₦airaland Forum

Afamed:
Show us the ones PDP commissioned while in Office for 16 years? Abi Na only looting una commission while in Office for 16 years?

Poanan:
I am a babe. I said this cos with the way APC is going, I do not see APC losing. The election will be like a football match with the coach saying "if you miss the ball don't miss the leg"

BafanaBafana:
Last last, he doesn't have voters card.

san316:
Never underestimate the role of Nnamdi Kanu in affecting the turnout in the SE. Just as we have foolish illiterates toking their lives for politicians in the north, that's how we hv them in the east too.

san316:
Guy your analysis is flawed. You didn't take into consideration voter turnout which is usually very low in the SE. PMB will get more votes in the NE than they did in 2015. Atiku cannot win Adamawa, never!!! The margins he may get will come from the SE but their votes are very negligible. Elections is not by rally crowd or the noise ppl make online, it's about structures. Look at all the states and tell me how many political strong men Atiku has to stand for him to guarantee victory. PMB has sitting governors, senators and other influential grassroot people in almost all the states.

In Kano, kwankwaso is struggling against six strong men who have defeated him before (Shekarau) Atiku has only sule Lamido in Jigawa, who does he have in Adamawa, Katsina, Borno, To be etc

Mitjyland:
Tomorrow is Rivers State, then Abuja, Lagos, and rounding up with a gigantic Atiku's campaign rally in Adamawa state.

JudasNaCarrot:
Chisos!

Na dem dem......God punish Buulhari and I-neck shareman there.

But no matter how they have gathered to conspire against Nigerians and rig the Lifeless one back to power,it won't work. We have taken a firm stand to send him back to Daura.

Shikina!

senatordave1:
Yes theoretically but in practice its a lot.there's Noway people will be more interested in presidents polls than local polls,its not possible.intact,if you check the north and the west,presidentisl and guber polls get almost same turnout or guber even gets more.its in the ss,se where pdp inflates presidential results...

PaChukwudi44:
Presidential polls always generate huge voter turnout.

Guzel:
How many of the 2 million registered voters have collected their PVCs. Most of the young people that registered in Abia were students who have since left the state for better economic prospect. Some of the are ardent followers of Nnamdi KANU. There are more posters of no election in Abia than buhari and Atiku posters combined . then some will not turn up because of the poor performance of the ikpeazu govt in Abia. Peter Obi is not a huge unifying factor in Abia. Apga and APC members in Abia will vote for Buhari

SolutionMee:


Politics aside, Davido deserves to be an elder stateman.

Dude is really fighting for the freedom of his people.

Even if you die today, you will forever lives in our heart. Unlike Tinubu.

Poanan:
Honestly I will suprised if Atiku is declared the winner. Jonathan lost cos he wanted to lose.

9jaArea:
I don't think any SE state will have above 600k votes for both candidates combined.

OP wake up Atiku will not win or get a 50/50 in Adamawa also save this post Atiku is not winning Benue.

AtikulatedNaija:
Massive unemployment everywhere and closing down of small scale businesses as a result of the bad, poor and negative economic policies of the Buhari Led administration: just recently the National Bureau of statistics released a damming report of Nigeria having over 21 million unemployed individuals in the last 3 years as a result of negative economic policies that saw thousands of businesses closing down and even small business were not left out as many could not restock their supply as a result of the sharp increase in foreign exchange in the first two years of Buhari's current administration. Therefore we cannot re elect Buhari since he has shown that he can not solve the problem of unemployment but he can only worsen it, hence we must not reinforce failure to produce more failuresthe cabal and hawks in his government wants him to stick on because it would give them the cover to continue ruling by proxy, as well as plunder the country in the name of 'Buhari'.
Nigerians, for the love of country, allow president Buhari to go home and rest. He has done his bit, but it is clear that he cannot continue to run the affairs of
the country...

PhenomenalMorgan:
Zombies stay off this thread
My brothers and sisters pls be on the lookout for any suspicious movement of sniper and ropes around your environs
Although they are zombies we are still obligated to prevent them from doing anything dat will make them not to witness atiku's inauguration...

SouthEastFacts:
You were too generous to Buhari as swear. So you believe that Adamawa result even Benue?

Kingspin:
Only Atiku Presidency will ingnite mass jubilation across Nigeria and abroad.

Guzel:
Wrong. What's ur margin of error
Did you consider the voting patterns of previous polls.
I can fault many errors in this poll.
1) Abia cannot register more than 500k votes. Abia north will vote APC because of orji uzor kalu and Uche ogah. Abia central will cast protest vote against PDP with support from Alex Otti. PDP will do well in Abia south where the governor comes from but Aba will not vote PDP. They rather stay at home. Nnamdi KANU will play a big role in Abia. In fact the only south east state that will produce close go 700k is Anambra state. The obiano factor is strong for APC here. Remember in the last election APC had more votes than PDP despite peter obi factor. Yes I know politics is local but the APC won't be humiliated as you posted. The Ubas, Nwoye, Ngige, Catholic vs Anglican fight which obi started there will get votes for APC. In Ebonyi APC will do well. In imo whatever the turnout is, PDP cannot defeat APC with more than 40k votes. Orlu wll vote APC. PDP will do well only in owerri zone. PDP will win Enugu convincly because no APC strongman there however, gov ugwuanyi will not stump for Atiku.


In south south, Akwaiobom is 55 to PDP 45 to APC. Delta believes that keeping Atiku away from Aso rock is the surest way to send okowa home. Warri will vote APC, ogboru, Omo Agege, utomi, uduaghan, and the people that claim to be mainstream APC will work for buhari seriously plus Ayiri.
Cross River and Rivers are not for APC but that margin of 1 margin for Atiku won't be there in Rivers. Edo can't be 5050

I can see you playing safe in kwara, Adamawa and Benue. APC will win those States.
How can bayelsa produce more votes than Ekiti. Voting pattern in these states will correct your mistakes there. Atiku 200k in kastina is bonaza. Your Oyo result is not tenable even that of Lagos.
Margin of error here should be more than -10 percent.
My opinion tho

alen4smith:
Rivers won't record more than 500k votes overall.the era of result writing is over

Ray97:
This a near perfect analysis. But i dnt see atiku wining nasarawa or edo. Op buhari wil win again. Forget fulani factor. Notherners do not play the race card.

Firefire:
Buhary is a BAD PRODUCT! So, difficult to market.


Any opportunity to collect part of our national cake is a welcome development.


Kai Barber!

naijapips02:
APC always talking like thugs.

Party of blood and brooms.

Somtitous:
Wike, the Slayer of the Lizard of Ubima and the Lion of Rivers Politics!

Atiku is coming, Rivers is 100% PDP

seunmsg:
In as much as I don’t support violence, this is another indication that Atiku stands no chance even in a cosmopolitan city like FCT.