₦airaland Forum

uslaad:
You are making an error in your assumptions and calculations. Kano is one of the seven states in northwest with voting strength of about 5million, whereas there are Kaduna, Sokoto, Zamfara, Katsina, Kebbi and Jigawa states in same region. Rivers state has the highest vote strength compared to each state in the entire South-South and South-Eastern region. Hence beside the fact that Kano is like twice Rivers. I like you to know that a single state of just Kaduna, Jigawa or Sokoto are each equal to Rivers State vote.
How do you now justify Rivers in North-West if we can extract about 7 of its votes there?
Talking about Southeast that has five states (and each state dont have votes equal to Rivers) for Atiku then imagine adding that of North-east, North Central and South West into the calculation...
Quote me any day, it is over and the winner is PMB, except if Nigeria is more than 6 geopolitical zones or 36 states + fct.
Or will Cameroon and Togo join in voting?

well my analysis also goes for the Oda Northwestern states like Sokoto, Jigawa and Kaduna. Pmb can't even win Sokoto. Sokoto is already pdp

Parada:
Your foolishness is extraordinary

Kano will produce less vote with when that is where the incumbent president is expecting his largest vote, in addition to the governor, all 3 senators and all over 40 rep members and state assembly member

but PDP with a PDP governor no single senator in River, some rep with a serial failure in Atiku n you are claiming he will win more votes. The way manybof you Igbos reason do exceedingly foolish baffles me.

Lol. I initially intend responding with ur post with some little fact but after going through ur last statement, I just can't engage in a conversation with u.

For the info, I'm not Igbo!

Bishop4real:
Elections in Ekiti & Osun states were between Yoruba but the presidency is between Yoruba (Osibanjo) & Ndi Igbo (Peter Obi) with Atiku & PMB cancelling out each other. Can a Peter Obi defeat an Osibanjo in Yoruba land especially with all the visible landmark projects scattered all over Yoruba land & the juicy positions they occupy in this government?

Think...!

Cool.... Talking about Juicy position, can u name any? Obj already diluting the western votes d way he did in 2015. Hope u are also aware about the recent endorsement by Afenifere?

donphiilopus:
You tactically avoided my post.

Nah, I didn't. You already concluded in ur last post, dat I av nothing more to say, so their's practically no need engaging in more analysis

seunmsg:
Even my own Ekiti?

Nothing wey person no go read for this app o. See, Fayose cannot even spew this kind of nonsense. As it stands, Atiku will struggle to get up to 100k in Ekiti. Buhari will win Ekiti and Osun without stress and with wide margin. It won’t be close at all.

Win Osun without stress? Same Osun dat conducted governorship election months ago? No worry, e go shock u

justdare007:
Really?
Are u sure of what u are saying?
Even though, I do not like Buhari but when I saw the released Statistics of eligible voters from INEC, I just shut my mouth.
Let tell ourselves the truth.
It will only be a miracle if Buhari should lose this election.
Let take a look at the statistics:
Northwest has the highest no of eligible voters with over 20m
Southwest is the second
We still get Northeast, North central , Southeast and South south has the least number of eligible voters.
Whether we like it or not,
the whole Northwest belongs to Buhari.
Buhari will take some states in Northeast.
North central I do not know much about that.
Obviously, no chance for Buhari in Southeast and South south but Buhari might still win Edo.
Coming to Southwest, Buhari will win more states than Atiku, let be truthful with ourselves.
What we do not know is that, majority of PDP members are online who did not have PVC and elections are not won online.
APC has done their homework well.
What I meant by that is that, during the registration of voters for this elections, APC leaders, Councillors, LG chairmen has mobilized some people they know that they can trust who will vote for them.
Trust me, Illiterate votes more than the educated ones.

Well I agree with your last line, but concerning Northwest, it's a 50/50 stuff for PDP and APC. APC might clear most of Northeast but North Central is for pdp.

mknigeriagreat:
Write this down today and bookmark it my brother. This year joker card for apc is Lagos state. Do you know the meaning of almost 6.1million collected cards?Tinubu and his gang members are quietly waiting for you people. [b]Southwest will dillute anything the south south will give atiku mark my words[b] Go through collected pvcs in buhari strongholds. They are quietly waiting for atiku. You will see the power of lagos votes and soro will grip you guys. Do you also know that 1.4million cards are still with inec in lagos state where tinubu is? Do you think those cards wont be used? Na everything this apc governmemt go use beat atiku dem. They cant just sit down and watch this presidency slip off like jonathan did. Peace

Well the recent Osun and Ekiti poles proved otherwise. As regarding Southwest diluting PDP's votes

raumdeuter:
All you political rookies talking about what you dont know

Who told you this was the first time an Ibo man was running as VP?

