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Chibuking81's Posts

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Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 5:10pm On May 23, 2018
rationalmind:
If your stop loss is at a major support level, I'll advice you sell once it breaks below.

He who runs from a fight lives to fight another day grin
Do we have stop gain support, to avoid one losing paper profit due to greediness. A lot suffer that in the hands of DF grin grin grin grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m):
Dangote sugar will still come back to #10, Zenith will still see #20 this year after Q2 result, before election, GTB #30/35
This was when the preaching started and most of them come to fulfilment.

Main while, this time around is for bull.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 4:51pm On May 23, 2018
rationalmind:
You once said DF cannot get to N7, do you still hold that opinion?

Anyway, we are waiting at N3 grin
#5/#6 should be ok grin grin grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m):
If this current bear continue like this reach next week, that mean it will hand over to primary election bear, before handing over to the main general election bear.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m):
currentprice:
it not surprise anymore with the not better than expect DF Q1 result.

it look like only good than expected Q2 can safe this stock.

chai! this stock tht make us rich last year

grin grin
Dangote flour q1 is good, their fair price suppose to be around #6/7. Many was carried away with over speed their vehicle used pass their #6/7 fair price due to their last year result which include income from their noodles subsidiary sales.

2018 q1 reflect their main value, EPS 32 kobo. If you are still inside know that they are heading back to their fair price of #6/#7.
They should be in the same category with Eterna oil, Eternal should even go ahead of them.

On Eterna, they will see #5.30 soon, between now and next week, after their mark down.
These days ex- dividend bear is not making dividend qualification date interesting again.
Once mark down has taking place, bear take over to drag the said stock times three down from their dividend price.

A Case study of Fidelity bank.
Also Zenith bank, GTB, FCMB, Dangote sugar, Dangote flour, in fact almost the whole stocks that had declared their dividend this year and has paid their dividend, was affected.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 4:03pm On May 23, 2018
Flour mill was seen around #31.95 today, this bear is not small one ooo, Zenith around #27.70, GTB around #42+.
House, I believed today lower price present a buy recommendations?
Or will Bear drive more lower. Mr Peter how did you see today bear?

Anyway am seen Zenith heading toward #27 junction.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m):
Anyone that enter Ikeja hotel above today prince, is on his own. It has finally reaches above its fair price.

Even Fidelity 2017 FY Earning is more better in value than them, when compared with their current price.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 2:44pm On May 23, 2018
This bear period, bear is truly in control.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 10:03am On May 23, 2018
IchimokuPilot:
Fund the account let them continue...... grin
Is like you are heavy in UBA grin grin grin
At least their EPS will go more high grin grin grin

What of FCMB shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 9:53am On May 23, 2018
wanaj0:
Make sure you CLOSE any account that you are not using. Soon the information will be with the credit bureau that you have overdrawn your account with banks hence you are not credit worthy.

Nigerian banks make 'easy' money hence they are not bothered doing 'REAL' banking business.
Thanks for the advice, that is what I will do with that my UBA current account.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m):
Is like some people want FCMB to visit Diamond bank at 1.50. grin grin grin
On serious note most bank in Nigeria misbehave. My UBA current account that I stopped using since more than 10 year ago, they
has kept on minus/ removing money from the account. I remember having up to #5,000 in that account, but now it is balance minus they are sending to me, even the account has entered dormant for more than 10 years now, and my BVN was not link to the account .

On Access bank, I open IPSA account together with pure saves account in intercontinental bank, now access bank, the IPSA account operate more as saves account. In my IPSA account, I left balance of about #6,000, with the bank, and #3,000 in the saves, At a time they started calling me to start patronising them again.

But what surprises me was that, they produces two ATM card, minus the charges of #1,050 each from my both account and the card continue leading, each month they will deduct #50 each for service charge from my account, till all the balance I have in the account finished. The worse is that, no alert was coming all these while. I only noticed, when I wanted to resume my banking with them.

After complaining, they did nothing, I was only informed that I ordered for ATM card last two years, and it will expired by next year. I never ordered for anything, I never received or activate any ATM card. I ended up asking for the blocking of the two card meant for the two account, and requested for alert service to be linked to my email and my phone.

I started using the account again, with new ATM card and #1050 x 2 was minus for the two card as a service charge, within 5 days which was by the months end, I received four debit alert for four ATM card charge, I.e two for each account. This time I sent threaten e-mail message to their head office, within some hours they apologize and reverted the charges.

