₦airaland Forum

Mpeace:
That guy. We miss him wella. Maybe he has joined buffet

currentprice:
very soon those pple will go on the floor to continue mopping any available fo. if they can paid N66 to buy more . they will buy much more at less tha N20 on the floor. i expect FO to turn to permanent bid soon

hmmm they saw FO fairprice as 66

i saw it before now as 39 for half year so full year with similar performance will give us almost same fairprice

chai! my bedsheet sees well

Heishere:
Baba abeg how is fair price of a stock calculated?

RabbiDoracle:
Since the $844. 60 profit is part of the $2,307.58 Balance, then that means that as at yesterday your balance was $1,462.98.

When you compare this ($1,426.98) with what @Northeastern posted about your portfolio $2710.63, it means you actually lost $1,247.65 between last week and yesterday. This is 46% loss from last week portfolio position.

Then today you made a gain of $844.60 on the balance of $1,462.98 (yesterday's balance). This is 57.7% gain on yesterday balance.

So you lost 46% last week? I actually did backwards calculation to get all your positions!

Hope you see that live trading is different from demo?

Mcy56:
Prof, which kind wahala you want put me again as I still dey battle one?
No be because of you she registered back? Abeg, including you o.

Mcy56:
Yayira just come out and say your mind, don't dai of bitterness cos damnation awaits the ungodly.
Which of the men here do you want to kee yourself over? Let the guy know and save yourself all these stress cos this Mcy has got no interest in any here.

meshpips:
WAPCO

volume done so far this year is the highest seen since year 2008

We have so far seen two months close bullish (June and July)

meaning price closed HIGHER than it opened for these months

The HIGH for year 2019 has been breached to the UPSIDE

This therefore is positive proof that we are about starting a new impulsive wave (movement) to the upside

Last two weeks closed with a bearish body, somewhat marking the end of this prime bullish segment

Outlook:

I expect a retrace to at least 12.30 or slightly lower
current price is 14.00
[b]
Recommendation: [/b]BUY between 12.30 -10.70 region and hold until 54.95

pluto09:
What are you still doing with Deal capital??

valentinenwoko:
I was at Deap Capital AGM today.not impressed with the AGM. Company wants to diverse into real estate, downstream petroleum, private equity etc.the new management team want to take 40 percent PBT per annum as incentives for 5 years. Gave bogus projections from 2020- 2024. i am sceptical.

meshpips:
Chai! Na me this guy describe like this so? People wicked sha.

Lol

RealityShot:
Please what is the fair price for FBNH and FLMILLS
Thank you

BullBearMkt:
...delighted that many have provided adequate responses to your irrelevant post! What you need to think about?
i) your "leading indicator" provided you a reversal price for UCAN to be 6, hence you started telling people who trusted you with their investment
ii) from 6, price falls to 4.5 that is 25% loss.
- Do you think the person you gave assurance to, having lost more than 50,000 of his total investment of 200k will be around to witness yesterday's rise in the stock price - [b]when he categorically told you the money is for a particular use? [/b]Your model failed to show human emotions...
-Did you provide him/her assurance that the price will reverse at 4.5 based on your re-modelling the stock?
iii) If your so called "adjusted volume" failed to predict reversal price for UACN then, it is not guarantee it can for any other asset.

@meshpips, you will never stop amusing me. Mathematical models do not translate to success in stocks or any financial market, it's all about buying and selling; emotions and money management.

Agbalowomeri:
Prof u don carry ya mouth come again

veecovee:
Yes I'm contented, and that's why I'm not into yahoo yahoo.

Maximizing my opportunities is not sin beloved.

Well, since you are still there, let me keep thinking about it

onegentleguy:
On a side note, I read with amusement the many outcry of a likely stock market Armageddon from some members here.
Well, I have learnt that such outcry are a pivotal part of what makes for the dynamic nature of the market !!
Simply put, we need such outcry and maybe more to help 'rake down' juicy assets to juicy destinations.

Like I always tell folks;

Only a market player without a working STRATEGY will hate them bears. ...It is not for NOTHING that both bears and bulls make money, while p... gets slaughtered !!

A very good afternoon to u all.
It's always a pleasure to be in the midst of u fine people !!

Cheers.

onegentleguy:
@ Sir Oracle, I believe u have done enough justice to this meshpips guy.
Some of us know more than enough of these things. ...and I did highlight that while advising him in the 1st post above. It's rather unfortunate that he is yet to change his pathways.

