Major General Tunde Idiagbon, major general Ibrahim babangida, major, commodore Augustus Aikhomu, Nureni Yusuf, Brigadier General Sanni Abacha, DY Bali, Col Oladayo Popoola.
.
Shagari said to react to allegation
leveled against Buhari that he overthrew democracy and he want to be elected under the same democracy he truncated 32 years ago.

Goodluck Jonathan really upset this holy man.

"Buhari's one kobo has never crossed my hand"


https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=a_cKgG_KqL4

Who do you think has a better grasp on the issues relevant to Nigeria and, more importantly, a better approach towards fixing these problems?

Buhari Interview

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=1P2ie9mE49o&feature=youtu.be

Jonathan Interview

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=9KSULB07aY0

I fear for the reprisals that may follow!

http://pointblanknews.com/os3012.html

Whats happens to all the infrastructure investments? property prices? sovereignty of the FCT in the chance that Nigeria ceases to operate as a federal unit.

Your opinions please

I would really appreciate it if you can share the word for "Love" in your language. This is in the romantic context. Please state the name of the ethnic group also.

Thanks Nairaland Community!

Dont get me wrong my brothers and sisters. I used to believe in this country more than most people. I am a mixed Nigeria (half middle belt/half delta) and truly wish that things can work. But when I look at things objectively, dispassionately, it seems that this country is headed towards some sort of break up. Its either it is a managed process, or it is violent, but I think we are heading that way whether we like it or not.

This map is not perfect, and things can turn out differently but it seems possible. One difference is that the States of Akwa Ibom & Cross River probably will rather opt to join the Igbos who they have more in common with.

I never thought I would say this, but its like Ojukwu was a visionary and saw what is happening now a long time ago.

The Yar'Adua debacle attests to the way a certain part of this country feels the need to hold the rest of it back. The Jos crisis tells me that the Middle Belt will NEVER go to the north!

Oh! Nigeria!