Nigeria bank are not efficient, if this should happened to the little amount I have in my account, what of millions and billions of naira of deceased customers, or those who are wrongly sent to prison, or those abroad. Some of their staff that can view customers balance, might even plan evil against the customer.

Not withstanding, we still have some good one among them, but bad one are on the increase.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m):
IchimokuPilot:
NASCON should be trading in the range of ZENITH.
B ut every stock is on its own in these trying times.... grin
Their 2018 q1 EPS is 160 kobo, against 2017 120 kobo EPS.
Their 2017 FY EPS stood at 202 kobo upon their q1 120 kobo EPS.

in summary, they make their money in Q1.
They should not be compared with Zenith that has close to 600 kobo FY EPS.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 4:40pm On May 22, 2018
rebekah2011:
May 24, before trading commences, it will be marked down.
Thanks for the info
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 4:34pm On May 22, 2018
kolaish:
should be the bolded.
Closure 24th-28th May, is like they have many door to close.
Since it has intervals, I.e between 24 & 28. That's is one of the reason am asking the actual date for mark down.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m):
kolaish:
for the JB hopefuls:

https://www.today.ng/business/transport/federal-government-flags-rehabilitation-lagos-abeokuta-expressway-114478

cc: @Chibuking81
It's a stock to watch, only that it's not a liquidity stock for now, and bear is as well affecting the stock.
But it's good for Fix deposit, at least for nine months, it will return up to 100% for the fix deposit investor.
By q2 result, it will start turning to liquidity stock, and by final year result it will fly.

Am still looking for it at below #27, but the stock keep dancing 27.55 to 28.50, it will go up and come down.

Let them allow it, to go down a little to #26+.

Anyway, I might forgo their this year dividend, except if they lower their radar to 26+ junction to Carry me, I will wait till after their mark down next week, their dividend qualification date is June 1st, and their closure of register 4th June, meaning at their mark down on June 2nd their price will go down to pack new passengers at various junction cool
Meaning new passengers are welcome.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 4:20pm On May 22, 2018
mendes911:
You and pictures self. Na this my small data you dey always consume.
Data this days is not expensive again. grin grin grin grin
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 4:06pm On May 22, 2018
Between qualification date and closure date , Eterna as a case study, when is actual their mark down date. Is tomorrow 23 May, or next tomorrow 24th May, or Monday 28th May.

Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m):
Hope tomorrow is Eterna mark down?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 3:06pm On May 22, 2018
Chibuking81:
Most stock struggle to maintain Monday high, but there was no enough fuel. Tomorrow is another day.
#42 is not far for GTB to visit, it will happen soon. UBA will visit sub #10.90 this week, FCMB their MM are losing strength, and might visit #2.30 this week, may be their MM needed money to defend Fidelity.

Why UCAP don't want to visit sub #3, Afriprudent sub #4. Patience is the answer, many are waiting at various junction for the vehicle to arrive.
For now no news to usher in Mr bull, Bear will still dominate the market this week.

It's time to look for sound fundamental stock to fix in your money for 3 months, 6 months and 12 months at 10%/ 20% and above interest rate.

Stocks for 2 months fix deposits from now are
1. Flour mill @ #32/ 34
2. Honeyflour #2.40 or below
3. Cutix. @ #3
4. Conoil. @ #30
5. UBA @ #10.50/10.80
6. Zenith bank @#27.50
7. GTB @ #42

For Nine months
1. Eterna @ #5.30/ #5/50
2. UCAP @ #3 or below
3. Afriprudent #3.70 ( one with patience can get it)
4. Zenith @ # 27.50
5. GTB @ #42
6. UBA @10.50/ 10.80
7. fidelity @ #2.15/2.20
8. FCMB @ #2.20
9.Julius berger @ #27/ 27.50
10. Transcorp @ #1.40
11. Ikeja hotel @ #1.86/ #2

Based on personal findings, you can add yours.
Is like most stock are dancing so soon to the above quoted price.
Patient is the answer.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 1:27pm On May 22, 2018
mendes911:
Are you surprised?
Not at all
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 12:51pm On May 22, 2018
Fidelity on fully offer
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 5:58pm On May 21, 2018
onegentleguy:
In the past I have made a few calls on the company CAVERTON OFFSHORE SUPPORT GROUP PLC, with several shouts on why the coy is in line to be one of the best, if not the best performing stock this year.
For the benefit of those who still haven't seen why, I shall make an attempt to give an in-depth analysis of the company drawing from their 2017 YE and Q1 2018 results.