While I wouldn't say that he lacks the basic knowledge of the statistical application of price modelling with the valuing of an asset, I would say that he seems not to understand that even the best modelling is only but an extrapolation which relies on a FORECAST or projection.
...and if that is the case, it would be tomfoolery to adjude such estimate or any forecast for that matter(including the so-called VWAP modelling), as a CERTAINTY !! Some of us had to learn this the hard way.
Infact with the stock market, the only certainty with attempting to forecast/project with certainty, is that of an event whose probability of rate of success drifts closer to zero as the key tool or variant considered reduces, but never gets to 1 even with the best combination of tools/variants.
The interpretation of this is that with valuing any given asset, the probability of success can ONLY be INCLUSIVE but not DEFINITE !!

I have always said that NO one tool(FA, TA, SA...) should be used in isolation. Even with each tool, it makes sense to combine several variants as a COLLECTIVE to achieve optimum result !!(note the use of the phrase; optimum result... and not certainty)

Unless u are some sought of semi-god or maybe 'the man who sees tomorrow', NO one method of pricing/valuing an asset defines a CERTAINTY.
There are 3 points to note here;

1) Every FA is the plausibility of weighing in on the inherent VALUE of an asset by looking out for a safety margin that's good enough to impact positively on its price after adjusting for risk.

2) Every TA is basically a probability ratio of whether(given past events), the share price of an asset is likely to rise or fall over a given timeframe.

3) While every SA is the degree or extent to which the FA and TA valuation of an asset can DRIVE its price in line with economic realities and market trend at the time.

Over time, I have learnt that all 3 input must work as a collective if one desires to WIN more and lose less in the stock market.
It's very Important to understand how to strike a proper balance between the 3 of Fundamental, Technical and Sentiment analysis.
In principle, Fundamental Analysis gives u KNOWLEDGE to the WHAT, Technical Analysis gives u DISCERNMENT on the WHEN while the market sentiment at the time gives a SMART investor the clue on HOW to go about it.
Of paramount Importance is the 1st, because it tells u WHAT to BUY.
...remember; u need to know WHAT to buy before ever u can even consider the WHEN and HOW to go about it.
That was why our dear meshpips couldn't get it right on UACN with his price projection model.(also see the 'note' with the 2nd post above)
The KEY lies in equipping oneself with the words in between... KNOWLEDGE, DISCERNMENT and SMARTNESS.
...once u can do this, u are on ur way to becoming a WINING INVESTOR !!
Worthy of mention is the nugget;

"If u want to KNOW if u can SUCCEED in the stock market, then 1st find out where u fall in between SMART, INTELLIGENT and DISCERNING.
...but remember that the market has been CONFIGURED to have and work with all 3 attribute as a collective."
~Sinclair

The degree to which the 3 method used is able to accurately utilize these inputs, determines how successful one can be with them.

@meshpips, I think it would nice if u could start combining several key tools/variants while attempting to value an asset. ...and even nicer if u could hasten to the advise in the 1st post above. Again, it will do u a whole lot of good !!

Regards.

currentprice:
http://www.nse.com.ng/Financial_NewsDocs/27364_GUARANTY_TRUST_BANK_PLC._FINANCIAL_STATEMENTS_AUGUST_2019.pdf

EPS 2019 3.50 , 2018 3.38

BullBearMkt:
@Godlylifeoneart, Congratulations for the arrival of your beautiful baby girl. May the good Lord abide with her and your entire family.

Mcy56:
Pastor go ask you if flour resemble annointing oyel

veecovee:
I for even sell today if the stock made 10% profit, but unfortunately, I can't sell @20.

currentprice:
Meaning, some stock will still fall more, pple will average down tire

hisexcellency34:
Oscar Onyema to resign as NSE CEO...inside sources

Jejebabaa:
My boss, stop comparing stocks in different sector together. How can you be comparing FMCG EPS with Banking EPS, its not done sir.
Different fundamentals drives them. Banking sectors are always known to have low PE ratio compared to other sectors. If you keep doing like this, you might not see any reason to diversify to other sectors other than banking.

megamart247:
ESP 2k

http://www.nse.com.ng/Issuers-section/listed-securities/company-details?symbol=UNIONDAC

Please gurus in the house based on this Q2 is Union Diagnostic a good buy at 20k?

cc: BBM.NOMONEY. AGBA.MEMPHIS. CP. PETERICHY. CHIBUIKING. OGG. MRCY. LOCODEMY.TRITRI and at ALL

Agbalowomeri:
Why are you doubting your interpretation
Having dined and whined at the bosom of VEECOVEE......

Mcy56:
Now this is my fear!
She wouldnt want to come out of that oza room again.
Issorite! Get ready to separate more fight.

Agbalowomeri:
I don give her house arrest