In 1979 NPN Ekwueme ran as VP to Shagari
In 1993 NRC Sylvester Ugo ran as VP to Tofa
In 2003 ANPP Chuba Okadigbo ran as VP to Buhari
In 2007 ANPP Ume Ezeoke ran as VP to Buhari
In 2007 AC Ben Obi ran as VP to Atiku

So tell us another lie

Mr man, aside NPN, which was one of the strongest political party in the second republic, and won the election, all d other political parties listed up are mere regional parties. Since 1999 the fact remains dat dis is the first time a national party will field an Igbo man as Vp

MikoB:
[s][/s]
My brother your analysis is not correct,all the votes in all ss and se regions in 2015 were all fabricated by PDP that explains why the election that came after 2015 in anambra for example,what was the turn out and the results,meanwhile the votes of kano bauchi katsina etc all in the north still remain the same turn out even after 2015,you can call me any name if the votes count of rivers state and every other ss or se states are more 300thousand fir any party that wins it.Thanks

lol. Is it Northern votes datz not fabricated? Lol. Go and check numbers of people dat voted with incident forms in d North, den come back here let's talk. Cheers

Jklastborn:
A fool like you will always forget that the whole of south west is behind PMB this time.

I populations in Ibadan alone is more than the whole SS & SE, I don't want to mention Lagos, osun, Ondo, Ogun..........

I pity Mr pardon me aka Athieflooter

Lol, no insults bro. We just here analysing politics . So you mean south west is solely behind Pmb? Waoooo, well the recent governship elections proved otherwise. APC scaled through Ekiti and Osun poles. And I can categorically tell u dat APC won't win either Osun or Ekiti in d Presidential elections. Cheers bro.

brightalo17:
Inec himself. If crowd no come u will Wail if they come you'll still wail. Is wailing ur job?

Lol.... Believe wat u want bro. I just presented some factual facts

Tetehjewels:
Childish talk.

An average northerner loves integrity and loyalty and does not endorse cheating or a fraudulent nature.

Think about it

An average Northerner loves power bro. Atiku will av the privilege of having 8 years in office while Pmb only have 4yrs that's if he wins!
An average Northerner will prefer ATIKU to pmb anyday anytime. Fact

msquarewld:
Sorry Sir, Northerners don't really practice politics the way you think. I have a friend from Gombe state. He is a card carrying PDP member. I never knew that He was due to his love for Buhari. I only got to know after questioning him.
He even showed me his card.
The point is that even kwankwaso's supporters that you see all the time won't directly translate to vote for Atiku.

Lol.... I have studied how politics works in the North to some extent. Do you no that an average Northerner will prefer voting for ATIKU instead of Pmb? Do you know dat Pmb only av one more term to do that's if he wins? And ATIKU av d privilege of aving to do a two term in office? Do u no dat an average Northerner loves power?? Now think about it.

Tetehjewels:
2015 is not same as 2019.

2019 has shown buhari to be widely accepted from the SE to the SS.

Even Nnamdi Kanus sit at home order in his own state of abia was ignored as the stadium for the rally was packed full.

Is it Ebonyi? Cross river? Anambra? IMO? Enugu? All have shown massive support for PMB.

Rivers will not be different.

He will get much more votes from those regions than he did in 2015.

Lol. Pmb widely accepted in the SS and SE? You mean an average Igbo man will leave Obi and vote Osibanjo? For ur info bro this is the first time in our Democracy that an Igbo man will be running for a VP slot in Nigeria. It's an opportunity bro. Forget about d back door endorsement of APC by the SE or SS, that's if their is one. An average SE or SS person will vote PDP. That's d fact

raumdeuter:
Kindergarten analysis

You think Buhari wont get more in the SS and SE in 2019 than he got in 2015? When a lot of the governors are stylishly supporting him

In 2015, All SE/SS governors openly supported Jonathan and delivered votes to him, In 2019, there is no SS person on the ballot, Buhari is in control of FG

Or you think the FG will allow the blatant rigging in the SS and SE to favor PDP?