A few highlights:

▪ The company has 4 subsidiary arm (energy, helicopter, integrated services and marine) which are 100% fully owned and which offers offshore support services to several IOCs (shell, lng, total, exxonmobil etc) with tech partners of the likes of AgustaWestland and VP.Ships. ...and services spanning from Offshore & onshore oil field logistics, Executive ground handling services, Vessel charter, Vessel Magt & ship stevedoring, Private charters and Third party maintenance.
▪ The company's maintenance, repair and overhaul (MRO) project, a world class aviation maintenance platform which would see caverton diversify their revenue base and shift focus from their sole reliance in oil & gas related deals is nearing completion. ...the project, which would drive a remarkable turn is expected to double the company's already current outstanding earnings.
▪ The subsidiary Caverton helicopters has begun a new 5 yr contract (with a possible further 2 yr extension) with the NNPC/CHEVRON joint venture to provide aviation services for the chevron escravos project on the 1st of Aprill, 2018. ...to this end, a total of 11 helicopters were provided for execution. Again highlighting the company's solid future earnings drive and profit sustainability.
▪ The company's subsidiary Caverton Marine has seen higher agency deals plus boat & maintenance contracts continuously been executed with the Lagos State Govt. ...with the Gov, A. Ambode recently commissioning 2 State acquired boats.

Looking at their financials;
▪ The company romped up their PAT by a whooping 328.2% to over N2.6b YoY. ...and very much in that line, Q1 has also seen an approx 36.6% growth in PAT to near N300m.
▪ Turnover also came in good with a 6.4% rise to N20.54b.
...though Q1 witnessed a slight drop in this line following a loss in one of their contractual line. However, the said contract line is of the least drive in turnover.
▪ A spur in retained earnings by near 54% YoY to well over N7.4b.
▪ The company also grew their EPS by an amazing 328.2% from 0.18k to 0.78k. ...Q1 has also seen EPS soar by 50% QoQ to 9k.
▪ CAVERTON has the potential to offset any short term liability without an iota of struggle as can be seen from its very healthy current ratio of 1.14x, which makes up for any risk from the high 85.4% and 61% debt to equity and gearing ratio respectively.
Again the company has the capacity to service its interest bearing liabilities as seen by its very strong interest coverage of 50.42x which is by miles above the industrial average of 5.72x. The company can even access more debt if required.
▪ The company is also showing a strong line of profitability with ROAE romping up so nicely from 4.6% to 16.6%. ...an alarming 257.5% increase. This clearly shows management effectiveness with using more debt in acquiring real value.
▪ Management also showed great efficiency as seen by their Equity turnover. ...while Equity multiplier, a ratio which weighs/compares how a coys asset can conveniently replicate equity, came in good at 2.93. Put in a better way, CAVERTONs asset can make up for its equity by 2.93 times (multiplier). ...that to me, is damn remarkable !!

Looking at the company's shareholding structure, Chief Aderemi makanjuola (also the coys chairman) currently owns about 14.94% stake, while Molar vessels and Tesmania investment Ltd owns a 9.04% and 54.03% stake in that order.

With a double digit % growth in net asset and total asset, a price to book value of 0.56x and a book value of N4.80 as at Q1 2018, I have a Fair value of N5.70. ...which presents a very juicy 121.8% discount from last Fridays close of N2.57.
I therefore rate CAVERTON a strong BUY.

Disclaimer: This analysis is purely result driven. ...however, it should not be interpreted to mean any kind of outright recommendation.
DD still advised as always pls.

My Verdict: Follow ur instinct.

Regards.
Nice research.
This is exactly what I like in this forum, people who carried out research and report their finding, for the benefit of all.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 3:53pm On May 21, 2018
Chibuking81:
Most stock struggle to maintain Monday high, but there was no enough fuel. Tomorrow is another day.
#42 is not far for GTB to visit, it will happen soon. UBA will visit sub #10.90 this week, FCMB their MM are losing strength, and might visit #2.30 this week, may be their MM needed money to defend Fidelity.

Why UCAP don't want to visit sub #3, Afriprudent sub #4. Patience is the answer, many are waiting at various junction for the vehicle to arrive.
For now no news to usher in Mr bull, Bear will still dominate the market this week.

It's time to look for sound fundamental stock to fix in your money for 3 months, 6 months and 12 months at 10%/ 20% and above interest rate.

