₦airaland Forum

sarrki:
South-south and South-east: My Thought On PDP stronghold –

PDP have consistently won 60% or more of the total votes since 2003 in Abia, Akwa Ibom, Anambra, Bayelsa, Cross River, Delta, Ebonyi, Enugu, Imo and Rivers.

In the last election, PDP got about 50% of their total votes from these states, 6,892,762 votes. The party received 80% or more from each state; the highest was Anambra with 98.5%. But what are the chances of PDP/Atiku repeating the 2015 feat next week in their stronghold?

Personally, I believe PDP have lost some ground in most of these states, if not all.

• In Anambra, Governor Obiano is not hiding his affection for President Buhari and not shying away from publicly promoting the achievements of the Buhari Government in the state and south east as a whole. PDP won the state with 98.5% of the total votes in the last election, I strongly believe this time around, the state could easily swing in favour of either of the two major parties.

• Imo, despite the obvious friction in Imo APC, the incumbent Governor is still solidly behind President Buhari and APC as far as the presidential election is concerned. I doubt if that support will be readily available in the Gubernatorial election especially. I believe APC have a better chance of winning this state.

• In Akwa Ibom and Delta, APC has successfully formed some great alliances and the party seem united in both states. In 2015, PDP secured 2.2 million votes from both states compare to APC 107,321. With the two states boasting 4,965,001 registered voters, an increase of over 1 million newly registered from last election, there is all to play for. I believe PDP will still win both states. I do not honestly believe APC is strong enough to win either state in this election, but I am confident the party will do exceptionally well, which will be nothing compare to the 2015 result.

• No doubt APC have gained some ground in Abia, cross river, Enugu, Bayelsa and Ebonyi, they are not significant enough for the party to win any of those states. PDP will still retain these states but not in a way they will want to. In the last election, PDP had about 90% of total votes in all these states, I don’t see that happening in this election. APC will comfortably secure at least the required 25% in all, and looking at the voting record of these states, it would be considered a decent outing for APC.

• Rivers state, the crown jewel of PDP stronghold with 3,215,273 registered voters. In the last election, PDP had 95% of total votes (1,487,075 votes) compare to APC 4.4% (69,238 votes). Thanks to Amaechi, Abe and co, they have successfully made a mess of APC’s chances in the state. Even though I do honestly believe PDP will win the state, I also believe APC will perform far better than they did in 2015.

At the end of the day, south-south and south-east will remain a PDP stronghold, at least the time being. Though PDP is still firmly entrenched in these two regions, but with Imo state out of their grip, and both main parties having a 50-50 chance of winning Anambra state, this is enough to worry PDP. It says a lot on how deep APC has encroached into their territory. APC secured only about 5% of total votes in SS and SE in 2015, and they still won the election. If they manage to secure about 35-40% in this election, which believe they will, it would be considered a great success. If I were PDP supporter, I would be worried.

Dottore:
Are these APC guys so dumb. So long as Odili's wife remains a justice of the Supreme Court and so long as Wike's wife remains a High Court Judge, any litigation brought by APC to the Supreme Court from Rivers is dead on arrival.
We have a very corrupt Judiciary and its easier for judges to be approached for "twisting of judgement" by fellow Justices. Now in this case Wike has both the negotiator (his wife) and the money to followup any negotiation.
You will only understand when you observe that Wike's allies win their cases once it gets to the supreme court. You will see more of these after the general elections.
#scrapPDP&APC

ceeroh:
All these una permutations sef... Should we vote based on religious affiliation or what? Both candidates are Muslims, their vices are Christians. It doesn't change anything. We have people in the SS and SE who would vote Buhari, we also have Christians from all regions who would vote either candidate. The mere fact that we have to choose between Buhari and Atiku is a big shame on us. Una no dey tire?

ceeroh:
I didn't read the article.. but what does he mean by 'Christian votes'? Why are we so backward in this part of the world? Wetin concern God and una yeye election. None of the two major presidential candidates are even Christians. What a mistake of a country. I repeat, we deserve all the sufferings and the type of leaders we get. We will continue to suffer until our heads are formatted.

Celebgistz1:
The National Leader of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Asiwaju Bola Ahmed Tinubu had expressed his anger by throwing away the APM flag after he was disappointed with the outcome of the campaign in Ogun State.

Watch the video HERE
Lie kill you there what is APM flag doing there if not APC flag
Source:https://www.mtetimes.com/2019/politics/tinubu-throws-apc-flag-after-being-frustrated-with-the-campaign-in-ogun-state

deji17:
You call granting of loan and repayment "Campaign money". You still think PDP is in power? Wake up this is 2019. Or should someone wake you up in 2023?

Davash222:
EFCC is busy arresting yahoo boys duping white men and women while the people they are duping are warning EFCC to stop arresting the same yahoo boys duping them.

What do we call this now

QuotaSystem:
So PDP didn't rig there? Issokay

QuotaSystem:
If it were to be by crowd size Jonathan wouldn't have been defeated in Kano . In fact it will be a huge accomplishment if Atiku can get up to Jonas northern votes in 2015 when he had Federal might. Honestly.

Abi were votes not split then? Did Jonathan not lose despite getting over 40% of northern votes? Haha

At this point it's better to allow the wailers wallow in their delusion of Atiku splitting northern votes to win

The higher they go, the harder the fall

ify2016:
End product of beauty ends in a bed.

Atom of beauty

homealone00:
With just a single comment the lying self-proclamed pastor blocked me

erinalex:
die my spirit ? No way.

It only shows, how ungrateful u lots are.

Ingrates ,to put it mild.

Tell me,where I've lied in my comments.

The problem with u guys is that u are not sincere.

You always comment, based on Sentiment ! U can never b factual.

kcmichael:
Why is he celebrating? Will they include him in the ballot,does he think he can win wike

erinalex:
how developed are the states, where TINUBU is not remoting , compared to Lagos ?

I like TINUBU too much !

He remote IBO guys in Alaba International market, to d extent that ,the guys are making millions every day.

His godfatherism in Lagos allowed Ibos to have properties, scattered all over Lagos.

Through TINUBU ways of life, Ojo, Badary is about 85% owned by d Ibos.

Because Tinubu is too greedy and tribalistic, he made IBO guys, commissioner in Lagos. A fit, No governor from ur region can meet.

Spelling Bee program, afforded 3 teenagers from d East, to become A- Day governor in Lagos.

Agbaje, promised u "Freedom" in Lagos, I ask u, are you under bondage in Lagos ?

Ibos are going about their legitimate business in Lagos, making cool money; yet u are still complaining.

What exactly do you want from Jagaban ? 1/4 of what he has done, non of your governors can tolerate them.

Your major problem is CONFUSION.

0koyeeboz:
Go and make Agbaje the Governor of your backwards state.

0koyeeboz:
Constitutionally, you need to get majority votes and 25% of 24 states.

The north has 19 states and the South has 17 states
SW has 6
SS has 6
SE has 5

All Buhari needs is 25% of 19 Northern States and the 6 SW States. That's all. Any other one na jara.

The SE is inconsequential and that's the truth. 5 measly states with the lowest PVC registration stats and lowest history of voter turnout.