Let us see where and how PDP will get 1.4million votes in Delta, Rivers Anambra and those places

Let us see if Obiano, Uguwuanyi, Rochas, Umahi, Akpabio with Federal backing will be watching while PDP writes votes like they are used to doing

If Atiku gets more in the North, guaranteed Buhari is getting more in the South

I love your last line! Do you know it pays for ATIKU to get more in the North than Pmb getting more in the South??. I guess u don't understand. Now let's take it dis way do you know dat Kano and Zamfara's votes in 2015 is more Dan wat South East zone gave PDP?? Now tell me, which is more preferable? Getting more in the North or South?... Politics is all about numbers, and PDP is pulling dat numbers in almost all States

ORIENTATION101:
Delusion grandnuer you believe Pdp will record same performance in Rivers state like 2015 but disagree with apc in kano. recent election in rivers state was a neck to neck battle infact the suspended bye elections by inec in Rivers was won by Apc currently pdp has no senator in Rivers state.
Kwankaso is facing a fierce battle to return to senate with apc fielding a worthy opponent in shekarau who defeated kwankaso as a governor in gubernatorial election 2007.pdp banking on kwankaso to deliver substantial vote in kano is a mere wishful thinking cos his popularity ends in just one constituency out of 3 constituency in kano.
Kwankaso cannot even deliver his constituency on scale of 60% it will be a tough battle for him to return to senate. Forget those red caps , kwankakaso had the most colourful pdp primary campaign but the lizard that sees himself like a crocodile didnot even make top 3 of pdp presidential elections. Kano is a fortress for apc believe me Apc will get more than 2.2 million votes pdp best performance will be 400k votes

Now, do you know the APC will not be fielding candidate for Rivers Election Think about that.

Secondly, I never said PDP will surely win Kano, that's not my point. The fact remains that kwankwanso being in APC in 2015 in Kano, gave APC an edge over PDP in Kano in 2015, but d story isn't dsame now. Believe it or not kwankwanso is a movement in Kano dat will surely give PDP more Dan 30% of votes in Kano which is a win for PDP in kano

asfrank:
The same thing applies to the Southern regions. especially SS and SE, Buhari don't need block votes, and his performance in the SS would be far better than what he got in 2015: This is not a one way traffic, where u think Atiku will split Northern votes while Southern votes remain untouched..

Lol. Now let's educate each other a little. Do you know day the bulk of votes are concentrated in the northern region? Which of the SS or SE states gave pmb above 30% of votes in 2015?

KunleyY19:
You're telling me about my constituency


Buhari duk hanyar Da!!!

Lack of northerners on NL makes you Guy's believe what you read...

Funny. I only presented you with facts. Kwankwanso already divides Kano's vote which is Apc's strongest state in terms of votes. Simple

Tetehjewels:
FYI kwankwasiyya as it stands is divided about Atiku. They would rather vote against APC at the governorship polls but vote pro Buhari for Presidency.

If anyone tells you that Kwankwasiyya is 100% pro Atiku because of Kwankwaso then you need your head examined

You still don't get? Kano's vote is decided bro. Atiku don't need to win Kano for him to scale through. He only needs above 25% which he will get

KunleyY19:
Bro I hope you are a northerner or You are currently residing here...
IF Not come down before you analyse Buhari enjoys a CULT like Support here..

Atiku ba zai iya doke bugari a arewa!!!!

I don't need to come down or be a northerner bro. I just presented some bitter facts. Do u no dat kwankwanso is one of PDP's main asset in the North? Kano's vote will not be as much as 2015's own for APC in kano, based on percentage

Let me lecture some Zombies on how politics works!

Atiku don't need to win Kano state. He only needs atlist 40% of Kano's votes. That's all. As you know, Kano gave pmb above 1.9million votes in 2015 while PDP got less Dan 250 thousand votes from the region. Now going by kwankwanso's movement in Kano. I can categorically tell you that the APC votes in Kano will just be a little above PDP's Kano votes, that's if APC wins Kano in the first place.

Now let's take a look at Rivers state. The state is predominantly a PDP state. Rivers gave PDP 1.4 million votes in 2015, close to 1.5 million. While APC only got 69 thousand + votes in Rivers.