Stocks for 2 months fix deposits from now are
1. Flour mill @ #32/ 34
2. Honeyflour #2.40 or below
3. Cutix. @ #3
4. Conoil. @ #30
5. UBA @ #10.50/10.80
6. Zenith bank @#27.50
7. GTB @ #42

For Nine months
1. Eterna @ #5.30/ #5/50
2. UCAP @ #3 or below
3. Afriprudent #3.70 ( one with patience can get it)
4. Zenith @ # 27.50
5. GTB @ #42
6. UBA @10.50/ 10.80
7. fidelity @ #2.15/2.20
8. FCMB @ #2.20
9.Julius berger @ #27/ 27.50
10. Transcorp @ #1.40
11. Ikeja hotel @ #1.86/ #2

Based on personal findings, you can add yours.
shocked
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 3:25pm On May 21, 2018
swilo:
This kind of bus usually takes all available passengers and locks the door from outside... wink
grin grin grin grin grin grin
But at least, Peter will be outside to assist.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 2:51pm On May 21, 2018
Ikeja hotel in mind, over 14m bid, when ever the offer surfaces, and you are not yet in the bus, apply your break, because the reverse might be the case.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m):
cool
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 12:26pm On May 21, 2018
Mpeace:
Who is japaul mm. The guy is just...
Are you in their bus?
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 10:11am On May 21, 2018
mendes911:
Diamond Bank. Our 30m units gang is still there.

BOLDNESS.
The gang will pull out today, most MM has the same features with 419ners.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 10:13pm On May 20, 2018
currentprice:
brov, hope u read where he mention EPS, BOOKVALUE, ROAE etc, meaning he already considered share outstanding grin

the fact is UBA is a stock to watch. technically it has rejected 10.70 strong support zone on friday. watch uba moving up from tomorrow... though other stock is ready to join the move according to friday trade

grin grin grin
But it just tested #10.65, and might still visit it again this new week. UBA don't move like other stocks, when you expected it to move, is when it will be slow, but when you least expected, it then move.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m):
Mcy56:
The man apologized already. Can we please drop this!
The fact remains that this whole thing concerned the nation as a whole.
Fine, people are making jokes out of it to douse tensions and frustrations but the truth is, its not about a particular tribe.
Someone asked a question in Sunday School about killings in the North, that what are people in other parts of the nation doing about it? That we like to put up this I dont care attitude, it doesnt concern me attitude or that "it doesnt affect my side" kind of attitude but either in the short or long run it affects the country as a whole.
The kind of attitude displayed here by some people. Is NSE not in Nigeria? Anyway, I understand the angle they are coming from and maybe they are not currently in the country but notwithstanding, we shouldnt be non-chalant about some things sometimes.
In essence, let's be remembering this country in prayers either individually or collectively.
God Bless Nigeria!
Let me come and be going....... tongue
Nice message.
Nigeria is for all of us, till it ceased to exist. Serious prayer is seriously needed.
We might think that it doesn't concern us, but remember that heat that come from fire is also disastrous, and when there is fire outbreaks, it affect both those who are in the fire and those outside.
Nigeria is in dear need of God intervention, poverty everywhere, killing everywhere, kidnapping everywhere.

As we discuss Stock market, let us also look at the state of nation, because if our nation goes bad, NSE will also go bad. Economy grow in peaceful environment, not in environmental devastation.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 9:34pm On May 20, 2018
Possibility of UBA visiting #10+ tomorrow is very high, it's a good stock but what will push it above #11 is not yet around, I closely monitor the stock through out last week and it was hovering around 11.40/11.60.
It visited #10.65 during the market session on Friday, it was almost standing still @ #10.90, until
MM came in between 2:28 - 2:30 pm to push it up to #11.45 by market closing.

Anticipation of Q2 2018 result release / interim dividend might push the price up, if building up of 2019 election didn't affect the NSE.

In summary, I still see UBA hovering around #10.50/ #11.30 next week. Q2 end June, and companies has up to July ending to release their result.
Investment › Re: Nigerian Stock Exchange Market Pick Alerts by Chibuking81(m): 10:37am On May 20, 2018
http://dailypost.ng/2018/01/01/2019-contest-disgraced-fr-mbaka-warns-buhari-shocking-new-year-message/

https://www.vanguardngr.com/2018/05/2019-buharis-reelection-ill-fated-prophet-fakolade/

Will this coming election have negative impact in the Nigeria Stock Exchange Market?
Things has gradually building up, and will send danger signals to both foreign investors and local investors.

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