₦airaland Forum

Deadlytruth:
And you think you can remove state policy effect from it? If anything, state policy effect is more powerful in deciding voter sentiments especially in Edo State. Think back about the rejection of PDP in 2007 on account of Lucky Igbinedion's abysmal failure despite the perception that PDP had done well at the national level.

senatordave1:
Thank you for hitting home the truth. 90% of elections in Nigeria are decided by local factors esp in rich,educated, independent,liberal thinking states which are mostly in the south. Only few states which are poor and dependent on Abj allow national matters to affect their polls...

For Edo, what will decide is the performance of the incumbent,track records of the candidates,strength of the parties,directions of politicians etc..The state of the country will only play a minor role.same thing happened in 2020,2016,2012 etc cc engineerboat

senatordave1:
Not true. You can never be 100% sure in anything sir

senatordave1:
I'll wait but I must admit,I didn't calculate and analyse those two states very well.
For Osun, I just thought APC will win Osogbo and Ijesa axis while pdp will win Ede and parts of Ife.i didn't know the LGA by LGA strengths of each party and I still don't know and APC is still not likely to win there.
For Edo,I overestimated the strength of Oshiomhole,I didn't know the LGA by LGA strength of each party,the gladiators in both parties,the division in APC,resolve of Shuaibu.. but now,I know Edo very well down to the wards and I am almost certain

senatordave1:
I am in Uromi right now...stop judging me from Osun and Edo 2020 prism.if you check well,I wasn't certain

senatordave1:
Violence is what Obaseki is counting on,are you aware? Monday may struggle but will still win

fergie001:
Section 43(1) says at least 14 days meaning, it could be 20 or even 30 days, hence the reason INEC draws out a timetable so that political parties can follow suit.

Section 153f(1) of 1999 Constitution empowers INEC to:
Organize, undertake and supervise all elections to the offices of the President and Vice-president, the Governor and Deputy Governor of a state, and to the membership of the Senate, the House of Representatives and the House of Assembly of each State of the Federation.

Again, INEC Regulations is backed by law. What the Supreme Court has said is that "where there is a conflict between the Electoral Act & INEC's Regulations", the Electoral Act supercedes and takes pre-eminence.

Whilst the Electoral Act didn't speak about uploading of agents to a dedicated web portal, Section 9(b) of INEC's guidelines did. Aligning Section 43(1) of the EA 2022 and Section 9 of the IR&G shows there is no conflicts whatsoever.



INEC prepared a timetable before elections as they are empowered to. What happens when anyone goes against already prepared schedule. Only the Courts can say otherwise. It is within the powers of the Commission to prepare Timetable and Schedule of Activities for elections.

Let me give you an example, in the past INEC set Primaries perhaps one or two months to the election. But in 2023, they did well in that regard, allowing primaries hold even over 6 months before the elections so that litigations arising from primaries may have been concluded.


This is untrue. There must be dire circumstances for INEC before it can deviate from its own rules.
INEC Regulations & Guidelines is backed by law. If it holds no water, then why prepare it in the first place? If INEC continues to change the goalpost at will, then parties will scream bias.


You are referring to section 9a
"A Political Party sponsoring a candidate may by notice appoint one person as its Polling Agent for each Polling Unit, one Polling Agent for each Collation Centre and one representative at each point of distribution of electoral materials in the constituency where it is sponsoring candidate(s) for an election. "

Section 9(b) of INEC's Regulations and Guidelines:
The notice referred to in 9(a) shall be in writing, signed, addressed, and delivered (or uploaded to a dedicated web portal as the Commission....)

(9c)The notice shall contain the names, addresses and recent passport photographs of the Polling Agents and the respective Polling Units or Collation Centres to which they have been assigned, and shall be submitted or uploaded to the web portal not later than the last day stipulated in the Timetable and Schedule of Activities for the election.

The Supreme Court many times has said the word "shall" indicates mandatory or compulsory as the case may be.
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To add to this, let's get to the meat of this issue.

Political Parties were asked to upload the biodata of their agents from July 17-30, 2024. Names, photos, etcetera.
Whilst some parties uploaded correctly, others chose to upload emojis, photos of foreigners, even memes, and fictitious names so i don't understand where the legal issue is. Anyone aggrieved can go to Court like I heard a party is doing, trying to get an exparte.

However, I can't fault INEC on this.

senatordave1:
Edolites generally see oshiomhole as the best bar Ambrose Alli. Most of those supporting Asue agree that Obaseki failed so sing another song

senatordave1:
The amount of people alone benefitting from the benevolence of Okpebholo alone is enough to crown him winner. Which indices are you even using self?

senatordave1:
Pdp held their LGA rally in Esan west LGA today

senatordave1:
Adeleke is scattering Osun PDP

senatordave1:
Pdp campaigned in uhumnwonde lga

Akpakomiza2:
Up APC

Akpakomiza2:
My brother,you cannot doubt my electoral analysis. I concede that pdp will likely win Osun but you will concede Edo.

Akpakomiza2:
What has Asue offered his community

Akpakomiza2:
It is tight but LP will make it easier for APC

Akpakomiza2:
Akpata will damage pdp

Nlkay:
You guys should stop replying him.
He's waisting his time. The people know what's good for them. Hello should stick to posting APC and leave PDP alone in the state. Edo state can't go back to the old ways of doing things. They have moved on. The governor has done well and the people are happy with him. We don't want an illiterate.

senatordave1:
In the eyes of the law,it was never done sir so it must be done properly.
You still haven't said anything on Edo polls

senatordave1:
That budget was nullified by the high court alongside all activities done by him as it was an aberration.you cannot support illegality here and quote the law in Edo sir.stand one place.
The house has to write to FAAC and all banks housing rivers money barring withdrawals

Paraman:
There's no where such a thing is stated in the article. BEDC claim there will always be power supply between 8am and 5pm, that's 9hours on, 15 hours off

senatordave1:
What's your prediction for Edo

senatordave1:
He is only paying salaries

senatordave1:
His performance is not encouraging,I stand to be corrected

senatordave1:
True, aiyedatiwa is so lacklustre

senatordave1:
1) jegede being in the race makes it easier aiyedatiwa as south will massively vote him plus north but now south will divide and Ajayi might take central.
2) Aiyedatiwa deputy is a placeholder,he will make his final choice from central,likely Fasoranti son
3) the south are aggrieved that aiyedatiwa doing only one term will shortchange them and will prefer voting Ajayi who has 8 years.
4) his deputy from Owo isn't grassrooted
5) hmmm

celestineteryim:
sdp is wasting his time,kogi no be abia state

senatordave1:
The two weeks timeline allowed for appeal has elapsed

senatordave1:
The onotosho judgment supercedes that of shc

fergie001:
In Omotoso, they agreed that they defected and the PDP also admitted that their seats should be vacant.....

If they pursue that, there will be trouble!