My point? Apc's strongest state is Kano, while PDP's strongest state is Rivers. Going by recent appenings, PDP will sure get above 25% votes in APC's strongest state which is Kano and APC don't stand a chance in Rivers (PDP's strongest state).... Which is already a win win for PDP. Kano will not produce as much votes it produced for APC in 2015, but Rivers will sure produce more Dan wat it delivered for PDP in 2015, this makes it a win win for PDP.

I rest my case! Politics is all about numbers, and getting more votes from ur opposition's strongest place.

More lectures coming

Let me educate some Zombies on how politics works!

Atiku don't need to win Kano state. He only needs atlist 40% of Kano's votes. That's all. As you know, Kano gave pmb above 1.9million votes in 2015 while PDP got less Dan 250 thousand votes from the region. Now going by kwankwanso's movement in Kano. I can categorically tell you that the APC votes in Kano will just be a little above PDP's Kano votes, that's if APC wins Kano in the first place.

Now let's take a look at Rivers state. The state is predominantly a PDP state. Rivers gave PDP 1.4 million votes in 2015, close to 1.5 million. While APC only got 69 thousand + votes in Rivers.

My point? Apc's strongest state is Kano, while PDP's strongest state is Rivers. Going by recent appenings, PDP will sure get above 25% votes in APC's strongest state which is Kano and APC don't stand a chance in Rivers (PDP's strongest state).... Which is already a win win for PDP. Kano will not produce as much votes it produced for APC in 2015, but Rivers will sure produce more Dan wat it delivered for PDP in 2015, this makes it a win win for PDP.

I rest my case! Politics is all about numbers, and getting more votes from ur opposition's strongest place.

Atiku don't need to win Kano state. He only needs atlist 40% of Kano's votes. That's all. As you know, Kano gave pmb above 1.9million votes in 2015 while PDP got less Dan 250 thousand votes from the region. Now going by kwankwanso's movement in Kano. I can categorically tell you that the APC votes in Kano will just be a little above PDP's Kano votes, that's if APC wins Kano in the first place.

Now let's take a look at Rivers state. The state is predominantly a PDP state. Rivers gave PDP 1.4 million votes in 2015, close to 1.5 million. While APC only got 69 thousand + votes in Rivers.

My point? Apc's strongest state is Kano, while PDP's strongest state is Rivers. Going by recent appenings, PDP will sure get above 25% votes in APC's strongest state which is Kano and APC don't stand a chance in Rivers (PDP's strongest state).... Which is already a win win for PDP. Kano will not produce as much votes it produced for APC in 2015, but Rivers will sure produce more Dan wat it delivered for PDP in 2015, this makes it a win win for PDP.

I rest my case! Politics is all about numbers, and getting more votes from ur opposition's strongest place.

Let me educate some Zombies on how politics works!

Atiku don't need to win Kano state. He only needs atlist 40% of Kano's votes. That's all. As you know, Kano gave pmb above 1.9million votes in 2015 while PDP got less Dan 250 thousand votes from the region. Now going by kwankwanso's movement in Kano. I can categorically tell you that the APC votes in Kano will just be a little above PDP's Kano votes, that's if APC wins Kano in the first place.

Now let's take a look at Rivers state. The state is predominantly a PDP state. Rivers gave PDP 1.4 million votes in 2015, close to 1.5 million. While APC only got 69 thousand + votes in Rivers.

My point? Apc's strongest state is Kano, while PDP's strongest state is Rivers. Going by recent appenings, PDP will sure get above 25% votes in APC's strongest state which is Kano and APC don't stand a chance in Rivers (PDP's strongest state).... Which is already a win win for PDP. Kano will not produce as much votes it produced for APC in 2015, but Rivers will sure produce more Dan wat it delivered for PDP in 2015, this makes it a win win for PDP.

I rest my case! Politics is all about numbers, and getting more votes from ur opposition's strongest place.

In other news, someone should tune to AIT let's Atikulate

2 states down! 17 more to go

Well politics is local, and a game of numbers! The truth is a vote for any Oda Presidential candidate aside Atiku, is a vote for Buhari.

Vote wisely! Atiku all the way

"You ain't even old enough to hear what the rock is cooking" that line is simply superb!

Propaganda... Lol. If APC can produce such a crowd in ABA, den thier is no need campaigning again na!!!! Lol.

Propaganda everywhere.

And also the V.P's own.....

Misleading Topic. So u mentioned Saraki so the viewers will think it's d Senate President abi?? Lol.

A nice step in the right direction.

Patiently waiting for NJC's verdict!